Southeast Alaska Regional Integrated Resource Plan Project Approach and Status - Summary

Transcription

1 Southeast Alaska Regional Integrated Resource Plan Project Approach and Status - Summary Task % Complete Task Group 1 - Data Collection, Load Forecasts, Technology Review and Regional Action Plan (Tasks 1-5) Task 1 - Understand the Southeast Energy Model: Past, Present and Future 90% Task 2 - Assess Existing and Future Energy Technologies 80% Task 3 - Develop an Energy Conservation and Demand Side Management Program for SE Alaska 60% Task 4 - Financing the Southeast Energy Future 100% Task 5 - Technical Conference and Proliminary Action Plan 95% Task Group 2 - Region-wide Transmission Planning (Task 6) Task 6 - Develop a Regional Transmission Plan 85% Task Group 3 - Integrated Resource Planning (Tasks 7-9) Task 7 - Develop a Preferred Resource List for Interconnected Electrical Grids 50% Task 8 - Integrated Resource Planning for SEAPA 60% Task 9 - Planning for Insular Communities 30% Task Group 4 - Reporting (Tasks 10-13) Task 10 - Provide Preliminary Capital Budgets for Region-wide IRP 15% Task 11 - Assemble Task Groups 1-3 Components Into a Regional Plan 15% Task 12 - Present the Plan 0% Task 13 - Complete the Plan 0% Black Veatch September Page 1

2 Southeast Alaska Regional Integrated Resource Plan Project Approach and Status - Detailed Task Group 1 - Data Collection, Load Forecasts, Technology Review and Regional Action Plan (Tasks 1-5) Task 1 - Understand the Southeast Energy Model: Past, Present and Future Project Kick-off Meeting Participate in Public Meetings - Confirm project approach % Complete: 95 - Identify external drivers - Identify key regional issues Review Existing IRPs - Identify electric systems to be included in SEIRP - Adress how potential environmental regulations will be addressed - Identify economic parameters - Identify how electric conversions, electric Research Existing Energy Infrastructure cars and Smart Grid activities will be considered Develop Matrix of Regional Energy Issues Review Existing Reports Review Existing Load Forecasts Develop Reference Case Load Forecasts Utility/Stakeholder Review of Reference Case Load Forecasts Finalize Reference Case Load Forecasts Develop Sensitivity Case Load Forecasts Utility/Stakeholder Review of Sensitivity Case Load Forecasts Finalize Sensitivity Case Load Forecasts % Complete: 60 % Complete: 0 % Complete: 0 Black & Veatch September Page 1

3 Task 2 - Assess Existing and Future Energy Technologies Identify Existing and Future Energy Technologies - Demand side management - Efficient lighting technologies - Smart grid technologies - Electric vehicle transportation - Water heating Evaluate Application of Technologies to SE Alaska % Complete: 90 % Complete: 70 Task 3 - Develop an Energy Conservation and Demand Side Management Program for SE Alaska Review Existing State Funded Programs Characterize Programs and Impacts, Project Future Savings From Existing Programs Based on Penetration Levels Review Existing Utility Programs % Complete: 70 Identify Actions That Could be Taken to Encourage Energy Efficiency % Complete: 95 Identify Potential New Measures/Programs Cost-Effectiveness Screening of Potential New Measures - Rate Impact Measure (RIM) Test - Total Resource Cost (TRC) Test - Participant Test Develop Programs Based Upon Measures That Pass Cost-Effectiveness Screening Include Additional Measures/Programs, if Necessary, to Reach 20% Increase in Energy Efficiency Targtet % Complete: 50 % Complete: 0 % Complete: 0 Develop Recommended Implementation Plan % Complete: 0 Black & Veatch September Page 2

4 Task 4 - Financing the Southeast Energy Future Develop Preliminary Financial Model Obtain Utility/Stakeholder Comments on Structures Preliminary Financial Model Structures Task 5 - Technical Conference and Proliminary Action Plan Develop Preliminary List of Regional Energy Issues Participate in Technical Conference No. 1 Develop Preliminary Action Plan % Complete: 95 Black & Veatch September Page 3

5 Task Group 2 - Region-wide Transmission Planning (Task 6) Task 6 - Develop a Regional Transmission Plan Review Existing Transmission Studies and Obtain Data on Existing Transmission Systems Consider List of Issues Identified in RFP Identify Location of Potential Hydro, Wind and Tidal Projects Develop Generic Costs for Diesel Generation - Capital costs - O&M costs - Performance (e.g., heat rate) Identify Potentially Viable Hydro, Wind and Tidal Projects and Associated Interconnections 95 % Complete: 90 Gather In-house B&V Cost Estimates - Per mile cost for transmission line by voltage level - Per mile cost for underwater cable - Termination and substation costs Identify Total Capacity Requirements for Each System; Apply Existing Generation (Hydro) That Will be in Operation at End of 50-Year Planning Period - Based on Reference Case Load Forecasts - Apply reserve margin requirements - Use generic transmission costs to develop annual capital carrying costs - Determine transmission costs on a $/MWh basis Compare Transmission Costs ($/MWh) to Threshold (e.g., 70%) Cost of Diesel Generation Include Potentially Viable Hydro, Wind and Tidal Projects in Strategist % Complete: 95 % Complete: 80 % Complete: 50 % Complete: 25 Black & Veatch September Page 4

6 Task Group 3 - Integrated Resource Planning (Tasks 7-9) Task 7 - Develop a Preferred Resource List for Interconnected Electrical Grids Include Input Assumptions Developed in Prior Tasks Into Strategist % Complete: 95 Refine Potentially Viable Renewable Projects % Complete: 70 Develop Hourly Load Profiles Including Impact of Conservation and Demand Side Management Programs % Complete: 50 Model Region, Excluding Insular Systems Using Strategist % Complete: 25 Refine Transmission Interconnections from Task 6 % Complete: 25 Task 8 - Integrated Resource Planning for SEAPA Draw Upon Results of Task 7 to Develop SEAPA System-specific Model % Complete: 50 Develop SEAPA IRP % Complete: 60 Benchmark Existing SEAPA System Using Strategist Black & Veatch September Page 5

7 Task 9 - Planning for Insular Communities Update "Current Energy Status" Data From the Alaska Energy Guide and Alaska Energy Pathway Documents Develop Community Spcific Actions and Identify Capital Projects to: - Reduce volatility of energy prices - Reduce energy prices - Provide reliable capacity and energy supply at acceptable energy supply risk Recommend Financial Approaches Provide Specific, Prioritized List of Capital Projects % Complete: 0 % Complete: 50 % Complete: 20 % Complete: 0 Task Group 4 - Reporting (Tasks 10-13) Task 10 - Provide Preliminary Capital Budgets for Region-wide IRP Combine Capital Budgets From Previous Tasks - Generation - Transmission - Conservation and demand side management programs % Complete: 15 Task 11 - Assemble Task Groups 1-3 Components Into a Regional Plan Develop Draft SEIRP Based Upon Results of Previous Tasks Develop Draft SEIRP Report % Complete: 15 % Complete: 15 Task 12 - Present the Plan Present SEIRP to: Advisory Working Group Technical Conference No. 2 % Complete: 0 Black & Veatch September Page 6

8 Task 13 - Complete the Plan Incorporate, as Appropriate, Comments From Advisory Working Group and Develop Final SEIRP Report Technical Conference No. 2 % Complete: 0 % Complete: 0 Black & Veatch September Page 7