The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans

Save this PDF as:
 WORD  PNG  TXT  JPG

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans"

Transcription

1 The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans The Operatng Characterstc (OC) curve descrbes the probablty of acceptng a lot as a functon of the lot s qualty. Fgure 1 shows a typcal OC Curve Fgure 1 Typcal Operatng Characterstc (OC) Curve The Shape of the OC Curve The frst thng to notce about the OC curve n Fgure 1 s the shape; the curve s not a straght lne. Notce the roughly S shape. As the lot percent nonconformng ncreases, the probablty of acceptance decreases, just as you would epect. Hstorcally, acceptance samplng s part of the process between a part s producer and consumer. To help determne the qualty of a process (or lot) the producer or consumer can take a sample nstead of nspectng the full lot. Samplng reduces costs, because one needs to nspect or test fewer tems than lookng at the whole lot. Samplng s based on the dea that the lots come from a process that has a certan nonconformance rate (but there s another vew descrbed below). The concept s that the consumer wll accept all the producer s lots as long as the process percent nonconformng s below a prescrbed level. Ths produces the, so called, deal OC curve shown n Fgure 2. When the process percent nonconformng s below the prescrbed level, 4.0% n ths eample, the probablty of acceptance s 100%. For qualty worse than ths level, hgher than 4%, the probablty of acceptance mmedately drops to 0%. The dvdng lne between 100% and 0% acceptance s called the Acceptable Qualty Level (AQL). The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 1 of 7

2 The orgnal dea for samplng takes a smple random sample, of n unts, from the lot. If the number of nonconformng tems s below a prescrbed number, called the acceptance number and denoted c, we accept the lot. If the sample contans more nonconformng tems, we reject the lot % 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% % 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% Fgure 2 Ideal OC Curve The only way to realze the deal OC curve s 100% nspecton. Wth samplng, we can come close. In general, as the sample sze ncreases, keepng the acceptance number proportonal, the OC curve approaches the deal, as shown n Fgure 3. Smlarly, as the acceptance number, c, gets larger for a gven sample sze, n, the OC curve approaches the deal. Fgure 4 llustrates the relatonshp. Some Specfc Ponts on the OC Curve Because samplng doesn t allow the deal OC curve, we need to consder certan rsks. The frst rsk s that the consumer wll reject a lot that satsfes the establshed condtons,.e., the process qualty s acceptable, but, by the luck of the draw, there are too many nonconformng tems n the sample. Ths s called the producer s rsk, and s denoted by the Greek letter α. The second rsk s that the consumer wll accept a lot that doesn t meet the condtons,.e., by the luck of the draw there are not many nonconformng tems n the sample, so the lot s accepted. Ths s the consumer s rsk and s denoted by the Greek letter β. The lterature contans a varety of typcal values for α and β, but common values are 5% and 10%. When we locate these values on the OC curve, epressed n terms of probablty of acceptance, we actually locate 1 α. The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 2 of 7

3 n= 50, c=1 n=100, c=2 n=200, c=4 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% % 14.0% Fgure 3 As n Increases the OC Curve Approaches the Ideal n=100, c=2 n=100, c=1 n=100, c=0 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% % 14.0% Fgure 4 As c Increases, for Fed n, the OC Curve Approaches the Ideal The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 3 of 7

4 These ponts correspond to specfc values of lot qualty and they have a varety of names. The pont assocated wth 1 α s often called the Acceptable Qualty Lmt or AQL. Ths s not necessarly the same AQL used to descrbe the deal OC curve. For an α of 5% ths means a process operatng at the AQL wll have 95% of ts lots accepted by the samplng plan. Smlarly, the pont assocated wth β s often called, n contrast, the Rejectable Qualty Lmt or RQL. A process operatng at the RQL wll have 5% of ts lots accepted by the samplng plan. Lastly, some authors consder the process qualty where the lots have a 50% probablty of acceptance. Ths s called the Indfference Qualty Lmt or IQL. Fgure 5 llustrates these ponts α β AQL IQL RQL Fgure 5 Specfc Ponts on the OC Curve A Stream of Lots and the Bnomal Dstrbuton We descrbed the OC curve n terms of a process that produces a seres of lots. Ths leads us to recognze that the underlyng dstrbuton s the bnomal. In the bnomal dstrbuton, there are two possble outcomes. The tems n the sample are ether conformng or nonconformng. In addton, the probably of selectng a nonconformng tem doesn t change as a result of the sample. Snce we are samplng from a process, the potentally nfnte number of tems s not mpacted by takng the sample. When the producer presents lots for acceptance, they often come from a process that s operatng at some qualty level,.e., the process produces a certan percentage of nonconformng tems. The probablty of obtanng a specfed number of nonconformng tems, Pr(), from a sample of n tems wth percent nonconformng, denoted p, s gven by the bnomal dstrbuton. The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 4 of 7

