Regionalizing global models:

Save this PDF as:
 WORD  PNG  TXT  JPG

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Regionalizing global models:"

Transcription

1 Regionalizing global models: value-adding for impacts and adaptation Jason Evans University of New South Wales Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

2 Regionalizing Global models Why would we want to regionalize (or downscale) global climate projections? How can we downscale climate projections? What do global models predict for Australia or Sydney? What downscaled climate projection data is available? What downscaled climate projection is coming soon?

3 Why would we want to regionalize (or downscale) global climate projections?

4 Global model simulations

5 Global model simulations

6 Global to Regional Precipitation Global Model Regional Model

7 Global model simulations

8 Global model simulations

9 Global to Regional Temperature Global Model Regional Model

10 For Impacts and Adaptations Often local or regional in nature Often sensitive to extremes (which are regional/local in nature) Management decisions often made locally So Information provided should be locally relevant and preferably application ready Impacts and adaptation will be directly addressed in the IPCC Working Group II report due April 2014

11 How can we downscale climate projections?

12 Methods for providing regional climate projections Scaling Alter past observations based on changes in global models Assumes the future looks like some multiple of the past Needs long time series of observations Easy to calculate Statistical Downscaling Find a statistical relationship between climate produced by a global model and station data. Use this relationship to downscale the global model projection Assumes that this statistical relationship does not change in the future Needs long time series of observations Does not require a lot of computing power Dynamical Downscaling Apply mathematical model of climate system at higher resolution Assumes that the physical laws of nature do not change in the future Solves for all climate variables Requires a lot of computing power

13 What do global models predict for Australia or NSW?

14 Mean temperature change by end of 21 st century CMIP5 models RCP4.5 RCP8.5

15 Mean temperature change by end of 21 st century CMIP5 models CMIP3 models A1B RCP4.5 A2 RCP8.5

16 Mean temperature change by end of 21 st century CMIP5 models CMIP3 models Climate Change in Australia CMIP3 A1B RCP4.5 A2 RCP8.5

17 Mean precipitation Change at end of 21 st century CMIP5 Models RCP8.5 DJF MAM JJA SON

18 Mean precipitation Change at end of 21 st century CMIP5 Models RCP8.5 CMIP3 Models A1B DJF MAM JJA SON

19 Mean precipitation Change at end of 21 st century CMIP5 Models RCP8.5 CMIP3 Models A1B Climate Change in Australia CMIP3 (High emission) DJF DJF MAM MAM JJA JJA SON SON

20 What regional (downscaled) climate projections are already available for NSW?

21 Some available regional climate data Scaling approaches High resolution climate projections produced Australia-wide using a scaling approach based on CMIP3 models, by former QCCCE for DAFF. Available here High resolution climate projections produced in SEACI using a scaling approach for south-east Australia based on CMIP3 models. Statistical Downscaling Many people have produced their own statistical model for downscaling to their stations of choice. One analogue statistical technique developed at BoM has been applied Australiawide (Bertrand Timbals group). Availability? Dynamical Downscaling Climate Futures for Tasmania. CSIRO downscaled with the CCAM model. Available here

22 What regional (downscaled) climate projections are being prepared for NSW?

23 NARCliM NSW/ACT Regional Climate Modelling project NARCliM is being developed by the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, in collaboration with the Climate Change Research Centre at the University of NSW. NARCliM is delivering regional climate projections at 10km resolution across NSW & ACT by the end of 2014 (50km resolution over Australia) 4 CMIP3 GCMs are being downscaled by 3 RCMs to produce a 12 member ensemble Three 20 year periods are being simulated: , , Uses the SRES A2 emission scenario The data will be made available through a web portal

24 CORDEX COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment A World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) effort focused on regional climate modelling and downscaling (RCD A regional climate companion to the CMIP5 GCM experiments. Develop a framework to evaluate and possibly improve RCD techniques for use in downscaling global climate projections. Foster an international coordinated effort to produce improved multi-model RCD-based high resolution climate change information over regions worldwide for input to impact/adaptation work and to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report (AR5). Promote greater interaction and communication between global climate modellers, the downscaling community and end-users to better support impact/adaptation activities. Standard resolution 50km Data will start to become available in 2014 and increase over next several years

25 CORDEX Domains

26 CORDEX AustralAsia Domain

27 Further Information Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Paul J Hezel Contributing Author: Ch 12, Tech Summary, SPM. Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Paul J Hezel Contributing Author: Ch 12, Tech Summary, SPM. Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude IPCC IPCC AR5 AR5 WGI WGI :: Polar Polar Regions Regions Polar Amplification Amplification,, Permafrost, Permafrost, Sea ice changes changes Paul J Hezel Contributing Author: Ch 12, Tech Summary, SPM Yann

