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1 Flavia BARSOTTI Age, situation: 29 years, female Current position: Quantitative Analyst, UniCredit Group. Market Risk Policies, Methodologies and Architectures, Milan; Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor) at Université Lyon 1 since September 2012, Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière. [email protected] Web: Post-Doc Fellow, Department of Mathematics for Decisions, University of Florence Stage at UniCredit S.p.a., Milan. Unit: Pricing Models and Architectures Validation, GIV (Group Internal Validation), Via Pirelli 32, Milano Allocataire-Moniteur (assistant professor) at University of Pisa, Faculty of Economics PhD Thesis, in Mathematics for Economic Decisions, Faculty of Economics, University of Pisa; IMT, Université P. Sabatier Toulouse III (cotutelle program) Master Degree in Economic Sciences, University of Pisa Research interests: Default Risk Models, Corporate Finance, Structural Credit Risk Models, Endogenous Bankruptcy, Volatility Risk, Stochastic Volatility Models, Monte Carlo Methods, High- Frequency Data, Malliavin Calculus. Awards: Best PhD Thesis Award (June 2012) - UniCredit & Universities Knight of Labor Ugo Foscolo Foundation Competition. 1. F. Barsotti, M. E. Mancino, M. Pontier, Capital Structure With Firm s Net Cash Payouts, on Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance, Springer, Quantitative Finance Series, Editors: C. Perna, M. Sibillo. 2. F. Barsotti, M. E. Mancino, M. Pontier, The Role of Firm s Net Cash Payouts in Leland s (1994) Model, Economic Notes, vol 41/3 pp , november F. Barsotti, M. E. Mancino, M. Pontier, Corporate Debt Value with Switching Tax Benefits and Payouts, 2011, (submitted). 4. F. Barsotti, Optimal Capital Structure with Endogenous Default and Volatility Risk, 2012, (submitted). 5. F. Barsotti, S. Sanfelici, Firm s Volatility Risk under Microstructure Noise, 2012, (submitted). Jean BÉRARD Age, situation: 36, male, civil union, three children Current position: Maître de Conférences (Lecturer) in Mathematics at Université Lyon 1, Institut Camille Jordan (UMR CNRS 5208) [email protected] 2012 Habilitation à diriger les recherches, Université Lyon Maître de conférences (Lecturer), Université Lyon Allocataire-Moniteur, Université Lyon 1 Web: PhD in Mathematics, Université Lyon Agrégation de mathématiques Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Master s program in Mathematics Research interests: Interacting Particle Systems, Stochastic Models in Biology, Monte Carlo Methods PhD students: 1 supervision 1
2 1. J. Bérard and L. Guéguen, Accurate Estimation of Substitution Rates with Neighbor- Dependent Models in a Phylogenetic Context, Systematic Biology (2012) 61(3): J. Bérard and J.B. Gouéré, Survival probability of the branching random walk killed below a linear boundary, Electronic Journal of Probability (2011) 16(14), J. Bérard and A. Ramírez, Large deviations of the front in a one-dimensional model of X + Y 2X, Annals of Probability (2010), 38(3): J. Bérard and A. Ramírez, Fluctuations of the front in a one-dimensional model for the spread of an infection, preprint, arxiv:math/ J. Bérard and A. Huet, Sequential Monte Carlo methods for neighbor-dependent nucleotide substitution models, In Preparation Christophette BLANCHET-SCALLIET Age, situation: 37 years, female, married, three children Current position: Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor) at Ecole Centrale de Lyon since September 2007, Institut Camille Jordan (UMR 5208) [email protected] Web: Maitre de Conférences at University of Nice, Laboratoire Dieudonné (UMR 7351) ATER (assistant professor) at University of Evry Allocataire-Moniteur (assistant professor) at University of Evry PhD Thesis, in applied mathematics, Laboratoire d Analyse et Probabilités, Université d Evry DEA in mathematics, Université Rennes 1, Agrégation de mathématiques Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan Research interests: Enlargement of Filtrations, Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, Stochastic Optimal Control and Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman equations, Default risk models, Counterparty Risk. 1. C. Blanchet-Scalliet; D. Dorobantu; D. RullièreThe density of the ruin time for a renewal-reward process perturbed by a diffusion Applied Mathematics Letters, , 26 (1), Pages S. Ankirchner, C. Blanchet-Scalliet; A. Eyraud-Loisel Optimal liquidation under directionnal views and additionnal information. submitted Sep C. Blanchet-Scalliet; F. Patras Structural Counterparty Risk Valuation for Credit Default Swaps Credit Risk Frontiers: Subprime Crisis, Pricing and Hedging, CVA, MBS, Ratings, and Liquidity, WILEY, pp , S. Ankirchner; C. Blanchet-Scalliet; A. Eyraud-Loisel Credit Risk Premia And Quadratic s BSDEs with a single jump International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), 2010, 13 (7), pp C. Blanchet-Scalliet; A. Eyraud-Loisel; M. Royer-Carenzi Hedging of Defaultable Contingent Claims using BSDE with uncertain time horizon. Le bulletin français d actuariat, 2010, 20 (10), Alexandre BOUMEZOUED Age, situation: 24 years, male, cohabiting Current position: Allocataire-moniteur (Assistant Professor) since October 2012; PhD student in Applied Mathematics at Université Paris 6, Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires (LPMA, Paris 6), Laboratoire de Science Actuarielle et Financière (SAF, Lyon 1) Advisors : 2
