TRAYECTORIAS DE HURACANES Y FENOMENOS CLIMATICOS
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1 CAMBIO CLIMATICO Presentación en FUNGLODE, Rep. Dominicana, 2006 TRAYECTORIAS DE HURACANES Y FENOMENOS CLIMATICOS Joel Perez Joel.perez@cathalac.org CATHALAC
2 WHERE WE ARE Ubicación
3 Cambio Climático & Variabilidad del Clima Cambios de la temperatura promedio global en respecto a Cambio Climático (multidecadal) Variabilidad Climática (corto tiempo) Fuente: Environ. Dept, Canada
4
5 Cambios en intensidad de los huracanes por efectos del calentamiento global
6 Para el clima.. Por que usar modelos? La realidad de la variabilidad climática y cambio climático La estadística stica de los últimos 30 años a son insuficientes para evaluar la probabilidad de futuros cambios extremos o en el promedio del clima Urgente necesidad de contar con pronósticos estacionales (secas/lluvias) y tendencias decadales Son la única herramienta actual!!
7 Pronósticos del Tiempo
8 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
9 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
10 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
11 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
12 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
13 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
14 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
15 Herramientas para Toma de Desiciones
16 Modelos numéricos Pronostico del tiempo Escenarios de clima Informacion Satelital Biodiversidad Meteorologica Datos de superficie Biodiversidad Hidrologicos Meteorologicos STD Para Tiempo y Clima orientado a tomadores de decisiones Mejor adaptación Condiciones locales Uso de suelo topografia Condiciones socioeconomicas
17 Set de Datos Satelitales Visualizaciones
18 Mapas Interactivos (IMS)
19 Herramientas para la Toma de Decisiones
20
21
22 Visualizaciones
23 NASA World Wind
24 MANEJO DE LA INFORMACION
25 MAYOR VISION UN MISMO PROPOSITO
26 Un pronóstico perfecto es perfectamente inútil si no sirve para tomar una decisión
27 G R A C I A S
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