THE WATER AGENCY, INC. Water Supply Update

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1 State Water Resources Control Board Suspends the Sacramento River Temperature Plan We all need to be aware that the SWRCB is causing real turmoil with its recent May 29th letter. The temporary grab of water for environmental uses may be extended from now until November. Our guess is that as much as hundreds of thousands of acre feet of water (which should have been delivered from Shasta to water users) may be held hostage to keep the water pool in Shasta colder for the Winter Run Chinook Salmon. (559) /08/2015 Page 1

2 Do they really need to waste even more water for environmentalist agendas? The map below shows Delta Outflows for February 1, 2014 through June 7, 2015 (559) /08/2015 Page 2

3 THE WATER AGENCY, INC. Reservoir Storage We should not be surprised that the reservoirs in the state are being pulled down due to the need for the water and the lack of snowfall runoff. The Northern California reservoirs are between 48-63% of historical average and 41-53% of capacity Folsom is down 2%; Trinity, Shasta and Oroville are down 1%. The central ones are between 0-67% of historical average and 0-50% of capacity. San Luis is down 3% of capacity from last week. (559) /08/2015 Page 3

4 San Luis Reservoir Storage As of June 7th, San Luis storage is at 1,026,804AF and is at 50% of capacity (down 63,636AF from last week and down 3% of capacity). The historical average is at 67% of this time of year. (559) /08/2015 Page 4

5 Federal Storage within San Luis Reservoir As of June 7th, federal storage was at 271,556AF (28.12% full down 33,309AF) and compares to 488,000AF one year ago. Total federal storage capacity is 965,655AF. The federal share of the reservoir is approximately 49% of the 15-year average of 558,000AF. State Storage within San Luis Reservoir As of June 7th, state storage was at 755,248AF (now at 71.10% capacity down 30,327AF). The total state storage capacity in SLR is 1,062,180AF. Total State and Federal storage reported is 1,026,804AF. The reservoir is at 50% of capacity. (559) /08/2015 Page 5

6 Shasta Storage As of June 7th, storage was approximately 2,359,441AF (down 44,693AF and at 52% of capacity down 1% from last week) and compares to 2,109,000AF one year ago. The current level is 61% of the historical average. Total capacity of Shasta is about 4,552,000AF. Shasta s weekly average inflows are about 6,426AF/day, and outflows are about 12,643AF/day as of Sunday. Inflows Reservoir graphs from: Outflows (559) /08/2015 Page 6

7 Trinity Lake Storage As of June 7th, storage was approximately 1,004,877AF with capacity being at 41% (down 19,310AF and percentage down 1% from last week) and compares to about 1,165,000AF one year ago. The current level is 48% of the historical average. Net inflows for the past week averaged 893AF/day. Total capacity of the Trinity is about 2,448,000AF. On Sunday, releases to the Trinity River were about 3,495AF/day. Inflows Outflows (559) /08/2015 Page 7

8 Oroville Storage As of June 7th, storage was approximately 1,531,345AF (down 34,032AF and at 43% capacity down 1% percent of capacity from last week) and compares to 1,695,000AF one year ago. The current level is 52% of the historical average. Inflows for the past week averaged 1,763AF/day. Total capacity of Oroville is 3,538,000AF. Current releases into the Feather River as of Sunday have gone to 5,804AF/day. Inflows Outflows (559) /08/2015 Page 8

9 Folsom Storage As of June 7th, storage was approximately 517,976AF (down 17,418AF and at 53% capacity capacity down 2% from last week) and compares to 531,000AF one year ago. The current level is 63% of the historical average. Inflows for the past week averaged 1,645AF/day. Total capacity of Folsom is 977,000AF. As of Sunday, releases were about 4,084AF/day. Inflows Outflows (559) /08/2015 Page 9

10 Friant Storage As of June 7th, storage was about 170,491AF (down 6,599AF and at 33% capacity down 1% from last week) and compares to 319,000AF one year ago. The current level is 42% of the historical average. Inflows for the last week averaged about 159AF/day. Total capacity of Friant is 520,500AF. On Sunday, 167CFS was released into the Friant/Kern Canal, 175CFS was released into the Madera Canal, and 250CFS was released into the San Joaquin River, which is above the critical year flow of about CFS. The eight upstream San Joaquin River reservoirs are about 54% full, holding 330,317AF of their 611,688AF capacity. Inflows Outflows (559) /08/2015 Page 10

