Virginia. Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part)

Transcription

1 Virginia Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) Scott County Washington County Bristol city Virginia Employment Commission 703 East Main Street Richmond, Virginia Tel: (804) Last updated: 7/6/2016 2:49:34 AM

2 Contents Table of Contents I. Introduction II. Demographic Profile Population by Age Cohort Population by Race/Ethnicity Population by Gender Population Change Population Projections by Age and Gender Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity English Language Skills Commuting Patterns In-Commuting Out-Commuting III Unemployment Rates Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Unemployment Insurance Payments Employers by Size of Establishment Employment by Size of Establishment Largest Employers Employment by Industry New Startup Firms New Hires by Industry Virginia Employment Commission Page 2 of 46

3 Contents Turnover by Industry Average Weekly Wage by Industry Age of Workers by Industry Industry Employment and Projections Occupation Employment and Projections Growth Occupations Declining Occupations Consumer Price Index (CPI) Local Option Sales Tax IV. Education Profile Educational Attainment Educational Attainment by Age Educational Attainment by Gender Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity Graduate Data Trends Training Providers Virginia Employment Commission Page 3 of 46

4 Introduction I. Introduction This report provides a community profile of Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). It is intended to complement the information found in our Virginia Workforce Connection application, which can be accessed online at: The report is divided into three major sections. The first contains a profile of regional demographic characteristics and trends, the second supplies similar information for the regional economy, and the third provides a profile of regional education characteristics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 4 of 46

5 Demographic Profile II. Demographic Profile Overview This Demographic Profile provides an in-depth analysis of the population in Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Most of the data is produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, and includes demographic characteristics such as age, race/ethnicity, and gender. Related Terms and Definitions Ability to speak English For people who speak a language other than English at home, the response represents the person's own perception of his or her ability to speak English. Because census questionnaires are usually completed by one household member, the responses may represent the perception of another household member. Age The age classification is based on the age of the person in complete years as of April 1, The age of the person usually was derived from their date of birth information. Their reported age was used only when date of birth information was unavailable. Gender The data on gender were derived from answers to a question that was asked of all people. Individuals were asked to mark either "male" or "female" to indicate their gender. For most cases in which gender was not reported, it was determined by the appropriate entry from the person's given (i.e., first) name and household relationship. Otherwise, gender was imputed according to the relationship to the householder and the age of the person. Race The concept of race as used by the Census Bureau reflects self-identification by people according to the race or races with which they most closely identify. The categories are sociopolitical constructs and should not be interpreted as being scientific or anthropological in nature. Furthermore, the race categories include both racial and national-origin groups. Please note: In the past, our population by race/ethnicity data has always excluded the Hispanic ethnicity from each race category. Starting in January 2013, each race category now includes all ethnicities. Virginia Employment Commission Page 5 of 46

6 Demographic Profile Population by Age Bristol MSA Virginia United States Under 5 years 4, ,625 20,201,362 5 to 9 years 5, ,849 20,348, to 14 years 5, ,246 20,677, to 19 years 5, ,965 22,040, to 24 years 5, ,091 21,585, to 29 years 5, ,342 21,101, to 34 years 5, ,077 19,962, to 39 years 6, ,063 20,179, to 44 years 6, ,865 20,890, to 49 years 7, ,155 22,708, to 54 years 7, ,845 22,298, to 59 years 7, ,595 19,664, to 64 years 6, ,369 16,817, to 69 years 5, ,302 12,435, to 74 years 4, ,502 9,278, to 79 years 3, ,929 7,317, to 84 years 2, ,801 5,743, years and over 2, ,403 5,493,433 95,888 8,001, ,745,538 Source: 2010 Census. Virginia Employment Commission Page 6 of 46