3 Nicole El Karoui (LPMA) and Stéphane Loisel (SAF) Web: Master 2 in Probability Theory, Université Paris 6; French Engineer Diploma, École des Ponts ParisTech Applied Mathematics and Computer Science One-year Internship in R&D Actuarial Department (Milliman France) Two years at École des Ponts Paris- Tech French Engineer School in Marnela-Vallée Research interests: Actuarial and Financial Mathematics, Longevity Risk Modeling, Dynamic Population Models, Point Processes, Numerical Probability, Pricing and Hedging of Longevity Derivatives. Reviewal responsibilities: Referee for Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability (MCAP). 1. A. Boumezoued, Master s Thesis, Numerical Methods for Dynamic Population Models, Advisors : Nicole El Karoui and Stéphane Loisel. 2. A. Boumezoued, Y. Angoua, L. Devineau, J.- P. Boisseau One-year reserve risk including a tail factor: closed formula and bootstrap approaches, Diana DOROBANTU Age, situation: 35 years, female, two children Current position: Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor) at Université Lyon 1 since September 2008, Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière [email protected] Web: ATER (Assistant Professor) at Université Toulouse Allocataire-Moniteur (Assistant Professor), Université Toulouse 3; PhD Thesis in Applied Mathematics; Laboratoire de Statistiques et Probabilités, Université Toulouse Master 2 in Applied Mathematics, Université Toulouse Master 2 of International Business and Law, Universitatea Bucuresti- Université Paris Academia de studii economice Bucuresti (Roumanie), Master in Finance and Banking Universitatea Bucuresti, Master in Theoretical and Applied Mathematics Research interests: Credit risk, Asymmetrical information, Optimal stopping problems, Hitting time law for jump processes 1. D. Dorobantu, M. Mancino, M. Pontier Optimal strategies in a risky debt context, Stochastics, Vol. 81, Nos. 3-4, 2009, L. Coutin, D. Dorobantu First passage time law for some Lévy processes with compound Poisson: existence of a density, Bernoulli 17 (4), 2011, D. Dorobantu Optimal stopping for Markov processes and decreasing affine functions, Romanian Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, 56, No.4, 2011, C. Blanchet-Scalliet, D. Dorobantu, D. Rulliere The density of a passage time for a renewal-reward process perturbed by a diffusion, Applied Mathematics Letters, volume 26, issue 1, 2013, A. Cousin, D. Dorobantu, D. Rulliere An extension of Davis and Lo s contagion model, to appear in Quantitative Finance 3
4 Paul DOUKHAN Age, situation: 57 years, male, married, two children Current position: Professor (PrEx, échelon 2) at Université Cergy-Pontoise since September 1993, Laboratoire d Analyse Géométrie et Modélisation (AGM, UMR 8088) [email protected] Professor of statistics, ENSAE Full time researcher CNRS, Orsay Professor of mathematics: university of Wuhan, China 1986 HDR: Study of mixing processes, advisor: D. Dacunha-Castelle, Orsay Web: PhD: Nonlinear autoregressive models, advisor: J. Bretagnolle, Orsay Ecole Normale Supérieure, Saint-Cloud 1978 Agrégation de mathématiques rank 11th 1976 Master of Statistics, Orsay Research interests: Weak dependence concepts, long-range dependence, non-parametric statistics, empirical processes, limit theorems in probability, applications of dependence. Coordination of research programs: Responsible of cooperation project with Venezuela; Research program DNIPRO with Kiev Polytechnic Institute; 2012 Thematic year on non-stationarity and risk management in Cergy-Pontoise, with Jean Luc Prigent and Flora Koukiou. Editorial responsibilities: Associated Editor of Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Statistics, Stapro online encyclopedia, Stochastic Processes-Kiev Awards: 2011, Senior Member IUF, French Universitary Institute PhD students: 15 PhD supervised students 1. P. Doukhan, Mixing: properties and examples, LNS 85, Springer Verlag (1994) 2. P. Doukhan, S. Louhichi, A new weak dependence condition and applications to moment inequalities. Stochastic Process. Appl. 84-2, (1999) 3. P. Doukhan, G. Oppenheim and M. S. Taqqu, editors. Theory and Applications of Longrange Dependence, Birkhauser, Boston (2003) 4. P. Doukhan, G. Lang, C. Prieur, S. Louhichi, J. Dedecker, J. R. León, Weak dependence: models, theory and applications, LNS 190, Springer-Verlag (2007) 5. P. Doukhan, S. Prohl, C. Y. Robert, Subsampling weakly dependent times series and application to extremes. Discussion Paper TEST 20-3, (2012) Nicole EL KAROUI-SCHVARTZ Age, situation: 69 years, female, married, five children Current position: Professor at UPMC (Paris VI) since September 2008, Laboratoire de Probabilité et Modèles alátoires. [email protected] Web: Professor at LPMA, UPMC, Paris Full time Professor at Ecole Polytechnique Professor at Paris VI University-UPMC Professor at Ecole Normale Supérieure de Fontenay aux Roses Professor at Université du Maine (Le Mans) Assistant-Professor at Université d Orsay, Paris France PhD Thesis Thèse de Doctorat d Etat, Paris Ecole Normale Supérieure (Sévres). Research interests: Longevity Modelling: Basis Risk Modelization, Micro-macro simulation, Longevity Risk Transfer, Long term interest rate; Stochastic optimization: Partially observable 4