More information

Current dynamical downscaling activities at CSIRO

Current dynamical downscaling activities at CSIRO Current dynamical downscaling activities at CSIRO John McGregor, Jack Katzfey, Kim Nguyen and Marcus Thatcher Climate Adaptation Flagship Aspendale, Melbourne, Australia UNFCCC NWP Technical Workshop Apia

More information

Selecting members of the QUMP perturbed-physics ensemble for use with PRECIS

Selecting members of the QUMP perturbed-physics ensemble for use with PRECIS Selecting members of the QUMP perturbed-physics ensemble for use with PRECIS Isn t one model enough? Carol McSweeney and Richard Jones Met Office Hadley Centre, September 2010 Downscaling a single GCM

More information

Providing application-specific climate projections datasets: CSIRO s Climate Futures Framework

Providing application-specific climate projections datasets: CSIRO s Climate Futures Framework 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12 16 December 2011 http://mssanz.org.au/modsim2011 Providing application-specific climate projections datasets: CSIRO s Climate

More information

Chile extends from tropics down almost to Antarctica and is located on the west side of the Andes

Chile extends from tropics down almost to Antarctica and is located on the west side of the Andes UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles Chile A. Karmalkar 1, C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1 1. School of Geography and Environment, University of Oxford. 2. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change

More information

Development of Australian Climate Futures

Development of Australian Climate Futures Development of Australian Climate Futures John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Leanne Webb, Kevin Hennessy, David Kent and Penny Whetton GREENHOUSE 2013 Adelaide, October 8-11 Summary The Climate Futures framework

More information

Climate Ready Tools & Resources

Climate Ready Tools & Resources August 2, 2013 Mission Statement To provide the water sector (drinking water, wastewater, and stormwater utilities) with the practical tools, training, and technical assistance needed to adapt to climate

More information

ASSESSING CLIMATE FUTURES: A CASE STUDY

ASSESSING CLIMATE FUTURES: A CASE STUDY ASSESSING CLIMATE FUTURES: A CASE STUDY Andrew Wilkins 1, Leon van der Linden 1, 1. SA Water Corporation, Adelaide, SA, Australia ABSTRACT This paper examines two techniques for quantifying GCM derived

More information

South Africa. General Climate. UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles. A. Karmalkar 1, C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1

South Africa. General Climate. UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles. A. Karmalkar 1, C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1 UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles South Africa A. Karmalkar 1, C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1 1. School of Geography and Environment, University of Oxford. 2. Tyndall Centre for Climate

More information

Projections of sea level rise

Projections of sea level rise Projections of sea level rise Jonathan Gregory Lead author, Chapter 13, Sea level change Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Causes of global mean sea level rise (GMSLR) Global mean sea level rise is caused

More information

Emissions de CO 2 et objectifs climatiques

Emissions de CO 2 et objectifs climatiques Emissions de CO 2 et objectifs climatiques Pierre Friedlingstein University of Exeter, UK Plus many IPCC WG1 authors and GCP colleagues Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Recent trends in anthropogenic CO

More information

Present trends and climate change projections for the Mediterranean region

Present trends and climate change projections for the Mediterranean region Present trends and climate change projections for the Mediterranean region Prof. Piero Lionello, piero.lionello@unile.it Science of Materials Department, University of Salento, Italy Plan of the talk:

More information

Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre, School of energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong

Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre, School of energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong Diurnal and Semi-diurnal Variations of Rainfall in Southeast China Judy Huang and Johnny Chan Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre School of Energy and Environment City University of Hong Kong

More information

Climate modelling. Dr. Heike Huebener Hessian Agency for Environment and Geology Hessian Centre on Climate Change

Climate modelling. Dr. Heike Huebener Hessian Agency for Environment and Geology Hessian Centre on Climate Change Hessisches Landesamt für Umwelt und Geologie Climate modelling Dr. Heike Huebener Hessian Agency for Environment and Geology Hessian Centre on Climate Change Climate: Definition Weather: momentary state

More information

Atmospheric Processes

Atmospheric Processes Atmospheric Processes Steven Sherwood Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Where do atmospheric processes come into AR5 WGI? 1. The main feedbacks that control equilibrium

More information

Local Climate Changes: present and future

Local Climate Changes: present and future Local Climate Changes: present and future Rodica Rodica Tomozeiu Tomozeiu Lucio Lucio Botarelli Botarelli www.arpa.emr.it www.arpa.emr.it Global climate changes Increase Increase of of the the global global

More information

UNCERTAINTIES IN CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS

UNCERTAINTIES IN CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS OECD Workshop on the benefits of climate policy. Paris, 12/13 December 2002 UNCERTAINTIES IN CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS Geoff Jenkins Hadley Centre MetOffice,UK 1 CLIMATE CHANGE DEPENDS UPON: How man-made

