Osservatorio NGN. Telecom Italia Strategic Issues for Fiber Access Deployment. Milano, June 13th. Paolo D AL BONO

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1 Telecom Italia Strategic Issues for Fiber Access Deployment Milano, June 13th Strategy TLC trend analysis pao teleco mitalia. it

2 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 2

3 Market scenario: risks & opportunities MARKET TRENDS Decreas ing revenues for traditional telephony services and slowdown of Internet broadband s growing rate New bandwidth hungry services (e.g.. IPTV, Video-co mmunication, Pe rsonal Content service s, ) & on line devices (gaming co ns oles, ) No more clear separation between TLC & Media value chain items Competition is moving towards 3Play and 4Play business model and the number of actors is growing up RISKS Traditional services are going to become a commodity Low efficiency when managing two different and overlay platforms (traditional & ne w ALL IP ) Asymmetric regulation for incumbents OPPORTUNITIES Moving competition from the infrastructure to the services arena Intercept new economic flows coming from vertical segments (He alth care, E-Le arning, Info-mo bility, ) Possibility to change the current regulatory model Solution for obsolescence problems (TD M switching ne twork and coppe r acce ss ne twork) 3

4 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 4

5 5

6 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 6

7 Benchmark on CAPEX for FTTx projec ts Network Operator Investments (Mld ) 1 3,8 Target (Mln home pass ed) 1 8,0 Timing Tec hnology FTTH 37,0 47, FTTH 2,9 5, FTTH 1,0 4, FTTH 1,5 5, FTTCab/ VDSL FTTCab/ VDSL 7

8 International benchmark Italian VDSLpeculiarity xx Average coppe r loop length bo ost VD SL potential in Italy 8

9 International benchmark Savings Verizon Cost reduction for maintenance & provisioning (around 50% within 2-3 year after co mplete upgrade FTTH) AT&T FTTC obtain 70% operational savings estimated after FTTH ado ption Re duction of operational co st around 300 Mln US $ /year since 2007 KPN Around 10% man power saving Cost savings about 200 Mln /year. DT OPEX reduction about 30% and CAPEX reduction about 15% after full rollout 9

10 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 10

11 Consumer Bandwidth 1 HD TV, 2 SD TV 16 Mbps 2 Gaming channe ls 2 Voice calls and Visio High Speed Interne t 512 kbps 220 kbps 3 Mbps TOTAL >20Mbps 11

12 Bandwidth needs Mbps So urc e : Be twe e n Bandwidth developme nt is going to reach a Moore Law slope 12

13 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 13

14 Regulation international USA AT&Tand Verizon starts FTTx projects as reaction to Cable Operators competition FCC relax regulatory constrains for new acces s networks Japan Japan authority launched u-japan program in 2001 in order to obtain a world wide leadership for ICT applications FTTHprojects starts on 2002 End 2006 ADSLmarket (about 1 5 Mln users is considered mature 1 Q05 NTT net acquisition on FTTH over ADSLacquisitions France FT start FTTHproject in order to react to a very aggres sive competitive scenario Regulation scenario still under development Germany Very aggressive competition on broadband market. DT start FTTCab+VDSL2, projec t asking for no regulatory constrains. 14

15 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 15

16 Fttx: an option or a must Ne twork status Increasing Capex & Opex to face up network obsolescence and inertial evolution Not enough bandwidth for launching innovative bandwidth hungry services (me dia, ICT, ) Broadband penetration growth is going to spe ed up the achievement of saturation of copper cable s performances for ADS L systems, de ployed from Central Office Fttx: key milestone s -Massive introduction of Fiber (Fttx) in the acce ss ne twork & installation of VD SL2 techno logy -Strong push on ADSL2+/ 3-Play (FTTE) platform de ployme nt to be ahead of Fttx s time and to eliminate the 1 st Gene ration D igital D ivide -Imp le me ntation of Full IP network -Progre ssive full migration to ToIP -Introduction of ultra-broadband connectivity for mobile acces s (de ployme nt of fibe r-based access solutions ) 16

17 Network Architecture: As is (2006) IT - PLATFORM DATA CRM BILLING ERP CUSTOMER DATA BASE SERVICE DELIVERY SERVICE ASSURANCE WAREHOUSE TRAFFIC & USAGE NETWORK MANAGEMENT WORKFORCE MANAGEMENT NETWORK NEUTRAL EM NETWORK DATA BASE ATM Broadb and IP Broadb and Coppe r Fibe r Broadband: 3Play/ 20 M Coverage 45 % ADSL2+ ( ~20 Mbit/ s) GSM/ UMTS/ HSPA IP-DSLAM ( ~900) GWA Optical Packet Metro GbE Core Networks Nodes Mobile Voice & Data MSC.S xgsn RNC-UNC SERVICES CENTERS ( DATA & APPLICATION CENTER) PERSONALCOMMUNICATION PLATFORM P2P VOIP VIDEO OVER IP MSG CPE Broadband ADSL C overage 89% CPE FTTB for Business Solutions GSM/ UMTS/ HSPA ADSLanti DD ( ~1 Mbit/ s ) ADSL ( ~4 Mbit/ s ) ATM- DSLAM SHDSL SDH SDH GbE SDH ATM ( 630) Local Exchange Fixed Data DPI BRAS PE Fixed Voice OPTICAL PACKET BACKBONE BBN Transit Node (24) HLR-UDB MULTIMEDIA PLATFORM C2 P WEB MUSIC IMS - Softswitch DIRECTORY IPTV CONTENTENGINE/ DRM VIDEO ICTSERVICES PLATFORM B2 B+C MANAGED SERVICES MESSAGING COLLABORATION Bus MSG DVB-H GAMES CO ( ~ ) MESSAGE STORE 17