5 control, Singular control, Optimal stopping times, Constraint optimization, Max-Plus decomposition, Azema-Yor martingales and stochastic order; Mathematical Finance: Stochastic interest rates models, Portfolio optimization; and Insurance: Superhedging, Change of numeraire, Variable annuities, Risk measure, Credit Risk, Forward Utility; Backward stochastic: Quadratic BSDE, BSDES and Risk measures; differential equations: Applications to Mathematical Finance and optimization. Research Management: Member of the national council of AERES, Head of the chair Financial Risk supported by Societe Generale in the Risk Foundation, Co-Head of the Chair Derivatives for the futur supported by the FBF, Vice president of Scientific Council of the Institut Louis bachelier, and Member of the Direction Council Awards: Award from ISI 2012 PhD students: Kazi Tani Nabil (Dec 2012): Construction de mesures de risques dynamiques. Nguyen Trung Lap (Sept 2012): Variable Annuities. Nicolay David (Mai 2011): Calibration de la volatité stochastique dans les modèles de taux. Camillier Isabelle (Juin 2010): Long Term Interest rates. Determinantal point processes. Bensusan Harry (2010): Modélisation dynamique de la longévité et Applications aux produits dérivés. M rad Mohamed (2009): Utilités progressives et flots stochastiques. Meziou Asma (2007): Assurance de portefeuille et décomposition Max-Plus. Conferences as Invited or Plenary Speaker: Coxeter Lecture Series, Toronto March2010; Lectures in Stochastic Control, September 2008; Distinguish lectures in Probability and Statistic, Berlin, January 2008; International Congress Probability Statistics, Istambul July 2012, Medaillon Lecture; European Conference Mathematics for Innovation Tokyo Fevrier 2012; SIAM Conference on Financial Mathematics and engineering, San francisco, Nov 2010; Mathematical Finance in honor of W.Schachermayer Juil 2010; Colloque Franco-Egyptien de Mathematiques Le Caire Mai 2010; Mathematical Finance, Fields Institute, Janvier 2010; Journee Optimization, Oxford Mai 2008; German-Chinese Workshop Stochastic processes and applications, March 2008; ICI Applied Mathematics International Congress, Zurich, Juillet 2007; International Conference in honor of Pr K. Itô, Kyoto, September 2012; Invited Speaker at International Congress of Mathematicians Beijing, Aug Les outils stochastiques des marchés financiers, avec Emmanuel Gobet Les Editions de l Ecole Polytechnique.(2011) 2. El Karoui.N, Tan.X Capacities, Measurable Selection, and Dynamic Programming: preprint (2012)) 3. El Karoui.N, Matoussi.A, Ngoupeyou.A: Quadratic Semimartingales with Jumps and Application in BSDE working paper(2013) 4. Camillier.I, El Karoui.N, Hillairet.C, : New point of view of consumption with application to long term IRS working paper(2012) 5. El Karoui,N. Jeanblanc,M. Jiao,Y. Dynamic Modelling of Successive defaults preprint (2012)) 6. El Karoui.N, M rad.m An Exact Connection between two solvable SDEs and a Nonlinear Utility Stochastic PDE revision SIAM Journal Financial Mathematics(2012) 7. Barrieu.P, El Karoui.N, (2012) Monotone stability of quadratic semimartingales with applications to unbounded general quadratic BS- DEs. Annals of Probability, 2013 (Accepted Jan 2012) 8. Barrieu.P, Bensusan.H, El Karoui.N, Hillairet.C, Loisel.S, Ravanelli.C and Sahli.Y, (2012) Understanding, modeling and managing longevity risk: aims and scope Scandinavian Actuarial Journa Volume 2012, Issue 3, (2012) Carraro,L. El Karoui,N. and Jan Oblój (2012), On Azéma-Yor processes, their optimal properties and the Bachelier drawdown equation. Ann. Probab. Volume 40, Number 1 (2012), Barrieu.P, El Karoui,N.(2008) Pricing, hedging and optimally designing derivatives via minimization of risk measures In: Volume on Indifference Pricing (ed: Rene Carmona), Princeton University Press,
6 (arxiv: v1 [math.pr]) 11. El Karoui,N., Meziou,A. (2008). Max-Plus decomposition of super-martingales and convex order. Application to American options and port-folio insurance. Ann. Probab El Karoui,N., Jiao,Y. Kurtz,D (2008) Valuation and VaR computation for CDOs using Stein s method. Applied Quantitative Finance, (eds. W.Hàrdle, N. Hautsch and L. Overbeck), , Springer El Karoui, N., Durrleman.V, (2008) Coupling smiles, Quantitative Finance Vol 8 /6 / Costantini.C, El Karoui.N, Gobet.E (2006) Boundary Sensitivities for Diffusion Processes in Time Dependent Domains Applied Mathematics and Optimization, Vol 54, N.2 / 2006, pp Maria GOVORUN Age, situation: 28 years, female, single Current position: PhD student at Université libre de Bruxelles since September 2009, Faculté des sciences. [email protected] Web: Present Université libre de Bruxelles, PhD student 2008-Present Full member of International Actuarial Association, Full member of Russian Guild of Actuaries AIG Life Russia Insurance Company, actuary State University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Risk Management Lab, junior researcher Actuarial&Financial Services Limited, leading actuary State University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Master in economics, risk management and actuarial methods Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Master in applied mathematics and informatics Research interests: Development of phase-type methods in actuarial science, Markov chains, fluid queues, pension insurance, health care, disability models, longevity risk, optimal consumption, health economics. 