5 n Pr( ) = p n ( 1 p), = 0,1,, n In a sngle sample plan we accept the lot f the number of nonconformng tems s c or less. Ths means we are nterestng n the probablty of 0, 1,, c tems. We wrte ths as Pr( c) = ( 1 p) The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 5 of 7 c = 0 n p The probablty of acceptng the lot s the probablty that there are c or fewer nonconformng tems n the sample. Ths s the equaton above, and s what we plot as the OC curve. The Isolated Lot And The Hypergeometrc Dstrbuton The bnomal dstrbuton apples when we consder lots comng from an ongong producton process. Sometmes we consder solated lots, or we are nterested n a specfc lot. In these cases, we need to realze that takng the sample, because we sample wthout replacement, changes the probablty of the net tem n the sample. In these cases, we need the hypergeometrc dstrbuton. Pr ( ) d N d n = N n Here, N s the lot sze, n s the sample sze, and d s the number of nonconformng tems n the lot. If we are nterested n determnng the probablty of c or fewer nonconformng tems n the sample then we wrte: c ( c) = = 0 d N d n N n We can use ths equaton to draw the OC curve for the solated lot. Pr Often, the β rsk s appled to each lot, nstead of the stream of lots. In these cases, the qualty level correspondng to a probablty of acceptance equal to β s called the Lot Tolerance Percent Defectve (LTPD). Sngle and Double Sample Plans The materal above dscusses samplng plans n whch we draw one sample from the lot. Ths s called a sngle sample plan. We descrbe the plan by a set of parameters: n s the sample sze,

6 c s the mamum number of nonconformng tems allowed for acceptance, and r s the mnmum number of nonconformng tems allowed for rejecton. In a sngle sample plan r and c dffer by 1. In contrast, there are double samplng plans n whch we take the frst sample and make one of three decsons: accept, reject, or take a second sample. If we take the second sample, we then make an accept/reject decson. As descrbed above the set of parameters used to descrbe a double sample plan are: n s the th sample sze, c s the mamum number of nonconformng tems allowed for acceptance on the th sample, and r s the mnmum number of nonconformng tems allowed for rejecton on the th sample. For eample, a sngle sample plan may be: A double sample plan may be: n = 20, c = 2, r = 3. n 1 = 20, c 1 = 1, r 1 = 4 n 2 = 20, c 2 = 4, r 2 = 5 In ths eample, f we had 2 nonconformng tems on the frst sample, we would draw the second sample. In total, we would have sampled 40 tems. We can calculate the probablty of acceptance, the nformaton we need to defne the OC curve, by the followng equaton. Pr r 1 = c + 1 ( c ) + Pr( = ) ( c ) 1 Pr The probabltes are, as descrbed above, calculated usng ether the bnomal or hypergeometrc dstrbutons. The c=0 Samplng Plans Many practtoners are concerned that tradtonal lot acceptance samplng plans allow nonconformng tems n the sample. For eample, the sngle sample plan n=20, c=2, r=3 allows as many as two nonconformng tems n the sample. One soluton s the use of plans that don t allow any nonconformng tems. One eample of plan s n=20, c=0, r=1. The consumer would reject the lot f any nonconformng tems appeared n the sample. 2 2 The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 6 of 7

7 Samplng plans wth c=0 don t have the same knd of OC curve dscussed above. Instead of the classc S shape, that starts to appromate the deal curve, c=0 OC curves drop off sharply wthout the bend. Fgure 6 shows the OC curves for these two plans. Notce how quckly the c=0 plan drops off. The fgure also has dashed horzontal lnes at 5% and 95% probablty of acceptance. The AQL and RQL for these plans are lsted below. c=0 c=2 AQL 0.26% 4.21% RQL 13.9% 28.3% It s easy to see that c=0 plan wll accept many fewer lots than the correspondng c=2 plan. If your process cannot tolerate even a few nonconformng unts, c=0 plans may be a good approach. However, recognze that lot rejecton ncurs a transacton cost, that may be hgh. The selecton s a c=0 plan s certanly an economc decson n=20, c=2 n=20, c=0 5.0% % 25.0% % % 5 Fgure 6 OC Curve comparson Showng c=0 Effect The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans Page 7 of 7

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ).

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ). REVIEW OF RISK MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS LOSS DISTRIBUTIONS AND INSURANCE Loss and nsurance: When someone s subject to the rsk of ncurrng a fnancal loss, the loss s generally modeled usng a random varable or

More information

Graph Theory and Cayley s Formula

Graph Theory and Cayley s Formula Graph Theory and Cayley s Formula Chad Casarotto August 10, 2006 Contents 1 Introducton 1 2 Bascs and Defntons 1 Cayley s Formula 4 4 Prüfer Encodng A Forest of Trees 7 1 Introducton In ths paper, I wll

More information

x f(x) 1 0.25 1 0.75 x 1 0 1 1 0.04 0.01 0.20 1 0.12 0.03 0.60

x f(x) 1 0.25 1 0.75 x 1 0 1 1 0.04 0.01 0.20 1 0.12 0.03 0.60 BIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONS Let be a varable that assumes the values { 1,,..., n }. Then, a functon that epresses the relatve frequenc of these values s called a unvarate frequenc functon. It must be true

More information

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic Lagrange Multplers as Quanttatve Indcators n Economcs Ivan Mezník Insttute of Informatcs, Faculty of Busness and Management, Brno Unversty of TechnologCzech Republc Abstract The quanttatve role of Lagrange

More information

9.1 The Cumulative Sum Control Chart

9.1 The Cumulative Sum Control Chart Learnng Objectves 9.1 The Cumulatve Sum Control Chart 9.1.1 Basc Prncples: Cusum Control Chart for Montorng the Process Mean If s the target for the process mean, then the cumulatve sum control chart s

More information

Recurrence. 1 Definitions and main statements

Recurrence. 1 Definitions and main statements Recurrence 1 Defntons and man statements Let X n, n = 0, 1, 2,... be a MC wth the state space S = (1, 2,...), transton probabltes p j = P {X n+1 = j X n = }, and the transton matrx P = (p j ),j S def.

More information

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy 4.02 Quz Solutons Fall 2004 Multple-Choce Questons (30/00 ponts) Please, crcle the correct answer for each of the followng 0 multple-choce questons. For each queston, only one of the answers s correct.

