Marquette Law School Poll September 11-14, 2014 Results for Likely Voters

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1 Marquette Law School Poll September 11-14, 2014 Results for Likely Voters (ages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 are rounded to even whole numbers. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.) S2. Gender Frequency Valid Valid Male Female S3a. Do you currently live in Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Yes S3b. In what county in Wisconsin do you live? Frequency Valid Valid Adams Ashland Barron Bayfield Brown Buffalo Burnett Calumet

2 Chippewa Clark Columbia Crawford Dane Dodge Door Douglas Dunn Eau Claire Fond du Lac Forest Grant Green Green Lake Iowa Iron Jackson Jefferson Juneau Kenosha Kewaunee LaCrosse Lafayette Langlade Lincoln Manitowoc Marathon Marinette Marquette Menominee Milwaukee Monroe Oconto Oneida Outagamie Ozaukee Pepin Pierce Polk

3 Portage Racine Richland Rock Saint Croix Sauk Sawyer Shawano Sheboygan Taylor Vernon Vilas Walworth Washburn Washington Waukesha Waupaca Waushara Winnebago Wood Other Don't Know S4. Do you currently live within Milwaukee city limits? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Total Missing System Total

4 S5. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren't you? Valid Yes, registered to vote No, not registered to vote No Answer/Don't Know/Refused Frequency Valid S6. Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? Frequency Valid Valid Plan to Register Missing System Total Follow what's going on in politics? Frequency Valid Valid Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2014 general election for Governor, Congress, and other offices? Frequency Valid Valid Absolutely certain

5 3. Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know Refused Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know Refused Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused

6 6. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Barack Obama Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Scott Walker Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

7 9. Favorable/Unfavorable: Mary Burke Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Brad Schimel Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: Susan Happ Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

8 12. Favorable/Unfavorable: J.B. Van Hollen Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Favorable/Unfavorable: The Tea Party Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused If the 2014 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Mary Burke (BURK), the Democrat or for Scott Walker, the Republican? Frequency Valid Valid Burke Walker Undecided Would not vote Vote for someone else Don't know Refused

9 15. If the 2014 election for Attorney General were held today, would you vote for Susan Happ, the Democrat or for Brad Schimel (SHIM-el), the Republican? Frequency Valid Valid Happ Schimel Undecided Would not vote Vote for someone else Don't know Refused Do you favor or oppose requiring a government issued photo ID to vote? Frequency Valid Valid Favor Oppose Don't know Refused Do you support or oppose raising the minimum wage? Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Don't know Refused

10 18. How enthusiastic are you about voting in this November's elections? Frequency Valid Valid Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic Don't know Refused Do you feel things in Wisconsin are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? Frequency Valid Valid Right direction Wrong track Don't know Refused Given what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Don't know Refused

11 21. What would you like to see Congress do when it comes to the health care law? Frequency Valid Valid Keep as is Keep and improve Repeal and replace Repeal and not replace Don't know Refused Would you say the state's budget is in better shape now than it was a few years ago, about the same or in worse shape now? Frequency Valid Valid Better shape now About the same Worse shape now Don't know Refused Should Wisconsin reject federal funds to expand Medicaid for those just over the poverty line or should the state accept the federal funds and expand Medicaid? Valid Reject funds for expansion Accept funds and expand Frequency Valid Don't know Refused

12 24. Should the state attorney general appeal when a federal court strikes down a state statute or use their judgment as to whether an appeal would be successful? Frequency Valid Valid Should appeal Should use judgment Don't know Refused Wisconsin: creating jobs at a faster rate than most other states, at about the same rate or is Wisconsin lagging behind other states in job creation? Valid Faster than other states About the same rate Frequency Valid Lagging behind Don't know Refused Please tell me whether the following statement describes Scott Walker, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused

13 27. Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mary Burke, or not...she is someone who cares about people like me. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused Please tell me whether the following statement describes Scott Walker, or not...he is someone who is able to get things done. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mary Burke, or not...she is someone who is able to get things done. Frequency Valid Valid Describes Does not describe Don't know Refused

14 30. Has Scott Walker been clear enough about what he would do as governor over the next four years for you to be confident you know what you would get if you voted for him? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Has Mary Burke been clear enough about what she would do as governor over the next four years for you to be confident you know what you would get if you voted for her? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused How do you think the state should handle transportation and road-building projects in Wisconsin? Valid Increase taxes and fees Frequency Valid Continue to borrow Reduce construction and maintenance Take money from other areas of the budget Don't know Refused

15 33. Which of the following do you favor in terms of the school voucher program? Frequency Valid Valid Remove limit Increase but still limit Keep current limit Eliminate expanded vouchers altogether Don't know Refused If the costs for expansion of the voucher program means reductions in state funding, which of the following would you favor? Frequency Valid Valid Remove limit Increase but still limit Keep current limit Eliminate expanded vouchers altogether Don't know Refused