1. M. Govorun High-frequency financial data analysis as applied to hedging problem of European type options, The collection of best theses 2006, Moscow State University press, M.Govorun, G.Latouche, M.-A. Remiche, Stability for fluid queues: characteristic inequalities, to appear in Stochastic Models, M.Govorun, G.Latouche, M.-A. Remiche, Profits and risks of pension plans, Performance Evaluation Review, 39: 41, M.Govorun, G.Latouche, M.-A. Remiche Profit-test model for pension funds using Matrix- Anatytic Modeling, proceedings of the Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Conference Interplay Between Finance and Insurance, p , Brussels, M.Govorun, G.Latouche Modeling the effect of health: phase-type approach, submitted 6. M.Govorun, G.Latouche, S.Loisel, A phasetype look at health care costs, in progress Caroline HILLAIRET Age, situation: 35 years, female, married, two childs Current position: Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor) at Ecole Polytechnique since September 2005, CMAP (Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées) UMR [email protected] Web: 6
7 ATER, Université Toulouse Allocataire-Moniteur at Université Toulouse 3; PhD Thesis, Laboratoire de Statistique et Probabilités DEA in Applied Mathematics Agrégation externe de Mathématiques. Research interests: Longevity, Long term interest rates, Credit Risk, Asymmetric information, Enlargement of Filtrations. 1. P. Barrieu, H. Bensusan, N. El Karoui, C. Hillairet, S. Loisel, C. Ravanelli, Y. Salhi Understanding, Modeling and Managing Longevity Risk : Key issues and Main Challenges, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal (2012), Vol. 2012, No 3, C. Hillairet, Y. Jiao Credit Risk with asymmetric information on the default threshold, Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, (2012) Vol. 84, Nos. 2-3, C. Hillairet, Y. Jiao Information Asymmetry in Pricing of Credit Derivatives International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance Vol. 14, No. 5 (2011) C. Hillairet Comparison of insiders optimal strategies depending on the type of sideinformation, Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 115 (2005) C. Hillairet Existence of an equilibrium on a financial market with discontinuous prices, asymmetric information and non trivial initial sigma-fields, Mathematical Finance, (2012) Vol. 15, No 1, Vincent LEMAIRE Age, situation: 34 years, male, one child Current position: Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor) Université Pierre et Marie Curie UPMC Paris 06, Laboratoire Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires, UMR [email protected] Allocataire-Moniteur (assistant professor), PhD Thesis, in applied mathematics, Laboratoire de d Analyse et de Mathématiques Appliquées, Université Web: Paris Est Marne-la-Vallée Master 2 in Mathématiques Appliquées, Université Paris Est Marne-la-Vallée Research interests: Numerical Probability, Monte Carlo methods, Discretization schemes, Stochastic algorithms, Exact simulation, Longtime numerical approximation, Energy price modelling. 1. Vincent Lemaire and Gilles Pagès. Unconstrained recursive importance sampling, Ann. Appl. Probab., 20(3): , Vincent Lemaire and Stephane Menozzi. On some Non Asymptotic Bounds for the Euler Scheme, Electronic Journal of Probability, 15: , Noufel Frikha and Vincent Lemaire. Joint Modelling of Gas and Electricity spot prices, Applied Mathematical Finance, Stéphane LOISEL DOI: / X Vincent Lemaire. An adaptive scheme for the approximation of dissipative systems, Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 117(10): , Vincent Lemaire. Behavior of the Euler scheme with decreasing step in a degenerate situation, ESAIM. Probability and Statistics, 11: , Age, situation: 34 years, male, married, two children Current position: Professor at Université Lyon 1 since September [email protected] Web: 7
8 Associate researcher at CMAP, Ecole Polytechnique, Palaiseau, France ( ). Research expert on longevity risk in the Chair Derivatives of the future, sponsored by the French Federation of Banks and chaired by Nicole El Karoui Habilitation thesis (HDR) Maître de Conférences, Université Lyon PhD Thesis in applied mathematics, Université Lyon Agrégation de mathématiques Ecole Normale Supérieur de Lyon, éléve normalien, mathematics. Research interests: Longevity: longevity risk, stochastic mortality, pandemic risk, basis risk. Risk theory: ruin probabilities, hitting times, multidimensional processes, stochastic dependence, Markovian environment. Acceleration of nested simulations. Solvency II, behavioral risk, Economic Capital and Entreprise Risk Management. Coordination of research programs: Coordinator of research chair Actuariat Durable, June June Editorial responsibilities: Associate Editor of Insurance:Mathematics and Economics, Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, American Journal of Algorithms and Computing, Risks, and Bulletin Français d Actuariat (BFA). Co-editor of European Actuarial Journal. Awards and invitations: Best paper award, Conference of the Life Section of the International Actuarial Association, Mexico, Oct. 2012; Second best paper award, ASTIN Colloquium, Mexico, Oct. 2012; Corresponding member of the Swiss Actuarial Association (2012); 2011 Lloyd s Science of Risk: runner-up prize in the insurance and finance category; SCOR 2005 Award (best PhD in Actuarial Science). 