More information

SPEE Recommended Evaluation Practice #6 Definition of Decline Curve Parameters Background:

SPEE Recommended Evaluation Practice #6 Definition of Decline Curve Parameters Background: SPEE Recommended Evaluaton Practce #6 efnton of eclne Curve Parameters Background: The producton hstores of ol and gas wells can be analyzed to estmate reserves and future ol and gas producton rates and

More information

Multivariate EWMA Control Chart

Multivariate EWMA Control Chart Multvarate EWMA Control Chart Summary The Multvarate EWMA Control Chart procedure creates control charts for two or more numerc varables. Examnng the varables n a multvarate sense s extremely mportant

More information

PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 12

PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 12 14 The Ch-squared dstrbuton PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 1 If a normal varable X, havng mean µ and varance σ, s standardsed, the new varable Z has a mean 0 and varance 1. When ths standardsed

More information

Communication Networks II Contents

Communication Networks II Contents 8 / 1 -- Communcaton Networs II (Görg) -- www.comnets.un-bremen.de Communcaton Networs II Contents 1 Fundamentals of probablty theory 2 Traffc n communcaton networs 3 Stochastc & Marovan Processes (SP

More information

The covariance is the two variable analog to the variance. The formula for the covariance between two variables is

The covariance is the two variable analog to the variance. The formula for the covariance between two variables is Regresson Lectures So far we have talked only about statstcs that descrbe one varable. What we are gong to be dscussng for much of the remander of the course s relatonshps between two or more varables.

More information

Linear Circuits Analysis. Superposition, Thevenin /Norton Equivalent circuits

Linear Circuits Analysis. Superposition, Thevenin /Norton Equivalent circuits Lnear Crcuts Analyss. Superposton, Theenn /Norton Equalent crcuts So far we hae explored tmendependent (resste) elements that are also lnear. A tmendependent elements s one for whch we can plot an / cure.

More information

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek HE DISRIBUION OF LOAN PORFOLIO VALUE * Oldrch Alfons Vascek he amount of captal necessary to support a portfolo of debt securtes depends on the probablty dstrbuton of the portfolo loss. Consder a portfolo

More information

The Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Option Pricing Model

The Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Option Pricing Model Fnance 400 A. Penat - G. Pennacc Te Cox-Ross-Rubnsten Opton Prcng Model Te prevous notes sowed tat te absence o arbtrage restrcts te prce o an opton n terms o ts underlyng asset. However, te no-arbtrage

More information

Nasdaq Iceland Bond Indices 01 April 2015

Nasdaq Iceland Bond Indices 01 April 2015 Nasdaq Iceland Bond Indces 01 Aprl 2015 -Fxed duraton Indces Introducton Nasdaq Iceland (the Exchange) began calculatng ts current bond ndces n the begnnng of 2005. They were a response to recent changes

More information

Module 2 LOSSLESS IMAGE COMPRESSION SYSTEMS. Version 2 ECE IIT, Kharagpur

Module 2 LOSSLESS IMAGE COMPRESSION SYSTEMS. Version 2 ECE IIT, Kharagpur Module LOSSLESS IMAGE COMPRESSION SYSTEMS Lesson 3 Lossless Compresson: Huffman Codng Instructonal Objectves At the end of ths lesson, the students should be able to:. Defne and measure source entropy..

More information

What is Candidate Sampling

What is Candidate Sampling What s Canddate Samplng Say we have a multclass or mult label problem where each tranng example ( x, T ) conssts of a context x a small (mult)set of target classes T out of a large unverse L of possble

More information

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis The Development of Web Log Mnng Based on Improve-K-Means Clusterng Analyss TngZhong Wang * College of Informaton Technology, Luoyang Normal Unversty, Luoyang, 471022, Chna wangtngzhong2@sna.cn Abstract.

More information

Section B9: Zener Diodes

Section B9: Zener Diodes Secton B9: Zener Dodes When we frst talked about practcal dodes, t was mentoned that a parameter assocated wth the dode n the reverse bas regon was the breakdown voltage, BR, also known as the peak-nverse

More information

Chapter 7. Random-Variate Generation 7.1. Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 7 Random-Variate Generation

Chapter 7. Random-Variate Generation 7.1. Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 7 Random-Variate Generation Chapter 7 Random-Varate Generaton 7. Contents Inverse-transform Technque Acceptance-Rejecton Technque Specal Propertes 7. Purpose & Overvew Develop understandng of generatng samples from a specfed dstrbuton

More information

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance An Alternatve Way to Measure Prvate Equty Performance Peter Todd Parlux Investment Technology LLC Summary Internal Rate of Return (IRR) s probably the most common way to measure the performance of prvate

More information

SUPPLIER FINANCING AND STOCK MANAGEMENT. A JOINT VIEW.

