CLINTON TOPS TRUMP IN CONNECTICUT RACE OF THE UNLOVED, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; BLUMENTHAL LEADS UNKNOWN GOP CHALLENGERS 2-1

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1 Douglas Schwartz, PhD, Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: JUNE 7, 2016 CLINTON TOPS TRUMP IN CONNECTICUT RACE OF THE UNLOVED, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; BLUMENTHAL LEADS UNKNOWN GOP CHALLENGERS 2-1 Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump percent in a Connecticut presidential race in which there is little love for either candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. When third-party candidates are added to the mix, Clinton gets 41 percent, with 36 percent for Trump, 6 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont tops Trump percent. A total of 37 percent of Connecticut voters have a strongly favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of Clinton, while 55 percent have a somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion. Trump gets 33 percent strongly favorable or somewhat unfavorable and 61 percent somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable. Ninety percent of voters don t know enough about Stein to form an opinion of her and 86 percent don t know enough about Johnson. While Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump, her single digit lead is smaller than might be expected from true-blue Connecticut, and her negative favorability rating is almost as bad as his, said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. Maybe Connecticut will matter again in the general election, just as it did in the primaries. Trump won the primary overwhelmingly. Could he win here again in November? Unlikely, but there already have been so many surprises, who knows? -more-

2 Quinnipiac University Poll/June 7, 2016 page 2 Connecticut voters say percent that Clinton is prepared for the job as president, and say percent that Trump is not prepared. Voters say percent that if Trump is president, he will bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington. If Clinton is president, it will be business as usual, voters say percent. Clinton has the right personality and temperament to be president, voters say percent, but Trump does not, voters say percent. It s pretty amazing that Trump is within single digits of Clinton, given how poorly he scores on having the temperament and being prepared for the presidency, Dr. Schwartz said. What Trump has going for him is the desire for change, and the weakness of Hillary Clinton. U.S. Senate Race Democratic incumbent Sen. Richard Blumenthal tops either of two possible Republican challengers by margins of 2-1: percent over State Rep. Dan Carter; percent over businessman August Wolf. Blumenthal gets a percent job approval rating. A total of 59 percent of Connecticut voters have a strongly favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of him, with 27 percent somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable. For Carter, 84 percent haven t heard enough to form an opinion of him and 83 percent haven t heard enough about Wolf. President Obama s Approval Connecticut voters approve percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his best score since a percent approval in a March 17, 2010, Quinnipiac University poll. Democrats approve 91 9 percent, while Republicans disapprove percent. Independent voters are divided as 48 percent approve and 49 percent disapprove. Voters approve percent of the job U.S. Sen. Christopher Murphy is doing. From June 1 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,330 Connecticut voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. Visit or Call (203) , or follow us on 2

3 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 45% 9% 85% 36% 36% 53% 50% 41% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 49% 46% 50% 36% 31% 46% 39% 70% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 54% 14% 88% 49% 46% 61% 57% 51% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 65% 55% 54% 42% 42% 54% 48% 76% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

4 3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote? Clinton 41% 8% 81% 30% 32% 49% 45% 38% Trump Johnson Stein SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 47% 40% 47% 33% 27% 42% 35% 67% Trump Johnson Stein SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? More 35% 40% 33% 35% 38% 32% 32% 37% Less The same DK/NA More 37% 29% 40% 33% 38% 33% 35% 31% Less The same DK/NA

5 5. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 20% 43% 4% 21% 24% 17% 16% 24% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 12% 20% 20% 28% 26% 19% 23% 8% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 19% 2% 43% 11% 13% 24% 20% 18% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 15% 17% 24% 20% 9% 19% 14% 38% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA

6 7. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 28% 9% 43% 29% 27% 30% 29% 28% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 42% 27% 25% 24% 24% 27% 26% 38% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Is your opinion of Jill Stein favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 2% - - 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 4% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA

7 9. Is your opinion of Gary Johnson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 2% 1% - 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 4% 3% - - 2% 1% 2% 2% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Dan Carter the Republican, for whom would you vote? Blumenthal 60% 23% 92% 59% 51% 68% 61% 60% Carter SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Blumenthal 62% 61% 61% 60% 50% 66% 58% 71% Carter SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

8 11. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and August Wolf the Republican, for whom would you vote? Blumenthal 62% 26% 93% 61% 53% 71% 62% 63% Wolf SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Blumenthal 66% 64% 62% 61% 50% 68% 60% 76% Wolf SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Is your opinion of Richard Blumenthal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 34% 17% 53% 30% 28% 40% 36% 33% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 13% 35% 39% 48% 25% 39% 32% 45% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA

