Lending to Commodity Traders

Transcription

1 CAPITAL MARKETS by Bruce W. Frazier and Gino E. Verza his article presents a framework for bank lending based on the fundamentals of commodity trading. It highlights central issues in the credit management process, such as risk underwriting criteria, credit structuring, and risk control; touches on the essential impact of technology over the activities of trading firms and banks, such as information management and transaction processing; and reviews a broad range of benefits available to commodity traders using banking services. he predominant activity of commodity trading companies (CTCs) is the commerce of commodities, domestically or across borders. Their core business is in buying and selling commodities with little or no value added to the commodity from a manufacturing point of view. Inherent in these activities is the risk related to owning the commodity and collecting the sale s proceeds. Characteristics of CTCs are shown in Figure 1. Typically return on sales (ROS) is low because of competitive commodity market pricing and the low value added to the commodity by the trading firm. Return on equity (ROE) is driven by high asset turnover (AT) and high leverage (L). High AT and high L are a function of the short duration of the asset conversion cycle and the high quality of the trading assets (high liquidity). Brokering can increase ROE through brokerage fees earned without using the firm s balance sheet, bypassing ownership risk. The large financing requirements of commodity traders compared with their equity are met by ROE = Net Profits/Equity = ROS = Net Profits/Sales AT = Sales/Total Assets L = Total Assets/Equity ROS x AT x L banks, suppliers, and parent/affiliates. Bank financing is generally transactional in nature because the purpose and the repayment of financing are closely connected with the conversion of specific trading assets into cash. Suppliers provide short financing terms or require cash upon delivery due to the high liquidity of commodities. Intercompany financing may be tied to a specific transaction or support the overall capital position of the firm, for example, 1998 by RMA. Frazier is senior vice president, Bank of America NT & SA. Verza is vice president, Bank of America NT & SA. Both work in the International Trade Bank and specialize in international trade credit management and supervision. 24 The Journal of Lending & Credit Risk Management January 1998

2 Figure 1 Commodity Trading Companies Traders Characteristics Attributes Sophisticated Less Sophisticated Activity Active in commodity trading with a broad Active in commodity trading with a narrow Type network of suppliers and customers. network of suppliers and customers. Focuses on short-term commodity trading. Focuses on short-term commodity trading, May invest in long-term projects interna- Does not invest in projects internationally. tionally to ensure commodity sourcing or for other reasons. Takes ownership risk in the commodity/ Takes ownership risk in the commodity investment. traded. Experienced in brokering transactions Little or no experience in brokering (bypassing ownership risk). transactions. Commodity Trades in one or a few commodity families Predominantly trades in one commodity Traded and, to a minor extent, may trade in family. noncommodities. Product offering depends on strategy (see below). Country/ Operates in many markets worldwide. Does business in a few markets/countries. Market Has physical presence in many countries May have a direct or indirect presence in Coverage through affiliates (direct) and/or through a few countries. third-party representatives (indirect). Strategy/ Extensive use of advanced technology in Uses advanced technology. Management global data access for decision making and Ownership transaction processing. Uses banks for integrated linkages with Uses banks primarily for credit. customers and suppliers for processing, cash management, and treasury management. Well-defined risk management process and related accountabilities. When CTC is part of a major conglomerate: When CTC is not part of a conglomerate: w Senior management is appointed by parent w Management is in the hands of owners/ company. owning family. w Strategy is a function of the objectives of w Independent strategic focus. the entire group parent and affiliates worldwide (for example, Japanese and Korean trading companies). w Profits may not be a necessary objective w Profits are a necessary objective. given group objectives (intercompany pricing). Size/ Annual revenues run into the billions of Annual revenues run into the hundreds of Financial dollars. millions of dollars. Capacity Shares of parent may be publicly traded. Privately owned. Group has access to bank credit and to Access to bank credit. Little or no access to capital markets globally. capital markets. May receive financial support from group (for example, intercompany loans, soft intercompany pricing). 25

