Cuban Public Opinion Survey January 20 February 20, 2013

Transcription

1 Cuban Public Opinion Survey January 20 February 20, 2013

2 Survey Methodology Fielding Dates: Fieldwork conducted January 20 February 20, Data Collection Method: Stratified-intercept methodology based on personal, face-to-face interviews in Cuba. Sample Size: 688 Cuban adults (age 18 and older). Sample: Interviews were conducted in 14 Cuban provinces: Ciudad de La Habana, the former Provincia de La Habana (now Artemisa and Mayabeque provinces), Pinar del Río, Matanzas, Sancti Spíritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Ciego de Ávila, Camagüey, Holguín, Guantánamo, Las Tunas, Granma and Santiago de Cuba. The sample was stratified by province, then by sub-units within each province. Interviewees were allocated by gender and age quotas. The final selection of each interviewee was random. Respondents: The sample selection for province, gender and age were based on the last available Cuban census data, released in Maximum Sample Margin of Error: Margin of error of ± 3.7 percent for a 95 percent level of confidence. Note: Due to rounding, not all percentages add up to 100.

3 Demographics

4 Provinces

5 Regions La Habana Provincia de La Habana

6 Gender and Age Gender Age Female 50% Male 50% % 60 or older 18% % % %

7 Level of Education and Ethnic Background Level of Education Ethnic Background University or more None 5% Primary Afro-Cuban 20% 10% 55% White 45% Secondary 31% Intermediary 34%

8 Employment Full Sample 6% 23% 1% 1% 34% 15% 19% 1% Works 1% work in leading a leading position position for Cuban for the government Cuban government Works 34% work for Cuban for the government Cuban government Works 1% work for a for mixed a mixed or foreign a foreign company company Works 19% work as autonomous, as autonomous farmer farmers or private or private business business owner owners Works 15% work in the in informal the informal economy economy (Illegal/Black Market) Works 6% work full-time full-time in the in the the house Not 23% working does not (unemployed, work (unemployed, students, students, pensioners) pensioners) No 1% answer no answer

9 Quality of Life and Economic Situation

10 Questions on quality of life and economic situation in Cuba. In general, would you describe the quality of life in Cuba as very good, good, bad or very bad? In general, would you say the economic situation of your family is very good, good, bad or very bad? Good 40% Bad 39% Good 48% Bad 36% Very Good 6% Very Bad 15% Very Good 4% Very Bad 12%

11 How often do you receive remittances from abroad, or do you not receive remittances? 78% 2% 5% 4% 3% 8% 5% Once a Month or More Often 8% At Least Every Six Months 3% At Least Once Per Year 4% Less Than Once Per Year 78% Do Not Receive Remittances 2% Does Not Answer

12 In general, would you describe the quality of life in Cuba as very good, good, bad or very bad? (By remittances) % 45% Receive remittances Remittances Does not Not receive Receive remittances Remittances 40 39% 30 25% % 12% 12% 3% 0 Very Good Good Bad Very Bad

13 Cuba and Outlook on Future

14 Looking at the next 12 months, do you think the economic situation of your family will improve, remain the same or get worse? March 2012 January 2013 Will Get Worse 8% Do Not Know 5% No Answer 2% Will Improve 27% Will Get Worse 10% Do Not Know 10% Will Improve 45% Will Stay the Same 58% Will Stay the Same 35%

15 In general, do you think the economic situation of your family in the past year has improved, gotten worse or stayed the same? March 2012 January 2013 Is Worse 17% Do Not Know 1% No Answer 1% Has Improved 23% Is Worse 10% No Answer 1% Has Improved 23% The Same 58% The Same 66%

16 50% 40% What Is Your Profession or Job? Comparison of growth in private vs. informal sectors, % 34% 30% 24% 23% 20% 16% 19% 15% 10% 6% 6% 6% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 16% work as an autonomous farmer or private business owner % work as an autonomous farmer or private business owner % work in the informal economy % work in the informal economy % work for a mixed or foreign company % work for a mixed or foreign company % work in a leading position for the Cuban government % work in a leading position for the Cuban government % work for the Cuban government % work for the Cuban government % work full-time in the house % work full-time in the house % not working % not working % no answer % no answer 2013

17 In your opinion, how important are the reforms undertaken by the Cuban government over the last six years? 11% 6% 4% 31% 48% Very Important 31% Very Important Important 48% Important Little Importance 11% Little Importance 6% Not Important at All Not Important at All 4% Do Not Know Do Not Know

18 Which one of the recently enacted reforms have you benefited from the most? 64% 1% 1% Among those 34% who say they have benefited n = 231 4% 9% 2% 34% 64% None of Them 1% Do Not Know 1% No Answer 34% Has Benefited 21% 64% 64% License for Business 21% Buying or Selling Cars 4% Buying or Selling Houses 9% Travel Reform 2% Agriculture Reform

19 Do you have friends or family who have sold their home in the last two years? Do Not Know 4% From which reform have you benefited the most? 64% 21% No 43% Yes 53% 2% 9% 4% Licenses 64% License for for Business Buying 21% Buying or Selling or Selling Cars Cars Buying 4% Buying or Selling or Selling Houses Houses Migration 9% Travel Reform Rented 2% Agriculture Farms Reform

20 Which one of the recently enacted reforms have you benefited from the most? (By region) 1% 1% 34% 80 75% 70 66% 64% % 51% 47% Has Benefited Do Not Know None of Them No Answer % 24% 34% Western Havana Central Eastern Has benefited from a reform Has not benefitted benefited from a reform

21 From which reforms have you benefited the most? (By remittances) None 59% 67% Rented Agriculture Farms Reform 1% 2% Migration Travel Reform 2% 7% Buying or Selling Houses 1% 2% Buying or Selling Cars 4% 8% License for Business 21% 27% Do Not Receive Remittances Receive Remittances

22 If you are currently working, do you get paid some or all of your salary in Cuban Convertible Pesos (CUC)? n = 482 respondents who receive income from their employment Some or All Income in CUCs 20% No Income in CUCs 80%

23 From which reforms have you benefited the most? (By presence of CUCs in income) None 45% 64% Migration Travel Reform 2% 4% Buying or Selling Houses 2% 1% Buying or Selling Cars 4% 7% License for Business 24% 46% No Access to CUCs in Income No access to CUC Access to CUC Access to CUCs in Income

24 Access to Information Technology

25 Do you regularly use a cellular phone? % 93% 92% 83% 75% 78% 79% 81% % 25% 22% 21% 19% 10 10% 7% 8% 0 Yes No Oct' 07 April' 08 Nov' 08 Aug' 09 Feb' 11 July' 11 March' Jan' 13

26 What do you use the Internet for? % 87% 83% 80% 73% 65% 63% 57% % 9% 9% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 27% 26% 16% 35% 23% 10% 9% 8% and Internet Only Nothing Oct' 07 April' 08 Nov' 08 Aug' 09 Feb' 11 July' 11 March' Jan' 13

27 Political Attitudes in Cuba

28 In the last two years, would you say it is easier for Cubans to speak their minds in public without retribution? Do Not Know 2% No Answer 8% Yes 21% No 69%

29 Do you think it is accurate to say that, under certain circumstances, the Cuban government is repressive against its own people? Do Not Know 7% No Answer 20% No 20% Yes 53%

30 Do you think Cubans should be able to vote to decide who should be their president? Do Not Know 7% No Answer 15% No 14% Yes 64%