Advancements in Aircraft Technology

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1 strategic transportation & tourism solutions Advancements in Aircraft Technology Presented by Rob Beynon InterVISTAS Consulting Group IAAE Canada Conference, Victoria, BC, June 6 th 2012

2 Aviation Trends

3 Global Air Passenger Traffic Source: International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and International Air Transport Association (IATA). 2

4 Average Annual Forecast Growth Rate of Passenger Traffic Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook

5 Boeing & Airbus Projected Aircraft Deliveries Source: Airbus and Boeing websites, The Airline Monitor Jan/Feb

6 New Aircraft Forecast Deliveries (Long-Term) 300 A350 B Source: Airline Monitor Commercial Aircraft Monitor, Jan-Feb

7 Aircraft Design

8 Jan-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 U.S. $ per barrel Fuel Efficiency Oil prices continue to rise $160 Crude Oil Spot Prices January 2007 to March 2012 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $- 7

9 Composite Construction Composite aircraft designs allows for lighter aircraft and less restrictions on design Boeing 787 constructed with composites allows for larger windows A350 XWB will be over 50% composites 8

10 Fuel Efficiency Rising fuel costs leading to redesign of aircraft, retooling of engines A320Neo, B737 MAX Need for greater efficiency and longer range 9

11 Increasing attention to in-cabin experience Lower cabin pressure = greater comfort Transparent rooflines, mood lighting, ergonomics related to changing demographic of passengers including more women passengers Winglets also reduce in-cabin noise Source: Airbus 10

12 Turbo props and business aircraft The growing orders for Q400 signals improvements for short-haul routes from new turboprop technologies and in-cabin noise cancellation Bombardier projects strong biz aircraft growth to 2030 Source: Bombardier 11

13 In 2010 the busiest traffic regions and pairs remain in Western Europe Source: EUROCONTROL Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing 12

14 but the growth can be found in Turkey and the Ukraine Source: EUROCONTROL Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing 13

15 Fight Deck Enhancements Corporate and commercial aircraft benefit Information concentrated in smaller areas Allows for flight crew ease of control Vision Flight Deck is industry s first to feature synthetic vision imagery on HUD s Existing Technology Advanced Technology 14

16 Enhancements to Small Aircraft Float planes are benefiting from technological advancements Improved cockpit designs and navigational instruments allows for IFR navigation 15

17 Engine Technology

18 Engine Technology Engines are quieter, lighter and more fuel efficient (i.e. GEnx) Continual testing of bio fuels in search of alternate fuels (Lufthansa trans Atlantic flights) 17

19 Engine Technology High Efficiency Engines Twin ETOPS of 330 min for B777 aircraft & eventually the B787 Airbus studying 350min ETOPS for A350 XWB Longer flights to reach more points non-stop Shaded areas represent flight restrictions 18

20 Impacts of Long Range Aircraft

21 Airport Impacts of Long Range Aircraft Some airports may be bypassed Airports now focused on connectivity New aircraft create new non-stop markets UA IAH AKL / JL NRT BOS / ET ADD YYZ* (*Currently served with B777 with stop in FCO until B787 introduced on route) 20

22 Ultra Long-Haul Flights US gateways rank high in ultra long haul sectors Longest is SIN EWR at 10,000nm, 18h55min flying time Gulf carriers looking to create one-stop global network through geographic advantage on longdistance routes Though most flights are within nm Long hauls are focused on Americas and Australia Asia is aviation s busiest region but few ultra long haul services except to US 21

23 Central Asia as the Centre of the World 22

24 US Gateways with Long Haul Flights Examples of destinations over 6,000nm from East and West Coasts Between 9,000nm+ 8,000nm+ 7,000nm+ 6,000nm+ New York Singapore Bombay Abu Dhabi Delhi Dubai Shanghai Tokyo Los Angeles Bangkok Hong Kong Auckland Dubai Melbourne Beijing Singapore Sydney Istanbul Tel Aviv Taipei 23

25 Persian Gulf Airports with Long Haul Flights Examples of destinations over 6,000nm from Persian Gulf Between 9,000nm+ 8,000nm+ 7,000nm+ 6,000nm+ Doha Houston Melbourne New York Sao Paolo Washington Dubai Houston Atlanta Toronto Los Angeles Sydney San Francisco Washington 24

26 Future Sectors in Long Haul Market Better links between Oceana and India Northern Asia to points in Africa and South America Long haul aircraft may enable more effective trade flows North Asia Latin American market is underserviced Currently need to connect via Europe or North America Advancements in aircraft will shrink markets further 25

27 Air Traffic Control

28 Air Traffic Control FAA s NextGEN Program Europe s EUROCONTROL SESAR Improving technology creating: Better utilization of space Sequencing tools improve airport capacity Direct routings (cost and time savings) Improved situational awareness (safety) ADS-B will support Airborne Traffic Situational Awareness Provides in-cockpit position information on other aircraft 27

29 FAA s NextGEN Source: FAA 28

30 FAA s NextGEN New WAAS Coverage Clears the Way for New Access to Airports The FAA has published more than 3000 Wide Area Augmentation System or WAAS approaches in the US. Source: FAA 29

31 Future of Transport

32 Future of Aviation 31

33 Future of Aviation Dragon is a free-flying, reusable spacecraft developed by SpaceX under NASA's Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) program. The Dragon spacecraft is made up of a pressurized capsule and unpressurized trunk used for transport of cargo and/or crew members. Source: SpaceX 32

34 strategic transportation & tourism solutions Thank You!

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