2016 Ocean Fishery Process Schedule

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1 216 Ocean Fishery Process Schedule Feb. 25 Mar. 2 Mar Mar. 15 Mar. 29 Mar. 3 Apr. 6 Apr. 22 Ocean Salmon Industry Group Meeting * 216 Forecasts * 216 Salmon season discussions * 216 Forecasts * 216 Salmon season discussions CDFW Public Meeting * 216 Salmon season discussions Pacific Fishery Management Council * Adopt 216 ocean salmon alternatives for public review North of Falcon I (Public Meeting) * Ocean/Puget S./Col. R. area salmon season negotiations Columbia River/Ocean Fisheries Discussion * ODFW, WDFW, Public * Public input on 216 season alternatives PFMC Public Options Hearing * Continued negotiations - Ocean and Col. R. * Adopt 216 ocean salmon fishery regulations Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission * Adopt state waters ocean salmon fishery regulations Newport, OR Mar. 1 WDFW Public Meeting Olympia, WA Mar. 17 Mar. 28 Apr * 216 Forecasts PFMC Public Options Hearing Pacific Fishery Management Council Santa Rosa, CA Sacramento, CA DoubleTree Olympia, WA Vancouver, WA Coos Bay, OR Red Lion Mar. 28 PFMC Public Options Hearing Westport, WA * Public input on 216 season alternatives * Public input on 216 season alternatives North of Falcon II (Public Meeting) * Continued negotiations - Ocean and Puget S. North of Falcon (Public Meeting) Fort Bragg, CA Lynnwood, WA Olympia, WA Vancouver, WA Hilton Bandon 13

2 Review of 215 Salmon Spawning Escapements and Abundance Oregon Production Index (OPI) Coho Oregon Coastal Natural (OCN) Columbia River Chinook Klamath River Fall Chinook Sacramento River Fall Chinook

3 Thousands of Coho. 1,194 1,885 2,163 2,145 1,939 1,69 1,347 1,25 1,458 1, , , ,779 1,784 1,991 2,5 2,995 3,297 3,922 4,329 5, Oregon Production Index Area Hatchery Coho Abundance Estimates, ,5 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1,

4 Thousands of Coho. 4 OCN Coho Spawner Escapement Rivers and Lakes, Lakes Rivers

5 2 OCN Spawner Escapement by Sub-Aggregate Including Full Seeding Levels, North North Central South Central Thousands of Spawners Full Seeding 15

6 15

7 16

8 Thousands of Chinook 9 Sacramento River Adult Fall Chinook Escapements, Goal Range of 122, - 18,

9 215 Ocean Abundance Estimates for Select Salmon Stocks, Preseason vs. Postseason Coho Oregon Production Index (OPI) Hatchery Oregon Coast Natural Lower Columbia Natural Preseason Expectations 88,4 26,6 35,9 Postseason Post - Pre 251,7-556,7 7,4-136,2 17,9-18, Chinook Sacramento Index (Fall Chinook) Klamath Rogue Fall Oregon Coast North Migrating 652, age 3-342,2 age 4-71,1 Index - 222,8 Good Returns 255,3-396,7 175,7-166, 65,5-5,6 NA Improved survey results and returns. Columbia River Chinook 1/ Tules 255,4 Fall Brights Lower River Wild Upriver Spring Willamette Spring 613,6 18,9 232,5 55,4 295,1 966,5 32,4 289, 87,1 39,7 352,9 13,5 56,5 31,7 1/ Preseason expectations to the mouth of the Columbia River. 17

10 Review of 215 Salmon Forecasts Oregon Production Index (OPI) Coho Columbia River and Coastal Hatchery Oregon Coastal Natural (OCN) Columbia River Chinook Klamath River Fall Chinook Sacramento Index (Fall Chinook) 216 Forecasts Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

11 Total OPI Coho Forecast for 216 with Preseason Forecast and Postseason Estimate Comparison 2, 1,8 Postseason 1,673 1,667 1,6 Forecast 1,4 1,267 1,341 Thousands of Coho 1,2 1,

12 Thousands of Coho OPI Hatchery Coho Forecast for 216 with Preseason Forecast and Postseason Estimate Comparison 1,8 1,6 Postseason 1,4 Forecast 1,396 1,264 1,2 1, 953 1,

13 Thousands of Coho OCN Coho Forecast for 216 with Preseason Forecast and Postseason Estimate Comparison Postseason Forecast

14 Thousands of Chinook. 4 Columbia R. Tule Chinook Ocean Escapement Forecast for 216 with Postseason Estimate and Preseason Forecast Comparison Postseason Forecast

15 Thousands of Chinook. 1,8 Klamath R. Fall Chinook Age-3 Forecast for 216 with Preseason Forecast and Postseason Estimate Comparison 1,6 1,4 1,2 Postseason Abundance Preseason Forecast 1,

16 Thousands of Chinook Klamath R. Fall Chinook Age-4 Forecast for 216 with Preseason Forecast and Postseason Estimate Comparison Postseason Abundance Preseason Forecast