7 Demographic Profile Population by Race/Ethnicity Bristol MSA Virginia United States Total Total Population 95,888 8,001, ,745,538 Race White 92,163 5,486, ,553,265 Black or African American 1,834 1,551,399 38,929,319 American Indian or Alaska Native ,225 2,932,248 Asian ,890 14,674,252 Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 32 5, ,013 Other ,278 19,107,368 Multiple Races ,400 9,009,073 Ethnicity Not Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 94,709 7,369, ,267,944 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 1, ,825 50,477,594 Source: 2010 Census. Population by Gender Bristol MSA Virginia United States Male 46,956 3,925, ,781,326 Female 48,932 4,075, ,964,212 95,888 8,001, ,745,538 Source: 2010 Census. Virginia Employment Commission Page 7 of 46

8 Demographic Profile Population Change Bristol MSA (% change) Virginia (% change) ,873 7,079, , % 8,001, % , % 8,811, % , % 9,645, % , % 10,530, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Virginia Employment Commission. Did you know... you can log on to our website today and see population counts from each Decennial Census all the way back to 1900? Looking for annual population estimates? We have those too, all the way back to the 1970s! For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 8 of 46

9 Demographic Profile Population Projections by Age and Gender Female Male Female Male Female Male Under 5 years 2,278 2,319 2,313 2,355 2,370 2,414 5 to 9 years 2,399 2,483 2,449 2,537 2,499 2, to 14 years 2,814 3,017 2,633 2,826 2,716 2, to 19 years 2,802 3,031 2,673 2,890 2,778 3, to 24 years 2,498 2,678 2,765 2,955 2,636 2, to 29 years 2,528 2,640 2,614 2,729 2,537 2, to 34 years 2,636 2,690 2,625 2,681 2,953 3, to 39 years 2,957 2,940 2,949 2,929 3,107 3, to 44 years 2,903 3,001 2,949 3,050 2,995 3, to 49 years 3,200 3,280 3,166 3,239 3,210 3, to 54 years 3,477 3,311 3,232 3,070 3,343 3, to 59 years 3,778 3,606 3,480 3,323 3,503 3, to 64 years 3,987 3,626 3,715 3,369 3,506 3, to 69 years 3,594 3,241 3,828 3,454 3,588 3, to 74 years 3,201 2,778 3,680 3,191 3,487 3, to 79 years 2,357 1,771 2,970 2,231 3,218 2, to 84 years 1,567 1,042 2,166 1,440 2,537 1, years and over 1, , ,552 1,068 50,630 48,139 52,172 49,090 53,535 49,975 98, , ,510 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity Total Total Population 98, , ,512 Race White 93,818 94,273 93,401 Black or African American 1,976 2,111 2,167 Asian 650 1,065 1,743 Other 2,327 3,816 6,203 Ethnicity Not Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 96,641 97,356 96,412 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 2,130 3,910 7,100 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Virginia Employment Commission Page 9 of 46

10 Demographic Profile English Language Skills (Age 5 and over that speak English less than well) Total Speak English less than well Percent Bristol MSA 90, % Virginia 7,590, , % United States 291,484,482 13,402, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Commuting Patterns Commuting Patterns People who live and work in the area 18,022 In-Commuters 20,104 Out-Commuters 17,432 Net In-Commuters (In-Commuters minus Out-Commuters) 2,672 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics, Virginia Employment Commission Page 10 of 46

11 Demographic Profile Top 10 Places Residents are Commuting To Area Workers Sullivan County, TN 4,755 Smyth County, VA 1,783 Washington County, TN 1,168 Wise County, VA 1,086 Russell County, VA 830 Tazewell County, VA 653 Wythe County, VA 340 Roanoke city, VA 306 Hawkins County, TN 300 Norton city, VA 299 Top 10 Places Workers are Commuting From Area Workers Sullivan County, TN 6,239 Smyth County, VA 1,966 Russell County, VA 1,472 Lee County, VA 1,225 Wise County, VA 943 Dickenson County, VA 920 Tazewell County, VA 640 Washington County, TN 550 Wythe County, VA 437 Hawkins County, TN 367 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics, Please Note: Commuting patterns data is no longer produced from the Decennial Census. As an alternative, we are providing commuting data from the U.S. Census Bureau's OnTheMap application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics program. Since this data is produced from an entirely different data set, it is not advisable to compare the new data with previously released commuting patterns. For more information about the OnTheMap application or the LEHD program, please visit the following website: Virginia Employment Commission Page 11 of 46