3 subordinated debt. Commodities Characteristics Commodities include goods such as: Grains and feeds, including corn, wheat, and soybeans. Livestock and meat, including cattle, hogs, and pork bellies. Food and fiber, including cocoa, coffee, sugar, cotton, and orange juice. Metals and petroleum, including copper, gold, platinum, silver, crude oil, gasoline. Lumber, including wood and paper products. Commodities represent good collateral value for bank financing because they are highly liquid and traded worldwide in large volumes at easily determinable prices. Their attractiveness, however, is diminished by their susceptibility to spoilage and by price volatility. Core Activities and Risks The asset conversion cycle (order, pay, sell, and collect) of commodity traders entails two major activities: 1. Holding, for which risk is related to owning the commodity prior to sale. Negative outcomes related to this risk include: Physical loss (spoilage/obsolescence). Value loss (price decline/volatility). Market demand loss (illiquidity). 2. Collecting, for which risk is related to obtaining payment from the customer after the sale is made. Negative outcomes related to this risk include: Loss from customer s inability to pay when due (commercial risk). Loss from shortage or unavailability of foreign exchange to the customer (country risk). Loss due to currency devaluation (foreign currency risk). When compared with shorter holding and collecting periods, longer periods are subject to greater exposure to loss because of spoilage and price decline. Longer periods also produce greater costs, such as interest expense for carrying inventory and accounts receivable. Therefore, longer periods require higher profit margins to compensate for greater exposure to loss, higher costs, and lower rate of asset turnover. Competitive Advantages Commodity traders can add value to their customers businesses based on their own competitive advantages. These can include the following: Management expertise in specific commodities, particularly concerning trends, ways to mitigate aggregate portfolio risks, and swift transaction decisionmaking. Enhanced strategic commodity sourcing at negotiated terms, rather than market sourcing at standard terms. This can be achieved by maintaining longstanding relationships with suppliers, including joint ventures and other cooperative arrangements. A globally diversified base of suppliers and customers. Effective systems support for linking the trading company with its network of customers, suppliers, counterparties, and lending banks, thus facilitating effective information, risk management, transaction processing, and treasury management. At the center of these competitive advantages is the trading companies strategic focus on their own customers. This strategic focus encompasses: Market selection national or regional. Customer profile wholesalers, distributors, or retailers. Services provided selling on small amounts, longer terms, or just-in-time inventory delivery. Bank Financing Commodity trading is a capitalintensive business that requires extensive financing. Banks provide financing based on the quality of the underlying asset and on the firms trading capabilities. Asset Quality. Asset quality is one of the most important aspects of credit assessment. Asset quality by risk categories are shown in Figure 2. The assets of the trading companies can be divided in three broad categories: 1. Cash and short-term investments, such as near-cash securities, are high-quality assets that provide liquidity for the operating needs of the firm. 2. Commodity trading assets repre- 26 The Journal of Lending & Credit Risk Management January 1998