17 Thousands of Chinook Klamath R. Fall Chinook Adult Forecast for 216 with Preseason Forecast and Postseason Estimate Comparison Postseason Abundance Preseason Forecast

18 Thousands of Chinook Sacramento R. Fall Chinook Escapements and Harvest, ; and 216 Index Index Escapement Ocean Harvest River Harvest

19 Coho Hatchery 396,5 411,9 less than 215 Forecast Oregon Coast Natural 152,7 53,9 less than 215 Forecast Lower Columbia Natural 4, 4,1 more than 215 Forecast Chinook Sacramento Index 299,6 352,4 less than 215 Forecast (Fall Chinook) Klamath Rogue Fall Oregon Coast North Migrating Preliminary 216 Ocean Abundance Forecasts for Select Salmon Stocks Oregon Production Index (OPI) Preseason Expectations age 3-93,4 age 4-45,1 Index - 136,4 Good Returns Comments 248,8 less than 215 Forecast 26, less than 215 Forecast 86,4 less than 215 Forecast Increasing spawner counts suggest improving trends Columbia River Chinook 1/ Tules Fall Brights Lower River Wild Upriver Spring Willamette Spring 223,2 69, 22,2 188,8 7,1 32,2 less than 215 Forecast 76,4 more than 215 Forecast 3,3 more than 215 Forecast 43,7 less than 215 Forecast 14,7 more than 215 Forecast 1/ Preseason expectations to the mouth of the Columbia River. 22

20 Oregon Coastal Natural Coho Spawning Escapement Estimates, Component and Basin NORTHERN Necanicum 359 4,832 2,47 2,377 2,198 1, ,55 3,827 4,445 2, , ,12 Nehalem 14,462 21,928 17,164 32,517 18,736 1,451 11,614 14,33 17,25 21,753 32,215 15,322 2,963 4,539 3,577 2,121 16,725 Tillamook 2,178 1,944 13,334 13,8 2,532 1,995 8,774 2,295 4,828 16,251 14,89 19,25 1,686 4,42 2,9 1,553 8,63 Nestucca 1,219 4,164 16,698 1,194 4, , ,844 4,252 1,947 7,857 1, ,369 1,813 4,169 Ind. Tribs ,116 1, ,52 1,473 1, , TOTAL 18,218 32,939 49,259 58,96 28,822 16,466 24,135 17,529 25,571 48,135 54,97 45,89 7,52 1,956 67,37 6,587 32, Avg. NORTH CENTRAL Salmon , ,382 3, ,165 3, Siletz 3,387 1,595 2,129 8,38 8,179 14,567 5,25 2,197 2,634 24,7 6,283 33,94 4,495 7,66 19,496 1,974 1,188 Yaquina 637 3,589 23,8 16,484 5,539 3,441 4,247 3,158 1,913 11,182 8,589 19,74 6,268 3,553 25,582 2,27 9,255 Beaver Ck. 1,464 1,832 3,217 5,552 4,569 2,264 1, ,218 3,575 2,72 2,389 1,878 2,15 6, ,593 Alsea 3,363 3,228 9,73 1,281 5,233 13,97 1,972 2,146 13,32 14,638 9,688 28,337 8,47 9,283 25,786 5,532 1,266 Siuslaw 6,532 1,66 55,445 29,3 8,729 16,97 5,869 3,552 17,491 3,67 25,983 28,82 11,946 14,118 38,896 8,669 19,527 Ind. Tribs ,38 1,852 8, , ,91 1,61 2,548 4, ,929 1,89 1,25 2,275 TOTAL 15,653 21,891 99,515 71,252 42,7 51,47 21,224 12,27 68,138 86,435 56, ,99 33,846 39, ,894 19,818 55,49 SOUTH CENTRAL Umpqua 14,594 35,84 43,54 34,783 29,92 42,532 18,92 11,783 37,868 57,984 7,19 94,655 2,969 27,16 66,272 12,238 38,582 Coos 4,74 33,595 33,12 25,761 23,337 17,48 11,266 1,329 14,881 26,979 27,658 1,999 9,414 6,884 38,88 4,354 18,138 Coquille 6,253 13,833 7,676 22,43 22,138 11,86 28,577 13,968 8,791 22,286 23,564 55,667 5,911 23,637 41,66 7,82 19,73 Floras Ck. 1,477 5,664 3, , , ,23 11,329 9,217 2,52 1,936 1,22 2,142 3,36 Sixes R Coastal Lakes 12,747 19,64 21,977 16,76 18,642 14,725 24,127 8,955 23,68 17,349 38,744 2,281 18,922 13,659 22,1 4,729 18,51 Ind. Tribs TOTAL 39,911 17,875 19,644 1,61 11,886 86,722 83,46 36,472 85, , ,89 191,254 57,8 73,732 17,36 3,611 98,489 SOUTH Rogue 1,978 12,15 8,46 6,85 24,59 9,957 3,911 5, ,566 3,671 4,545 5,474 11,21 2,337 4,72 7,254 COASTWIDE 84,76 174,72 266, , , , ,73 71,47 18,1 265,31 287,76 36,788 14,64 135, ,961 61,88 192,82 23

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