More information

Impacts of a future city master plan on on thermal and wind environments in Vinh city, Vietnam

Impacts of a future city master plan on on thermal and wind environments in Vinh city, Vietnam Impacts of a future city master plan on on thermal and wind environments in Vinh city, Vietnam Satoru Iizuka, Nagoya University, Japan Tatsunori Ito, Nagoya University, Japan Masato Miyata, Mitsubishi

More information

SECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios

SECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios SECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios The speed with which the climate will change and the total amount of change projected depend on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions and the

More information

Guidelines for Climate Information Tools. Stephen Tyler Sarah Opitz-Stapleton Kari Hansen Tyler

Guidelines for Climate Information Tools. Stephen Tyler Sarah Opitz-Stapleton Kari Hansen Tyler Guidelines for Climate Information Tools Stephen Tyler Sarah Opitz-Stapleton Kari Hansen Tyler March 2012 Acknowledgements This work was supported in part by Natural Resources Canada through the British

More information

REGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING

REGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING REGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING Regional Climate Modelling at the Hungarian Meteorological Service ANDRÁS HORÁNYI (horanyi( horanyi.a@.a@met.hu) Special thanks: : Gabriella Csima,, Péter Szabó, Gabriella

More information

3. PROJECTION RESULTS

3. PROJECTION RESULTS 631 ESTIMATION OF REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGES IN EUROPEAN AND MEDITERRANEAN SUBREGIONS USING DIFFERENT RCP SCENARIOS * Rita Pongrácz, Judit Bartholy, Ildikó Pieczka, Karolina Szabóné André Dept. of Meteorology,

More information

NRM Climate Projections

NRM Climate Projections NRM Climate Projections Penny Whetton Acknowledgments to the NRM projections team! CLIMATE ADAPTATION FLAGSHIP ANDS Workshop, Brisbane, 16 April 2013 New projections in 2014 New climate model simulations

More information

The Bureau of Meteorology Statistical Downscaling Model Graphical User Interface: user manual and software documentation

The Bureau of Meteorology Statistical Downscaling Model Graphical User Interface: user manual and software documentation The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research A partnership between CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology The Bureau of Meteorology Statistical Downscaling Model Graphical User Interface: user manual

More information

Changes in northern European wind climate: climate models and observational data

Changes in northern European wind climate: climate models and observational data Changes in northern European wind climate: climate models and observational data Erik Kjellström with input from Lars Bärring and Grigory Nikulin Rossby Centre, SMHI Seamocs workshop, PreLuna Hotel, Malta,

More information

Met Office Hadley Centre update

Met Office Hadley Centre update Met Office Hadley Centre update Peter Stott IDAG, February, 2016 Christidis and Stott, GRL, 2016. Jones, Stott and Mitchell, Submitted Lott and Stott, Revised version resubmitted Ciavarella, Stott, Lowe.

More information

Current climate change scenarios and risks of extreme events for Northern Europe

Current climate change scenarios and risks of extreme events for Northern Europe Current climate change scenarios and risks of extreme events for Northern Europe Kirsti Jylhä Climate Research Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) Network of Climate Change Risks on Forests (FoRisk)

More information

Future Climate of the European Alps

Future Climate of the European Alps Chapter 3 Future Climate of the European Alps Niklaus E. Zimmermann, Ernst Gebetsroither, Johann Züger, Dirk Schmatz and Achilleas Psomas Additional information is available at the end of the chapter http://dx.doi.org/10.5772/56278

More information

7.10 INCORPORATING HYDROCLIMATIC VARIABILITY IN RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT AT FOLSOM LAKE, CALIFORNIA

7.10 INCORPORATING HYDROCLIMATIC VARIABILITY IN RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT AT FOLSOM LAKE, CALIFORNIA 7.10 INCORPORATING HYDROCLIMATIC VARIABILITY IN RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT AT FOLSOM LAKE, CALIFORNIA Theresa M. Carpenter 1, Konstantine P. Georgakakos 1,2, Nicholas E. Graham 1,2, Aris P. Georgakakos 3,4,

More information

Bridging the gap between climate science and development practice

Bridging the gap between climate science and development practice Bridging the gap between climate science and development practice FIC/IEH Methodology for analyzing climate change impacts on productive systems and value chains Climate model simulations are essential

More information

KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands

KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands WR 2006-01: KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands 1 KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands KNMI Scientific Report WR 2006-01 Bart van den Hurk, Albert Klein Tank, Geert

More information

Beirut Water Week, 21 February 2013

Beirut Water Week, 21 February 2013 UN-LAS Regional Initiative for the Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Socio-Economic Vulnerability in the Arab Region (RICCAR) Carol Chouchani Cherfane Chief, Water Resources