4 sent the core business of CTCs. Their quality is determined by the risks inherent in holding and collecting. Inventory risks include spoilage/obsolescence risk, market (price) risk, and liquidity risk. Accounts receivable risks include commercial risk (customer creditworthiness), country risk (foreign currency availability), and foreign currency devaluation risk. Implicit in assets of higher quality are lower risk and capacity to support higher leverage. 3. Long-term assets generally support the trading activities of the CTCs, such as corporate real estate, equipment, equity investments, and loans for supplier financing. These assets must be assessed separately to determine their contribution to the core business and the extent to which they can be financed through bank credit. Trading Capabilities. Trading capabilities represent another important aspect of credit assessment. They comprise the following: Management expertise as it embodies experience in the market and knowledge of the factors influencing commodity prices for trading decision-making mitigating risk by swift reduction in long positions and Figure 2 Commodity Trading Companies Asset Quality Risk High Asset Quality Low Asset Quality Categories (Low Risk) (High Risk) Inventory Commodity with long inventory life. Commodity with short inventory life. Spoilage/Obsol- Commodity with low probability of replace- Commodity with high probability of replaceescence Risk ment by more productive alternatives. ment by more productive alternatives. Inventory Market Commodity with a history of stable prices. Commodity with a history of volatile prices. Risk Inventory Easily salable commodity without a major Specialized commodity with a narrow or Liquidity price discount. shallow market. Risk Broad market of buyers and sellers actively trading in large volumes at known prices. Accounts Accounts receivable is from a customer Accounts receivable from a customer who Receivable who is a well-established company with is newly established with limited experience Commercial AAA credit rating. and modest financial means. Risk Low probability of credit default. High probability of credit default. Accounts Accounts receivable is from a customer Accounts receivable is from a customer Receivable located in a country with: located in a country with: Country w Prime short-term credit rating. w Unfavorable short-term credit rating. Risk w Unquestioned ability and willingness to w Foreign exchange shortages. make foreign exchange available to importers. w Political or economic instability. Accounts Accounts receivable is denominated in Accounts receivable is denominated in a Receivable a strong currency relative to the CTC s weak currency relative to the CTC s Foreign base currency and to the corresponding base currency and to the corresponding Exchange liability currency. liability currency. Risk Accounts receivable currency carries a low Accounts receivable currency carries a probability of devaluation. high probability of devaluation. 27

5 improving sales pricing and terms by redirecting commodity shipments in transit. Integrity of the firm s accounting systems. Adequacy of systems support. Use of advanced technology for trading processing and risk control. Timely access to market data for information management and close tracking of merchandise, documents, and funds are all important in commodity trading. In assessing trading capabilities, banks also consider the CTCs strategies and risk management priorities in light of market opportunities and available resources, including capital. Related to this assessment is the consistency exhibited by management in keeping day-to-day activities consistent with the execution of strategies. Trading companies undertaking transactions with greater levels of risk, such as those involving commodities with high price volatility, implicitly place greater demands on their trading capabilities and on the firm s equity cushion for absorbing losses. Examples of greater demands on the firm s trading capabilities include expertise in portfolio risk containment and the ability to close long positions quickly through supplementary commodity or derivative trading. In those cases in which the CTC belongs to a major conglomerate, its strategies are often subordinated to the objectives of the overall conglomerate, particularly when the firm functions as a captive entity. Ownership can have a critical effect on the trading capabilities of the firm. Bank Audits. Bank-conducted audits, an important due diligence component, are useful in ascertaining asset quality and the trading capabilities of the firm. Audits can be conducted periodically based on the specific situation and the need to track progress on issues pending correction. Credit Structuring Credit structuring defines the attributes of the credit facility and related lending conditions. It rests on asset quality and on the trading capabilities of the firm. Bank financing is generally transaction-based because the purpose and the repayment of bank financing are closely connected with the conversion of specific assets into cash. Related reasons for transaction-based financing include: The large size of individual transactions in absolute dollars or in comparison with the trader s own equity position. The short asset conversion cycle, usually fewer than 100 days, and the large loan exposure relative to the purchase price of the commodity, usually 80% - 90%. Credit facilities are generally short term because of the short conversion cycle in commodity trading. They provide for the following: Import letters of credit to support purchases. Loans and bankers acceptances to finance inventory and account receivables. Bid bonds for expediting customs clearance. In addition to credit facilities, counterparty foreign exchange lines facilitate the conversion of currencies, whether spot or forward. The size of the credit facility depends on the following factors: Annual purchase volumes ($). The length of the asset conversion cycle (days). The loan advance ratio (loan amount as a % of the commodity cost). The loan advance ratio represents the extent of credit risk the lending bank is willing to undertake in specific transactions, excluding the trader s operating costs to carry out the transaction and the transaction s earnings, given the risks incurred in holding and collecting. Conversely, the percentage not financed 100% minus the loan advance ratio represents the equity cushion implicitly contributed by the CTC for the transaction. Credit structuring defines the conditions for maintaining the overall financial position of the firm within the agreed parameters by means of financial covenants, such as those defining minimum equity, maximum leverage, and minimum profits. It also includes conditions for: Protecting the value of the commodity financed with insurance coverage and warehousing safety. Maintaining asset control through title documents or warehouse receipts. Establishing creditor priority 28 The Journal of Lending & Credit Risk Management January 1998

