Household Income Effects of the Washington Metro Area
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1 Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments Board of Directors Company Town to Global Business Center: Getting There from Here Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Northern Virginia Chair and Professor of Public Policy Center for Regional Analysis George Mason University March 11, 2015
2 s Federal Employment in the Washington Metro Area, Eisenhower - 5 Kennedy Johnson + 74 Nixon - Ford Carter Reagan Bush 1 Clinton Bush Obama = Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (Not Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis
3 $ Billions Federal Procurement in the Washington Metro Area, FY TOTAL = $1,164.9 Billion Source: US Census, Consolidated Federal Funds Report and USAspending.gov
4 The Household Income Effects of Structural Change in the Washington Metropolitan Area Jurisdiction Median HH Income 2013* Change from 2009* District (DC) $67,575 $2,919 Frederick Cty 84,308 - $5,856 Montgomery Cty 98,326 - $4,552 Prince George s Cty 72,052 - $4,060 Arlington County 102,501 - $1,675 Fairfax County 111,079 - $249 Loudoun County 116,768 - $7,283 Prince Wm County 95,268 - $2,234 Alexandria City 86,775 $2,985 Total Metro Area $90,149 - $2,287 Source: U.S. Census, ACS 1-Year; GMU Center for Regional Analysis *in 2013 dollars
5 Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Washington MSA (000s) Total = 20, (20.0) (10.0) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Not Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis 6 8
6 Where we are: We are technically growing, but remain a highly specialized economy: Slowest growing major metro area Declining quality of jobs Average wages decreased for three consecutive years 10-13) Local fiscal resources under strain Will impact services, infrastructure, quality of life Federal spending could/should increase as national economy improves, but we need to diversify
7 Where do we need to go? Rethinking The Regional Economy s Future: Exports are key: Scientific and Technical Services Higher Ed and Health Services Manufacturing Agriculture and Natural Resources Leisure and Hospitality Foreign Direct Investment High-value added employment: Builds the residentially based economy Strengthens the tax base.
8 How do we get there? Fresh Approaches to Economic Development Business Attraction Retention Start ups? Expansion Identify the region s principal economic assets and focus on these as sources of future growth Existing competitive advantages Shift markets not capabilities (B G) Timing is critical
9 How do we get there? Strengthen business competitiveness by reducing the unproductive public costs of business operations Invest in the region s and local jurisdictions infrastructure Increase the capacity of the region s educational and skills training institutions Unify local and regional approaches to economic development Reduce conflicting messages Compete, but avoid predatory practices
10 How do we get there? Messaging is important Intra-regional distinctions not usually recognized Re-brand the region s and local jurisdictions economic development images and business investment climates The world needs to get the message that Washington is on the move by action Regional partnerships are a powerful message Local/Internal messaging also important Economic development is a process Start with low hanging fruit
11 High-Value Added Economic Development Targets of Opportunities Redevelop Union Station into a 21 st Century transportation, employment and residential center; Grow Dulles Airport into a center for global business building on connectivity to regional, national and world economies; Develop the Washington region as a global medical complex; Implement the White Oak Science Gateway Plan centered on FDA; Market the Washington region as a world-class cultural and sports visitor destination; Capitalize on the region s federal labs and centers: Fort Belvoir, Fort Meade/NSA, NASA, Cybersecurity/FBI, NIH/FDA/BioTech; Accelerate Prince Wm Cty/GMU Innovation /Technology Center.
12 Thank You & Questions cra.gmu.edu
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