Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, August 20, :30 a.m. EDT

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1 Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, August 20, :30 a.m. EDT 1

2 Significant Activity: Aug Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours Eastern Pacific Area 1 (Medium/30%); Area 2 (Low/10%) Central Pacific Tropical Depression Three-C; Area 2 (Low/10%) Western Pacific Tropical Storm 01C (Pewa) Significant Weather: Showers and thunderstorms Southeast, Deep South and Texas Gulf Coast Rain and thunderstorms Upper Midwest Thunderstorms Rockies, Four Corners and Great Basin Critical Fire Weather Areas: None Red Flag Warnings: CA, OR & ID Space Weather: No space weather storms observed/predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: FMAG approved for Lolo Creek Complex Fire, MT 2

3 Atlantic Tropical Outlook Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT 3

4 Eastern Pacific Tropical Outlook This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 4

5 Eastern Pacific Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT Broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles SSW of Manzanillo, Mexico Moving N and then NNW Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development Tropical Depression could form next several days Probability of tropical cyclone development: Next 48 hours: Medium (30%) Next 5 days: High (80%) 5

6 Eastern Pacific Area 2 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT Located 900 miles SW of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico Remaining nearly stationary, moving slowly north Development, if any, should be slow to occur next several days Probability of tropical cyclone development: Next 48 hours: Low (near 10%) Next 5 days: Low (20%) 6

7 Central Pacific Tropical Outlook This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 7

8 Central Pacific TD Three-C As of 8:00 a.m. EDT Located 1,250 miles WSW of Lihue, Hawaii Moving westward at 17 mph Maximum sustained winds 35 mph Motion expected to continue until dissipation next couple of days 8

9 Central Pacific Area 2 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT Disturbance located 650 miles SE of Hilo, Hawaii Intensification, if any, will be slow over next couple of days Probability of tropical cyclone development: Next 48 Hours: Low chance (10%) 9

10 Western Pacific -Tropical Storm 01C (Pewa) As of 5:00 a.m. EDT Located 506 miles ESE of Wake Island Moving NW at 12 mph Maximum sustained winds 51 mph w/ gusts up to 63 mph Will pass 260 miles NE of Wake Island on Aug 21 at 2:00 p.m. EDT Population of Wake Island is 150 DOD Employees/Contractors 10

11 National Weather Forecast 11

12 Active Watches/Warnings 12

13 Precipitation Forecast 3 Day Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 13

14 River Forecast 7 Day 15

15 Convective Outlooks Days 1 3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 16

16 Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 8 Day 1 Day 2 Day

17 Hazard Outlook: August

18 Space Weather NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme) Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: None None None Geomagnetic Storms None None None Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity

19 Tornado Update 22

20 Mid-August Fire Season Update Fire / Acres Burned as of August YTD 10 Year Avg. Fires 31,683 52,700 Acres 3,328,032 5,397,176 24

21 Mid-August Fire Season Update 25

22 Mid-August Fire Season Update 26

23 Mid-August Fire Season Update 27

24 Mid-August Fire Season Update 28

25 U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels National Preparedness Level: 5 Description: Geographic Areas are experiencing major incidents which have the potential to exhaust all agency fire resources. 80% of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed, as well as the majority of other resources. PL 4 PL 3 PL 4 PL 3 PL 5 PL 2 PL 3 PL 2 PL 1 PL 1 As of August 20, 2013 PL 3 PL 1 PL 5 Minimal Extreme 29

26 National Fire Activity August 20, 2013 National Preparedness Level: 5 Initial Attack Activity: Moderate (262 new fires) New Large Fires: 8 Large Fires Contained: 3 Uncontained Large Fires: 48 Area Command Teams committed: 0 NIMOs (National Incident Management Organization) Committed: 2 Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 10 Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 21 Affected States: ID, UT, CA, OR, WA, MT, WY, NV, AK & AZ 30

27 Lolo Creek Complex Fire MT Fire Name Location Acres burned % Contained Est. Full Containment FMAG Structures Lost / Threatened Fatalities / Injuries Lolo Creek Complex Fire Missoula County 3,500 0% N/A FEMA-5047-FM-MT (August 19, 2013) 0 / / 0 Situation Began August 19, comprised of West Fork 2 Fire and Schoolhouse Fire 10 miles south of Missoula (pop. 67,290); 10 miles west of Lolo (pop. 3,892) Mandatory evacuations for 500 residents 1 shelter open 3 occupants (NSS 0700 EDT Aug 20) Threatening 50 businesses, 1,200 residences, 2 schools, Traveler's Rest State Park and main BPA 500kv power line Response Governor declared a State of Emergency 80 firefighting personnel supporting the firefight MT State EOC is at Normal Operations FEMA Region VIII RRCC at Watch/Steady State; RWC is monitoring 31