SUPPLIER FINANCING AND STOCK MANAGEMENT. A JOINT VIEW. SUPPLIER FINANCING AND STOCK MANAGEMENT. A JOINT VIEW. Lucía Isabel García Cebrán Departamento de Economía y Dreccón de Empresas Unversdad de Zaragoza Gran Vía, 2 50.005 Zaragoza (Span) Phone: 976-76-10-00

More information

8.5 UNITARY AND HERMITIAN MATRICES. The conjugate transpose of a complex matrix A, denoted by A*, is given by

8.5 UNITARY AND HERMITIAN MATRICES. The conjugate transpose of a complex matrix A, denoted by A*, is given by 6 CHAPTER 8 COMPLEX VECTOR SPACES 5. Fnd the kernel of the lnear transformaton gven n Exercse 5. In Exercses 55 and 56, fnd the mage of v, for the ndcated composton, where and are gven by the followng

More information

CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION

CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION We learned n Chapter 5 that often a straght lne descrbes the pattern of a relatonshp between two quanttatve varables. For nstance, n Example 5.1 we explored the relatonshp

More information

1 Example 1: Axis-aligned rectangles

1 Example 1: Axis-aligned rectangles COS 511: Theoretcal Machne Learnng Lecturer: Rob Schapre Lecture # 6 Scrbe: Aaron Schld February 21, 2013 Last class, we dscussed an analogue for Occam s Razor for nfnte hypothess spaces that, n conjuncton

More information

Nonlinear data mapping by neural networks

Nonlinear data mapping by neural networks Nonlnear data mappng by neural networks R.P.W. Dun Delft Unversty of Technology, Netherlands Abstract A revew s gven of the use of neural networks for nonlnear mappng of hgh dmensonal data on lower dmensonal

More information

A Novel Methodology of Working Capital Management for Large. Public Constructions by Using Fuzzy S-curve Regression

A Novel Methodology of Working Capital Management for Large. Public Constructions by Using Fuzzy S-curve Regression Novel Methodology of Workng Captal Management for Large Publc Constructons by Usng Fuzzy S-curve Regresson Cheng-Wu Chen, Morrs H. L. Wang and Tng-Ya Hseh Department of Cvl Engneerng, Natonal Central Unversty,

More information

Calculation of Sampling Weights

Calculation of Sampling Weights Perre Foy Statstcs Canada 4 Calculaton of Samplng Weghts 4.1 OVERVIEW The basc sample desgn used n TIMSS Populatons 1 and 2 was a two-stage stratfed cluster desgn. 1 The frst stage conssted of a sample

More information

CHAPTER 5 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUANTITATIVE VARIABLES

CHAPTER 5 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUANTITATIVE VARIABLES CHAPTER 5 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUANTITATIVE VARIABLES In ths chapter, we wll learn how to descrbe the relatonshp between two quanttatve varables. Remember (from Chapter 2) that the terms quanttatve varable

More information

Generator Warm-Up Characteristics

Generator Warm-Up Characteristics NO. REV. NO. : ; ~ Generator Warm-Up Characterstcs PAGE OF Ths document descrbes the warm-up process of the SNAP-27 Generator Assembly after the sotope capsule s nserted. Several nqures have recently been

More information

Multicomponent Distillation

Multicomponent Distillation Multcomponent Dstllaton need more than one dstllaton tower, for n components, n-1 fractonators are requred Specfcaton Lmtatons The followng are establshed at the begnnng 1. Temperature, pressure, composton,

More information

"Research Note" APPLICATION OF CHARGE SIMULATION METHOD TO ELECTRIC FIELD CALCULATION IN THE POWER CABLES *

Research Note APPLICATION OF CHARGE SIMULATION METHOD TO ELECTRIC FIELD CALCULATION IN THE POWER CABLES * Iranan Journal of Scence & Technology, Transacton B, Engneerng, ol. 30, No. B6, 789-794 rnted n The Islamc Republc of Iran, 006 Shraz Unversty "Research Note" ALICATION OF CHARGE SIMULATION METHOD TO ELECTRIC

More information

Time Value of Money Module

Time Value of Money Module Tme Value of Money Module O BJECTIVES After readng ths Module, you wll be able to: Understand smple nterest and compound nterest. 2 Compute and use the future value of a sngle sum. 3 Compute and use the

More information

2.4 Bivariate distributions

2.4 Bivariate distributions page 28 2.4 Bvarate dstrbutons 2.4.1 Defntons Let X and Y be dscrete r.v.s defned on the same probablty space (S, F, P). Instead of treatng them separately, t s often necessary to thnk of them actng together

More information

Time Series Analysis in Studies of AGN Variability. Bradley M. Peterson The Ohio State University

Time Series Analysis in Studies of AGN Variability. Bradley M. Peterson The Ohio State University Tme Seres Analyss n Studes of AGN Varablty Bradley M. Peterson The Oho State Unversty 1 Lnear Correlaton Degree to whch two parameters are lnearly correlated can be expressed n terms of the lnear correlaton

More information

Chapter 4 ECONOMIC DISPATCH AND UNIT COMMITMENT

Chapter 4 ECONOMIC DISPATCH AND UNIT COMMITMENT Chapter 4 ECOOMIC DISATCH AD UIT COMMITMET ITRODUCTIO A power system has several power plants. Each power plant has several generatng unts. At any pont of tme, the total load n the system s met by the

More information

Passive Filters. References: Barbow (pp 265-275), Hayes & Horowitz (pp 32-60), Rizzoni (Chap. 6)

Passive Filters. References: Barbow (pp 265-275), Hayes & Horowitz (pp 32-60), Rizzoni (Chap. 6) Passve Flters eferences: Barbow (pp 6575), Hayes & Horowtz (pp 360), zzon (Chap. 6) Frequencyselectve or flter crcuts pass to the output only those nput sgnals that are n a desred range of frequences (called

More information

Number of Levels Cumulative Annual operating Income per year construction costs costs ($) ($) ($) 1 600,000 35,000 100,000 2 2,200,000 60,000 350,000

Number of Levels Cumulative Annual operating Income per year construction costs costs ($) ($) ($) 1 600,000 35,000 100,000 2 2,200,000 60,000 350,000 Problem Set 5 Solutons 1 MIT s consderng buldng a new car park near Kendall Square. o unversty funds are avalable (overhead rates are under pressure and the new faclty would have to pay for tself from