18 T.I. Next Generation Network target architec ture Fttx Project: Fo cu s Coppe r Fibe r BUSINESS, OPERATION & SECURITY PLTM. Ultra Broadband Coverage 65 % FTTC VDSL2 ( 50Mbit/ s ) IP- MSAN ( ONU) Stre et Cabine t MULTISERVICE EDGE NODE ( POP) CRM Service Delivery Customer DB DWH Service Assurance Bus Bus BILLING Traffic & Usage ERP Network & WFM Network DB CPE Broadband: 3Play/ 20 M Coverage 1 00% FTTH/ B ( 1 00 Mbit/ s ) FTTH/ B ( 1 00 Mbit/ s ) GPON OPTICAL PACKETMETRO Loc al Exc hange BBAN - CN RAN - CN STORAGE OPTICAL PACKET BACKBONE PERSONALCOMMUNICATION PLATFORM P2P VIDEO VOIP MSG OVER IP HSS MULTIMEDIA PLATFORM C2 P WEB IPTV IMS DIRECTORY CONTENTENGINE/ DRM MSG DVB-H CPE ADSL2+ ( 1 0Mbit/ s) IP-DSLAM (8.000) FTTB Key Project Figures (201 6) ~ street cabinets out of ~ buildings co vered ~ COs releases/compacted ~ Km of new fiber optics paths MUSIC VIDEO ICTSERVICES PLATFORM B2 B+C MANAGED SERVICES MESSAGING COLLABORATION SOA UTILITY COMPUTING GAMES APPLICATIONS STORAGE ON DEMAND MESSAGE STORE DISASTER RECOVERY 18

19 Agenda Market sce nario & drivers for Fttx TI Group strategic guide lines '07-'09 International be nchmark on Fttx projects Bandwidth bu dget in the ne xt future International regulation arena Ne xt Gene ration Ne twork 2 Project Ne twork architecture: As is and NG N targe t Impact on Cape x/ope x 19

20 Looking for benefits: opex decrease Ne twork simplification (lower number of ne tworks and elimination of traditional TD M ne tworks) and Fttx impleme ntation in the acce ss ne twork will gene rate significant saving s for lower cos ts of maintenance and power consumption Lower costs of provisioning and assurance, thanks to possibility of remote manageme nt of ne w cabine ts witho ut technicians operation ( zero touch ) Strong reduction of location s rental, due to a reduce d number of local e xch ange s and consequent buildings releas e; A reduction of ho spitality's lease for mobile antennas, gradually replaced by Radio over Fibe r solutions (RoF), more and more distributed and with reduce d spac e occ upation. 20

21 Conclusions Many incumbe nt ne twork operators have anno unce d FTTx proje cts with the pe rspe ctive to provide triple/qu adruple play se rvice s ( Mb/s) to a large part of the ir custome rs Important be ne fits come from OPEX and CAPEX saving agains t legacy programs for ADS L deployme nts At the mo me nt no killer application for revenue s bo ost related to FTTxdevelopme nt Complex and differentiated regulatory sce nario in Europe, Japan and No rth America. 21

22 TELECOM ITALIA: ACCORDO CON METROWEB PER LO SVILUPPODELLA RETE IN FIBRA OTTICA A MILANO L intesa è alla base del progetto di Telec om Italia grazie al quale saranno c ollegati in fibra ottic a edific i nella c ittà di Milano e in alc une aree limitrofe e rientra nella s trategia di s viluppo della rete di nuova generazione NGN2 Milano, 3 0 m aggio Teleco m Italia ha siglato un acco rdo co n Metroweb per lo sviluppo de lla re te in fibra ottica sul te rritorio di Milan o. Grazie all acco rdo Te le co m Italia raggiungerà edifici avvalendosi anche dell infrastruttura di rete di Metroweb. Il co ntratto, ch e preve de inve stime nti pe r circa 50 milioni di Euro e il diritto d us o de ll infras truttura pe r 15 anni (rinn ovabile pe r ulte riori 15) si ins e risce ne l proge tto di sviluppo della rete di nuova gene razione a banda larga (NG N2) di Teleco m Italia, il cui piano, avviato a partire dalla città di Milano, prevede la co pertura progressiva de lla popolazione sul te rritorio nazionale. In partico lare, in base all acco rdo, Te le co m Italia potrà utilizzare oltre alle proprie infras trutture anch e que lle in fibra ottica me sse a dis posizione da Metroweb pe r la re alizzazione di un a re te di apparati posti all interno de gli e difici ch e co ns e ntirà l acce sso ultra broadba nd VD S L2 co n un a capac ità tras missiva fino a 50 me gabit/s in grado di supportare l offe rta di se rvizi e voluti. L intesa siglata co n Metroweb, che dispone già di una estesa e capillare rete di cavi ottici su tutto il territorio di Milano, co ns entirà a Teleco m Italia di ridurre i tempi di realizzazione de gli impianti, limitare al minimo l impatto de lle ope re civili e valorizzare al massimo l inve stime nto. 22

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