15 international conferences as invited speaker. Invited for research stays in UNSW (Sydney), UdM (Montréal), Laval (Québec), GSU (Atlanta), ULB (Brussels), LSE (London), UNIL (Lausanne), HKU (Hong Kong), METU (Ankara), Cornell and Columbia U. (Spring 2013). PhD students: 12 PhD supervised students (5 defended, 7 in progress (including 2 who defend by April 2013)). 1. Y. Salhi, S. Loisel, Longevity basis risk modeling: a co-integration based approach, Working paper (2012) available on Hal preprint server. 2. P. Barrieu, H. Bensusan, N. El Karoui, C. Hillairet, S. Loisel, C. Ravanelli, Y. Salhi, Understanding, modelling and managing longevity risk: key issues and main challenges, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal (2012), Vol. 2012, No 3, C. Lefèvre, S. Loisel, On multiply monotone distributions, continuous or discrete, with applications, accepted (2012), to appear in Journal of Applied Probability. 4. S. Loisel, X. Milhaud, From deterministic to stochastic surrender risk models: impact of correlation crises on economic capital, European Journal of Operational Research (2011), Vol. 214, No 2, M. Chauvigny, L. Devineau, S. Loisel, V. Maume-Deschamps, Fast remote but not extreme quantiles with multiple factors. Applications to Solvency II and Enterprise Risk Management, European Actuarial Journal (2011), Vol. 1, No 1, S. Loisel, N. Privault, Sensitivity analysis and density estimation for finite-time ruin probabilities, Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 230, No 1, (2009). Olivier LOPEZ Age, situation: 32 years, male, married, one child Current position: Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor) at Université Pierre et Marie Curie Paris VI since September 2008, Laboratoire de Statistique Théorique et Appliquée (Équipe d accueil 8
9 3124) Web: Actuarial Diploma, Centre d Etudes Actuarielles, Paris Post-doctoral position, WIAS, Berlin. Rennes Master 2 in Statistics, Rennes Agrégation de mathématiques Allocataire-Moniteur (assistant professor) Ecole Normale Supérieure de at ENSAI and Université Rennes 1; PhD Thesis, in applied mathematics, Cachan, Department of Mathematics- Informatics, Rennes. CREST-ENSAI and IRMAR, Université Research interests: Survival analysis, nonparametric and semiparametric regression, change-point analysis, bivariate censoring, recurrent events, dimension reduction, nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing. Editorial responsibilities: Associate editor of Bulletin Français d Actuariat PhD students: co-supervision of A. Oueslati (SNCF and Université Pierre et Marie Curie), and S. Gribkova (Université Pierre et Marie Curie) 1. O. Lopez, V. Patilea, Nonparametric lack-offit tests for parametric mean-regression models with censored data, Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Volume 100, Issue 1, January 2009, Pages Stochastic Processes and their Applications, vol 115/11 pp , January O.Lopez, Single-index regression models with right-censored responses, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, Volume 139, Issue 3, 1 March 2009, Pages O. Bouaziz, O. Lopez, Conditional density estimation in a censored single-index regression model, Bernoulli, Volume 16, Issue 2, 2010, Pages O. Lopez A generalization of Kaplan-Meier estimator for analyzing bivariate mortality under right-censoring and left-truncation with applications to model-checking for survival copula models, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Volume 51, Issue 3, 2012, Pages O. Lopez, A. Oueslati A proportional hazards regression model with change-points in the baseline function, Lifetime Data Analysis, 2012 (in press). Xavier MILHAUD Age, situation: 27 years, male Current position: responsible for the actuarial department at ENSAE ParisTech since September 2011, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique (LFA lab). [email protected] Teaching assistant (responsible for the actuarial department) at ENSAE Paris- Tech PhD Thesis in applied mathematics (CIFRE partnership with AXA Global Life), Laboratoire de Science Actuarielle et Financière, Université Lyon 1 Web: Actuarial Diploma, Institut de Science Financière et d assurances, Lyon Research Master in Financial and Actuarial Sciences, Université Lyon Engineer Diploma at ENSIMAG, option financial mathematics Research interests: Generalized linear models, Survival analysis, Model selection, Behaviour modelling, Classification algorithms, Mixture models, Hidden Markov models. Coordination of research programs: Supervisor of research and actuarial memoirs at ENSAE Paris- Tech. 9
