Resources Systems Management

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1 Resources Systems Management YEN Tools Decision support systems Optimization methods Optimal control methods Risk methods

2 WATER RESOURCES SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT TOOLS

3 WATER RESOURCES SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT TOOLS Larry W. Mays, Ph.D., P.E., P.H. Editor-in-Chief Department o f Civil and Environmental Engineering Arizona State University Tempe, Arizona DAI HOC THAI NGUYEN TRUNG TAM HOC LIEU G IF T O F s a b r e f o u n d a t io n u s a NOT FOR RESALE! McGraw-Hill New York Chicago San Francisco Lisbon London Madrid Mexico City Milan New Delhi San Juan Seoul Singapore Sydney Toronto

4 The McGraw-Hill Companies Cataloging-in-Publication Data is on file with the Library of Congress. Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a data base or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher DOC/DOC ISBN The sponsoring editor fo r this book was Larry S. Hager, the editing supervisor was David E. Fogarty, and the production supervisor was Pamela A. Pelton. This book was set in the HBI design in Times Roman by Joanne Morbit and Paul Scozzari of McGraw-Hill Professional s Hightstown, N.J. composition unit. The art director fo r the cover was Handel Low. Printed and bound by RR Donnelley. This book is printed on recycled, acid-free paper containing a minimum of 50% recycled, deinked paper. McGraw-Hill books are available at special quantity discounts to use as premiums and sales promotions, or for use in corporate training programs. For more information, please write to the Director of Special Sales, McGraw-Hill Professional, Two Penn Plaza, New York, NY Or contact your local bookstore. Information contained in this work has been obtained by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. ( McGraw-Hill ) from sources believed to be reliable. However, neither McGraw-Hill nor its authors guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information published herein, and neither McGraw-Hill nor its authors shall be responsible for any errors, omissions, or damages arising out of use of this information. This work is published with the understanding that McGraw-Hill and its authors are supplying information but are not attempting to render engineering or other professional services. If such services are required, the assistance of an appropriate professional should be sought.

5 CONTENTS Contributors Preface ix vii Chapter 1. System s Analysis Larry W. Mays and Yeou-Koung Tung Systems Concept / Linear Programming (LP) / Nonlinear Programming (NLP) / Dynamic Programming (DP) / Optimal Control / Interfacing Optimizers with Process Simulators / Multiobjective Programming / Global Optimization Techniques / Selected Applications in Water Resources / 1.37 References / 1.42 Chapter 2. Uncertainty and Reliability Analysis Yeou-Koung Tung Introduction / Review of Pertinent Probability and Statistical Theories / Methods for Uncertainty Analysis / Load Resistance Interference Reliability Analysis / Reliability Analysis: Time-to-Failure Analysis / 2.3J 2.6 Monte Carlo Simulation / 2 J S 2.7 System Reliability / Risk-Based Design of Water Resources Systems / 2.50 References / 2.57 Chapter 3. Regional Water Supply Planning and Capacity Expansion Models Messele Z. Ejeta and Larry W. Mays Introduction / Model Formulations / Applications to the Rio Grande Project and the City of El Paso Water Supply / Model Results / 3.2S References / 3.34 Chapter 4. River-Reservoir System Operation for Sediment Control John W. Nicklow Problem Statement / Problem Formulation / 4.2

6 Vi CONTENTS 4.3 Solution Techniques / Example Applications / 4.8 Appendix 4.A: SALQR Algorithm / 4.13 Appendix 4.B: Genetic Algorithm / 4.17 References / 4.18 Chapter 5. Water Distribution System Operation: Application of Simulated Annealing Fred E. Goldman and Larry W. Mays 5.1 Introduction / General Problem Statement / Solution Methodology / Development of Software / Applications / Summary and Conclusions / 5.14 References / 5.15 Chapter 6. Optimal Feedback Control of Irrigation Water Delivery Systems B. T. Wahlin Introduction / Irrigation Water Delivery Systems / Control of Irrigation Water Delivery Systems / Basic Control Definitions / Types of Automatic Control / Integrator-Delay Model (Process Model) / Fundamentals of Automatic Control Systems / Optimal Feedback Control Of Irrigation Water Delivery Systems / Overall Control Schemes for Irrigation Water Delivery Systems / 6.35 References / 6.36 Chapter 7. Optimal Location of Isolation Valves in Water Distribution Systems: A Reliability/Optimization Approach Sukru Ozger and Larry W. Mays Introduction / Demand-Driven Analysis versus Pressure-Driven Analysis / Semi-Pressure-Driven Analysis (SPDA) Framework / Reliability Models / Optimization Model / Example Application of Reliability/Optimization Model / 7.22 References / 7.25 Chapter 8. Groundwater Remediation Design Using Simulated Annealing Richard L. Skaggs and Larry W. Mays Introduction / Enhanced Annealing / Annealing with Directional Search / Annealing with Memory / Memory Components / Overall Enhanced Annealing Algorithm / Application of Algorithm: N-Springs Site Description / Summary and Conclusions / 8.22 References / 8.23 Index 1.1

