ASSOCIATION FOR THE STUDY OF THE CUBAN ECONOMY (ASCE) Conference Program
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1 ASSOCIATION FOR THE STUDY OF THE CUBAN ECONOMY (ASCE) Sixth Annual Meeting University of Miami, James L. Knight Center, Hyatt Hotel August 8-10, 1996 Conference Program Panel Discussion: The Current Situation Carmelo Mesa-Lago (University of Pittsburgh) Pablo Alfonso (El Nuevo Herald) Gerardo González Núñez (former Senior Researcher, Centro de Estudios de América) Roundtable: Non-Sugar Agriculture Current Situation and Prospects William Messina (University of Florida) José Alvarez (University of Florida) Thomas H. Spreen (University of Florida) Anne E. Moseley (University of Florida) Charles M. Adams (University of Florida) Macroeconomic and Debt Issues The External Debt and the Principle of Solidarity: The Cuban Case Alberto Martínez-Piedra (Catholic University) and Lorenzo L. Pérez (International Monetary Fund) Discussant: Armando Ribas (Consultant, Argentina) Cuba s Hard Currency Debt Gabriel Fernández (Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University) Discussant: Alberto Luzárraga (Amerinvest Corporation) Cuba: A Shockless Stabilization and Financial Recovery Rolando Castañeda and George Plinio Montalván (Inter-American Development Bank) Discussant: Evaldo Cabarrouy (University of Puerto Rico) Labor Markets The Minimum Wage and Employment in Poland: Lessons for Cuba Andrew M. Melnyk (University of Miami) Discussant: Ernesto Hernández-Catá (International Monetary Fund) Alternative Policies to Deal With Labor Surpluses During the Cuban Transition Joseph M. Perry (University of North Florida) v
2 Cuba in Transition ASCE 1996 Discussant: Ricardo L. Tejada (U.S. Department of Labor) Labor Effects of Adjustment Policies in Cuba Enrique S. Pumar (American University Discussant: Ricardo L. Tejada (U.S. Department of Labor) La seguridad social: Un logro que tiende a desmoronarse Marta Beatriz Roque (Instituto Nacional de Economistas Independientes de Cuba), read by Arnulfo Carrandi (Consultant) Discussant: Ricardo Donate-Armada (Towers Perrin) The Military and the Cuban Economy The Optimal Size of the Military in a Post-Castro Cuba Carlos Seiglie (Rutgers University) Discussant: Diego R. Roqué (Barry University) The Military Burden on the Cuban Economy: Concepts and Data Jorge F. Pérez-López (U.S. Department of Labor) Discussant: Jesús Renzoli (IDF, Inc) The Cuban Military During the Special Period Humberto León (Info-Cuba, Inc.) Discussant: Ernesto Betancourt (IDF, Inc.) Foreign Investment Foreign Investment in Cuba s Telecommunications Industry Laurence I. Press (California State University, Dominguez Hills) Discussant: Enrique López (AKL Group) Foreign Investors Property Rights and Legal Guaranties Against Non-Commercial Risks in Cuba Sergio Leiseca (Baker & McKenzie) Discussant: Steven R. Escobar (Shaw, Pittman, Potts & Trowbridge) Agribusiness Investment in Cuba s Post Embargo Period James E. Ross (J.E. Ross & Associates) Discussant: Federico M. Poey (Agridec) Roundtable: The Rule of Law I Organización del Poder Judicial Alberto Luzárraga (Cuban American Research Group and Instituto Internacional de Abogados Cubanos) Fernando A. Roa Uriarte (Ex Presidente, Sala de lo Civil, Audiencia de la Habana) Manuel Mariñas (Abogado, Instituto Internacional de Abogados Cubanos) Pedro Pablo Llaguno (Abogado, Instituto Internacional de Abogados Cubanos) Functioning of Markets Cuba s New Agricultural Cooperatives and Markets: Antecedents, Organization, Early Performance, and Prospects José Alvarez and William A. Messina, Jr. (University of Florida) Discussant: Juan Carlos Espinosa (University of Miami) Back to the Future: The Sociopolitical Dynamics of Miramar s Budding Real Estate Market Joseph L. Scarpaci (Virginia Tech) Discussant: Eduardo Rivas (International Finance Corporation) Through the Cracks of Socialism: The Emerging Private Sector in Cuba Ana Julia Jatar (Inter-American Dialogue) Discussant: Mauricio Font (City University of New York) vi
3 Conference Program Transition Strategies Cuba: Five Key Policy Options for the Transition Rolando Castañeda and George Plinio Montalván (Inter-American Development Bank) Discussant: Ricardo Martínez (Inter-American Development Bank) Post-Cold War Transition in Cuba and Vietnam Julie Bunck (University of Louisville) Discussant: Carlos Quijano (World Bank) International Monetary Fund and World Bank Conditionalities and Cuba s Economic Reforms of the 1990s: A Comparison Ramón Barquín III (B&B Importers) Discussant: Joaquín Pujol (International Monetary Fund) Roundtable: The Sugar Zafra Results and Implications Juan Tomás Sánchez (Agricultural Consultant) Alfredo Blanco, Jr. (Productores de Azúcar de Cuba, Inc.) Rafael Núñez (North-South Center, University of Miami) Judy Ganes (Merrill Lynch) Governance