12 III. Overview The of Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) consists primarily of data produced by the Virginia Employment Commission, U.S. Census Bureau, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Related Terms and Definitions Average Weekly Wage Computed as average quarterly wages divided by 13. Consumer Price Index (CPI) The Consumer Price Index measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative market basket of consumer goods and services. Local Employment Dynamics (LED) The Local Employment Dynamics Program at the Census Bureau, together with its state partners, provides employment information at the county, city, and Workforce Investment Area level. This information tracks workers in different industries by age and gender and provides statistics on job creation, separation, turnover, and wages. Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) A federal/state cooperative program that collects and compiles employment and wage data for workers covered by state unemployment insurance (UI) laws and the federal civilian workers covered by Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE). These data are maintained at the state in micro and macro levels and also sent to BLS quarterly. Unemployment Insurance (UI) Unemployment insurance is a program for the accumulation of funds paid by employers to be used for the payment of unemployment insurance to workers during periods of unemployment which are beyond the workers' control. Unemployment insurance replaces a part of the worker's wage loss if he becomes eligible for payments. Unemployment Rate The number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force. Virginia Employment Commission Page 12 of 46

13 Unemployment Rates Trends Bristol MSA Virginia United States % 3.6% 5.1% % 3.1% 4.6% % 3.0% 4.6% % 3.9% 5.8% % 6.7% 9.3% % 7.1% 9.6% % 6.6% 8.9% % 6.0% 8.1% % 5.7% 7.4% % 5.2% 6.2% % 4.4% 5.3% Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 13 of 46

14 Unemployment Rates Past 12 Months Bristol MSA Virginia United States May % 4.7% 5.3% Jun % 4.6% 5.5% Jul % 4.5% 5.6% Aug % 4.4% 5.2% Sep % 4.1% 4.9% Oct % 4.0% 4.8% Nov % 3.9% 4.8% Dec % 3.9% 4.8% Jan % 4.4% 5.3% Feb % 4.2% 5.2% Mar % 4.2% 5.1% Apr % 3.4% 4.7% May % 3.6% 4.5% Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 14 of 46

15 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) - (477 claimants) Total Number of Claimants : 33,139 Gender Bristol MSA Virginia Male ,925 Female ,737 Unspecified Race Bristol MSA Virginia White ,573 Black 21 12,653 American Native Asian Other 992 Hispanic or Latino 2 1,389 Age Bristol MSA Virginia Under 22 years to 24 years 11 1, to 34 years 76 7, to 44 years 125 7, to 54 years 125 8, to 64 years 109 6, years and over 27 1,534 Unknown Education Bristol MSA Virginia 8th Grade or Less Some High School 24 1,671 High School Grad/GED ,947 Some College/2-Yr Degree 127 8,614 Bachelor's Degree 57 4,675 Some Graduate School Post Graduate Degree 12 1,757 Unknown 25 2,858 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, June Virginia Employment Commission Page 15 of 46

16 Virginia - (32,662 claimants) Virginia Employment Commission Page 16 of 46

17 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Total Number of Claimants: 26,550 Top 5 Industries With Largest Number of Claimants in Bristol MSA (excludes unclassified) Industry Bristol MSA Virginia Accommodation and Food Services 26 2,491 Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 36 4,262 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 75 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Construction 25 2,388 Educational Services Finance and Insurance 13 1,261 Health Care and Social Assistance 24 2,779 Information Management of Companies and Enterprises Manufacturing Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Other Services (except Public Administration) Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 9 3,470 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Retail Trade 10 1,310 Transportation and Warehousing Unclassified 29 2,343 Utilities 31 Wholesale Trade 13 1,011 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, June Virginia Employment Commission Page 17 of 46

