Impact of Globalisaion

Transcription

1 Impact of Globalisaion by Erik Østergaard CEO, Danish Transport & Logistics

2 Global perspective Think global..!

3 Globalisation Driven by: Low wages in Asia, containerisation, competitive transport

4 Drivers Manufacturing Transport Globalisation Global competition Specialisation Consolidation Increasing trade => Increasing transport volumes Globalisation Global competition Specialisation Consolidation

5 12 % Top 20 container ports Shanghai Singapore 21 % Shenzhen Hong Kong Container growth 33 % 40 % Mio. TEU Bremerhaven New York/Jersey Tanjung Pelepas Tianjin Port Klang Long Beach Antwerp Los Angeles Guangzhou Ningbo Qingdao Hamburg Kaohsiung Dubai Rotterdam Pusan

6 Far east dominating Top 20 container ports mio. TEU - Regional distribution 20 % growth 12 % growth 0 % growth 15% growth USA Far East Middle East Europe

7 China at the helm Far East mio. TEU China Malaysia Singapore South Korea Taiw an

8 European growth Bremerhaven Antw erp Hamburg Rotterdam Top European Container Ports - 34 mio. TEU Mio. TEU Göteborg Århus Bremerhaven Antw erp Hamburg Rotterdam

9 Local impacts as well Growth in containers though Danish ports 1000 ton % vækst i forhold til % vækst i forhold til Kilde : Danmarks Statistik SKIB43

10 Local focus Act local..!

11 Infrastructure drive Danmark har en central position - Vi er porten til Østersøen - Vi er bindeled fra Norden til resten af Europa 11

12 Regional infrastructure Think European.! and regional

13 European focus.and European.!

14 Focus on all elements Dependency of transport modes and corridors Each mode of transport is only ONE link of many in the total transport chain: The success of the individual mode depends on the competitivenes of the TOTAL transport chain in terms of quality and costs

15 Improve productivity Productivity.. Revenue/cost structures and international competitiveness Product Price Capacity Time Regularity Services Market elements Segments Volumes Distribution/balance Add on sales External changes Productivity Infrast.. capacity/condi condi. Speed restrictions Drw./rest./work legis. Cargo capacity/fleet Terminal operations Legislative limitations Pre-tax profit Revenue Primary source Secondary source Total costs Operations Salaries Fuel Maintenance Insurance & taxes Administrative costs Capital costs

16 Competitiveness..and competitiveness is king!

17 Bench mark Infrastructure rating Denmark/Singapore World Economic Forum s Global Competitiveness Index Institute for Management and Developement Jernbane Havne Luftfart Veje Distributionsevne Luftfart Havne og kanaler 1. Schweiz 1. Singapore 1. Singapore 1. Singapore 1. Hong Kong 1. Singapore 1. Hong Kong 2. Japan 2. Holland 2. Tyskland 2. Frankrig 2. Danmark 2. Bayern 2. Danmark 3. Frankrig 3. Hong Kong 3. Hong Kong 3. Schweiz 3. Østrig 3. Hong Kong 3. Singapore 4. Tyskland 4. Tyskland 4. Holland 4. Tyskland 4. Singapore 4. Tyskland 4. Tyskland 5. Hong Kong 5. Belgien 5. Frankrig 5. Danmark 5. Tyskland 5. Danmark 5. Holland 6. Holland 6. Danmark 6. UK 6. Hong Kong 6. Schweiz 6. Finland 6. Finland 7. Belgien 7. Finland 7. F. Arab. Em. 7. USA 7. Bayern 7. Australien 7. Island 8. Danmark 8. Japan 8. Japan 8. Japan 8. Island 8. Østrig 8. Sverige 9. Singapore 9. F. Arab. Em. 9. Danmark 9. Østrig 9. USA 9. Island 9. Norge 10. Finland 10. Frankrig 10. Finland 10. Belgien 10. Finland 10. Holland 10. Estland

18 Goverment focus Elements in a strategy Physical infrastructure Sea Rail Air Road Interface Frame conditions

19 Action needed From analysis to action Increased investments in infrastructure Development of decision support systems Focus on national, international and transit traffic Improved road maintenance Focus on the frame conditions of the entire transport chain Differences in national legislation in Europe Liberalisation, removal of administrative burdens

20 Frame conditions Goals and legislation should match Goal

21 Action needed From analysis to action Research and develpment Increased dialogue between sectors Realistic approach towards environmental challenges

22 Environment - Despite growing transport volumes significant improvements - CO2 is the biggest challenge

23 Realism? Globalisation => growth => transport => CO2 Decoupling CO2 Reduction Transport volume Transportvolume Transport volume Transport volume 20 % CO2 reduction

24 Environment facts? Act local..! Kg CO Route X Route Y Route Z Route Æ

25 Challenges ahead Changing transport patterns as a consequence of globalisation Lack of adequate road infrastructure => threat to all modes of transport Increasing regulation/legislation => increased costs Fuel price & environmental challenges Short sea shipping = increasing competition? ro-ro/ferries vs. container/feeder?

26 People makes a difference