10 Tasks in refereed journals: reviewed publications in EJOR, EUAJ, BFA. Awards: Best paper of the ASTIN-AFIR-IAALS congress (Mexico 2012), section IAALS. Runner-up of the Lloyd s Science of Risk Prize 2011 (with Stéphane Loisel). 1. Milhaud, X. Selection of GLM mixtures: a new criterion for clustering purpose, submitted (2012). 2. Milhaud, X. Exogenous and endogenous risk factors management to predict surrender behaviours, submitted (2012). 3. Loisel, S., Milhaud, X. From deterministic to stochastic surrender risk models: impact of correlation crises on economic capital, European Journal of Operational Research, vol Ragnar NORBERG 214, pp (2011). 4. Milhaud, X., Maume-Deschamps, V., Loisel, S., Surrender triggers in Life Insurance: what main features affect the surrender behavior in a classical economic context?, Bulletin Français d Actuariat, vol 22 pp 5-48 (2011). 5. Milhaud, X., Gonon, M-P. et Loisel, S. Les comportements de rachat en Assurance Vie en régime de croisière et en période de crise, Risques, vol. 83 pp (2010). Age, situation: 67 years, male, married, two children Current position: Research Officer (Chercheur), ISFA, Université Lyon 1; Emeritus Professor London School of Economics. [email protected] Professor of Statistics, London School of Economics Professor of insurance mathematics, University of Copenhagen Professor of Statistics with Insurance Web: Mathematics, University of Oslo Research Assistant, Associate Professor, University of Oslo Guest Professor, ETH Zürich Research interests: Insurance mathematics (life, non-life, risk theory), financial mathematics, and related topics in statistics and probability. Scientific Committees in major international conferences present: Cramér symposium Stockholm 2013; Afmath Brussels 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013; 4th Brazil. Conf. Insurance and Finance 2009; Bachelier World Congress London Invited key-note lectures in major international conferences present: QMF Cairns 2012; Recent Devel. in Math. Fin. Stockholm 2011; QMF Sydney 2010; Afmath Brussels 2010; IFID/MITACS Fields Inst. Toronto 2008; AFIR Coll. Stockholm 2008; IME Conference Piraeus Greece 2007; AFIR Coll. Stockholm Editorial responsibilities: Assoc. Editor Fin. & Stoch.; Assoc. Editor IME. PhD students: 60 MSc theses, 9 PhD theses 1. Norberg, R.: Quadratic hedging of payments streams. 20 pp. Submitted to European Actuarial Journal 2. Norberg, R., Savina, O. (2012): A quadratic hedging approach to comparison of catastrophe indices. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance. 15 (4), DOI /S Norberg, R. (2012): Optimal hedging of demographic risk in life insurance. Finance and Stochastics 2012, DOI /s Constantinescu, C., Maume-Deschamps, V., Norberg, R. (2012): Risk processes with dependence and premium adjusted to solvency targets. European Actuarial Journal , DOI /s Norberg, R. (2010): Forward mortality and other vital rates are they the way forward? Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 47,
11 Gilles PAGÈS Age, situation: 52 years, male Current position: Professeur (Full Professor) at UPMC since September 2001, Laboratoire de Probabiltés et Modèles Aléatoires (LPMA, UMR 7599) Director of the LPMA Co-head of the Master Probbailités & Web: Finance, UPMC-École Polytechnique Professor (Probability, Numerical prob- Research interests: Limit theorems for semi-martingales, Monte Carlo & quasi-monte Carlo method, Variance reduction, Discretization of processes, Optimal quantization, functional quantization, energy markets, American options, Optimal stopping, (Reflected)-Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, Stochastic Approximation, long run behaviour of dynamical systems. Coordination of research programs: ACI FIN Quant ( ), CRIS project (FUI, ), Azzurrisk project (FUI, , co-head with H. Pham) Editorial responsibilities: Editor of Mathematics of Computation, Bernoulli (start ), ESAIM P&S (and editor in-chief, start ) PhD students: 11 PHD students supervised (Ben Alaya, Attali, Cohort, Schmidt, Lemaire, Panloup, Sellami, Sagna, Frikha, Laruelle, Illand), 2 are in progress (Yu, Fernandez) ability, Financial Mathematics), UPMC Professor, Univ. Paris 12-Créteil Maître de Confŕences, Univ. Paris I. 1. G. Pagès, B. Wilbertz, Intrinsic stationarity for vector quantization: Foundation of dual quantization, SIAM J. on Numerical Analysis, 50: , S. Graf, H. Luschgy, G. Pagès, The local quantization behaviour of absolutely continuous probabilities, Annals of Probability, 40(4): , F. Panloup, G. Pagès, Ergodic approximation of the distribution of a stationary diffusion : rate of convergence, Annals of Applied Probability, 22(3) : , V. Lemaire, G. Pagès, Unconstrained Recursive Importance sampling, Annals of Applied Probability, 20(3): , G. Pagès, A. Sellami, Convergence of multidimensional quantized SDEÕs, Séminaire de Probabilités XLIII (C. Donati-Martin, A. Lejay, A. Rouault eds), Springer, Berlin, , Frédéric PLANCHET Age, situation: 45 years, male, married, two children Current position: Professeur (Full time Professor) at Université Lyon 1 since September 2003, Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière (équipe d accueil 2429) [email protected] Actuaire associé (Partner actuary) at WINTER & Associés Web: HDR in actuarial sciences PhD Thesis, in actuarial sciences Research interests: Solvency II (Pillars 1 and 2), IFRS, MCEV : internal models, ORSA quantitative models, market consistent valuations, economic scenario generators (both risk-neutral and historical views) - Modeling censored and truncated data (mortality, disability, lapse, etc.) : best-estimate assumptions for reserve calculations, longevity risk evaluation, catastrophic risk in life insurance - Stochastic models and simulation techniques : best estimate and SCR calculation, both in standard model and internal model ; time optimization for Monte-Carlo methods. - Liabilities valorization and asset-liability management in life insurance. 11