18 Virginia Employment Commission Page 18 of 46

19 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Total Number of Claimants: 33,139 Top 5 Occupation Groups With Largest Number of Claimants in Bristol MSA (excludes unclassified) Occupation Bristol MSA Virginia Architecture and Engineering Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occ Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occu Business and Financial Operations Occupations 8 1,491 Community and Social Service Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations 2 1,048 Construction and Extraction Occupations 34 2,560 Education, Training, and Library Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 2 75 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 23 1,766 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 30 1,126 Legal Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Management Occupations 21 2,607 Military Specific Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations 60 4,481 Personal Care and Service Occupations Production Occupations 101 3,188 Protective Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations 23 2,165 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 19 1,517 Unknown Occupation Code 63 5,211 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, June Virginia Employment Commission Page 19 of 46

20 Unemployment Insurance Payments Trends Bristol MSA Virginia Weeks Paid Amount Paid Weeks Paid Amount Paid ,314 $3,490,245 1,382,659 $327,192, ,568 $4,359,574 1,334,848 $334,996, ,711 $5,722,231 1,384,335 $364,789, ,723 $4,376,542 1,699,923 $468,544, ,266 $10,218,857 3,782,630 $1,069,206, ,236 $6,173,525 2,727,738 $748,174, ,052 $5,102,693 2,242,341 $612,702, ,038 $5,575,247 2,102,986 $592,044, ,193 $5,211,237 1,999,039 $574,074, ,705 $3,992,941 1,684,690 $490,522, ,929 $2,870,597 1,198,476 $351,290,100 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information Analytics, Unemployment Insurance Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 20 of 46

21 Unemployment Insurance Payments Past 12 Months Bristol MSA Virginia Weeks Paid Amount Paid Weeks Paid Amount Paid Jun $251, ,837 $34,597,061 Jul $240, ,901 $30,135,402 Aug ,140 $297, ,783 $33,126,995 Sep $230,058 90,254 $27,056,818 Oct $234,432 86,235 $25,959,114 Nov $272, ,537 $30,148,966 Dec ,039 $282, ,030 $30,759,228 Jan ,183 $314, ,944 $32,977,566 Feb ,555 $409, ,184 $42,572,243 Mar ,371 $378, ,436 $36,553,108 Apr ,220 $356, ,003 $31,571,994 May ,523 $452, ,078 $36,842,184 Jun ,424 $418, ,469 $30,441,828 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Unemployment Insurance Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 21 of 46

22 Employers by Size of Establishment Bristol MSA Virginia 0 to 4 employees 1, ,647 5 to 9 employees , to 19 employees , to 49 employees , to 99 employees 65 7, to 249 employees 42 3, to 499 employees 10 1, to 999 employees and over employees , ,288 Employment by Size of Establishment Bristol MSA Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. 'Zero; no employment' typically represents new startup firms or sole-proprietorships. Virginia 0 to 4 employees 2, ,741 5 to 9 employees 3, , to 19 employees 4, , to 49 employees 6, , to 99 employees 4, , to 249 employees 6, , to 499 employees 3, , to 999 employees 4, , and over employees 1, ,558 35,552 3,797,909 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 4th Quarter (October, November, December) Virginia Employment Commission Page 22 of 46

23 50 Largest Employers 1. Food City 2. Washington County Schools 3. Mountain States Health Al 4. Bristol Compressors International 5. Scott County School Board 6. Utility Trailer Manufacturing 7. Wal Mart 8. Electro Mechanical Corporation 9. Camac Corporation 10. Emory and Henry College 11. City of Bristol 12. Bristol City Public Schools 13. Paramont Manufacturing 14. Washington County 15. Highlands Community Services Board 16. Snack Alliance Inc 17. Sw Virginia Regional Jail Auth 18. U.P.S. 19. Lowes' Home Centers, Inc. 20. Strongwell 21. Virginia Highlands Community College 22. Joy Technologies 23. VDOT 24. Tempur Production 25. Columbus McKinnon Corporation 26. Town of Abingdon 27. Ball Metal Beverage Container Group 28. Professional Employment Services 29. Kroger 30. Kearney National, Inc. 31. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store 32. People, Inc. 33. McDonald's 34. Bristol City Utilities Board 35. Cabela's 36. Highlands Union Bank 37. VFP Inc. 38. Postal Service 39. Alpha Natural Resources Service 40. Bristol Health Care Center 41. Family Preservation Services 42. Ridgecrest Manor Nursing & Rehabilitation 43. Office Depot Incorporated 44. Lux Enterprises Inc 45. County of Scott 46. Abingdon Health & Rehab Center 47. Barter Foundation, Inc. 48. Wendy's 49. Atwork Personnel Service 50. Burger King Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 4th Quarter (October, November, December) Did you know... you can search over 300,000 employer listings on our website provided by Infogroup? This easy-to-use feature lets you search for employers by keyword, industry, sales volume, size range, and more! For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 23 of 46

