8th ASA-DPRI Forum on integrated disaster management Induno Olona 1-2 September 2008

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1 8th ASA-DPRI Forum on integrated disaster management Induno Olona 1-2 September 2008 Integrated modeling and multi-risk mapping session Alberto Susini Geneva, CH Page 1

2 Département Office Plan of the presentation : answers to the workshop questions 1. Common or practical needs for multi-risk maps 2. Needs of mapping technical/natural risk/hazards 3. Methodological challenges Page 1

3 Common or practical needs for multi-risk maps Département Office Unified criterias for risk calculations, generalizaton by use of 1. Reference scenarios with reference substances 2. Reference accidental probabilities 3. Reference calculations for damage extent 4. Allowing the use of site specific data Unified criterias for risk calculations outputs 1. Collective risks 2. Individual risk contours 3. Damage extent 4. Classification / prioritzation of risk Interactive ICT structure 1. Data model 2. Data sources 3. Shared data from other databases Page 1

4 Needs of mapping technical/natural risk/hazards Département Office Customized information risk management products for different end users 1. Land-use planners: - damage extent, individual risk contour 2. Emergency response : - Plant location, plant content and properties, collective risks 3. Decision makers, policy authorities (permits, water agencies) : - Prioritization of risks, collective risks, individual risk contours 4. Real estate, engineerig companies, public : - Plant location, damage extent Page 1

5 Integration of technical risks into a Risk-register Data model of the cantonal risk register Railways Highway Trafic-way Plants Gas pipeline Oil pipeline Aircraft Environment Damage Frequency Population Scenario Release of oil chlorinated substances Risk Principles of risk calculation Scenario Fire, Expl. Toxic, Infection Soil Water Air Death Injuries Groundwater Surface water collective Individual Page 5

6 Digital risk maps of facilities, highway, railway and pipelines and air crash Collective risks Individual risks (vulnerability zones) Fictious results Page 6

7 8th IASA-DPRI 1-2 september 2008 Chemical risks versus biological risks (contained use) in the Geneva area (Fictious results) Page 7

8 8th IASA-DPRI 1-2 september 2008 Data comparison between CH (SITG) and F (PRODIGE) Département Office Needs : common transboundary criterias and interconnection for cartographic risk assessment and risk registers Fictious results Page 1

9 Needs of mapping technical/natural risk/hazards Example : Integration of airport risks in the Geneva Risk register STEP 1 Geneva airport risk mapping project : Global study of the Geneva airport air trafic on individual and collective risks Transformation of the global results in an hectometric raster of aircrash frequency STEP 2 Integration of the hectometric aircrash frequency in the risk register Integration of the aircrash frequency in the informatic calculation model Development of specific maximizations of damage extent scenarios due to aircrash Calculation of the new aircraft risk on the facility by the sum of both values STEP 3 Use of the methodology for sismic risks (future work) Integration of the hectometric sismic frequency raster in the calculation model Development of specific maximizations of damage extent scenarios due to a sismic event Calculaton in the database with the same model as for arcrash Page 9

10 Needs of mapping technical/natural risk/hazards Aircrash frequencies versus aircrash contribution to risk in hazardous faclities Aircrash-Risiken...hier sieht man gut, dass im Bereich der hohen Absturzwahrscheinlichkeiten (gelb bis rot) die Aircrash-Risiken hoch sind. Fictious results Page 10

11 Methodological challenges Information architecture : data sources Data related to hazards managed by the competent authorities : - Exact storages and location of chemicals - Administrative practices (permits, licences, inspections) Shared data managed from other competent centers : - Plant adresses - Cartographic layers - Thematic portals : availability of other environmental Interactive ICT technologies - Data flows between database and GIS Page 11

12 IT infrastructure and GIS visualization process 8 th IASA-DPRI 1-2 september 2008 Data and process flow of the Geneva Industrial Environment & Risk Management Systems Federal Coordination Center for Biotechnology Geneva Canton Information System Industrial Environnement Management System (SI GEI) Ecogen Projects Information https Inspection site Information Use rs Ecogen Portal Plant data Federal companies center BUR-REE Geneva Companies Center (REG) Use rs https Use rs BUR- https REE Portal Plant Risks Calculation Geomatic Competence Center (SITG) Cantonal Chemical and Biological Risk Management System (CCR) https Use rs Page 12

13 Difficulties suffered when implementing the experience, recommandations for local authorities Availability of the data from different authorities Building of a regional partnership for data sharing Implementation of an accurate data diffusion Use of the data : define new indicators (biological safety) Page 13

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