12 1. Guibert Q., Juillard M., Planchet F. [2012] Measuring Uncertainty of Solvency Coverage Ratio in ORSA for Non-Life Insurance, European Actuarial Journal, 2: , doi: /s Nteukam-T. O., Planchet F., Thérond P.E. [2011] Optimal strategies of hedging portfolio of unit-linked life insurance contracts with minimum death guarantee, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 48, Issue 2, pp Planchet F. [2012] Modélisation du risque de pandémie dans Solvabilité 2, Assurances et gestion des risques, To appear. 4. Nteukam-T. O., Planchet F. [2012] Stochastic Evaluation of Life Insurance Contract: Model Point on Asset Trajectories & Measurement of the Error Related to Aggregation, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. Vol. 51, pp Kamega A., Planchet F. [2013] Construction de tables de mortalité prospectives sur un groupe restreint : mesure du risque d estimation, Bulletin Français d Actuariat, vol. 13, no25. Denys POMMERET Age, situation: 44 years, male, married, three childs Current position: Professor at Aix Marseille University since September 2006, Institute of Mathematic of Luminy. [email protected] Assistant professor at ENSAI, Rennes 2004 Habilitation à Diriger de Recherches, Rennes University II Assistant professor, ENITIAA, Nantes Web: Contract assistan Professor, Toulouse, Paul Sabatier University PhD Thesis, in applied mathematics, Toulouse, Paul Sabatier University Research interests: Goodness of-fit-test, Bayesian statistics, latent variables. Coordination of research programs: Head of the Statistical Team at the Institute of Mathematics of Luminy, Responsible of the 42th congress of the French Statistical Society. PhD students: 3 PhD supervised students. 1. Baragatti, A. Grimaud, D. Pommeret, (2012) Likelihood-free parallel tempering, Statistics and Computing, DOI /s Druilhet, P. Pommeret, D. (2012) Invariant conjugate analysis for exponential families, Bayesian Analysis, 7, Baragatti, M. Grimaud, A. Pommeret, D. (2012) Parallel tempering with Equi-Energy moves, Statistics and Computing, DOI /s Baragatti, M. Pommeret, D. (2011) Ridge parameter for g-prior distribution in probit mixed model, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 56, Baragatti, M. Pommeret, D. (2011) Comments on Bayesian variable selection for disease classification using gene expression data, Bioinformatics, 27: Pommeret, D. (2011) Data driven smooth test for contaminated data, Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice, 5(4) 7. Ghattas, B. Pommeret, D. Reboul, L. Yao, A.F. (2011) Data driven smooth test for paired populations, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 141 (1) Pommeret, D. (2010) Testing Mixed Distributions when the Mixing Distribution Is Known, Advances in Data Analysis, Data Handling and Business Intelligence. Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organization. Béatrice REY Current position: Maître de Conférences (Associate Professor), University of Lyon, University Lyon 1 12
13 LSAF (Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière) researcher. Web: H.D.R. in economics, University Lyon Ph. D. in economics, University Toulouse 1. Research interests: Risk Theory, Health Economics, Insurance 1. Benchmark values for higher coefficients of relative risk aversion, Michel Denuit and Béatrice Rey, Theory and Decision, to appear 2. On Relative and Partial Risk Attitudes: Theory and Implications, W.H. Chiu, Louis Eeckhoudt and Béatrice Rey, Economic Theory, 2012, 50 : Priority setting in health care and higher order degree change in risk, Christophe Courbage and Béatrice Rey, Journal of Health Economics, 2012, 31 : Optimal prevention and other risks in a two-period model, Christophe Courbage and Béatrice Rey, Mathematical Social Sciences, 2012, 63 : Prevention and Precaution, Christophe 1991 Postgraduate degree in economic and econometrics, University Toulouse 1. Courbage, Béatrice Rey and Nicolas Treich, chapter book in Handbook of Insurance, Kluwer Publishers, Risk vulnerability: a graphical interpretation, Louis Eeckhoudt et Béatrice Rey, Theory and Decision, 2011, 71: Preserving preference rankings under nonfinancial background risk, Yannick Malevergne and Béatrice Rey, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2010, 61 : Prudence, Temperance, Edginess, and Risk Apportionment as Decreasing Sensitivity to Detrimental Changes, Michel Denuit and Béatrice Rey, Mathematical Social Sciences, 2010, 60 : Some consequences of correlation aversion in decision science, Michel Denuit, Louis Eeckhoudt and Béatrice Rey, Annals of Operations Research, 2010, 176 : On Cross Risk Vulnerability, Yannick Malevergne and Béatrice Rey, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2009, 45 : Christian Yann ROBERT Age, situation: 37 years, male, married, two children Current position: Professeur des Universités (Full Professor) at Université Lyon 1 since November 2010, Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière (équipe d accueil 2429) [email protected] Associate Professor at ENSAE, Paris Assistant Professor at CNAM, Paris Actuary at SCOR, Paris Assistant Professor at ENSAE, Paris Ph.D. in applied mathematics at University Paris Diderot Web: robert Postgraduate degree in Statistics from University Paris Diderot Postgraduate degree in Statistics and Economics at ENSAE, Paris. Actuary, Member of the Institut des Actuaires Research interests: Extreme Value Theory and Statistics, Actuarial Theory and Practice, Statistical Finance. PhD students: 4 PhD supervised students. 13