More information

Advisory Board report : towards the KNMI 13 scenarios

Advisory Board report : towards the KNMI 13 scenarios Advisory Board report : towards the KNMI 13 scenarios Climate change in the Netherlands De Bilt, 2012 KNMI-publication 230 Advisory Board report : towards the KNMI 13 scenarios Version 1.0 Date August

More information

Climate Futures Evaluation and Synthesis Tool

Climate Futures Evaluation and Synthesis Tool Climate Futures Evaluation and Synthesis Tool September 2015 Alexander Epstein, Ben Rasmussen, and Chris Cutler The National Transportation Systems Center Advancing transportation innovation for the public

More information

A Web-based data dissemination platform for climate-change risk and vulnerability

A Web-based data dissemination platform for climate-change risk and vulnerability A Web-based data dissemination platform for climate-change risk and vulnerability by Bolelang Sibolla, Anwar Vahed, Francois Engelbrecht, Mogesh Naidoo, Mugu Mtsetfwa, CSIR; and Ingo Simonis, International

More information

NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX- GDDP)

NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX- GDDP) NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP) 1. Intent of This Document and POC 1a) This document provides a brief overview of the NASA Earth Exchange (NEX) Global Daily Downscaled

More information

High-resolution Regional Reanalyses for Europe and Germany

High-resolution Regional Reanalyses for Europe and Germany High-resolution Regional Reanalyses for Europe and Germany Christian Ohlwein 1,2, Jan Keller 1,4, Petra Friederichs 2, Andreas Hense 2, Susanne Crewell 3, Sabrina Bentzien 1,2, Christoph Bollmeyer 1,2,

More information

Projecting climate change in Australia s marine environment Kathleen McInnes

Projecting climate change in Australia s marine environment Kathleen McInnes Projecting climate change in Australia s marine environment Kathleen McInnes CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship Centre for Australian Climate and Weather Research Framing of the problem IMPACTS EMISSIONS

More information

Probabilistic Predictions of Climate Change using the Reliability Ensemble Average (REA) of IPCC AR4 Model Simulations

Probabilistic Predictions of Climate Change using the Reliability Ensemble Average (REA) of IPCC AR4 Model Simulations Probabilistic Predictions of Climate Change using the Reliability Ensemble Average (REA) of IPCC AR4 Model Simulations Summary: MOISE, Aurel F and HUDSON, D A Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre Melbourne,

More information

Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate-Resilient Development Strategies

Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate-Resilient Development Strategies United Nations Development Programme Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate-Resilient Development Strategies A Guidebook for Practitioners UNDP is the UN s global development network, advocating

More information

Assessing the impact of climate change on extreme fire weather in southeast Australia

Assessing the impact of climate change on extreme fire weather in southeast Australia The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research A partnership between CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology Assessing the impact of climate change on extreme fire weather in southeast Australia CAWCR

More information

Climate Futures for the Southeast Australian Coast

Climate Futures for the Southeast Australian Coast Climate Futures for the Southeast Australian Coast Supporting information for the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF) Coastal Settlements projects: What would a climate-adapted

More information

CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR MALAYSIA

CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR MALAYSIA CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR MALAYSIA 2001-2099 Malaysian Meteorological Department Scientific Report January 2009 Prepared by: Numerical Weather Prediction Development Section Technical Development Division

More information

Climate, water and renewable energy in the Nordic countries

Climate, water and renewable energy in the Nordic countries 102 Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change Hydroclimatic Variability (Proceedings of symposium S6 held during the Seventh IAHS Scientific Assembly at Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 2005). IAHS

More information

KNMI 14: Climate Change scenarios for the 21st Century A Netherlands perspective

KNMI 14: Climate Change scenarios for the 21st Century A Netherlands perspective KNMI 14: Climate Change scenarios for the 21st Century A Netherlands perspective Bart van den Hurk, Peter Siegmund, Albert Klein Tank (Eds) De Bilt, 2014 KNMI scientific report WR 2014-01 KNMI 14 Climate

More information

Resilient East. Climate Projections Report

Resilient East. Climate Projections Report Resilient East Climate Projections Report Climate Projections for the Eastern Adelaide Region Lead Consultant URPS Sub-Consultants Seed Consulting Services Prepared for Resilient East Consultant Project

More information

SWMM-CAT User s Guide

SWMM-CAT User s Guide EPA/600/R-14/428 September 2014 www.epa.gov/research n t SWMM-CAT User s Guide photo photo Office of Research and Development Water Supply and Water Resources Division EPA 600-R-14-428 September 2014 SWMM-CAT