9 13. Is your opinion of August Wolf favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 4% 7% 2% 4% 5% 3% 3% 4% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 5% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 8% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Is your opinion of Dan Carter favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 3% 10% 1% 2% 5% 2% 4% 3% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 2% 3% 5% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED/DK/NA

10 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Murphy is handling his job as United States Senator? Approve 53% 36% 71% 50% 48% 57% 54% 52% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 51% 53% 54% 54% 47% 57% 52% 56% Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator? Approve 60% 35% 86% 56% 52% 68% 61% 60% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 61% 57% 63% 63% 50% 67% 59% 70% Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Approve 54% 14% 91% 48% 48% 59% 56% 52% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 71% 53% 54% 41% 44% 53% 48% 78% Disapprove DK/NA

11 39. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think the nation's economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same? Better 17% 2% 37% 10% 13% 22% 17% 18% Worse The same DK/NA Better 20% 12% 21% 19% 10% 19% 15% 28% Worse The same DK/NA If Donald Trump is elected President, do you think the nation's economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same? Better 36% 67% 8% 41% 43% 30% 34% 37% Worse The same DK/NA Better 25% 41% 36% 40% 45% 36% 40% 20% Worse The same DK/NA If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think she would keep the United States safe from terrorism or not? Yes 50% 20% 78% 46% 46% 54% 52% 49% No DK/NA Yes 59% 50% 51% 41% 42% 49% 45% 70% No DK/NA

12 42. If Donald Trump is elected President, do you think he would keep the United States safe from terrorism or not? Yes 42% 73% 14% 48% 54% 32% 39% 45% No DK/NA Yes 36% 44% 42% 46% 60% 37% 48% 20% No DK/NA Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 30% 8% 58% 21% 25% 34% 29% 31% No DK/NA Yes 27% 29% 33% 31% 21% 29% 25% 50% No DK/NA Would you say that Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 33% 67% 8% 34% 42% 25% 28% 36% No DK/NA Yes 23% 36% 31% 40% 47% 29% 37% 14% No DK/NA

13 45. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 59% 31% 89% 52% 49% 68% 62% 57% No DK/NA Yes 63% 63% 62% 50% 42% 64% 54% 81% No DK/NA Would you say that Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 60% 84% 37% 63% 68% 53% 56% 63% No DK/NA Yes 64% 65% 59% 53% 71% 56% 63% 46% No DK/NA Would you say that Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 47% 16% 80% 38% 39% 54% 47% 48% No DK/NA Yes 51% 44% 51% 42% 34% 48% 41% 73% No DK/NA

14 48. Would you say that Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 36% 68% 9% 41% 46% 28% 36% 37% No DK/NA Yes 28% 36% 37% 44% 52% 33% 42% 14% No DK/NA Would you say that Hillary Clinton has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not? Yes 60% 30% 87% 56% 50% 68% 63% 57% No DK/NA Yes 62% 62% 64% 50% 45% 64% 55% 78% No DK/NA Would you say that Donald Trump has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not? Yes 29% 58% 7% 32% 38% 22% 27% 31% No DK/NA Yes 26% 28% 28% 34% 41% 26% 33% 13% No DK/NA

15 51. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is prepared for the job of president, or not? Yes 61% 32% 88% 58% 54% 68% 68% 56% No DK/NA Yes 58% 66% 66% 51% 50% 65% 58% 78% No DK/NA Would you say that Donald Trump is prepared for the job of president, or not? Yes 30% 61% 5% 32% 37% 23% 27% 31% No DK/NA Yes 22% 29% 32% 33% 42% 26% 33% 12% No DK/NA If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think she would bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or would it be business as usual? Yes/Real change 16% 4% 29% 13% 11% 21% 15% 17% No/Business as usual REFUSED Yes/Real change 13% 15% 18% 17% 7% 17% 12% 31% No/Business as usual REFUSED

16 54. If Donald Trump is elected President, do you think he would bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or would it be business as usual? Yes/Real change 55% 79% 34% 60% 59% 52% 54% 56% No/Business as usual REFUSED Yes/Real change 44% 59% 58% 62% 63% 59% 61% 32% No/Business as usual REFUSED Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Hillary Clinton is running her presidential campaign? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 21% 3% 44% 15% 14% 28% 20% 22% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 20% 16% 27% 22% 10% 22% 16% 42% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable REFUSED/DK/NA Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Donald Trump is running his presidential campaign? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Strongly favorable 15% 31% 2% 18% 21% 11% 12% 19% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable REFUSED/DK/NA Strongly favorable 12% 12% 17% 19% 24% 12% 18% 7% Smwht favorable Smwht unfavorable Strongly unfavorable REFUSED/DK/NA

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