Ohio s Energy Supply Chain: Towards More Sustainable Energy Supplier Networks. OTEC Conference October 23, 2013

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1 Ohio s Energy Supply Chain: Towards More Sustainable Energy Supplier Networks OTEC Conference October 23, 2013

2 Established to study linkages between Energy, Economics and Environment

3 Ohio s Resource Extractive Economy

4 Legacy of Resource Extraction Acid mine drainage Subsidence Mine fires Erosion Non-fishable streams

5 Our Challenge: How do we build a 21 st century energy economy without destroying what made the US the most powerful democratic and economic force in the world?

6 Will Take a Portfolio of Energy Options for a 21st Century Economy

7 Shale Energy: Transforming America

8 March, 2011

9 A New American Energy Boom

10 Oil Resource Triangle High Resource Quality of Quality Hydrocarbons Light Medium Off-Shore Deep Sea Level of Technology Required Energy to Extract Difficulty Cost Low Tar Sands Methane Hydrates Shale Oil

11 Ohio s Shale Supply Chain: Many shale plays in the US

12 U.S. expected to be largest producer of petroleum and natural gas hydrocarbons in 2013 Source: Energy Information Administration October 4, 2013

13 Overall US Oil and Gas Economics Natural gas production is up Natural gas liquids production is up Oil production is up Natural gas prices are low Natural gas liquids prices are low Oil prices are high

14 Shale Energy: Transforming Ohio

15 Economic Potential Is Strong for Eastern and Southern Ohio Easy access to markets Well-developed logistics infrastructure Close proximity to all five primary states spanned by the Marcellus and Utica Shale formations Established supply chain - lowers costs and maximizes investment More than 54,000 miles of natural gas distribution pipeline Multi-modal and inter-modal networks Jobs and Capital tied to Mid-stream and Downstream activities

16 Plumbing for Frac Water Injection James Saiers, Professor of Hydrology, School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, November, 2011

17

18 Oil & Gas Supply Chain

19 Consumption Effect Food and Drink Economic Impacts Tertiary/ Induced Supply and Service Supply Chain Effect Direct Effect Housing Utilities Health Care Heavy Equipment Trucking Surveyors Utilities Real Estate Commodity Traders Entertainment Gas Processors Oil and Gas Exploration, Drilling, Production, Distribution, Safety Equipment Workforce Development Cement Pipelines Rig Parts Iron and Steel Construction Legal Services Quarries and Aggregates Schools Lodging Adapted from Marcellus Shale Network

20 100 Mile Economic Impact Radius Construction Contractors Petroleum Engineering Surveyors Freight & Logistics

21 Workforce Development and Training

22 Generation Retirements - Regional Ohio: 6.5 Gigawatts of electric generation retirements by 2015 PUCO approved 2 gas-fired facilities = 1,300 megawatts and eight wind farms with a combined 852 megawatts. Source: Columbus Business First

23 Shale investment in the region is accelerating Oil and Gas leases and royalty payments are creating high-wealth individuals Capital Investment is occurring in the Upstream and Midstream Manufacturing increasing Steel (V&M Star) Polymers (Krayton) Permits and wells increasing Midstream Investment M3 (Columbiana and Harrison Counties) MarkWest (Harrison and Noble Counties) Pipeline Investment Spectra Energy ATEX

24 Local Residual Impacts Local Governments and Services bear the brunt Meeting Local Workforce Needs Large Water Requirement Where will it come from? Where and how will it be cleaned/disposed/released/reused? Emergency Response/ Preparedness Is the volunteer squad prepared & trained in oil/gas well response? Site Reclamation Water/ Wastewater Increased Road Traffic Roadway Damage and Repair Bridges, culverts, more Long-Term Liability Housing Low income housing will/may become scarce Invest in short-term housing stock and be left with stranded assets?

25 Ohio U, Big Data, and Ohio Shale Business Cluster/ Supply Chains Surface and Groundwater Monitoring Housing Air Quality Monitoring Community Impacts Eastern Ohio Shale Energy Mapping

26 Ohio U, Big Data, and Ohio Shale Working with State and Local agencies to gather data (Data and GIS) Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jul Aug Sep Producing Drilling/Drilled Permit Source: ODNR Oil and Gas

27 Ohio U, Big Data, and Ohio Shale Working with State and Local agencies to gather data (Data and GIS) Primary Quantitative Data Collection (Water and Air Quality)

28 Ohio U, Big Data, and Ohio Shale Working with State and Local agencies to gather data (Data and GIS) Primary quantitative data collection (Water and Air Quality) Qualitative data collection (Community, Housing)

29 Ohio U, Big Data, and Ohio Shale Working with State and Local agencies to gather data (Data and GIS) Primary quantitative data collection (Water and Air Quality) Qualitative data collection (Community, Housing) Business Analytics (Clusters and Supply Chains)

30 Ohio advanced energy companies CE3 Databases ,357 Source: CE3 Energy Databases (2013)

31 Ohio U, Big Data, and Ohio Shale - Sources Business Cluster/ Supply Chains (Web Forms) Surface and Groundwater Monitoring (Laboratory Analysis) Housing (Interviews) Air Quality Monitoring (Continuous Sampling) Community Impacts (Case Studies) Eastern Ohio Shale Energy Mapping (GIS Data Layers) Policy

32 Policy as a catalyst for 21 st Century Business

33 Summary Need to develop additional functionality including decision making tools, trends, and business analytics Big Data and algorithms can turn seemingly disparate sources of information into meaningful outputs Data may come from original sources as well as existing sources (Bloomberg, Google, Dunn & Bradstreet, Census) Rationale for using these sources is speed and efficiency For maximum utility data should be linked to visualization tools. Graphic interfaces should be optimized for wide range of audiences For energy/environment interface - need to continue to determine how Ohio benefits Up, Mid, Downstream business growth, Jobs, Capital, Competitiveness Need to work with decision makers to make sure that Ohio maximizes its economic potential in a balanced, forward-leaning, responsible manner

34 Scott Miller Director, Consortium for Energy, Economics and the Environment Ohio University s Voinovich School of Leadership and Public Affairs Millers1@ohio.edu

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