More information

Return decomposing of absolute-performance multi-asset class portfolios. Working Paper - Nummer: 16

Return decomposing of absolute-performance multi-asset class portfolios. Working Paper - Nummer: 16 Return decomposng of absolute-performance mult-asset class portfolos Workng Paper - Nummer: 16 2007 by Dr. Stefan J. Illmer und Wolfgang Marty; n: Fnancal Markets and Portfolo Management; March 2007; Volume

More information

Multiple discount and forward curves

Multiple discount and forward curves Multple dscount and forward curves TopQuants presentaton 21 ovember 2012 Ton Broekhuzen, Head Market Rsk and Basel coordnator, IBC Ths presentaton reflects personal vews and not necessarly the vews of

More information

Calculating the high frequency transmission line parameters of power cables

Calculating the high frequency transmission line parameters of power cables < ' Calculatng the hgh frequency transmsson lne parameters of power cables Authors: Dr. John Dcknson, Laboratory Servces Manager, N 0 RW E B Communcatons Mr. Peter J. Ncholson, Project Assgnment Manager,

More information

How Sets of Coherent Probabilities May Serve as Models for Degrees of Incoherence

How Sets of Coherent Probabilities May Serve as Models for Degrees of Incoherence 1 st Internatonal Symposum on Imprecse Probabltes and Ther Applcatons, Ghent, Belgum, 29 June 2 July 1999 How Sets of Coherent Probabltes May Serve as Models for Degrees of Incoherence Mar J. Schervsh

More information

An Overview of Financial Mathematics

An Overview of Financial Mathematics An Overvew of Fnancal Mathematcs Wllam Benedct McCartney July 2012 Abstract Ths document s meant to be a quck ntroducton to nterest theory. It s wrtten specfcally for actuaral students preparng to take

More information

Lecture 2: Single Layer Perceptrons Kevin Swingler

Lecture 2: Single Layer Perceptrons Kevin Swingler Lecture 2: Sngle Layer Perceptrons Kevn Sngler kms@cs.str.ac.uk Recap: McCulloch-Ptts Neuron Ths vastly smplfed model of real neurons s also knon as a Threshold Logc Unt: W 2 A Y 3 n W n. A set of synapses

More information

Statistical Methods to Develop Rating Models

Statistical Methods to Develop Rating Models Statstcal Methods to Develop Ratng Models [Evelyn Hayden and Danel Porath, Österrechsche Natonalbank and Unversty of Appled Scences at Manz] Source: The Basel II Rsk Parameters Estmaton, Valdaton, and

More information

DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT

DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT CelersSystems DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT PREPARED BY James E Aksel, PMP, PMI-SP, MVP For Addtonal Informaton about Earned Value Management Systems and reportng, please contact: CelersSystems,

More information

Luby s Alg. for Maximal Independent Sets using Pairwise Independence

Luby s Alg. for Maximal Independent Sets using Pairwise Independence Lecture Notes for Randomzed Algorthms Luby s Alg. for Maxmal Independent Sets usng Parwse Independence Last Updated by Erc Vgoda on February, 006 8. Maxmal Independent Sets For a graph G = (V, E), an ndependent

More information

v a 1 b 1 i, a 2 b 2 i,..., a n b n i.

v a 1 b 1 i, a 2 b 2 i,..., a n b n i. SECTION 8.4 COMPLEX VECTOR SPACES AND INNER PRODUCTS 455 8.4 COMPLEX VECTOR SPACES AND INNER PRODUCTS All the vector spaces we have studed thus far n the text are real vector spaces snce the scalars are

More information

FORCED CONVECTION HEAT TRANSFER IN A DOUBLE PIPE HEAT EXCHANGER

FORCED CONVECTION HEAT TRANSFER IN A DOUBLE PIPE HEAT EXCHANGER FORCED CONVECION HEA RANSFER IN A DOUBLE PIPE HEA EXCHANGER Dr. J. Mchael Doster Department of Nuclear Engneerng Box 7909 North Carolna State Unversty Ralegh, NC 27695-7909 Introducton he convectve heat

More information

Introduction to Regression

Introduction to Regression Introducton to Regresson Regresson a means of predctng a dependent varable based one or more ndependent varables. -Ths s done by fttng a lne or surface to the data ponts that mnmzes the total error. -

More information

Binomial Link Functions. Lori Murray, Phil Munz

Binomial Link Functions. Lori Murray, Phil Munz Bnomal Lnk Functons Lor Murray, Phl Munz Bnomal Lnk Functons Logt Lnk functon: ( p) p ln 1 p Probt Lnk functon: ( p) 1 ( p) Complentary Log Log functon: ( p) ln( ln(1 p)) Motvatng Example A researcher

More information

Chapter 2. Determination of appropriate Sample Size

Chapter 2. Determination of appropriate Sample Size Chapter Determnaton of approprate Sample Sze Dscusson of ths chapter s on the bass of two of our publshed papers Importance of the sze of sample and ts determnaton n the context of data related to the

More information

A DYNAMIC CRASHING METHOD FOR PROJECT MANAGEMENT USING SIMULATION-BASED OPTIMIZATION. Michael E. Kuhl Radhamés A. Tolentino-Peña

A DYNAMIC CRASHING METHOD FOR PROJECT MANAGEMENT USING SIMULATION-BASED OPTIMIZATION. Michael E. Kuhl Radhamés A. Tolentino-Peña Proceedngs of the 2008 Wnter Smulaton Conference S. J. Mason, R. R. Hll, L. Mönch, O. Rose, T. Jefferson, J. W. Fowler eds. A DYNAMIC CRASHING METHOD FOR PROJECT MANAGEMENT USING SIMULATION-BASED OPTIMIZATION

More information

Inequality and The Accounting Period. Quentin Wodon and Shlomo Yitzhaki. World Bank and Hebrew University. September 2001.