More information

CLIMATE CHANGE IN VIETNAM AND RESPONSE Tran Thuc, Tran Hong Thai Nguyen Van Thang, Hoang Duc Cuong, Vietnam Institute of Hydro-Meteorology and

CLIMATE CHANGE IN VIETNAM AND RESPONSE Tran Thuc, Tran Hong Thai Nguyen Van Thang, Hoang Duc Cuong, Vietnam Institute of Hydro-Meteorology and CLIMATE CHANGE IN VIETNAM AND RESPONSE Tran Thuc, Tran Hong Thai Nguyen Van Thang, Hoang Duc Cuong, Vietnam Institute of Hydro-Meteorology and Environment Contents Climate change in Vietnam Vietnam NTP

More information

The Climate of the Douro: Structure, Trends and Mitigation and Adaptation Responses to a Changing Climate

The Climate of the Douro: Structure, Trends and Mitigation and Adaptation Responses to a Changing Climate The Climate of the Douro: Structure, Trends and Mitigation and Adaptation Responses to a Changing Climate Gregory V. Jones Department of Environmental Studies Fernando Alves Association for Viticultural

More information

Climate Change Adaptation Good Practice - Case Study. Climate Futures for Tasmania

Climate Change Adaptation Good Practice - Case Study. Climate Futures for Tasmania Climate Change Adaptation Good Practice - Case Study Climate Futures for Tasmania About Adaptation Good Practice Adapting to climate change is a relatively new concept to many. It is important to learn

More information

Regional Climate Science for the Pacific John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Geoff Gooley & Kevin Hennessy

Regional Climate Science for the Pacific John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Geoff Gooley & Kevin Hennessy Regional Climate Science for the Pacific John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Geoff Gooley & Kevin Hennessy...on behalf of PACCSAP Science Program (CSIRO & Bureau of Meteorology), incl. collaborative partners in Australia

More information

POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FLOODING IN WISCONSIN

POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FLOODING IN WISCONSIN POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FLOODING IN WISCONSIN Ken Potter and Zach Schuster Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering University of Wisconsin Madison, WI OUTLINE Typical flood scenarios

More information

Climate Futures for Tasmania. Discussion document: Implications for fire danger in bushfire prone areas of Tasmania

Climate Futures for Tasmania. Discussion document: Implications for fire danger in bushfire prone areas of Tasmania Climate Futures for Tasmania Discussion document: Implications for fire danger in bushfire prone areas of Tasmania May 2010 Discussion document White CJ, Fox-Hughes P, Grose MR, Corney S, Bennett JC, Holz

More information

CMIP5: A five year climate change modeling research strategy

CMIP5: A five year climate change modeling research strategy CMIP5: A five year climate change modeling research strategy Gerald A. Meehl National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, Colorado, USA The current round of climate change experiments for advancing

More information

Bias-corrected Daily Precipitation Estimates in the Ifugao Rice Terraces under Climate Change Scenarios

Bias-corrected Daily Precipitation Estimates in the Ifugao Rice Terraces under Climate Change Scenarios Rice Terrace Farming Systems Working Paper Series Number 3 June 215 Bias-corrected Daily Precipitation Estimates in the Ifugao Rice Terraces under Climate Change Scenarios Herath Srikantha United Nations

More information

Addendum to the CMIP5 Experiment Design Document: A compendium of relevant emails sent to the modeling groups

Addendum to the CMIP5 Experiment Design Document: A compendium of relevant emails sent to the modeling groups Addendum to the CMIP5 Experiment Design Document: A compendium of relevant emails sent to the modeling groups CMIP5 Update 13 November 2010: Dear all, Here are some items that should be of interest to

More information

Introduction to the Climate Resilience Evaluation & Awareness Tool

Introduction to the Climate Resilience Evaluation & Awareness Tool Introduction to the Climate Resilience Evaluation & Awareness Tool Climate Ready Water Utilities Webinar Series Curt Baranowski, US EPA Jim Hawhee, Albemarle-Pamlico NEP February 27, 2013 Use your mouse

More information

Stormwater Management in a Changing Climate: Current Initiatives at TRCA

Stormwater Management in a Changing Climate: Current Initiatives at TRCA Stormwater Management in a Changing Climate: Current Initiatives at TRCA Ryan Ness Toronto and Region Conservation Authority A.D. Latornell Conservation Symposium November 21, 2008 TRCA Jurisdiction History

More information

A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands

A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands Supplementary Material to A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands G. Lenderink and J. Attema Extreme precipitation during 26/27 th August

More information

QUANTIFYING THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON EXTREME HEAT IN AUSTRALIA

QUANTIFYING THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON EXTREME HEAT IN AUSTRALIA QUANTIFYING THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON EXTREME HEAT IN AUSTRALIA The Climate Council is an independent, crowd-funded organisation providing quality information on climate change to the Australian

More information

Working Paper. Climate Change in Central and South America: Recent Trends, Future. Regional Agriculture. Working Paper No.

