WPI & CPI Inflation Indices Mirae Asset Knowledge Academy

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1 WPI & CPI Inflation Indices Mirae Asset Knowledge Academy In economics, Inflation means a rise in general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time. When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Thus, inflation results in loss of value of money. Another popular way of looking at inflation is "too much money chasing too few goods". The rate at which the prices of goods and services increases over a particular period of time normally a year is termed as Inflation Rate. Since monetary policies are influenced by inflation and inflationary expectations in the economy it is therefore, critical that inflation index should be able to predict future inflation with reasonable accuracy. Indicators of Measure of Inflation Whole-sale price index (WPI) and Consumer price index (CPI) are the two primary measures of inflation. Whole-sale price Index: - WPI index reflects average price changes of goods that are bought and sold in the wholesale market. WPI in India is published by the Office of Economic Adviser, Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Further, the data for WPI is monitored and updated on a monthly basis taking into account all the 679 items that form the index. The various commodities taken into consideration for computing the WPI can be categorized into primary article, fuel and power, and manufactured goods. Primary articles included for the computation of WPI include food articles, non-food articles and minerals. In the fuel, power, light and lubricants, electricity, coal mining and mineral oil are included. The manufactured goods category encompasses food products; beverages, tobacco and tobacco products, wood and wood products, textiles, paper and paper products, basic metals and alloys, rubber and rubber products and many others. ALL COMMODITIES 10 I PRIMARY ARTICLES 20.12% (A) FOOD ARTICLES 14.34% (B) NON-FOOD ARTICLES 4.26% (C) MINERALS 1.52%

2 II FUEL & POWER 14.91% A. COAL 2.09% B. MINERAL OILS 0.09% C. ELECTRICITY 0.03% III MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS 64.97% (A) FOOD PRODUCTS 9.97% (B) BEVERAGES, TOBACCO & TOBACCO PRODUCTS 1.76% (C ) TEXTILES 7.33% (D) WOOD & WOOD PRODUCTS 0.59% (E) PAPER & PAPER PRODUCTS 2.03% (F) LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS 0.84% (G) RUBBER & PLASTIC PRODUCTS 2.99% (H) CHEMICALS & CHEMICAL PRODUCTS 12.02% (I ) NON-METALLIC MINERAL PRODUCTS 2.56% (J) BASIC METALS, ALLOYS & METAL PRODUCTS 10.75% (K) MACHINERY & MACHINE TOOLS 8.93% (L) TRANSPORT, EQUIPMENT & PARTS 5.21% Source : Further, as WPI accounts for changes in general price level of goods at wholesale level, it fails to communicate actual burden borne by the end consumer. WPI is the primary measure that is used by the Indian central government for ascertaining inflation as WPI in contrast to CPI accounts for changes in price at an early distribution stage. Core Inflation Core Inflation is WPI Inflation after excluding food and energy prices. In mid-2012, RBI Governor highlighted that "In our economy, where food constitutes nearly 50% of consumption basket and fuel has a weight of 15%, can a measure of inflation that excludes them can be called "Core.

3 Consumer Price Index CPI measures price change from the perspective of the retail buyer. It is the real index for the common people. It reflects the actual inflation that is borne by the individual. CPI is designed to measure changes over time in the level of retail prices of selected goods and services on which consumers of a defined group spend their incomes. Till January 2012, in India there were only following four CPIs compiled and released on national level. Industrial Workers (IW) (base 2001) Agricultural Labourer (AL) (base ) Rural Labourer (RL) (base ) Urban Non-Manual Employees (UNME) (base ) These four CPIs reflect the effect of price fluctuations of various goods and services consumed by specific segments of population in the country. These indices did not encompass all the segments of the population and thus, did not reflect the true picture of the price behavior in the country as a whole. Therefore, there was a strong feeling that there is a need for compiling CPI for entire urban and rural population of the country to measure the inflation in Indian economy based on CPI. Thus, now Central Statistics Office (CSO) of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has started compiling a new series of CPI for the CPI for the entire urban population viz CPI (Urban) CPI for the entire rural population viz CPI (Rural) Consolidated CPI for Urban + Rural will also be compiled based on above two CPIs These would reflect the changes in the price level of various goods and services consumed by the Urban and rural population. These new indices are now compiled at State / UT and all India levels.

4 Source: - Document by Central Statistics Office Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation Government of India

5 WPI vs CPI W.P.I Wholesale price index measures inflation at each stage of production Wholesale price index is the middle point of the sum of all the goods bought by the traders Wholesale Price Index (WPI), is based on the price prevailing in the wholesale markets or the price at which bulk transactions are made There are only few countries that uses WPI to calculate inflation rates There are 679 elementary items included in WPI, some of which are insignificant & outdated goods that are considered in WPI Category Weights Base Year is with Energy Products having 14.91% weights, food 14.34% while services are not included. C.P.I Consumer price index measures inflation only at final stage of production Consumer price index is the middle point of the sum of all the goods bought by consumers The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is based on the final prices of goods at the retail level. Many nations have already shifted to using CPI. CPI, on the other hand, have well-selected variables. Category Weights Base Year is with Energy Products having 9.49% weights, food 49.71% while services are included with 26.3% weightage.

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