Inequality and The Accounting Period. Quentin Wodon and Shlomo Yitzhaki. World Bank and Hebrew University. September 2001. Inequalty and The Accountng Perod Quentn Wodon and Shlomo Ytzha World Ban and Hebrew Unversty September Abstract Income nequalty typcally declnes wth the length of tme taen nto account for measurement.

More information

Lecture 2: Absorbing states in Markov chains. Mean time to absorption. Wright-Fisher Model. Moran Model.

Lecture 2: Absorbing states in Markov chains. Mean time to absorption. Wright-Fisher Model. Moran Model. Lecture 2: Absorbng states n Markov chans. Mean tme to absorpton. Wrght-Fsher Model. Moran Model. Antonna Mtrofanova, NYU, department of Computer Scence December 8, 2007 Hgher Order Transton Probabltes

More information

Control Charts for Means (Simulation)

Control Charts for Means (Simulation) Chapter 290 Control Charts for Means (Smulaton) Introducton Ths procedure allows you to study the run length dstrbuton of Shewhart (Xbar), Cusum, FIR Cusum, and EWMA process control charts for means usng

More information

Bond futures. Bond futures contracts are futures contracts that allow investor to buy in the

Bond futures. Bond futures contracts are futures contracts that allow investor to buy in the Bond futures INRODUCION Bond futures contracts are futures contracts that allow nvestor to buy n the future a theoretcal government notonal bond at a gven prce at a specfc date n a gven quantty. Compared

More information

1 Approximation Algorithms

1 Approximation Algorithms CME 305: Dscrete Mathematcs and Algorthms 1 Approxmaton Algorthms In lght of the apparent ntractablty of the problems we beleve not to le n P, t makes sense to pursue deas other than complete solutons

More information

1. Fundamentals of probability theory 2. Emergence of communication traffic 3. Stochastic & Markovian Processes (SP & MP)

1. Fundamentals of probability theory 2. Emergence of communication traffic 3. Stochastic & Markovian Processes (SP & MP) 6.3 / -- Communcaton Networks II (Görg) SS20 -- www.comnets.un-bremen.de Communcaton Networks II Contents. Fundamentals of probablty theory 2. Emergence of communcaton traffc 3. Stochastc & Markovan Processes

More information

STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL

STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL Mcroarray Center STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL Lecture 6 Some Advanced Topcs Dr. Petr Nazarov 14-01-013 petr.nazarov@crp-sante.lu Statstcal data analyss n Ecel. 6. Some advanced topcs Correcton for

More information

SIX WAYS TO SOLVE A SIMPLE PROBLEM: FITTING A STRAIGHT LINE TO MEASUREMENT DATA

SIX WAYS TO SOLVE A SIMPLE PROBLEM: FITTING A STRAIGHT LINE TO MEASUREMENT DATA SIX WAYS TO SOLVE A SIMPLE PROBLEM: FITTING A STRAIGHT LINE TO MEASUREMENT DATA E. LAGENDIJK Department of Appled Physcs, Delft Unversty of Technology Lorentzweg 1, 68 CJ, The Netherlands E-mal: e.lagendjk@tnw.tudelft.nl

More information

State function: eigenfunctions of hermitian operators-> normalization, orthogonality completeness

State function: eigenfunctions of hermitian operators-> normalization, orthogonality completeness Schroednger equaton Basc postulates of quantum mechancs. Operators: Hermtan operators, commutators State functon: egenfunctons of hermtan operators-> normalzaton, orthogonalty completeness egenvalues and

More information

Solutions to the exam in SF2862, June 2009

Solutions to the exam in SF2862, June 2009 Solutons to the exam n SF86, June 009 Exercse 1. Ths s a determnstc perodc-revew nventory model. Let n = the number of consdered wees,.e. n = 4 n ths exercse, and r = the demand at wee,.e. r 1 = r = r

More information

IS-LM Model 1 C' dy = di

IS-LM Model 1 C' dy = di - odel Solow Assumptons - demand rrelevant n long run; assumes economy s operatng at potental GDP; concerned wth growth - Assumptons - supply s rrelevant n short run; assumes economy s operatng below potental

More information

A Note on the Decomposition of a Random Sample Size

A Note on the Decomposition of a Random Sample Size A Note on the Decomposton of a Random Sample Sze Klaus Th. Hess Insttut für Mathematsche Stochastk Technsche Unverstät Dresden Abstract Ths note addresses some results of Hess 2000) on the decomposton

More information

Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes

Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes-1 Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes I. Basc Ideas 1. Corporate Taxes => nterest expense s tax deductble => as debt ncreases, corporate taxes fall => ncentve to fund the frm wth debt

More information

HYPOTHESIS TESTING OF PARAMETERS FOR ORDINARY LINEAR CIRCULAR REGRESSION

HYPOTHESIS TESTING OF PARAMETERS FOR ORDINARY LINEAR CIRCULAR REGRESSION HYPOTHESIS TESTING OF PARAMETERS FOR ORDINARY LINEAR CIRCULAR REGRESSION Abdul Ghapor Hussn Centre for Foundaton Studes n Scence Unversty of Malaya 563 KUALA LUMPUR E-mal: ghapor@umedumy Abstract Ths paper

More information

Outsourcing inventory management decisions in healthcare: Models and application

Outsourcing inventory management decisions in healthcare: Models and application European Journal of Operatonal Research 154 (24) 271 29 O.R. Applcatons Outsourcng nventory management decsons n healthcare: Models and applcaton www.elsever.com/locate/dsw Lawrence Ncholson a, Asoo J.