Working Paper. Climate Change in Central and South America: Recent Trends, Future. Regional Agriculture. Working Paper No. Climate Change in Central and South America: Recent Trends, Future Projections, and Impacts on Regional Agriculture Working Paper No. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security

More information

Regional Climate Projections

Regional Climate Projections 11 Coordinating Lead Authors: Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen (Denmark), Bruce Hewitson (South Africa) Lead Authors: Aristita Busuioc (Romania), Anthony Chen (Jamaica), Xuejie Gao (China), Isaac Held (USA),

More information

CEQ Draft Guidance for GHG Emissions and the Effects of Climate Change Committee on Natural Resources 13 May 2015

CEQ Draft Guidance for GHG Emissions and the Effects of Climate Change Committee on Natural Resources 13 May 2015 CEQ Draft Guidance for GHG Emissions and the Effects of Climate Change Committee on Natural Resources 13 May 2015 Testimony of John R. Christy University of Alabama in Huntsville. I am John R. Christy,

More information

CCI-HYDR Perturbation Tool. A climate change tool for generating perturbed time series for the Belgian climate MANUAL, JANUARY 2009

CCI-HYDR Perturbation Tool. A climate change tool for generating perturbed time series for the Belgian climate MANUAL, JANUARY 2009 CCI-HYDR project (contract SD/CP/03A) for: Programme SSD «Science for a Sustainable Development» MANUAL, JANUARY 2009 CCI-HYDR Perturbation Tool A climate change tool for generating perturbed time series

More information

Argonne National Laboratory

Argonne National Laboratory Argonne National Laboratory Using Climate Data to Inform Critical Infrastructure Resilience and Urban Sustainability Decisionmaking National Academy of Sciences Roundtable on Science and Technology for

More information

Preliminary advances in Climate Risk Management in China Meteorological Administration

Preliminary advances in Climate Risk Management in China Meteorological Administration Preliminary advances in Climate Risk Management in China Meteorological Administration Gao Ge Guayaquil,Ecuador, Oct.2011 Contents China Framework of Climate Service Experience in Climate/disaster risk

More information

GCMs with Implicit and Explicit cloudrain processes for simulation of extreme precipitation frequency

GCMs with Implicit and Explicit cloudrain processes for simulation of extreme precipitation frequency GCMs with Implicit and Explicit cloudrain processes for simulation of extreme precipitation frequency In Sik Kang Seoul National University Young Min Yang (UH) and Wei Kuo Tao (GSFC) Content 1. Conventional

More information

Climate Projections for Transportation Infrastructure Planning, Operations & Maintenance, and Design

Climate Projections for Transportation Infrastructure Planning, Operations & Maintenance, and Design Climate Projections for Transportation Infrastructure Planning, Operations & Maintenance, and Design KATHARINE HAYHOE, ANNE STONER, JO DANIEL, JENNIFER JACOBS and PAUL KIRSHEN THE INFRASTRUCTURE CLIMATE

More information

Grading: A1=90% and above; A=80% to 89%; B1=70% to 79%; B=60% to 69%; C=50% to 59%; D=34% to 49%; E=Repeated; 1 of 55 pages

Grading: A1=90% and above; A=80% to 89%; B1=70% to 79%; B=60% to 69%; C=50% to 59%; D=34% to 49%; E=Repeated; 1 of 55 pages 100001 A1 100002 A1 100003 B 100004 B 100005 B 100006 A 100007 C 100008 C 100009 B1 100010 D 100011 A 100012 B 100013 B 100014 B1 100015 C 100016 B1 100017 A1 100018 A1 100019 A1 100020 B1 100021 A 100022

More information

Annex 1: Projections for Change in Climate and Climate Scenarios

Annex 1: Projections for Change in Climate and Climate Scenarios Annex 1: Projections for Change in Climate and Climate Scenarios Climate Change Adaptation Plan: Preparing for and responding to climate risks in the City of Stirling Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...

More information

SEA START Climate Change Analysis Tool v1.1

SEA START Climate Change Analysis Tool v1.1 SEA START Climate Change Analysis Tool v1.1 SEA START RC has developed tool to aid data analysis for the future climate data which is downloaded from Climate Data Distribution System (http://cc.start.or.th).

