Agriculture Technology and The Future of Farming

Transcription

1 Agriculture Technology and The Future of Farming It s Not Your Grandfather s Farm, Anymore Robert Tse USDA Rural Development Embassy Suites Hotel Monterey, CA January 29, 2015

2 It s Not Your Grandfather s Farm, Anymore!

3 Global Demographic Drivers Global Ag Challenges Global Ag Opportunities

4 World Population Reaches 7 Billion October 31, 2011 Projected to Reach 9.3 Billion in Billion 1 Billion Billion Billion 2 Billion October 31, Billion

5 World Becomes More Urban May 23, 2007 May 23, 2007 World Became Majority Urban Urban Percentage of World Population

6 Rise of the Global Middle Class Percent By 2030, 50% of world population will be middle income ($6 30,000 PPP) Source: Goldman Sachs Economic Research

7 Global Demand Drivers to 2050 Global Population Increase Rapid Urbanization Growing Middle Class Climate Change Impact Rising Food Prices Rising Global Trade of Food Rising Demand for Protein, Fruits and Vegetables Agriculture Adapts to Climate Change

8 Global Impact: Tourism International Tourism (2013) Arrivals: Reach 1.09 Billion Persons Receipts: $1.159 Trillion 2013 Forecast: 1.8 Billion Persons by 2030 US International Visitors (2013) Ø Arrivals 69.8 Million Persons Ø Receipts: $139.6 Billion Ø Forecast to Rise to 77 Million Persons by 2016* CA International Visitors 15.6 Million Persons (2013) All CA Tourism $110 Billion Total Direct Spending Monterey County (2012) $2.3 Billion in Direct Spending $147 Million in Direct Tax Receipts $704 Million in Food & Beverage Services

9 Rank Monterey is California s 4th Most County $ Billion Productive County 1 Fresno 2 Kern 3 Tulare 4 Monterey 5 Merced Top Five Coun=es Rest of State California Gross State Total $6.59 $6.21 $6.21 $4.14 $3.28 $26.43 Monterey Accounts for 8% of California Agricultural Production Monterey $28.97 $55.39 CA Ag Commissioner s Report 2012

10 FARM GATE Monterey County Farm Gate: $4.4 Billion Vegetables and Fruits Dominate Categories Leafy Greens $1.6 Billion 36% Monterey County Ag Report 2013 $Million

11 FARM GATE Monterey County Farm Gate: $4.4 Billion Leafy Greens and Strawberries Dominate $1 Million Leafy Greens $1.6 Billion 36% Monterey County Ag Report 2013

12 Monterey County Ag Production Overall Decade Growth to $4.4 Billion AG.CO.MONTEREY.CA.US * Revised numbers used for 2004 and 2012 crop

13 #4 Nursery Products $2.8 Billion Monterey 2012 USDA NASS CA $ Million Top 5 Counties Gross Value

14 Monterey is Largest Producer of Two of Top Ten California Crops #6 Strawberries: $2.4 Billion #7 Lettuce: $2 Billion Monterey Monterey $ Million $ Million

15 #7 Lettuce $2.0 Billion Monterey $ Million 2012 USDA NASS CA 2012 Top 5 Counties Gross Value

16 #6 Strawberries $2.4 Billion Monterey USDA NASS $ Million Top 5 Counties Gross Value

17 California Ag Exports Pass $18 Billion California Agricultural Statistics Review Global Recession $ Billion Continue Growth and Nearly Triple

18 U.S. Agricultural Trade FY 2014 sets record exports, imports, and surplus Declining bulk export prices & greater export competition lower FY 2015 forecast $152.5 $143.5 F Records $109.2 $116 F Exports Imports Office of Global Analysis/FAS

19 Export Outlook for Horticulture Products Revised FY 2015 Forecast: $37.0 Billion Unchanged 2015 Key Developments Long-term growth trend continues Strong exports to Canada, Europe and China Tree nut exports higher due to strong demand in China and Europe for almonds, pistachios and walnuts Wild Cards China s continued growth, particularly for tree nuts, fresh fruit and wine Office of Global Analysis/FAS

20 China Grows to #1 U.S. Agricultural Export Market Over Quarter Century 1985 $ Million U.S. Agricultural Exports, USDA, FAS Robert Tse USDA CA Rural Development

21 Global Agriculture Challenges " Limited availability of more arable land for production without high environmental costs " Double Productivity on farm land already in production " Adapt to Global Climate Change " Meet Local Disruptive Events

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23 Invasive Species

24 Invasive Species

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26 DROUGHT

27 2014 Drought Impact Greatest absolute reduction in water available for California agriculture ever seen State wide Impact: Crop Revenue Loss: $810 Million Additional Pumping Cost $454 Million Livestock / Dairy Revenue Loss $203 Million TOTAL DIRECT LOSSES $1.5 BILLION TOTAL ECONOMIC COST: $2.2 BILLION TOTAL JOB LOSSES: 17,000 Economic Analysis of the 2014 Drought for California Agriculture UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences July 15, 2014

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29 Impact on Farming ü Produce More with Less Labor ü New plant hybrids, and animal breeds ü New agricultural production practices ü Greater efficiency in agricultural utilization of water

30 New Ag Technology LABOR SAVING REGULATORY Production Food Safety Energy Ag Tech Water Environment

31 Disruptive Technology

32 New Ag Technology Production Food Safety Energy Ag Tech Water Environment

33 Your Future 21st Century Agriculture Technology Ag Drones Precision Input Application Food Safety

34 New Data Driven Technology Production Side of Agriculture

35 Technology is Here! Auto Steer No operator in the cab. Fully automatic tractor and planter. v=q8dbogafuik v=nxo6b1ypzmc

36 Technology is Here! Future of AG: Precision Ag UAV v=w1uyxna6ace Quadcopter UAV https :// v=_97yd8botfw

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38 DISRUPTIVE PERSON Steve Jobs

39 RURAL WIRELESS BROADBAND RURAL WIRELESS BROADBAND NEW AGRICULTURE TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTION ENVIRONMENT WATER ENERGY FOOD SAFETY RURAL TELE- HEALTH / TELE- MEDICINE Distance Learning Public Libraries TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS PUBLIC SAFETY DIRECT MARKET ACCESS TO GLOBAL MARKETS Rural Agro Tourism & RecreaXon

40 Importance of Broadband Ag Tech will locate where the high capacity broadband exists. Just as railroads brought economic growth to communities that were connected to the rail lines in the 19th century, and water ports provided the same connectivity to cities in the centuries before, broad band offers the same access to prosperity in the 21st century. Robert Tse, USDA, CA, RD

41 Hackathon comes to the Farm... Come code and have fun on the Farm of the Future in Coalinga. February 20 22, 2015 West Hills Coalinga Community College For More Information:

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