Preem Overview. Mats Lindgren, Risk Manager

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1 Preem Overview Mats Lindgren, Risk Manager 1

2 Sweden s largest oil company and the largest refiner in the Nordic region Two refineries with total capacity of 345 kbbl/day Focus on high quality & green transport fuels 30% share of overall fuel market in Sweden Exporting 2/3 of overall throughput 1,300 employees Owned by Saudi businessman Mohammed Al-Amoudi Stavanger North Sea West Africa Bergen Trondheim NORWAY Oslo DENMARK Aarhus Lillehammer Copenhagen Odense Kiel GERMANY Karlstad Lysekil Gothenburg Helsingborg Jonkoping SWEDEN Karlshamn Malmo Sundsvall Gavle Bornholm Norrkoping * Visby Oland Gdansk Lulea Pitea Naantali Stockholm RUS. FED. Kaliningrad POLAND Helsinki Patnu Porvoo Riga FINLAND ESTONIA LITHUANIA Vilnius Tallinn Primorsk Oil Terminal St. Petersburg LATVIA RUSSIA BELARUS Crude Oil Flows Terminals/Depots Refinery 2

3 Risk Management and Insurance Preem AB Marine Cargo Charterers Liability Environmental Liability Financial Lines Motor vehicles Business travel Property Damage Business Interruption Terrorism Global Liability Office Environmental clean-up (closed sites) Direct Insurance Market Reinsurance Market Preem Insurance Willis Captive Manager Loss Adjustors Willis 10 MUSD/Y (approx) premium income as well as max retention Re-domiciling Ireland-Sweden in progress 3

4 Lysekil Complex Refinery 220 kbbl/d Property & BI EML Vapor Cloud Explosion in Process Area USD 2 billion (approx) Legal liability EML Fire/explosion at crude jetty causing ship damage and oil spill USD 200 million (approx) 4

5 Gothenburg Hydroskimming Refinery 125 kbbl/d Property & BI EML Vapour Cloud Explosion in Process Area USD 500 million (approx) Legal liability EML Major incident in the Skarvik Oil Harbour? 5

6 Skarvik Operators Preem Preem Statoil St1 Preem Göteborg Energi Nordic Storage Preem Statoil Saybolt Sweden Scanlube St1 (former Shell) Stena Recycling Vopak Sweden Photo: Preem AB 6

7 Buncefield December 11, 2005, Hertfordshire, England Explosion and fire in an oil terminal 20 tanks affected Photo: AP Large Liability Claims from nearby businesses and residents 7

8 Legal Liability Assessment So, we asked Willis to analyse the potential consequences of a major fire/explosion at our Skarvik Terminal: What would Preem be legally liable for? Is it covered under the insurance policy? Is the current liability insurance limit enough? 8

9 Liability Risk Engineering- a Case Study Buncefield Terminal, Xxxxxxxxx UK Chris Bond, Senior Risk Engineering Director 9

10 Buncefield Could it Happen Again? Xxxxxxxxx Buncefield Terminal, UK December

11 ... at Skarvik Terminal? Xxxxxxxxx Preem in the Skarvik Terminal... now 11

12 Buncefield - recap Buncefield (UK) disaster, 11 December 2005 Fuels terminal: explosion (heard ~200km away), fires burned 3 days Major Accident Investigation Board: gasoline tank overfilled huge (~240,000 m 3 ) vapour-cloud ignited after ~41 mins 12

13 Buncefield 3 rd -party consequences Damage to houses frequent within 2km Severe damage to light industrial buildings Estimated claims, GBP millions: businesses inside site 103 businesses outside site 488 individuals 30 local authorities 4 13

14 Recent Events Similar to Buncefield October 2009, fuels terminal, Jaipur, India October 2009, refinery tank farm, Puerto Rico August 2012, Amuay Refinery, Venezuela (LPG release and explosion) ( + older events ) 14

15 Research into Buncefield How did the huge vapour-cloud form? UK Health and Safety Executive (HSE) experiments 12m-high tank model, hexane in still air, flammable cloud of stable air-fuel mixture forms heavy vapour flows following the contours of the ground 15

16 Willis - Liability Risk Engineering Approach A Buncefield -type event is credible Product gasoline the most likely cause Financial modelling of 3 rd -parties required TNT-based explosion modelling ok for near-field Scaling approach developed for far-field Assessment of Legal and Insurance aspects 16

17 Near-Field Damage Estimation - Skarvik Fit Buncefield vapourcloud damage using TNT methodology. The TNT model 40% damage circle = total loss. 17

18 Near-Field Damage Estimate Estimate Skarvik vapourcloud size Ground slopes down slightly to south TNT model loss to nearby third-party operators... SEK million (USD million) 18

19 Far-Field Damage Estimation - Skarvik Skarvik far-field area. 1km, 2km and 3km. Occupancy: Industrial (St1 etc.) residential (> 1km) 19

20 Far-Field Damage Estimate Possible effects of ground elevation sheltering residential areas Estimated losses to housing areas: SEK million (USD million) 20

21 Legal Liability Assessments Technical loss estimate USD million In-depth investigation and legal analysis - Swedish Tort Law Probable impacts: Third party (TP) Property Damage and Business Interruption TP Personal Injuries incl. Deaths TP Consequential Financial Losses TP Pure Financial Losses Environmental Damage and Contractual Obligations Plus: Review of special local law and regulations for Skarvik operations Review of Preem s Lease Agreement - Skarvik site Differences in national legislation and court practice? 21

22 Outcomes If there were to be a Buncefield-type scenario at Skarvik Depot: The potential third-party losses are ± USD million... of which Preem would be legally liable for???? Is their current liability insurance limit enough? Could it happen at one of YOUR facilities? 22

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