11 New Melones Storage As of June 7th, storage was approximately 441,129AF (down 11,434AF and at 18% capacity down 1% from last week) and compares to 781,000AF one year ago. The current level is 29% of the historical average. Inflows for the past week averaged 504AF/day. Total capacity of New Melones is 2,400,000AF. Current releases to the Stanislaus River have been adjusted to 520AF/day. Inflows Outflows (559) /08/2015 Page 11

12 Northern Sierra Precipitation As of the morning of June 8th, the 8-station Northern California index has recorded 35.7 inches of precipitation (up 0.5 of an inch from last week). This represents 74% of the typical average rainfall to date. The average total for the normal season is 50.0 inches. Preceding Graph from (559) /08/2015 Page 12

13 San Joaquin Precipitation As of the morning of June 8th, the 5-station San Joaquin index has recorded 17.7 inches of precipitation (up 0.3 of an inch from last week). This represents 45% of the typical average rainfall to date. The average total for the normal season is 40.8 inches. (559) /08/2015 Page 13

14 Tulare Lake Basin Precipitation As of the morning of June 8th, the 6-station Tulare Basin index has recorded 12.1 inches of precipitation (unchanged from last week). This represents 43% of the typical average rainfall to date. The average total for the normal season is 29.3 inches. (559) /08/2015 Page 14

15 THE WATER AGENCY, INC. California May Have A Little Precipitation This Week (559) /08/2015 Page 15

16 6-10 day Precipitation Forecast: THE WATER AGENCY, INC day Temperature Forecast: from: (559) /08/2015 Page 16

17 8-14 day Precipitation Forecast: THE WATER AGENCY, INC day Temperature Forecast: from (559) /08/2015 Page 17

18 June Precipitation Forecast: THE WATER AGENCY, INC. June Temperature Forecast: from (559) /08/2015 Page 18

19 June August Precipitation Forecast: THE WATER AGENCY, INC. June August Temperature Forecast: (559) /08/2015 Page 19

20 Long Range Forecast The Climate Prediction Center/NCEP issued its new Update on June 8, 2015: ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory El Niño conditions are present.* Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across most of the Pacific Ocean. There is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño conditions will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015.* * Note: These statements (and the following charts) are updated at least once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion: pages 6 and 25 (559) /08/2015 Page 20

21 (559) /08/2015 Page 21

22 (559) /08/2015 Page 22

23 The drought has dried the soil down so much that runoff isn t matching the precipitation percentages. This chart is provided by Terry Erlewine of the State Water Contractors. (559) /08/2015 Page 23

24 The really maddening part of the incredible waste of water has happened during flood flow events. Layer after layer of environmental rules like the Endangered Species Act Biological Opinions for the Delta Smelt and Salmonids have caused so many pumping restrictions. In all of the last 15 months, only one day in mid-december 2014 saw the pumps at Tracy pumped at the maximum permitted level. Those restrictive maximum State Water Resource Control Board pumping levels shown by the yellow line below are set at about 2/3 of the actual capacity of the pumps in Tracy which is shown by the red line. When the blue line of actual inflow into the Delta is above the red and yellow lines, you know that the excess is being dumped out to the ocean. Meanwhile Agricultural Water Allocations Are Set At Zero and Twenty Percent Agriculture Users received 0% allocation for this water year from the US Bureau of Reclamation on February 27, M&I users received enough to meet health and safety needs or 25% of historic use, whichever is greater. For the full announcement, go to the link: RecordID= As of the May 14, 2015, media release, the USBR says, the Friant Division is to have about 60,000 acre-feet of water made available As of March 2, 2015, the State Water Project Allocation has been increased from 15% to 20% for the 2015 year. For the press release, go to this link: That allocation is for both the agricultural users and the municipal and industrial users. (559) /08/2015 Page 24

25 (559) /08/2015 Page 25

26 (559) /08/2015 Page 26

27 (559) /08/2015 Page 27

28 Disclaimer: The information contained herein is compiled from a number of sources. Some of what we report is gleaned from news articles or meetings we attend. While we strive for this information to be accurate, it may be in error, and much of the information and data contained herein is provisional and subject to future revisions. If you plan on using this information to make business decisions about your water assets or needs, we strongly suggest that you do your own independent verification of the accuracy of this information. THE WATER AGENCY, INC. provides no guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. Neither THE WATER AGENCY, INC., nor any of the sources of the information contained herein are responsible for any errors or omissions, or for the use or results obtained from the use of this information. Please feel free to send us information or opinions, which are contrary to what we write, so we can try to integrate them into future updates. Erick H. Johnson THE WATER AGENCY, INC. Phone: (559) Fax: (559) Alluvial Avenue, Clovis, CA (Northwest corner of Temperance & Alluvial) (559) /08/2015 Page 28

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