Jonathan Barton Centro de Desarrollo Urbano Sustentable. Sebastian Vicuña Centro UC de Cambio Global

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1 Reality Check: Adaptation on the ground in Santiago, Chile From climate threats to climate action in the city of Santiago de Chile and the Maipo Basin: The science perspective Jonathan Barton Centro de Desarrollo Urbano Sustentable Sebastian Vicuña Centro UC de Cambio Global

2 Agenda Climate change impacts in the Maipo Basin and the city of Santiago o Context o Climate threats Climate Change adaptation in the Maipo Basin and the city of Santiago

3 Santiago de Chile Largest city in Chile Home to nearly 7 million people Produces nearly 40% of total GDP

4 Population (millions) Santiago: a growing city 37,000 has 58,000 has 66,000 has Total Consumption (Mm 3 ) Per capita Consumption (l/cap/day) Year Population Total consumption Per capita consumption

5 Santiago: a city with strong economic inequalities Low Income High Income Municipality limit Regional limit Rivers Average HH monthly income (USD)

6 translates into different consumption patterns Meza et al., 2014

7 Santiago: one of many users in the Maipo basin

8 Santiago: one of many users in the Maipo basin Copper mining: > 235,000 ton/year Industry: > 700 large facilities Hydropower: 340 MW Agriculture (fruits/wines/vegetables): 250,000 has (16% of basin) Environment, tourism and recreation

9 1-Apr 1-Jun 1-Aug 1-Oct 1-Dec 1-Feb Demand (m 3 /s) Water supply: semi-arid snowmelt dependant basin Urban Demand Ag Demand Week

10 Climate:...and future Climate: recent history...

11 Heat Island Risk

12 1-Apr 21-May 10-Jul 29-Aug 18-Oct 7-Dec 26-Jan 17-Mar Flow (m 3 /s) Water supply: future conditions Control Week

13 A dry future could still have significant flood with water supply implications (warm storms) Garreaud, 2013 Freezing line historic distribution Freezing line in May 3rd times potential volume for a given storm

14 May 3 rd 1993: 30 dead people; 3,000 damaged houses

15 January 21 st 2013 February 8 th 2013 Unusual summer storms led to turbidity levels closing water intakes leaving large proportions of city without water

16 Flooding Risk

17 Agenda Climate change impacts in the Maipo Basin and the city of Santiago Climate Change adaptation in the Maipo Basin and the city of Santiago o Adaptation process/projects o Institutional landscape for climate change adaptation

18 Climate change institutionality: central level National Advisory Committee on CC National CC Action Plan National CC Strategy Adaptation Plan for the Agro-forestry Sector

19 Climate change institutionality: metropolitan region level CAS project initiated (German funded; Regional Govt + Min Envt) Regional Development Strategy has CC content CC sub-committee formed in Regional Council MAPA project initiated (Canada funded; Regional Govt + Min Envt + Others) Municipalities network initiated (UK funded) CAS Metropolitan Adaptation Plan approved in principle by Intendente and SEREMIs

20 Climate Change Adaptation Plans National Adaptation Plan Agro-forestry Sector Fisheries and aquaculture Biodiversity Health Infrastructure CITIES Tourism Energy Water resources In consultation Finalised In construction In construction To develop To develop To develop To develop To develop To develop

21 MAPA: Maipo Plan de Adaptacion Articulate the development of an adaptation plan with respect to climate variability and change in the Maipo river basin based on the vulnerability of different water users

22 MAPA Project Stakeholder engagement adaptation process Vulnerability assessment Surface hydrology to model Aquifers Subbasins already modeled Urban demand hydrology Integrated water supply/demand quantity/quality modeling Agriculture demand (PGM) Water quality (Cual2K) Glaciers Scenario building: land use and climate

23 Proyecto Clima Adaptación Santiago

24 CAS,

25

26 Vulnerability Ecological roofs implementation Citizen participation in creation and maintenance of green spaces Passive cooling for low income homes Energy Local and regional energy plans (renewables and efficiency) CC and energy education Diversification of energy supply sources Reduction in energy in buildings Land use WebGIS monitoring Green factor in new construction Existing canal improvements to reduce stormflows Water Low consumption devices in housing and offices Public awareness of reuse and treatment of water (grey water) Efficient irrigation technologies in agriculture A new water management structure for the Basin

27

28 PARTICIPATING MUNICIPALITIES: Santiago Providencia Colina Calera de Tango Independencia Peñalolén La Pintana IN PROCESS: Recoleta Estación Central Huechuraba Cerro Navia

29 Institutional Mapping

30 User organisations Vigilance Committees (for river sections) Canal Associations Water Communities User

31 User organisations

32 User organisations

33 Percepciones de usuarios, gerentes, y tomadores de decisión sobre procesos e impactos de cambio climá co en la cuenca del río Maipo Perceptions of users, managers and decision-makers on processes and impacts of CC in the Maipo River Basin HIGHER TEMP. URBANISATION Urbanización (33) 20% Aumento temp (17) 11% LOWER RAINFALL LOWER WATER QUALITY GROUNDWATER PRESSURES RECEDING GLACIERS AND RISING SNOW LINE Deterioro calidad de agua (11) 7% Explotacion aguas subterraneas (12) 8% Retroceso glaciares/ linea nieve (12) 8% Escasez de agua (31) 20% Disminución precip (20) 13% Aumento eventos extremos (19) 13% WATER SCARCITY MORE EXTREME EVENTS

34 Sensitivity to CC according to institutions interviewed through MAPA? cambio climático? MORE SENSITIVE LESS SENSITIVE Muy sensible Poco sensible Institucion Asociación de canalistas Público-agrícola Hidroelectricidad Agua potable Minería Público-agua Potable Público-urbano Municipalidades ONGs Organismos multilaterales

35 Jonathan Barton Centro de Desarrollo Urbano Sustentable Sebastian Vicuña Centro UC de Cambio Global Reality Check: Adaptation on the ground in Santiago, Chile From climate threats to climate action in the city of Santiago de Chile and the Maipo Basin: The science perspective NEXT STEP: WHAT IS THE POSITION OF THE PRINCIPAL ACTORS IN THE CITY-REGION?

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