More information

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression How to measure assocaton I: Correlaton. 1. Measurng assocaton usng correlaton and regresson We often would lke to know how one varable, such as a mother's weght, s related to another varable, such as a

More information

+ + + - - This circuit than can be reduced to a planar circuit

+ + + - - This circuit than can be reduced to a planar circuit MeshCurrent Method The meshcurrent s analog of the nodeoltage method. We sole for a new set of arables, mesh currents, that automatcally satsfy KCLs. As such, meshcurrent method reduces crcut soluton to

More information

Formula of Total Probability, Bayes Rule, and Applications

Formula of Total Probability, Bayes Rule, and Applications 1 Formula of Total Probablty, Bayes Rule, and Applcatons Recall that for any event A, the par of events A and A has an ntersecton that s empty, whereas the unon A A represents the total populaton of nterest.

More information

Efficient Project Portfolio as a tool for Enterprise Risk Management

Efficient Project Portfolio as a tool for Enterprise Risk Management Effcent Proect Portfolo as a tool for Enterprse Rsk Management Valentn O. Nkonov Ural State Techncal Unversty Growth Traectory Consultng Company January 5, 27 Effcent Proect Portfolo as a tool for Enterprse

More information

Sample Design in TIMSS and PIRLS

Sample Design in TIMSS and PIRLS Sample Desgn n TIMSS and PIRLS Introducton Marc Joncas Perre Foy TIMSS and PIRLS are desgned to provde vald and relable measurement of trends n student achevement n countres around the world, whle keepng

More information

Introduction: Analysis of Electronic Circuits

Introduction: Analysis of Electronic Circuits /30/008 ntroducton / ntroducton: Analyss of Electronc Crcuts Readng Assgnment: KVL and KCL text from EECS Just lke EECS, the majorty of problems (hw and exam) n EECS 3 wll be crcut analyss problems. Thus,

More information

Support Vector Machines

Support Vector Machines Support Vector Machnes Max Wellng Department of Computer Scence Unversty of Toronto 10 Kng s College Road Toronto, M5S 3G5 Canada wellng@cs.toronto.edu Abstract Ths s a note to explan support vector machnes.

More information

Simple Interest Loans (Section 5.1) :

Simple Interest Loans (Section 5.1) : Chapter 5 Fnance The frst part of ths revew wll explan the dfferent nterest and nvestment equatons you learned n secton 5.1 through 5.4 of your textbook and go through several examples. The second part

More information

THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES

THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES The goal: to measure (determne) an unknown quantty x (the value of a RV X) Realsaton: n results: y 1, y 2,..., y j,..., y n, (the measured values of Y 1, Y 2,..., Y j,..., Y n ) every result s encumbered

More information

) of the Cell class is created containing information about events associated with the cell. Events are added to the Cell instance

) of the Cell class is created containing information about events associated with the cell. Events are added to the Cell instance Calbraton Method Instances of the Cell class (one nstance for each FMS cell) contan ADC raw data and methods assocated wth each partcular FMS cell. The calbraton method ncludes event selecton (Class Cell

More information

I. SCOPE, APPLICABILITY AND PARAMETERS Scope

I. SCOPE, APPLICABILITY AND PARAMETERS Scope D Executve Board Annex 9 Page A/R ethodologcal Tool alculaton of the number of sample plots for measurements wthn A/R D project actvtes (Verson 0) I. SOPE, PIABIITY AD PARAETERS Scope. Ths tool s applcable

More information

Credit Limit Optimization (CLO) for Credit Cards

Credit Limit Optimization (CLO) for Credit Cards Credt Lmt Optmzaton (CLO) for Credt Cards Vay S. Desa CSCC IX, Ednburgh September 8, 2005 Copyrght 2003, SAS Insttute Inc. All rghts reserved. SAS Propretary Agenda Background Tradtonal approaches to credt

More information

Causal, Explanatory Forecasting. Analysis. Regression Analysis. Simple Linear Regression. Which is Independent? Forecasting

Causal, Explanatory Forecasting. Analysis. Regression Analysis. Simple Linear Regression. Which is Independent? Forecasting Causal, Explanatory Forecastng Assumes cause-and-effect relatonshp between system nputs and ts output Forecastng wth Regresson Analyss Rchard S. Barr Inputs System Cause + Effect Relatonshp The job of

More information

Portfolio Risk Decomposition (and Risk Budgeting)

Portfolio Risk Decomposition (and Risk Budgeting) ortfolo Rsk Decomposton (and Rsk Budgetng) Jason MacQueen R-Squared Rsk Management Introducton to Rsk Decomposton Actve managers take rsk n the expectaton of achevng outperformance of ther benchmark Mandates

More information

Comparison of single EWMA-type control charts based on Economicstatistical

Comparison of single EWMA-type control charts based on Economicstatistical The Busness and Management Revew, Volume 6 Number 4 August 5 Comparson of sngle EWMA-type control charts based on Economcstatstcal desgn Shn-L Lu Chen-Fang Tsa Department of Industral Management and Enterprse

More information

Solutions to First Midterm

Solutions to First Midterm rofessor Chrstano Economcs 3, Wnter 2004 Solutons to Frst Mdterm. Multple Choce. 2. (a) v. (b). (c) v. (d) v. (e). (f). (g) v. (a) The goods market s n equlbrum when total demand equals total producton,.e.