More information

Methods for producing extreme temperature projections for Australia

Methods for producing extreme temperature projections for Australia The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research A partnership between CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology Methods for producing extreme temperature projections for Australia Kevin Hennessy, John

More information

Climate Model Validation activities at the Met Office Hadley Centre

Climate Model Validation activities at the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Model Validation activities at the Met Office Hadley Centre Roger Saunders, Mark Ringer, Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo and Viju John Crown copyright Met Office Overview Climate model Satellite climate

More information

WP 3: Small-scale vulnerability and risk analysis for cities and sectors

WP 3: Small-scale vulnerability and risk analysis for cities and sectors RAMSES PROJECT Grant Agreement n 308497 WP 3: Small-scale vulnerability and risk analysis for cities and sectors Deliverable 3.1: High level quantified assessment of key vulnerabilities and priority risks

More information

International Commission for the Hydrology of the Rhine Basin Joint Climate and Discharge Projections for the Rhine Overview

International Commission for the Hydrology of the Rhine Basin  Joint Climate and Discharge Projections for the Rhine Overview International Commission for the Hydrology of the Rhine Basin http://www.chr-khr.org RheinBlick25 Joint Climate and Discharge Projections for the Rhine Overview K. Görgen Project Coordinar CRP-GL / EVA

More information

Pennsylvania Climate Impacts Assessment Update

Pennsylvania Climate Impacts Assessment Update Pennsylvania Climate Impacts Assessment Update Submitted by: The Pennsylvania State University Submitted to: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection October 2013 Pennsylvania

More information

Climate change in Madagascar; recent past and future

Climate change in Madagascar; recent past and future Climate change in Madagascar; recent past and future February 2008 Mark Tadross 1, Luc Randriamarolaza 2, Zo Rabefitia 2, Zheng Ki Yip 1 1 Climate Systems Analysis Group, University of Cape Town. South

More information

IEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate

IEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate IEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate A recent study published in Nature Climate Change 1 suggests that the rate of climate change we're experiencing

More information

FAO Crop Monitoring and Yield Forecasting Tool (AgroMetShell version 2.0)

FAO Crop Monitoring and Yield Forecasting Tool (AgroMetShell version 2.0) FAO Crop Monitoring and Yield Forecasting Tool (AgroMetShell version 2.0) Objectives To provide a unique shell in which to integrate all software tools to be used for crop monitoring and crop yield forecasting

More information

INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE

INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE WMO INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE UNEP IPCC BUREAU BUR-XXXVIII/Doc.11 THIRTY-EIGHTH SESSION (24.XI.2008) Geneva, 24-25 November 2008 Agenda item: 7 ENGLISH ONLY TASK GROUP ON DATA AND SCENARIO

More information

Update from Reto and Erich

Update from Reto and Erich Update from Reto and Erich From theory and models to observations Erich Fischer and Reto Knutti ETH Zurich, Switzerland Schematic illustrating precipitation changes Where does it come from? After CCSP

More information

Paul Leadley & Christophe Le Page

Paul Leadley & Christophe Le Page Panorama de la recherche Paul Leadley & Christophe Le Page ATELIER RÉGIONAL /// REGIONAL WORKSHOP SCÉNARIOS DE LA BIODIVERSITÉ AFRICAINE /// SCENARIOS OF BIODIVERSITY CHANGE IN AFRICA 25-27 MARS 2013 LIBREVILLE

More information

GCOS science conference, 2 Mar. 2016, Amsterdam. Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

GCOS science conference, 2 Mar. 2016, Amsterdam. Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) GCOS science conference, 2 Mar. 2016, Amsterdam Status of Surface Radiation Budget Observation for Climate Nozomu Ohkawara Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Contents 1. Background 2. Status t of surface

More information

Evaluating GCM clouds using instrument simulators

Evaluating GCM clouds using instrument simulators Evaluating GCM clouds using instrument simulators University of Washington September 24, 2009 Why do we care about evaluation of clouds in GCMs? General Circulation Models (GCMs) project future climate

More information

African climate change: 1900 2100

African climate change: 1900 2100 CLIMATE RESEARCH Vol. :, Published August Clim Res African climate change: Mike Hulme, *, Ruth Doherty, Todd Ngara, Mark New, David Lister Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and Climatic Research

More information

CLIMATE FUTURES TOOL USER GUIDE

CLIMATE FUTURES TOOL USER GUIDE CLIMATE FUTURES TOOL USER GUIDE NRM Climate Futures User Guide - Full v1 8 2 NRM Climate Futures: User Guide Table of Contents NRM Climate Futures: User Guide Introduction... 4 Getting to know the Climate

More information

CLIMATE SYSTEM ANALYSIS GROUP UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA

CLIMATE SYSTEM ANALYSIS GROUP UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA CLIMATE SYSTEM ANALYSIS GROUP UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA Published by the Climate System Analysis Group, 2013. All rights reserved. CONTENTS About CSAG 1 Meet the team 3 What we do 9 Research