24 Employment by Industry Total: 35,553 Note: Asterisk (*) indicates non-disclosable data. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 4th Quarter (October, November, December) Virginia Employment Commission Page 24 of 46

25 New Startup Firms Bristol MSA Virginia 4th Qtr ,999 1st Qtr ,238 2nd Qtr ,538 3rd Qtr ,792 4th Qtr ,751 1st Qtr ,404 2nd Qtr ,299 3rd Qtr ,317 4th Qtr ,531 1st Qtr ,923 2nd Qtr ,749 3rd Qtr ,396 4th Qtr ,072 Note: The following criteria was used to define new startup firms: 1.) Setup and liability date both occurred during 4th Quarter (October, November, December) ) Establishment had no predecessor UI Account Number 3.) Private Ownership 4.) Average employment is less than ) For multi-unit establishments, the parent company must also meet the above criteria. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 4th Quarter (October, November, December) Virginia Employment Commission Page 25 of 46

26 New Hires by Industry Total: Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) 2015, all ownerships. Virginia Employment Commission Page 26 of 46

27 Turnover by Industry Average: Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 1st Quarter (January, February, March) 2015, all ownerships. Virginia Employment Commission Page 27 of 46

28 Average Weekly Wage by Industry Note: Asterisk (*) indicates non-disclosable data. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 4th Quarter (October, November, December) Virginia Employment Commission Page 28 of 46

29 Age of Workers by Industry Total, All Industries Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) Public Administration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) 2015, all ownerships. What is LED? Developed by the U.S. Census Bureau, the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) program merges Virginia's Unemployment Compensation wage and employer records with Census demographic data. Read more about LED on the following website: Virginia Employment Commission Page 29 of 46

30 Industry Employment and Projections Long Term Employment Percent Estimated 2014 Projected 2024 Change Total Annual Total, All Industries 3,977,869 4,345, , %.89% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 58,935 54,824-4, % -.72% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 7,470 7, % -.29% Utilities 10,631 9,516-1, % -1.1% Construction 178, ,963 22, % 1.21% Manufacturing 231, ,778-11, % -.52% Wholesale Trade 110, ,430 3, %.32% Retail Trade 413, ,557 29, %.68% Transportation and Warehousing 107, ,524 5, %.5% Information 71,474 69,426-2, % -.29% Finance and Insurance 129, ,636 11, %.86% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 51,535 53,346 1, %.35% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 389, ,829 70, % 1.68% Management of Companies and Enterprises 74,283 77,075 2, %.37% Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 214, ,450 19, %.88% Educational Services 352, ,156 42, % 1.14% Health Care and Social Assistance 418, ,689 97, % 2.11% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 49,367 55,167 5, % 1.12% Accommodation and Food Services 321, ,330 31, %.93% Other Services (except Public Administration) 131, ,824 12, %.91% Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 30 of 46

