Mobilt Trådlöst Bredband HSPA och LTE

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1 Mobilt Trådlöst Bredband och LTE Jan Färjh Vice President Head of Ericsson Research 1

2 Major trends - today 2

3 Full Service Broadband Broadband services to a screen of your choice 3

4 Global cellular subscriptions By system standard 6000 Reported subscription forecast by standard Reported Subscriptions (Millions) Analogue & Other TDMA CDMA Mobile WiMAX GSM/GPRS/EDGE WCDMA/ LTE 4 Source: Internal Ericsson

5 Network traffic growth Strong outlook Fixed access traffic Mobile access traffic Terabyte Terabyte IPTV Internet Voice TV/video Internet Voice Source: Ericsson and market estimate Traffic growth driven by TV, video and internet 5

6 3G Mobile Broadband 2003/4 2005/6 2007/8 2009/ /12 3GPP radio-access technologies providing Mobile Broadband evolution 3G Mobile Broadband 3G LTE WCDMA Mobile broadband is already here LTE will further boost 3G Mobile Broadband 6

7 High Speed Packet Access 2003/4 2005/6 2007/8 2009/ /12 HSDPA and Enhanced Uplink Downlink: 3.6 Mbps 7.2 Mbps 14 Mbps Uplink: Up to 5.8 Mbps 3G LTE evolution WCDMA In commercial use since 2005! 7

8 deployment More than 100 commercial networks in more than 50 countries with 7.2 Mbps available today Source: GSA and Ericsson 8

9 Over 300 enabled devices* 137 mobile phones 51 PC with embedded 87 PC cards and USB modems 32 wireless routers 3 Media players and 1 camera 9 *Commercially launched as of June 2007 (GSA) Most popular device: USB module (Sweden, June 2007)

10 offerings on market Some examples Optimus, Portugal Examples: 2GB/month USD 40 6GB/month USD 53 Maxis Malaysia offering fixed replacement Example: For RM 98/month = USD 30/month Examples USD 12/month - 25MB/day 3 Sweden example: Unlimited 3.6 Mbps = USD 29/month Formerly Vodafone Mobile Connect Card 3G Examples: 1Gb = USD 53/month 4Gb = USD 79/month Examples: USD 25/month 250 MB included USD 53/month 1GB included Cingular First in the world Examples: Unlimited USD 59,99 Projection: 50% of all sold Laptops/ Notebooks to have by

11 World Average Traffic Mix per Month WCDMA and 100% <2% Percentage of total traffic 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Video Speech R99 Data 38% 19% CS 40% PS 60% 20% 41% 10% 0% 01-Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug-07 Sum of %PS_HS Sum of %PS_DCH Sum of %Speech Sum of %CS64 Sum of %Others Ctrl + Shift+ O data is already now 60 % of the total WCDMA traffic 11

12 Average traffic volume per RNC Average of selected operators Speech Total Packet Gbit/RNC/h Traffic Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul-07 Sum of Total traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Packet (DCH+HS) traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of HS Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Others traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Speech traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of DCH Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of CS64 traffic (GBit/RNC/h) 12

13 Average traffic volume per RNC Aggressive operator Speech Total Packet 50 Traffic Gbit/RNC/h Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul-07 Sum of Total traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Packet (DCH+HS) traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of HS Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Others traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of Speech traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of DCH Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h) Sum of CS64 traffic (GBit/RNC/h) 13

14 Live WCDMA R99 + HSDPA, One carrier HSDPA 7.2 Mbps performance Good Coverage Median bitrate 3.8 Mbps Mobile Median bitrate 1.9 Mbps Bad Coverage Median bitrate 1.8 Mbps High field performance in downlink 14

15 Live WCDMA R99 + HSDPA, One carrier Enhanced Uplink 1.4 Mbps mobility Mobile Median bitrate 1.0 Mbps High field performance in uplink Average bitrate Mobile no soft softer soft 3w soft softsofter 3w softer

16 evolution 2003/4 2005/6 2007/8 2009/ /12 To ensure long-term competitiveness evolution 3G LTE WCDMA Downlink: 14 Mbps 42 Mbps Uplink: Close to 12 Mbps Improved user experience 16

17 evolution Higher-order modulation Downlink 64QAM Uplink --16QAM MIMO, 2x2 downlink "Continuous Packet Connectivity Enhanced Broadcast/Multicast Specifications finalized Higher data rates Higher capacity Reduced user-experience latency / faster access Enhanced system performance and end user experience 17

18 3G Long Term Evolution 2003/4 2005/6 2007/8 2009/ /12 Further boost 3G Mobile Broadband Provide a smooth transition towards 4G radio access (IMT-Advanced) 3G LTE evolution WCDMA Expansion to wider bandwidth Both paired and unpaired spectrum New radio access 18

19 GSM and 3G data evolution 1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years 3G LTE Evolved GPRS 3G Peak rate Ericsson 40 kbps 384 kbps 3.6 Mbps 28/42 Mbps >100 Mbps x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years 19

20 Digital TV evolution three phases Content industry Digital broadcast IPTV 1.0 Networked TV Networked TV - a new dimension of the TV user experience 20

21 Making Web 2.0 mobile Web 2.0 services Mobile Phone Camera Address book mp3 player Network Location Presence Broker/ exchange Make the phone the main source of User Generated Content 21

22 Summary Mobile broadband is here with good performance Data traffic has surpassed voice traffic Performance will increase even further Excellent oppurtunity to introduce new services 22

23 23

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