14 1. Robert, C. (2007). Stochastic stability of some state-dependent growth-collapse processes. Advances in Applied Probability, 39, Robert, C. (2008). Estimating the multivariate extremal index function. Bernoulli, 14, Robert, C. and Segers, J. (2008). Tails of random sums of a heavy-tailed number of lighttailed terms. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 43, Robert, C. (2009). Inference for the limiting cluster size distribution of extreme values. The Annals of Statistics, 37, Lescourret, L. and Robert, C. (2011). Transparency matters: Price formation in presence of order preferencing. Journal of Financial Markets, 14, Robert, C. and Rosenbaum, M. (2011). A new approach for the dynamics of ultra high frequency data: the model with uncertainty zones. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 9, Robert, C. and Rosenbaum, M. (2012). Volatility estimation under endogenous microstructure noise. Mathematical Finance, 22, Mathieu ROSENBAUM Age, situation: 31 years, male, married Current position: Professor at University Pierre et Marie Curie since September 2011, Laboratory of Probability and Random Models. [email protected] Web: Habilitation à diriger les recherches PhD Thesis in Financial Statistics, University Paris Est DEA in Statistics and Random Models, University Paris ENSAE Research interests: Statistics of Random Processes, Mathematical Finance, Microstructure of Financial Markets. Coordination of research programs: Associate Editor of Electronic Journal of Statistics. Awards: Scor Price 2008 PhD students: 4 PhD students. 1. M. Rosenbaum Integrated volatility and round off error, Bernoulli, 15 pp , M. Rosenbaum and P. Tankov Asymptotic results for time-changed Lévy processes sampled at hitting times, Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 121 pp , C.Y. Robert and M. Rosenbaum A new approach for the dynamics of ultra high frequency data: the model with uncertainty zones, Journal of Financial Econometrics, 9 pp , C.Y. Robert and M. Rosenbaum Volatility and covariation estimation when microstructure noise and trading times are endogenous, Mathematical Finance, 15 pp , M. Hoffmann, M. Rosenbaum and N. Yoshida Estimation of the lead-lag parameter from non-synchronous data, to appear in Bernoulli, Jessica TRESSOU Age, situation: 34 years, female, married, two children Current position: Chargée de recherche (Permanent researcher) at National Institute for Agronomic Resaerch (INRA) since January 2007, Met@risk : Methodologies for Food Risk Analysis (Unité 1204). [email protected] 14
15 Web: team/tressou cosmao jessica Fall 2011 Instructor at Columbia University, New Spring 2006 Program assistant, with Prof. Albert York, USA Lo, HKUST Visiting scholar, Instructor (statistics PhD student, INRA Paris, courses), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST) France PhD student, INRA Corela, Ivry-sur- Fall 2006 Postdoctoral fellow, with Prof. Albert Seine, France Lo, HKUST Research interests: Food Risk Analysis, Extreme value Analysis, Simulation & Resampling Techniques, U-Statistics, Bootstrap, Monte Carlo Markov Chains, Survival Analysis, Markovian Processes & Regeneration, Bayesian Nonparametric Statistics, Statistical Learning. Awards: ERS IASC Young Researchers Award, COMPSTAT, Prague, P. Bertail, S. Clémençon & J. Tressou Regenerative Block-Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Tails and Extremal Indexes Submitted, Bertail, P., S. Clémençon & J. Tressou Statistical analysis of a dynamic model for food contaminant exposure with applications to dietary methylmercury contamination Journal of Biological Dynamics 4(2), , A. Bertail, P., S. Clémençon & J. Tressou Extreme value statistics for Markov chains via the (pseudo-)regenerative method Extremes 12(4), , Bertail, P., S. Clémençon, S. & Tressou, J. A Storage Model With Random Release Rate For Modeling Exposure To Food Contaminants Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 5(1), 35-60, Tressou, J. Bayesian Nonparametrics for Heavy Tailed Distribution. Application to Food Risk Assessment Bayesian Analysis 3(2), , Julien VEDANI Age, situation: 25 years, male, single Current position: PhD Student at Université Lyon 1 since March 2012, Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière. [email protected] Web: Institut d Etudes Politiques de Paris, Master 2 in Finance and Strategy Actuarial Diploma, Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l Administration Economique de Malakoff Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l Administration Economique de Malakoff, Master s degree in Statistical and Economical Engineering Research interests: The Own Risk and Solvency Assessment implementation, Monitoring solvency through years, Multi-year Nested Simulations and its alternatives, Order statistics. 1. J. Vedani, L. Devineaul Solvency assessment within the ORSA framework: issues and quantitative methodologies, submited 2. J. Vedani, S. Loisel Use of Net Present Value of margins to approximate the Net Asset Value adversity order, in progress 3. J. Vedani, L. Devineau Permanent conformity within the ORSA framework, in progress 15
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