More information

FINANCIAL MATHEMATICS. A Practical Guide for Actuaries. and other Business Professionals

FINANCIAL MATHEMATICS. A Practical Guide for Actuaries. and other Business Professionals FINANCIAL MATHEMATICS A Practcal Gude for Actuares and other Busness Professonals Second Edton CHRIS RUCKMAN, FSA, MAAA JOE FRANCIS, FSA, MAAA, CFA Study Notes Prepared by Kevn Shand, FSA, FCIA Assstant

More information

Kiel Institute for World Economics Duesternbrooker Weg 120 24105 Kiel (Germany) Kiel Working Paper No. 1120

Kiel Institute for World Economics Duesternbrooker Weg 120 24105 Kiel (Germany) Kiel Working Paper No. 1120 Kel Insttute for World Economcs Duesternbrooker Weg 45 Kel (Germany) Kel Workng Paper No. Path Dependences n enture Captal Markets by Andrea Schertler July The responsblty for the contents of the workng

More information

Lecture 10: Linear Regression Approach, Assumptions and Diagnostics

Lecture 10: Linear Regression Approach, Assumptions and Diagnostics Approach to Modelng I Lecture 1: Lnear Regresson Approach, Assumptons and Dagnostcs Sandy Eckel seckel@jhsph.edu 8 May 8 General approach for most statstcal modelng: Defne the populaton of nterest State

More information

Capital asset pricing model, arbitrage pricing theory and portfolio management

Capital asset pricing model, arbitrage pricing theory and portfolio management Captal asset prcng model, arbtrage prcng theory and portfolo management Vnod Kothar The captal asset prcng model (CAPM) s great n terms of ts understandng of rsk decomposton of rsk nto securty-specfc rsk

More information

Problem Set 3. a) We are asked how people will react, if the interest rate i on bonds is negative.

Problem Set 3. a) We are asked how people will react, if the interest rate i on bonds is negative. Queston roblem Set 3 a) We are asked how people wll react, f the nterest rate on bonds s negatve. When

More information

ANALYZING THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUALITY, TIME, AND COST IN PROJECT MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING

ANALYZING THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUALITY, TIME, AND COST IN PROJECT MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING ANALYZING THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUALITY, TIME, AND COST IN PROJECT MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING Matthew J. Lberatore, Department of Management and Operatons, Vllanova Unversty, Vllanova, PA 19085, 610-519-4390,

More information

Lecture 3: Force of Interest, Real Interest Rate, Annuity

Lecture 3: Force of Interest, Real Interest Rate, Annuity Lecture 3: Force of Interest, Real Interest Rate, Annuty Goals: Study contnuous compoundng and force of nterest Dscuss real nterest rate Learn annuty-mmedate, and ts present value Study annuty-due, and

More information

The circuit shown on Figure 1 is called the common emitter amplifier circuit. The important subsystems of this circuit are:

The circuit shown on Figure 1 is called the common emitter amplifier circuit. The important subsystems of this circuit are: polar Juncton Transstor rcuts Voltage and Power Amplfer rcuts ommon mtter Amplfer The crcut shown on Fgure 1 s called the common emtter amplfer crcut. The mportant subsystems of ths crcut are: 1. The basng

More information

Implied (risk neutral) probabilities, betting odds and prediction markets

Implied (risk neutral) probabilities, betting odds and prediction markets Impled (rsk neutral) probabltes, bettng odds and predcton markets Fabrzo Caccafesta (Unversty of Rome "Tor Vergata") ABSTRACT - We show that the well known euvalence between the "fundamental theorem of

More information

Hedging Interest-Rate Risk with Duration

Hedging Interest-Rate Risk with Duration FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES Chapter 5 Hedgng Interest-Rate Rsk wth Duraton Outlne Prcng and Hedgng Prcng certan cash-flows Interest rate rsk Hedgng prncples Duraton-Based Hedgng Technques Defnton of duraton

More information

Small pots lump sum payment instruction

Small pots lump sum payment instruction For customers Small pots lump sum payment nstructon Please read these notes before completng ths nstructon About ths nstructon Use ths nstructon f you re an ndvdual wth Aegon Retrement Choces Self Invested

More information

The Analysis of Covariance. ERSH 8310 Keppel and Wickens Chapter 15

The Analysis of Covariance. ERSH 8310 Keppel and Wickens Chapter 15 The Analyss of Covarance ERSH 830 Keppel and Wckens Chapter 5 Today s Class Intal Consderatons Covarance and Lnear Regresson The Lnear Regresson Equaton TheAnalyss of Covarance Assumptons Underlyng the

More information

Section 5.4 Annuities, Present Value, and Amortization

Section 5.4 Annuities, Present Value, and Amortization Secton 5.4 Annutes, Present Value, and Amortzaton Present Value In Secton 5.2, we saw that the present value of A dollars at nterest rate per perod for n perods s the amount that must be deposted today

More information

Feature selection for intrusion detection. Slobodan Petrović NISlab, Gjøvik University College

Feature selection for intrusion detection. Slobodan Petrović NISlab, Gjøvik University College Feature selecton for ntruson detecton Slobodan Petrovć NISlab, Gjøvk Unversty College Contents The feature selecton problem Intruson detecton Traffc features relevant for IDS The CFS measure The mrmr measure

More information

QUANTUM MECHANICS, BRAS AND KETS

QUANTUM MECHANICS, BRAS AND KETS PH575 SPRING QUANTUM MECHANICS, BRAS AND KETS The followng summares the man relatons and defntons from quantum mechancs that we wll be usng. State of a phscal sstem: The state of a phscal sstem s represented

More information