31 Industry Employment and Projections Short Term Employment Percent Estimated 2015 Projected 2017 Change Total Annual Total, All Industries 3,977,496 4,093, , % 1.45% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 4,210 4, % 2.61% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 6,805 5, % -7.13% Utilities 10,717 10, % -.1% Construction 185, ,598 10, % 2.82% Manufacturing 232, , %.09% Wholesale Trade 110, ,188 1, %.54% Retail Trade 412, ,889 9, % 1.15% Transportation and Warehousing 112, ,619 4, % 2.1% Information 69,554 68, % -.65% Finance and Insurance 131, ,266 4, % 1.71% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 52,593 53, %.89% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 394, ,625 15, % 1.89% Management of Companies and Enterprises 74,086 75,252 1, %.78% Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 224, ,780 12, % 2.74% Educational Services 365, ,071 6, %.92% Health Care and Social Assistance 427, ,476 18, % 2.19% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 56,096 57,991 1, % 1.68% Accommodation and Food Services 334, ,857 15, % 2.27% Other Services (except Public Administration) 133, ,332 2, %.92% Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia Statewide. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Short Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 31 of 46

32 Occupation Employment and Projections Long Term Employment Openings Estimated 2014 Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Growth Total Total, All Occupations 3,977,869 4,345, % 91,873 39, ,569 Management Occupations 245, , % 5,341 1,643 6,984 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 272, , % 5,310 3,135 8,445 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 199, , % 2,856 3,613 6,469 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 77,469 80, % 1, ,280 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 33,772 37, % ,200 Community and Social Service Occupations 52,465 60, % 1, ,907 Legal Occupations 43,393 46, % ,141 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 235, , % 5,024 2,986 8,010 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 60,392 65, % 1, , , , % 4,463 3,731 8,194 Healthcare Support Occupations 88, , % 1,946 2,539 4,485 Protective Service Occupations 104, , % 2,450 1,230 3,680 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 314, , % 11,703 3,621 15, , , % 2,944 1,058 4,002 Personal Care and Service Occupations 148, , % 3,107 2,353 5,460 Sales and Related Occupations 421, , % 12,435 2,627 15,062 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 549, , % 11,542 3,762 15,304 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 39,772 37, % 1, ,074 Construction and Extraction Occupations 183, , % 2,794 1,840 4,634 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 151, , % 3,482 1,310 4,792 Production Occupations 179, , % 3, ,384 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 226, , % 5,378 1,351 6,729 Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 32 of 46

33 Occupation Employment and Projections Short Term Employment Openings Estimated 2015 Projected 2017 % Change Replace -ments Growth Total Total, All Occupations 3,977,496 4,093, % 92,736 59, ,907 Management Occupations 211, , % 4,446 2,618 7,064 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 276, , % 4,962 4,098 9,060 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 203, , % 2,536 4,451 6,987 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 78,184 79, % 1, ,349 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 33,613 34, % ,098 Community and Social Service Occupations 53,847 56, % 1,101 1,105 2,206 Legal Occupations 43,892 44, % ,140 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 243, , % 5,092 2,624 7,716 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 61,233 62, % 1, , , , % 4,160 3,102 7,262 Healthcare Support Occupations 90,672 94, % 1,859 1,842 3,701 Protective Service Occupations 105, , % 2,354 1,081 3,435 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 327, , % 14,249 7,644 21, , , % 2,839 2,694 5,533 Personal Care and Service Occupations 155, , % 3,230 3,728 6,958 Sales and Related Occupations 423, , % 13,691 4,790 18,481 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 554, , % 11,737 5,962 17,699 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 6,868 7, % Construction and Extraction Occupations 187, , % 2,884 4,098 6,982 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 152, , % 3,384 2,080 5,464 Production Occupations 181, ,120 1% 3,937 1,364 5,301 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 229, , % 5,304 3,878 9,182 Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia Statewide. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Short Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 33 of 46