7 CONTRIBUTORS Messele Z. Ejeta California Department o f Water Resources, Sacramento, California (C hap. 3) Fred E. Goldman Kennedy/Jenks Consultants, Phoenix, Arizona (C hap. 5) L arry W. Mays Department O f Civil And Environmental Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona (C h a p s. 1, 3, 5, 7, 8) John W. Nicklow Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, Illinois (C hap. 4) Sukru Ozger Carollo Engineers, Phoenix, Arizona (C hap. 7) Richard L. Skaggs Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington (C hap. 8) Yeou-Koung TVing Department o f Civil Engineering, Hong Kong University o f Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong (C h a p s. 1, 2) B. T. Wahlin WEST Consultants, Inc., Tempe, Arizona (C hap. 6)

8

9 PREFACE This book is the third book in a series of books dealing with management tools for water. The titles of the first two books in this series are Urban Water Supply Management Tools and Urban Stormwater Management Tools, both published by McGraw-Hill in This third book, first and foremost, is intended to be a reference book for those wishing to expand their knowledge of state-of-the-art tech niques for the management of various types of water resources systems. This book focuses upon the use of optimization techniques, in many cases interfaced with simulation models, to operate water sys tems such as river-reservoir systems, water distribution systems, and irrigation canals. Also this book looks at the use of optimization techniques for remediation design of groundwater systems and the operation and capacity expansion of regional water supply systems. A second major focus is the use of uncertainty and reliability analysis for the analysis of water resources systems. This book will be of value to engineers, managers, operators, and analysts involved with the various aspects of analysis and operation of various water resource systems. Another use of this book will be as a text for graduate level courses in water resource systems analysis. Preparation of this book has been a special treat for me because all of the authors (Drs. Messele Z. Ejeta, Fred Goldman, John Nicklow, Sukru Ozger, Richard Skaggs, Y.K. Tung, and Brian Whalin) are former Ph.D. students and close friends of mine. Each of these chapter authors has become a leading expert in the field of water resource systems. The authors were chosen, not only because they are for mer students of mine, but because of their proven knowledge in the specific area of their contribution. Chapters 1 and 2 are updated versions, respectively, of Chapters 6 and 7 of the Water Resources Handbook, published in 1996 by McGraw-Hill, for which I was also the Editor-in-Chief. One of the quotes that I used in the Water Resources Handbook was by Chief Seattle, chief of the Suquamish tribe, who lived across Puget Sound from the site of the city that later arose in Seattle s name, Man did not weave the web of life, he is merely a strand in it. Whatever he does, to the web, he does to himself. Humans have obviously done some fairly major changes to affect this web that will have serious consequences for the future. Among these changes on Earth are those that affect our water resources and environment. Humans have created some very interesting and challenging water resource problems that will challenge us for many decades and centuries into the future. These include the challenges that we face from global climate change, the challenges that we face for sus tainability, the challenges related to water supply systems security from terrorist activity, just to name a few. Hopefully the types of methodologies discussed in this book will at least fulfill some small advancement in the solution of our future water resources challenges. During the past 28 years of my academic career as a professor, I have received help and encour agement from so many people that it is not possible to name them all. These people represent a wide range of universities, research institutions, government agencies, and professions around the world. To all of you I express my deepest and sincerest thanks. Each book that I have developed has been a part of my lifelong journey in water resources and this book certainly is no exception. I have gained more from my experiences in developing books than can ever be measured in words. To develop a book such as this one, with all the authors being former Ph.D. students has been a very special experience. All of these authors, I consider a part of my extended family, which includes all of my former Ph.D. students. They have represented a very valuable part of my life. I must acknowledge my three children, Travis, Elyssa, and Tyler for their love and willingness to enjoy the water-related sports with me, especially at our second home in Pagosa Springs, Colorado. Probably they will never read any part of this book, but they do represent the most valuable part of my life.

10 PREFACE This book has been a part of my personal journey in life to learn as much as possible about water and to use this knowledge in my teaching, research, and writing. I hope that you will be able to use this book in your own journey of learning about water. As I continue my efforts in the study and photography of ancient water structures, especially those built by the Romans, I am placing many of my photographs on my web site ( Take a look, these may be of interest to some of you readers. I dedicate this book to humanity and human welfare. L arry W. M ays Scottsdale, Arizona Pagosa Springs, Colorado

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