More information

PhD Research Thesis In Civil Engineering Sciences XXV Cycle

PhD Research Thesis In Civil Engineering Sciences XXV Cycle PhD Research Thesis In Civil Engineering Sciences XXV Cycle Universita degli Studi ROMA TRE Modelling the Hydrologic Behavior of the Upper Tiber River Basin under Climate Change Scenarios Fiseha Behulu

More information

Decision-scaling for Robust Planning and Policy under Climate Uncertainty World Resources Report Uncertainty Series

Decision-scaling for Robust Planning and Policy under Climate Uncertainty World Resources Report Uncertainty Series Decision-scaling for Robust Planning and Policy under Climate Uncertainty World Resources Report Uncertainty Series CASEY BROWN, University of Massachusetts; International Research Institute for Climate

More information

ANALYSIS OF US AND STATE-BY-STATE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS AND POTENTIAL SAVINGS IN FUTURE GLOBAL TEMPERATURE AND GLOBAL SEA LEVEL RISE

ANALYSIS OF US AND STATE-BY-STATE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS AND POTENTIAL SAVINGS IN FUTURE GLOBAL TEMPERATURE AND GLOBAL SEA LEVEL RISE ANALYSIS OF US AND STATE-BY-STATE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS AND POTENTIAL SAVINGS IN FUTURE GLOBAL TEMPERATURE AND GLOBAL SEA LEVEL RISE by Paul Knappenberger SPPI ORIGINAL PAPER Updated April 2013 ANALYSIS

More information

Potential Climate Impact of Large-Scale Deployment of Renewable Energy Technologies. Chien Wang (MIT)

Potential Climate Impact of Large-Scale Deployment of Renewable Energy Technologies. Chien Wang (MIT) Potential Climate Impact of Large-Scale Deployment of Renewable Energy Technologies Chien Wang (MIT) 1. A large-scale installation of windmills Desired Energy Output: supply 10% of the estimated world

More information

The impact of climate change on development and conservation of South Australia's coast

The impact of climate change on development and conservation of South Australia's coast Department of Environment, Water and Natural Resources The impact of climate change on development and conservation of South Australia's coast Rob Tucker Project Manager, Adelaide s Living Beaches www.environment.sa.gov.au

More information

emissions have occurred since 1950.

emissions have occurred since 1950. The Critical Decade: South Australian impacts Over many decades thousands of scientists have painted an unambiguous picture: the global climate is changing and humanity is almost surely the primary cause.

More information

Adapting to Climate Change: Methods and Tools for Climate Risk Management

Adapting to Climate Change: Methods and Tools for Climate Risk Management CLIMATE SERVICE CENTER CSC Report 17 Adapting to Climate Change: Methods and Tools for Climate Risk Management Cover: Martina Topf/fotolia Citation: Bowyer, P., Bender, S., Rechid, D., Schaller, M. (2014):

More information

climate futures for tasmania

climate futures for tasmania project acknowledgements ACE CRC ANTARCTIC CLIMATE & ECOSYSTEMS CRC climate futures for tasmania FINAL PROJECT MANAGEMENT REPORT Final Report Gaynor SM, Maloney KJ, Press AJ, Bindoff NL, Corney SP, Grose

More information

Adaptation to Climate Change in the Management of a Canadian Water-Resources System Exploited for Hydropower

Adaptation to Climate Change in the Management of a Canadian Water-Resources System Exploited for Hydropower Water Resour Manage (2009) 23:2965 2986 DOI 10.1007/s11269-009-9418-1 Adaptation to Climate Change in the Management of a Canadian Water-Resources System Exploited for Hydropower Marie Minville François

More information

California s Electricity Consumption under Climate Change

California s Electricity Consumption under Climate Change California s Electricity Consumption under Climate Change Maximilian Auffhammer Associate Professor, Agricultural and Resource Economics National Bureau of Economic Research CESifo Climate Change will

More information

Centre for Regional Change in the Earth System - CRES

Centre for Regional Change in the Earth System - CRES Centre for Regional Change in the Earth System - CRES Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen Danish Meteorological Institute http://cres-centre.net From science to decisions Thanks to Markku Rummukainen Outline

More information

Stochastic Simulation for Climate Change Risk Assessment and Management

Stochastic Simulation for Climate Change Risk Assessment and Management Stochastic Simulation for Climate Change Risk Assessment and Management B.L. Preston 1 1 CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Email: benjamin.preston@csiro.au Keywords: climate change, impacts, risk

More information

Asian Monsoon onset in the present climate and its future projec5on

Asian Monsoon onset in the present climate and its future projec5on Asian Monsoon onset in the present climate and its future projec5on Cheng Ta Chen and Yu Shiang Tung Na5onal Taiwan Normal University, Department of Earth Sciences Background Data (obs and model) Method

More information