28 Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) Beaver Creek (Camas & Blaine Counties) Government Flat Complex (Wasco County) FMAG # FEMA-5045-FM-ID August 15, 2013 FEMA-5046-FM-OR August 18, 2013 Acres burned 104,461 (+3,540) % Contained Est. Containment date Idaho (1) Oregon (1) Evacuations Structures Threatened Structures Destroyed Fatalities / Injuries 9% (+1) Mandatory 10, /3 1,500 10% (-5) Mandatory /0 32

29 Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 1 Date Requested 0 0 Karuk Tribe DR Wildfire August 16,

30 FMAG Requests and Declarations Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State Requests DENIED 0 Requests APPROVED 1 Lolo Creek Complex Montana FMAG 5047-FM-MT approved August 19, 2013 Year YTD Approved FMAG Data MTD + Monthly Average Cumulative Acres Burned at time of requests Denied FMAGs , , Reflects the 3-year average for current month 34

31 Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region IV State / Location TN Event Severe Weather August 8-9, 2013 Number of Counties IA/PA Start End Requested Complete PA 1 0 8/19 - TBD IV NC Heavy Rains & Severe Weather July, 2013 PA /21 - TBD VI AR Flooding August 8-14, 2013 PA 6 0 8/19 - TBD VII MO Severe Storms, Flooding & High Winds August 2, 2013 & continuing IA 17 (-1) 11 8/15 - TBD PA /14 - TBD VII KS Severe Storms July 22, 2013 & continuing PA /19 - TBD VIII Rosebud Reservation Severe Storms July 30, 2013 IA 1 0 PA 1 0 8/19 - TBD 36

32 Open Field Offices as of August 20,

33 OFDC Cadre Member Status Federal Coordinating Officer Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 12* * All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions As of: 08/9/

34 MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status Location Units Assigned MCOV FLEET STATUS Available FMC Deployed Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS MERS Maynard MERS Frederick MERS Thomasville DC Ft Worth MERS Denver MERS Bothell Sacramento En Route Unit Prep TOTAL TOTAL Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0 Open Request Notes: Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55 Data as of:

35 Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013) Data as of:

36 IA Registration Statistics DR/EM # - State IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 19, 1500 Registrations Approved Applicants Total HA Approved Total ONA Approved Total IHP Approved OK 15,301 3,549 $9,639,210 $4,358,396 $13,997, AK $1,137,935 $1,464,597 $2,602,533 Totals 15,655 3,793 $10,777,146 $5,822,993 $16,600, hour change $16,471 +$38,022 +$54,493 NPSC Call Data for August 18, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 540 Average time to answer call 14 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 2 minutes, 21 seconds / 09 seconds 41

37 Housing Inspection Statistics DR # - State Inspectors Inspection Data as of August 19, 1500 Inspections Assigned Inspections Completed Inspection % Complete Turnaround Time (Days) OK 7 8,276 8, % AK % 3.1 TOTAL 8 8,649 8, % hour change %

38 FEMA Workforce Status Report Workforce Type Total Available To Deploy Deployed Committed To Other Activities or Exempt from Deployment Operational Readiness Reservist 6,341 3,650 (57%) 2,020 (32%) 671 (11%) Mission Capable Cadre of On-Call Response Employees (CORE) 2, (38%) 1,589 (62%) 9 (0%) Mission Capable Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,003 1,968 (40%) 532 (10%) *2,503 (50%) Mission Capable FEMA Corps (0%) 161 (54%) 148 (46%) Mission Capable DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,907 1,712 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,195 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation Workforce Totals 18,132 8,304 (46%) 4,302 (24%) 5,526 (30%) = <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable *This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support mission critical home station, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel **Deployable based on FEMA s need for DHS activation = >80% Deployed = >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation Data as of 8/16/13 Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee 43

39 FEMA Corps Team Locations Starting Monday, info will be provided for Monday Briefings from now on 44

40 IMAT Status National Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Blue/White East West Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST* Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1 Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2 Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X Region IV-2 *SRST Standing Rock Sioux Tribe = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Not Mission Capable 45

41 Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) Monthly On Call Rotation JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC WEST CENTRAL EAST Team Status Team Status Team Status CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally Available CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF1 Available CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available UT-TF1 Available = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service 46

42 RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7) II Watch/Steady State 24/7 III Watch/Steady State 24/7 IV Watch/Steady State 24/7 V Watch/Steady State 24/7 VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7) VII Watch/Steady State 24/7 VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7) IX Watch/Steady State 24/7 X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7) 47

43 National Team Status Team/Status Current Location Remarks National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated HLT Miami, FL Activated DEST Washington, DC Not Activated Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable 48

44 50

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