6 with collateral liens over the assets financed. Ensuring physical access to cash from sales, that is, cash dominion. Credit pricing in the form of interest margin and fees compensates the bank for the risk incurred in lending to the commodity trader and for the expenses incurred. Pricing also entails compensation to the bank s shareholders. It is important that the overall credit facility, pricing included, is competitive in the marketplace in meeting the firm s asset conversion needs. The challenge is structuring a credit facility that is responsive to the core activities of the trading firm, is competitive in the marketplace, and, at the same time, provides for effective risk control by the lending bank and superior returns to the bank s shareholders. Risk Control Risk control entails performance monitoring by the lending bank of the lending conditions agreed with by the trading company and timely corrective action behind any shortfalls. Monitoring covers overall financial performance tracking against financial covenants and specific transaction tracking against transactional lending conditions. Of critical importance in lending to commodity traders is the lending bank s systems and process for tracking individual transactions regarding the following: Transaction eligibility relative to collateral qualification and line availability. Collateral maintenance in terms of market valuation, vis-a-vis loan coverage. Warehouse reliance in terms of reputation, control efficacy, and adequacy of contractual undertaking (warehouse agreement). Documentary control with respect to the negotiability and possession of title documents underlying collateral. Cash dominion for accessing the transaction s sales proceeds directly from the CTC s customers for loan repayment. Security interest, which provides creditor protection under Uniform Commercial Code filing. Insurance coverage in terms of amount, scope of coverage, insurer credit rating, and beneficiary designation. Risk Underwriting A bank s marketing plan for pursuing business with commodity traders encompasses various elements, including risk acceptance parameters, market priorities, target segments, client profiles, priority products, minimum account size and profitability standards, resource allocation (including staffing), portfolio fit, and so forth. This section outlines just some of the issues pertaining to risk underwriting under two headings Client Profile and Lending Guidelines. As shown in Figure 3, these guidelines provide direction for prospecting and product offering regarding questions such as the following: What does my prospect look like? What financing can I offer? What are the lending conditions? These guidelines do not necessarily represent absolute requirements that must be strictly met but do provide general direction and a contextual reference regarding client selection and recommended credit structures. The guidelines should be flexible in application depending on such factors as the particular needs of the trading firm and its overall credit standing. It is important for the marketing plan to be in harmony within the broader context of the bank s financial position, competencies, and credit policy. Banking Services Depending on the scope of the relationship between the trading firm and the bank, services provided can expand beyond credit to cover a broader spectrum of needs. Banks can facilitate the firm s asset conversion cycle and contribute to enhancing their commercial relationships with customers and suppliers by linking the firm with its network of suppliers and customers through a broad range of banking services. Of particular importance in establishing the linkages is the reach of the bank s international network and the use of advanced technology in communication, automation, and decision-making systems support. Major categories of banking services supporting the working capital needs of the CTCs include: Transaction processing instructions and documents. Cash management money. 29