16 35. At what age do you think young people who have committed very serious crimes to be transferred from juvenile court to adult court and face trial as an adult? Frequency Valid Valid 10 or less or older Don't know Refused Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, legal No, illegal Don't know Refused Do you think the governor should approve or reject a proposed new casino in Kenosha? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Reject Don't know Refused

17 38. Do you think Wisconsin will have added 250,000 jobs by the end of this year or will we fall short? Valid Will have added that many jobs Frequency Valid Will fall short Will have added MORE than 250,000 jobs Don't know Refused When it comes to deciding how to vote, how important an issue will adding or falling short of adding 250,000 new jobs be for you? Frequency Valid Valid Very important Somewhat important Not very important Not important at all Refused Have you heard or read anything about an investigation by prosecutors, called a 'John Doe' investigation? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, heard or read No, haven't heard or read Heard of but don't know much/anything about Don't know Refused

18 41. Do you think the 'John Doe' investigation is just more politics, or is it really something serious? Frequency Valid Valid Just more politics Really something serious Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total F1. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent Other/No preference Refused F2. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democratic Neither/Just Independent Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

19 Valid F3. What is the highest level of education you completed? Elementary school only Some high school but didn't finish Completed high school Some college but didn't finish Two year college degree Four year college degree Some graduate work Completed masters or professional degree Advanced graduate work or Ph.D. Frequency Valid Refused F4. What is your age? Frequency Valid Valid

20

21 F4a. Age range. Frequency Valid Valid years old years old years old or more Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

22 F5. Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Frequency Valid Valid Married Widowed Divorced Separated Never married Refused F6. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Refused F7. Race. Frequency Valid Valid White African American or Black Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander Native American or American Indian More than one race Hispanic or Latino Other (SPECIFY) Don't know Refused

23 Valid F8. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services? More than once a week Frequency Valid Once a week Once or twice a month A few times a year Seldom Never Refused F9. Religious preference Frequency Valid Valid Protestant Roman Catholic Jewish Mormon/Latter-Day Saints Other Christian Religion Other Non-Christian Religion No Religion/Atheist/Ag nostic Don't know Refused

24 F11. Last year, that is in 2013, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Frequency Valid Valid Less than $10, to under $20, to under $30, to under $40, to under $50, to under $75, to under $100, to under $150, $150,000 or more Don't know Refused F12. Overall, which of the following best describes how the recession affected your own personal financial situation? Valid It had a major effect, and your finances have not recovered It had a major effect, but your finances have mostly recover It didn't have a major effect on your finances Frequency Valid Don't know Refused

25 F13. Political views: Conservative/Liberal Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused F13b. Scott Walker's political views: Conversative or Liberal? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused F13c. Mary Burke's political views: Conservative or Liberal? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused

26 F14. Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union? Frequency Valid Valid R In Union Other in Union Non-Union Don't Know Refused F15. Do you or any member of your household work for federal, state, or local government? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused F17. How many days in the past week did you read a daily newspaper? Frequency Valid Valid None One day Two Three Four Five Six Seven days or 'every day' Don't know Refused

27 Valid F19. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get...? All or almost all on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone All or almost all on a regular home phone Frequency Valid Don't know Refused F20. And did I reach you by dialing: DATAFROM(0.1)-DATAFROM(0.1)- DATAFROM(0.1) Frequency Valid Valid Yes No F22. Is this a cell phone? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No wave Frequency Valid Valid

28 Sex Frequency Valid Valid Male Female Age 4 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref Age 6 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref race categories Frequency Valid Valid White Black Other DK/NA/Ref

29 hispanic Frequency Valid Valid Yes No DK/NA/Ref education categories Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 5 with Post-BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll/AA BA Post BA DK/NA/Ref

30 Education 5 with BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 6 AA, BA and MA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA Post-BA DK/NA/Ref category Party ID including leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref

31 3 category Party ID no leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref Party ID 5 categories, leaners separate Frequency Valid Valid Rep Lean Rep Ind Lean Dem Dem DK/NA/Ref Race/Ethnicity Frequency Valid Valid White Black Hispanic Other DK/NA/Ref

32 Income Recode Frequency Valid Valid Under $40k $40k to $74k $75k up DK/NA/Ref Newspaper Recode Frequency Valid Valid Zero days days days Every day DK/NA/Ref Region/Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state

33 Region2/MKE,Wow,Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state region7/mke,wow,media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Lax/EC MSP/DS/Wau Religion recoded (6 cat) Frequency Valid Valid Protestant/Christian Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA/Ref

34 qf14 and qf15 - job and union status Frequency Valid Valid Public union Public non-union Private union Private non-union DK/NA/Ref Marital Status, 3 category Frequency Valid Valid Married Widow/Div/Sep Never Married NA/Ref Likely Voter Frequency Valid Valid Likely Voter

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