34 Growth Occupations Estimated 2014 Employment Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections and OES wage data are for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Survey, Average Annual Openings Growth Total Average Annual Salary Occupational Therapy Assistants 795 1, % $61,617 Physical Therapist Aides 1,130 1, % $24,831 Home Health Aides 9,928 14, % $22,348 Personal Financial Advisors 5,568 8, % $115,536 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians % $22,133 Nurse Practitioners 3,522 5, % $98,401 Physical Therapist Assistants 2,085 2, % $54,587 Hearing Aid Specialists % $49,721 Audiologists % $82,490 Physician Assistants 2,070 2, % $88,328 Interpreters and Translators 2,381 3, % $72,632 Nurse Midwives % $83,664 Statisticians 945 1, % $82,715 Commercial Divers % $55,080 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists % $96,870 Physical Therapists 4,905 6, % $86,869 Operations Research Analysts 5,560 7, % $106,494 Forensic Science Technicians % $68,029 Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators *** *** *** *** *** *** N/A Phlebotomists 3,465 4, % $32,485 Virginia Employment Commission Page 34 of 46

35 Declining Occupations Estimated 2014 Employment Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Openings Growth Locomotive Firers *** *** *** *** *** *** Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles Total % Telephone Operators % Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators 2,660 1, % ,189 1, % ,494 1, % Postmasters and Mail Superintendents *** *** *** *** *** *** Postal Service Clerks 1,898 1, % Postal Service Mail Carriers 7,053 5, % Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Textile Cutting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 1,636 1, % , % % ,979 1, % *** *** *** *** *** *** % % % ,067 1, % Motion Picture Projectionists % Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic % Virginia Employment Commission Page 35 of 46

36 Consumer Price Index (CPI) All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Ann. % chg Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Ann. % chg Note: CPI data is for the United States only. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). The CPI-U includes expenditures by urban wage earners and clerical workers, professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees and others not in the labor force. The CPI-W only includes expenditures by those in hourly wage earning or clerical jobs. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes (CPI) Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 36 of 46

37 Education Profile Local Option Sales Tax Trends Bristol MSA Virginia 2005 $10,459,280 $976,923, $11,186,861 $1,028,544, $11,958,283 $1,056,766, $12,070,758 $1,032,815, $11,755,673 $979,594, $11,910,563 $992,820, $12,485,868 $1,035,981, $12,553,547 $1,080,663, $12,173,986 $1,093,292, $12,492,239 $1,131,194, $12,502,638 $1,159,296,384 Note: This data is based on Virginia sales tax revenues deposited, rather than the actual taxable sales figures as reported on a dealer's return. Source: Virginia Department of Taxation, Revenue Forecasting. Virginia Employment Commission Page 37 of 46

38 Education Profile Local Option Sales Tax Past 12 Months Bristol MSA Virginia Apr $1,050,157 $97,102,804 May 2015 $1,085,321 $100,527,553 Jun $897,405 $83,115,661 Jul $1,085,634 $98,165,027 Aug $1,064,924 $97,815,827 Sep $1,079,033 $100,643,142 Oct $1,066,909 $103,779,216 Nov $1,081,941 $95,879,771 Dec $1,317,792 $119,052,844 Jan $847,018 $82,117,925 Feb $920,983 $87,669,475 Mar $1,119,493 $103,129,428 Apr $1,017,557 $96,492,946 Note: This data is based on Virginia sales tax revenues deposited, rather than the actual taxable sales figures as reported on a dealer's return. Source: Virginia Department of Taxation, Revenue Forecasting. Virginia Employment Commission Page 38 of 46

39 Education Profile IV. Education Profile Overview The Education Profile for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) provides an assortment of data collected from the United States Census Bureau and the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). Related Terms and Definitions Associate's degree An award that normally requires at least two but less than four years of full-time equivalent college work. Bachelor's degree An award that normally requires at least four but not more than five years of full-time equivalent college-level work. Post-baccalaureate certificate An award that requires completion of an organized program of study equivalent to 18 semester credit hours beyond the bachelor's. It is designed for persons who have completed a bachelor's degree, but do not meet the requirements of a master s degree. Master's degree An award that requires the successful completion of a program of study of at least the full-time equivalent of one but not more than two academic years of work beyond the bachelor's degree. Post-master's certificate An award that requires completion of an organized program of study equivalent to 24 semester credit hours beyond the master's degree, but does not meet the requirements of academic degrees at the doctor's level. Doctor's degree The highest award a student can earn for graduate study. First-professional degree An award that requires completion of a program that meets all of the following criteria: (1) completion of the academic requirements to begin practice in the profession; (2) at least two years of college work prior to entering the program; and (3) a total of at least six academic years of college work to complete the degree program, including prior required college work plus the length of the professional program itself. Virginia Employment Commission Page 39 of 46

