Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries

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1 Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries February, 1 Dr. Edward Yardeni 1-- Joe Abbott -- Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents S&P Operating Profit Margins S&P Profit Margin - S&P Sectors Operating Profit Margins S&P Sectors Forecasted & Actual Profit Margins Consumer Discretionary - Consumer Staples Energy Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Materials & Telecommunication Services 1 February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

3 Figure 1. S&P PROFIT MARGIN (percent, quarterly) S&P Profit Margin Operating (.) Reported (.) Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation (revenues and reported EPS) and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S (operating EPS). - Figure. S&P PROFIT MARGIN (percent, trailing four-quarter average) Operating (.) Reported (.) Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation (revenues and reported EPS) and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S (operating EPS). Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

4 Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN (percent) Quarterly (.) Trailing Four-Quarter Average (.) S&P Profit Margin Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation. 1 Figure. S&P REPORTED PROFIT MARGIN (percent) 1 - quarterly (.) trailing four-quarter average (.) Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S and Bureau of Economic Analysis. -1 Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

5 S&P Profit Margin Figure. S&P PROFIT MARGIN (percent, using analysts average earnings and revenues forecasts) / Consensus Forecasts Annual -Week Forward* * Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Monthly through December, weekly thereafter. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. and Standard & Poor s. Figure. S&P PROFIT MARGIN (percent) 1/ S&P Profit Margin -week forward* Operating Profit Margin (trailing four-quarter average) * Time-weighted average of consensus operating earnings estimates for current and next year. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S and Standard & Poor s Corporation. Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

6 Figure. S&P & PROFIT MARGIN S&P Index (1.) Operating Trailing -Quarter Profit Margin (.) S&P Profit Margin 1/ Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Figure. S&P & FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN S&P Index (1.) Forward Profit Margin (.) 1/ 1/ * Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Monthly through December, weekly thereafter. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

7 1 Figure. S&P Sectors Operating Profit Margins CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY Operating Profit Margin* (trailing -quarter, %) Sector (.) S&P (.) INDUSTRIALS (.) CONSUMER STAPLES INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 1 1 (.) (1.) ENERGY (.) MATERIALS (.) FINANCIALS (1.) TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES (.) HEALTH CARE UTILITIES (.) (.1) * Operating margin in percent and based on trailing -quarter EPS and sales. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation. Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

8 1 S&P Sectors Forecasted & Actual Profit Margins Figure. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY / Operating Profit Margin* Actual -Q Trailing Implied Forward INDUSTRIALS /.... CONSUMER STAPLES 1/ INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 1/ ENERGY MATERIALS 1/ 1/ FINANCIALS 1/ TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES 1/ HEALTH CARE 1/ UTILITIES 1/ * Actual from S&P based on trailing -quarter EPS and sales. Forecast implied from Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S consensus forward EPS and sales, and pushed one year ahead. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation (trailing -quarter margin) and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S (forward margin). Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

9 Figure. Consumer Discretionary S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Consumer Discretionary Sector (.) Advertising (.) Automobile Manufacturers (.) Auto Parts & Equipment (.) Publishing (.) Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Consumer Discretionary Sector (.) Casinos & Gaming (.) Movies & Entertainment (1.) Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines (.) Restaurants (1.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

10 Figure 1. Consumer Discretionary S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 Consumer Discretionary Sector (.) Apparel Retail (.) Department Stores (.) Specialty Stores (.) Figure 1. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Consumer Discretionary Sector (.) Household Appliances (.) Homebuilding (.) Computer & Electronics Retail (.) Home Improvement Retail (.) 1 - Margins capped at -% due to extreme values Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

11 1 Figure 1. Consumer Staples S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: CONSUMER STAPLES (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 1 Consumer Staples Sector (.) Household Products (1.) Packaged Foods & Meats (.) Personal Products (.) Figure 1. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: CONSUMER STAPLES (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 Consumer Staples Sector (.) Brewers (1.) Drug Retail (.) Soft Drinks (1.) Tobacco (.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

12 Figure 1. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: ENERGY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Energy Sector (.) Integrated Oil & Gas (.) Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing (.) Energy Figure 1. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: ENERGY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Energy Sector (.) Oil & Gas Drilling (1.) Oil & Gas Equipment & Services (.) Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

13 Figure 1. Health Care S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: HEALTH CARE (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 Health Care Sector (.) Biotechnology (1.) Health Care Equipment (1.) Managed Health Care (.) Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: HEALTH CARE (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 Health Care Sector (.) Health Care Facilities (.) Pharmaceuticals (.) Health Care Distributors (1.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

14 1 Figure 1. Industrials S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: INDUSTRIALS (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 Industrials Sector (.) Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks (.) Industrial Conglomerates (.) Industrial Machinery (.) Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: INDUSTRIALS (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Industrials Sector (.) Aerospace & Defense (.) Electrical Components & Equipment (.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

15 Figure. Information Technology S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Information Technology Sector (1.) Application Software (1.) Data Processing & Outsourcing (1.) IT Consulting & Other Services (1.) Systems Software (.) Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Information Technology Sector (1.) Communications Equipment (.) Semiconductors (.) Semiconductor Equipment (1.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

16 Figure. Materials S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: MATERIALS (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) - - Materials Sector (.) Aluminum (.1) Paper Products (.) Steel (.) Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: MATERIALS (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) 1 Materials Sector (.) Diversified Chemicals (.) Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals (1.) Industrial Gases (1.) Specialty Chemicals (.) Page / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

17 1 Figure. Materials & Telecommunication Services S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: MATERIALS (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Materials Sector (.) Gold (.) Metal & Glass Containers (.) Diversified Metals & Mining (.1) Paper Packaging (.1) Figure. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGINS: TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES (trailing -quarter EPS, percent) Telecommunication Services Sector (.) Integrated Telecommunication (.) Page 1 / February, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Profit Margins, Sectors & Industries www.

18 Copyright (c) 1. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other information provided are subject to change without notice. All reports posted on blog., and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones are issued without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company s stock. Predictions, forecasts, and estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments. The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any product, service, report, or website are proprietary to and constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of blog., and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones may be downloaded, transmitted, broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from Yardeni Research, Inc. shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. Yardeni Research, Inc. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property, including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means, now known or hereafter devised. reserves the right, without further notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil remedies for the violation of its rights. The recipient should check any and any attachments for the presence of viruses. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted by this company s s, website, blog and Apps. Additional information available on request.

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