Case Analysis: Volkswagen Group

Transcription

1 Case Analysis: Volkswagen Group Bryan Pratt Introduction The modern Volkswagen Group, known in German as Volkswagen Aktiengesellschaft, has grown from a single public automobile company in the 1930s to incorporate the Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Ducati, Lamborghini, MAN, Porsche, Scania, SEAT, Skoda, Volkswagen, and Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles brands, selling motorcycles and passenger and commercial vehicles. 1 With the Group s Strategy 2018, Volkswagen is focused on becoming the global economic and environmental leader among automobile manufacturers by 2018, focusing on four goals: - Volkswagen intends to deploy intelligent innovations and technologies to become a world leader in customer satisfaction and quality. We see high customer satisfaction as one of the key requirements for the Company's long-term success. - The goal is to generate unit sales of more than 10 million vehicles a year; in particular, Volkswagen intends to capture an above-average share of growth in the major growth markets. - Volkswagen's aim is a long-term return on sales before tax of at least 8 percent so as to ensure that the Group's solid financial position and ability to act are guaranteed even in difficult market periods. - Volkswagen aims to be the most attractive employer in the automotive industry by To build the best vehicles, we need the best team in the sector; highly qualified, fit and, above all, motivated. 2 With Strategy 2018, Volkswagen has brought its values to the forefront making itself the most successful, fascinating and sustainable automaker in the world and imposed an 1 This example case analysis draws heavily on the various pages of Volkswagen Group s official website. The majority of the information is contained within the company s Annual Report 2014 website. The homepage can be found at the following address: 2 Bullet points taken verbatim from: Goals and Strategies. Volkswagen Group Annual Report

2 ambitious deadline of 2018 in its Annual Report Environmental considerations are not simply a side note in the Volkswagen strategy; the very first sentence of Strategy 2018 discusses the environmentally-friendly orientation of their products. The Group is focused on above-average performance in the near term and on setting up sustainable future success through quality, innovation, customer satisfaction, and a high-quality and motivated workforce. While managing cost and expenditures merit small mentions, the company is focused on selectively expanding by appealing to customers with quality products, rather than focusing on garnering market share through pricing strategies. Furthermore, the strategy explicitly affirms that the specified measures to improve quality and productivity must be taken regardless of macroeconomic circumstance. A final noteworthy component of the strategy is the specificity of areas for improvement, such as standardizing processes in both the direct and indirect areas of the Group and reducing production throughput times. 4 The Group builds on these specific, measurable, actionable, and time-oriented goals with seven key performance indicators (KPIs), which include: - Deliveries to customers, - Sales revenue, - Operating profit, - Operating return on sales, - Capex/sales revenue in the Automotive Division, - Net cash flow in the Automotive Division, and - Return on investment (ROI) in the Automotive Division. 5 Analysis Volkswagen Group faces a difficult, heavily competitive industry outlook, but it approaches this situation as a strong company with diversified product lines and trusted brands built over decades. The automobile industry is rebounding on a global level, with heavy growth in China and recovering growth in North America. 6 However, there are several strong companies vying to capture this growth. Toyota has established a strong presence globally, particularly with the combined reach of the Toyota and Lexus brands. Furthermore, the Ford Motor Company, General Motors, and others have maintained 3 Ibid. 4 Ibid. 5 Bulleted points taken verbatim from: Internal Management System and Key Performance Indicators. Volkswagen Group Annual Report I am not citing actual documents because this is an example made on a short time constraint

3 solid positions. As many companies can attest, those carmakers that do not innovate and excite ultimately relinquish market share and lose profits. With strong rivalry and extensive spending on research and development, innovation and appealing to customer desires are two key success factors for industry participants. Two additional sources of competitive pressure are suppliers and consumers. Automobile manufacturing requires a wide variety of precious and in-demand materials, from computer components to copper wiring and rubber. Furthermore, a growing and increasingly industrial world is creating heavier demands on metals, sand, and silica, leading to rising prices. Suppliers of certain materials determine prices on the basis of demand from many industries, leaving automobile manufacturers subject to forces in unrelated markets. On the other end of the value chain, consumers are increasingly demanding more fuel-efficient vehicles with more advanced features, even in low-price segments. As has been the case throughout the history of automobile manufacturing, features that were once a luxury are increasingly demanded and offered at even some of the lowest price points. Bluetooth connectivity, wi-fi, high-definition radio, and increasingly autonomous driving capabilities, such as the ability to parallel park without driver intervention, are demanded and offered in otherwise basic models. Fortunately, current manufacturers in the industry face relatively low pressure from the possibility of new entrants and from substitutes. Automobile manufacturing requires large upfront costs and typically absorbing years of substantial losses before earning profits. While Tesla Motors has shown that driven companies can insert themselves, the company s history also underscores the difficulty of new entrants obtaining sizable market shares. Relatedly, substitutes do not pose a substantial competitive threat, as most substitutes are operated publicly. These include public bus transportation, light rail, and commuter rail operations. For many, a car serves to transport them farther than they might wish to travel by bicycle but shorter than they might travel by airplane, longdistance bus, or long-distance rail. The automobile is also notorious for providing a freedom not available with most of these substitutes. Despite this generally difficult outlook, Volkswagen Group is well-positioned to take advantage of the opportunities in the industry and not only mitigate but also benefit from some of the industry threats. With a great opportunity emerging in China and other East Asian markets, the Volkswagen and, in particular, Audi brands have emerged as prominent market leaders in the region. Furthermore, Volkswagen has traditionally offered fuel-efficient vehicles with notable dependability, and as a result, their strengths pair well with the primary threats to industry profits. These include an increase in environmental consciousness, tightening regulation, increasing urbanization, and the dependability of cars already on the road. Volkswagen Group is based within the