40 Education Profile Educational Attainment (Population 18 years and over) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Bristol MSA Virginia United States 8th Grade or Less 6, ,115 12,784,424 Some High School 7, ,399 20,503,405 High School Grad/GED 26,163 1,624,572 67,676,791 Some College 16,314 1,446,589 57,067,855 Associate's Degree 6, ,110 18,086,174 Bachelor's Degree 9,468 1,230,312 40,974,057 Graduate or Professional Degree 4, ,750 23,236,720 76,621 6,322, ,329,426 Virginia Employment Commission Page 40 of 46

41 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Age Total 8th Grade or Less ,730 3,955 6,035 Some High School ,810 2,516 7,645 High School Grad/GED 2,682 3,689 3,967 9,818 6,007 26,163 Some College 3,231 2,371 2,669 5,515 2,528 16,314 Associate's Degree ,287 2, ,021 Bachelor's Degree 590 2,069 1,844 3,332 1,633 9,468 Graduate or Professional Degree ,094 2,092 1,165 4,975 Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, ,764 10,472 11,970 27,986 18,429 76,621 Virginia Employment Commission Page 41 of 46

42 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Gender (Population 18 years and over) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Male Female Total 8th Grade or Less 3,167 2,868 6,035 Some High School 4,171 3,474 7,645 High School Grad/GED 13,221 12,942 26,163 Some College 7,498 8,816 16,314 Associate's Degree 2,304 3,717 6,021 Bachelor's Degree 4,411 5,057 9,468 Graduate or Professional Degree 2,509 2,466 4,975 37,281 39,340 76,621 Virginia Employment Commission Page 42 of 46

43 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity (Population 25 years and over) Less than high school diploma High school grad, GED, or alternative Some college or associate's degree Bachelor's degree or higher Total Race Ethnicity White 12,566 22,715 17,880 13,513 66,674 Black or African American ,245 American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Other Multiple Races Hispanic or Latino (of any race) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, ,056 23,563 18,919 14,011 69,549 Virginia Employment Commission Page 43 of 46

44 Education Profile Virginia Employment Commission Page 44 of 46

45 Education Profile Graduate Data Trends Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) Cert. <1 yr. Cert. 1-2 yrs. Assoc. Cert. 2-4 yrs. BA Cert. Post-BA MA Cert. Post-MA Ph.D. 1st Prof Note: This table only reflects the degrees completed from institutions within Bristol MSA. Virginia Statewide Cert. <1 yr. Cert. 1-2 yrs. Assoc. Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (IES). Cert. 2-4 yrs. BA Cert. Post-BA MA Cert. Post-MA ,245 3,079 11, , , , ,465 3,772 11, , , ,033 2, ,983 3,831 11, , , ,268 2, ,213 4,298 14, , , ,440 2, ,478 3,686 15, , , ,516 2, ,197 3,813 16, , , ,080 2, ,259 4,587 17, , , , ,648 8,158 21, , , ,100 2, ,972 12,557 24, ,109 1,055 20, ,329 2, ,825 12,801 26, ,051 1,215 21, ,095 3, ,153 12,179 25, ,778 1,067 22, ,230 2,963 Ph.D. 1st Prof. Did you know... you can search over 2,300 school listings online provided by the U.S. Department of Education? For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 45 of 46

46 Education Profile Training Providers Virginia Highlands Community College 100 Vhcc Drive Abingdon, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 662 Emory and Henry College Garnand Drive Emory, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 194 Virginia Intermont College 1013 Moore Street Bristol, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 88 Washington County Adult Skill Center 848 Thompson Dr Abingdon, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 67 Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (IES), Virginia Employment Commission Page 46 of 46