7 Figure 3 Activity Experienced in commodity trading Credit Structuring establishes the following parameters: Type (5 years). w Credit is principally for financing specific short-term Diversified network of suppliers and commodity transactions. customers. w Credit facility expiration is generally within 1 year. Important percentage of purchases/sales (50%+) are across borders. w Credit amount and terms are in accordance with Located within the U.S. purchasing volumes, length of the conversion cycle. Good reputation in the marketplace (for w Loan advance ratio (see below). example, banks active in commodity lending). w Maintain overall financial position within agreed on parameters (for example, minimum equity, maximum leverage, minimum profits). w Protect the value of the commodity financed (for example, creditor s interest, insurance, warehousing, title documents, cash dominion). w Senior creditor position required; at least pari passu with others bank creditors. Commodity Predominantly trades in one Adequate Asset Quality. Define loan advance ratio in Traded commodity family. view of: w Spoilage/obsolescence (insurance?). w Price volatility. w Illiquidity. Country/ Operates in many markets worldwide; Adequate Asset Quality. Define loan advance ratio in. Market may have a physical presence in many view of: Coverage countries. w Customers ability to pay (concentration risk?). w Shortages of foreign exchange. w Foreign currency devaluation. Strategy/ Stable management (5 years). Adequate Trading Capabilities: Management Identifiable management experience w Strategies. Ownership in one (a few) commodity family. w Management expertise, priorities (day-to-day). Expertise resides on a group rather than w Accounting systems integrity. on a single individual. w Systems support. w Financial resources/owners financial support Satisfactory Bank Audit results re: Asset Quality, and Trading Capabilities. Good track record in commodity trading (5 years). Size/ Annual revenues and assets are in the Unequal audited financials by recognized firm (3 years). Financial hundreds of millions of dollars. Favorable track record (profits in last 5 years). Capacity/ Access to bank credit. Supports a minimum credit facility size of $10-$20 million. Bank Earnings Commodity Trading Companies Risk Underwriting Attributes Client Profile Lending Guidelines Loan pricing is commensurate with risks. Minimum dollar earnings ($100,000), minimum hurdle rates (for example, 17%). 30 The Journal of Lending & Credit Risk Management January 1998

8 Treasury management borrowing and liquidity management. Examples of the benefits most commonly accrued to CTCs using banking services include: Reduced holding and collecting times by expediting and tracking the flow of the merchandise, documents, and funds between the CTC and its network of key customers and suppliers; this can increase asset turnover. Increased efficiency by reducing processing costs through existing technology in communication, for example, an import letter of credit initiation in the lender s personal computer, and by integrating the bank s systems into the backroom of the trading firm. This can reduce paperwork, reduce costs, and increase return on sales. Enhanced access to credit and capital markets worldwide for a broad range of financing transactions. Examples include asset conversion financing and buyers financing in concert with export credit government agency programs at competitive terms. Competitive credit structures can lower costs and enhance transactional processing for the CTC, thereby increasing return on sales. Reduced risk by transferring certain risks inherent to the firm s asset conversion cycle to the bank. These risks may include foreign exchange contracts, derivative contracts, and nonrecourse financing of export draft/documents. Conclusion The protection of the value of the commodity is of primary importance in the performance of the trading company and for loan repayment. Such value is subject to a variety of risks with potentially large negative impact to the trading company. Through sensible credit structuring and constant risk monitoring, lending banks can effectively and profitably finance commodity trading firms in a fashion that adequately addresses lending risk and is consistent with the client s own parameters of risk and profit. Critically important in commodity lending is the adequacy of the lending bank s systems and processes for risk control, particularly those directed at protecting the value of the commodity financed. Commodity trading is a global business. Implicit in its global scope is the growing importance of technology to both trading companies and lending banks in global information access, timely portfolio risk decision making, and transaction execution. There is ample opportunity for banks to add value to the commodity trading firms by providing comprehensive solutions to their working capital needs. This entails THERE IS AMPLE OPPORTUNITY FOR BANKS TO ADD VALUE TO THE COMMODITY TRADING FIRMS BY PROVIDING COMPREHENSIVE SOLUTIONS TO THEIR WORKING CAPITAL NEEDS. globally linking the trading firms with their respective networks of key suppliers, customers, and stakeholders through the bank s international network and a broad range of banking services. These services, encompassing varying degrees of technological sophistication, can benefit commodity traders in such broad areas as transaction processing, cash management, and treasury management including borrowing and liquidity investing. 31