4 European Union, where automobile regulations are the tightest worldwide, and it has long championed the use of small engines paired with turbochargers and, in higher-end vehicles, superchargers. This drivetrain package allows the group to manufacture cars that achieve high performance, especially in terms of power and acceleration, while consuming minimal fuel. Another strength for the Group may be that its brands span essentially every price point, and one of those brands, Porsche, has helped initiate the new age of hybrid supercars. Volkswagen has shown incredible flexibility and breadth. However, a related weakness may be the Group s minimal presence at lower price points. While the flagship Volkswagen brand offers very affordable options, Volkswagen s vehicles have become increasingly expensive as they tout steadily higher quality vehicles. The company has made moves to combine their most successful model in the United States by some metrics, the Jetta, with another one of their successful models. These moves seem to demonstrate a move away from affordability, as they collapse their options at the low price range. This stands in sharp contrast to their marketing just a few years ago, which touted the affordability of their cars as competitive with the most inexpensive models available. Plans for the Jetta aside, the company has achieved remarkable success. In 2014, it achieved its target of delivering at least 10 million vehicles for the first time in its history. Furthermore, earnings, dividends, and the stock price have all risen despite outlays for takeovers that have not been fully finalized.

5 Table 1: Cash Flow Statement by Division, Volkswagen Group VOLKSWAGEN GROUP AUTOMOTIVE 1 FINANCIAL SERVICES million Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 22,009 17,794 19,285 14,788 2,724 3,005 Profit before tax 14,794 12,428 12,829 10,462 1,965 1,966 Income taxes paid -4,040-3,107-3,489-2, Depreciation and amortization expense 2 16,964 14,686 12,320 10,786 4,644 3,900 Change in pension provisions Other noncash income/expense and reclassifications 3-1, , Gross cash flow 26,549 24,404 20,166 18,688 6,383 5,716 Change in working capital -15,764-11,809 1,427 1,925-17,191-13,733 Change in inventories -2,214-1,021-2, Change in receivables -1,433-1, ,163-2, Change in liabilities 4,764 2,363 3,228 2,118 1, Change in other provisions 413 2, , Change in lease assets (excluding depreciation) -8,487-7, ,738-6,647 Change in financial services receivables -8,807-6, ,370-6,611 Cash flows from operating activities 10,784 12,595 21, , ,809-8,017 Cash flows from investing activities attributable to operating activities -16,452-14,936-15,476-16, ,263 Net cash flow 5-5,668-2,341 6,117 4,413-11,784-6,754 Change in investments in securities and loans -2,647-1,954-1,694-1, Cash flows from investing activities -19,099-16,890-17,170-17,497-1, Cash flows from financing activities 4,645 8,973-7,945 1,734 12,590 7,239 Net change in cash and cash equivalents -3,375 4,216-3,275 4, Cash and cash equivalents at Dec ,634 22,009 16,010 19,285 2,624 2,724 Securities, loans and time deposits 18,893 17,177 11,424 9,515 7,468 7,661 Gross liquidity 37,527 39,186 27,435 28,800 10,092 10,386 Total third-party borrowings -133, ,504-9,795-11, , ,572 Net liquidity -96,453-82,318 17,639 16, ,092-99,186 1 Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between the Automotive and Financial Services divisions. 2 Net of impairment reversals. 3 These relate mainly to the fair value measurement of financial instruments, application of the equity method and reclassification of gains/losses on disposal of noncurrent assets to investing activities. 4 Before consolidation of intragroup transactions: 22,217 million ( 21,270 million). 5 Net cash flow: cash flows from operating activities, net of cash flows from investing activities attributable to operating activities. 6 Cash and cash equivalents comprise cash at banks, checks, cash-in-hand and call deposits.

6 Source: Volkswagen Group Annual Report Table 2: Income Statement, Volkswagen Group million Note * Sales revenue 1 202, ,007 Cost of sales 2-165, ,407 Gross profit 36,524 35,600 Distribution expenses 3-20,292-19,655 Administrative expenses 4-6,841-6,888 Other operating income 5 10,298 9,956 Other operating expenses 6-6,992-7,343 Operating profit 12,697 11,671 Share of profits and losses of equity-accounted investments 7 3,988 3,588 Finance costs 8-2,658-2,366 Other financial result Financial result 2, Profit before tax 14,794 12,428 Income tax income/expense 10-3,726-3,283 Current -3,632-3,733 Deferred Profit after tax 11,068 9,145 of which attributable to Noncontrolling interests Volkswagen AG hybrid capital investors Volkswagen AG shareholders 10,847 9,066 Basic earnings per ordinary share in Diluted earnings per ordinary share in Basic earnings per preferred share in Diluted earnings per preferred share in * Earnings per share adjusted to reflect application of IAS Source: Volkswagen Group Annual Report Financial Position. Volkswagen Group Annual Report Income Statement. Volkswagen Group Annual Report

7 Recommendations The Volkswagen Group is in a solid position strategically and financially. The company has achieved not only financial success but also strategic victories that set it up well for future success. However, there are certain areas for concrete action to improve. 1. Re-engage with the low price point and re-establish a presence in the most affordable segment of the passenger vehicle market. While coverage of the full spectrum of price points has served the company well, there is a high demand for affordable vehicles, and Volkswagen would benefit from leveraging its experience with this segment to maintain a high market share at low price points. 2. Leverage research conducted under the Audi brand to increasingly bring driving automation and other high-end technologies to other brands within the group. The potential spillover effects from this vanguard technology in Audi could benefit the Porsche business line, while Porsche could offer Lamborghini and other Group members valuable high-performance hybrid technology.