Decentralization, Local Government and Citizen Participation in Cuba Nelson R. Amaro (Universidad del Valle, Guatemala) Discussant: Alfred Cuzán (University of West Florida) Civil Society, Social Control and the Structure of Power in Cuba Maida Donate (Sociologist) Discussant: Guillermo Cueto (Cuba Consultants Corporation) El dólar, la crisis y el hombre nuevo: Homo Economicus and Civil Society in Cuba Juan Carlos Espinosa (University of Miami) Discussant: Ricardo A. Puerta (International Development Consultant) Special Topics The Future Faces of the Cuban Economy: A Bayesian Forecast Barton Bernales Discussant: Jorge L. Romeu (State University of New York at Cortland) The Effect of Socialism on the Entrepreneurial Abilities of Cuban Americans Luis Locay (University of Miami) and Jorge Sanguinetty (DevTech Systems) Discussant: Silvia Pedraza (University of Michigan) Teoría de Contratos y Privatización: Insinuaciones para el Análisis del Problema Cubano José Antonio Herrero (Consultant) Discussant: Francisco León Delgado (ECLA, Santiago de Chile) Roundtable: Economic Information on Cuba Guillermo Cueto (CUBAWORLD) Isabel Ezquerra (Richter Library, University of Miami) Laurence I. Press (University of California, Dominguez Hills) Jaime Suchlicki (Cuba On-Line) Oscar Visiedo (Consultant) vii
4 Cuba in Transition ASCE 1996 Labor and the Transition Experiences of the Labor Movement in Eastern European Countries and Implications for Cuba Guillermo Grenier (Center for Labor Research & Studies, Florida International University) Discussant: Rolando Castañeda (Inter-American Development Bank) The Condition of Cuban Workers During the Special Period in Peacetime Efrén Cordova (Center for Labor Research & Studies, Florida International University) Discussant: Lorenzo Cañizares (Communications Workers of America) The Labor Movement in Cuba: A View from the United States David Jessup (American Institute for Free Labor Development, AFL-CIO) Discussant: Antonio Gayoso (World Council of Credit Unions) Socioeconomic Statistics Are Cuba s Educational Statistics Reliable? Benigno A. Aguirre (Texas A&M University) and Roberto J. Vichot (Florida International University) Discussant: Erwin H. Epstein (Ohio State University) Recent Cuban Economic Growth Statistics Carmelo Mesa-Lago (University of Pittsburgh) Discussant: Jorge Pérez-López (U.S. Department of Labor) Análisis de las estadísticas de salud en Cuba Maida Donate (Sociologist) and Zoila Macías (Biostatistician) Discussant: Sergio Díaz-Briquets (Casals & Associates) Roundtable: Cuba in Transition Options for Addressing the Challenge of Expropriated Properties Salvador J. Juncadella, Esq. (Morgan, Lewis & Bockius LLP) Rebeca Sánchez-Roig, Esq. (U.S. Department of Justice) Ignacio E. Sánchez, Esq. (Kelley Drye & Warren) Nicolás J. Gutiérrez, Esq. (Adorno & Zeder, P.A.) Environment Forestry Policies of Cuba s Socialist Government: An Appraisal Sergio Díaz-Briquets (Casals & Associates): Discussant: René Costales (Inter-American Development Bank) The Quest for Power: Analyzing the Costs and Benefits of Cuba s Nuclear Energy Policy Jonathan Benjamin-Alvarado (University of Georgia) Discussant: Osvaldo A. Juvier (Duke Power Company) Ecoturism and the Environment: Issues and Challenges David S. Collis (Consultant) Discussants: Rafael Barba and Amparo Avella (Environmental Site Assessments) Roundtable: The Rule of Law II Recurso de Insconstitucionalidad/Recurso de Amparo Constitucional José D. Acosta (Former Director, Department of General Legal Services, Organization of American States) Silvio Sanabria (Ex Presidente, Colegio de Abogados de la Habana; Presidente, Instituto Internacional de Abogados Cubanos) Fernando A. Roa Uriarte (Ex Presidente, Sala de lo Civil, Audiencia de la Habana) Alberto Díaz-Masvidal (Abogado, Consolidated Cuban Oil & Gas Rights and Instituto Internacional de Abogados Cubanos) viii
5 Conference Program Alberto Luzárraga (Cuban American Research Group and Instituto Internacional de Abogados Cubanos) Law and International Economic Relations Foreign Investment in Cuba: The Limits of Commercial Engagement María C. Werlau (Orbis) Discussant: Jorge Sanguinetty (DevTech Systems) Helms-Burton: Checkmate or Challenge for Canadian Firms Doing Business in Cuba Julia Sagebien (Dalhousie University); presentation by Beverly Campbell (Journalist) Discussant: George Harper (Steel, Hector & Davis) Graph Theory Modeling of U.S.-Cuban and Coalitional Conflicts Around Implementation of the Helms- Burton Legislation Mario A. Rivera (University of New Mexico) Discussant: Enrique S. Pumar (American University) The Continued Good Standing of Legal Entities Organized in Cuba Through Agustín de Goytisolo (Katz, Barron, Squitero & Faust) Discussant: Juan Consuegra-Barquín (Attorney at Law) ix
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