Changes in perspective p on USA real estate markets
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1 2016 AFIRE Foreign Investment Survey
2 Changes in perspective p on USA real estate markets 100% 90% 80% Percent of Members' Votes 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% More Pessimistic About the Same More Optimistic
3 Likelihood of events that pose the greatest risk of ti i d t triggering a downturn
4 Property types most affected by an increase in interest trates Mea an Score Office Retail Multifamily Hotel Warehouse The responses were scored with 5 points to each respondent s first choice, 4 points to second choice, and so on down to 1 point to the fifth choice.
5 Expected changes in cap rates by year end 2016 Percent of Members' Votes 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Office Retail Multi Family il Warehouse Hotel Much Lower Slightly Lower No Change Slightly Higher Much Higher
6 Country providing the most stable and secure l t t i t t real estate investments 70% 60% Percent of Members' Votes 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% USA Germany UK Canada Australia Netherlands
7 Country providing the best opportunity for capital appreciation 60% 50% Percent of Members' Votes 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% USA Brazil Spain Ireland UK Netherlands China India
8 Ranking of global cities for real estate investment 30% 25% l Score Pe ercent of Total 20% 15% 10% 5% The responses were scored with 3 points to each respondent s first choice, 2 points to second choice, and 1 point to third choice.
9 Ranking of USA cities for real estate investment Pe erecnt of Total Score 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% The responses were scored with 3 points to each respondent s first choice, 2 points to second choice, and 1 point to third choice.
10 Ranking of USA property p types, by year Mean Score Multifamily Retail Hotel Office Industrial The responses were scored with 5 points to each respondent s first choice, 4 points to second choice, and so on down to 1 point to the fifth choice.
11 Ranking of USA property p types, by property p type Mean Score Multifamily Retail Hotel Office Industrial The responses were scored with 5 points to each respondent s first choice, 4 points to second choice, and so on down to 1 point to the fifth choice.
12 Mean real estate portfolio sizes $25 $20 US$ Billions $15 $ $5 7.8 $0 Global USA
13 Real estate portfolio geographic g distribution Percent of Members' Portfolios 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% USA Europe Canada Asia Pacific Latin America >75% Allocation 25% 75% Allocation <25% Allocation No Allocation
14 Planned changes to the size of portfolios Percent of Members' Votes 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% USA Europe Canada Asia Pacific Latin America Major Modest Maintain or Modest Major Net Net Increase Increase Reinvest est Decrease Decrease
15 Allocation of portfolios by investment strategy or style Percent of Members' Portfolios 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Core Vl Value Add Opportunistic >75% Allocation 25% 75% Allocation <25% Allocation No Allocation
16 Planned changes to investment strategy or style Percent of Members' Votes 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Core Value Add Opportunistic Major Modest Maintain or Modest Major Net Net Increase Increase Reinvest est Decrease Decrease
17 Ranking of countries for real estate acquisitions: 2015 executions and 2016 plans Percent of Total Score 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% USA UK Germany Canada France Australia China 2015 Acqusitions 2016 Plans The responses were scored with 3 points to each respondent s first choice, 2 points to second choice, and 1 point for the third choice.
18 Ranking of emerging countries considered for real estate t acquisitions iti Percent of Total Vote 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Brazil China Chile Mexico India Peru Colombia Malaysia 2014 Plans 2015 Plans 2016 Plans (from 2013 survey) (from 2014 survey) (from current survey) Each member was allowed to mention up to 6 countries. All mentions are counted equally to add up to the score of the country.
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