Potato Stocks. Potato Stocks Down 9 Percent From January 2008

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1 Washington, D.C. Potato Released uary, 00, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS),, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Potato call Faye Propsom at (0) 0-, office hours :00 a.m. to :00 p.m. ET. Potato Down Percent From uary 00 The major potato States held million cwt of potatoes in storage uary, 00, down percent from a year ago and percent below uary, 00. Potatoes in storage accounted for percent of the 00 fall storage States' production, down point from uary, 00. Klamath Basin stocks totaled.0 million cwt on uary, 00, down percent from a year ago. Klamath Basin stocks include potatoes stored in California and Klamath County, Oregon. Potato disappearance, at million cwt, was percent below both uary, 00 and 00. Season-to-date shrink and loss, at. million cwt, was down percent from the same date in 00 and percent below 00. Processors in the major States have used. million cwt of potatoes this season, down percent from the same period last year and down percent from years ago. Dehydrating usage accounted for. million cwt of the total processing, down percent from last year and percent below the same period in 00. Beginning this month, previous month's stocks, shrinkage, and dehydration estimates are open for revisions. Any changes will be indicated with a footnote. Pot - (-0)

2 Fall Potatoes: Production and, Major States, -00 Production Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt 0,,,0 0,0 0, 0,0,,,, major States. December, 00 stocks revised.,0,00,0,,00,0,00,00,00,00,,0,0,0,0,00 0,00,0,0,00 0,0,0,00,00 00,0 0,0,0,00 00,00,0,0,0,,0,00,00,00,000,,0,0,0,,00,00,000,000,,0,00,00,000,0,00,00,0,0,0,0,0,00,00,0,0,0 State and ID & OR-Mal Potatoes: Quantity Used for Processing, States, -00 Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Season,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,00,0,0,00,0,0,0 0,,0,0,0,0,0,000,0 0,00,0,00 ME 00 00,,00,,0,,0,,,,0,,0,,0,0,0,,0 WA & OR-Oth ,0 0,,0,00,0,0,0,0,0 0,,0,0,,0 0,,0,,0 Other Sts 00 00,0,00,,,,,0 0,,,00,00,0,0,,0,00,,0 tal 00 00,0,,0,,,,0,0,0,,,0,00,00,0 0,0,,0 Dehydrated 00 00,0,,,0,,,,00,,0,,00,0,0 0,,,0,0 tal quantity received and used for processing regardless of the State in which the potatoes were produced. Amount excludes quantities used for potato chips in ME and WI. Includes Maine grown potatoes only. December revised. CO, MN, NV, ND, and WI. Dehydrated products except starch and flour. Includes CO, ID, NV, OR, WA, and WI. Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA

3 CA CO ID ME MI MN MT NE NY ND OR WA WI State Prod Fall Potatoes: Production and, Major States, uary, of 00 of 00, 00 % of Prod Prod Dec, 00, 00 % of Prod,000 Cwt,000 Cwt Percent,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt Percent, 0, 0,0,,00,0,,,,0 0, 0,00,0,00,00,000,00,000,00,00,00,0,00,0,000,00 0,,,0,, 0,00,,,,0,,000,0,00,00,000,00,00,000,00,00,00,00,0,00,00,00,00,00,000,00,00,00,00,00,00,0,00,00 States,,0,,00,00 Klamath Basin,00,000,00 include processor holdings and most of the seed to plant the following year's crop. Seed usage for all seasons in 00 totaled. million cwt. December, 00 stocks revised. Includes potato stocks in CA and Klamath Co., OR. State CO ID ME MI MN NY ND OR WA WI 00 Fall Potatoes: by Type as Percent of tal, Selected States, uary, Potato Types Reds Round Whites Long Whites Yellows Russets Dec Dec Dec 00 Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Dec Dec St Avg December 00 Revised. Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA

4 CA CO ID ME MI MN MT NE NY State Fall Potatoes: Production, uary, and Farm Disposition, Storage States and Fall Season States, -00 s Production tal Used For Fall Seed Seed, Feed, Home Use Farm Disposition Where Grown Shrinkage and Loss,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,0,0,,,, 0,,,, 0,0,0,,,,,,0,00,,0,0,0 0,00,,,,,,0,,,,00,,,00,00,00,00,000,00,00,00,00 0,000,000,00,00,00,00,000,00,00,000,00,0,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,00,0,00,,0,,0,,0,,,,0,0,00,0 0 0,00,0,00,0, ,0,0,,00,00,00,, 00,,00,,00,00, Sold,,0,0 0,00,0,,, 0,,00,0,0,000,,00,0,0,0,0,0,,0,,,,0, --continued Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA

5 ND OR WA WI States Fall States State Klamath Basin Fall Potatoes: Production, uary, and Farm Disposition, Storage States and Fall Season States, -00 s (continued) Production tal Used For Fall Seed Seed, Feed, Home Use Farm Disposition Where Grown Shrinkage and Loss,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt,000 Cwt 0,00,0,0,0,0, 0,,,0,00 0,00,000,0,0,0,0,,,,,, 0,00,,00,000,00,00,00,00,0,0,00,00,000,00,00,00,00,00 0,00,0,0,00,00,00,00,00,, 0,00,0,,,0,,, 0,0,,, Estimates began in December. Includes potato stocks in CA and Klamath Co., OR ,,,,,,,,0,0,,00,0,000,00,00,0,,0,0,,0,,, Sold,0,0,00 0,,,,0,0,,00,00,0,,,,0,, Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA

6 NOTE: are defined as the quantity (whether sold or not) remaining in storage for all purposes and uses, including seed potatoes that are not yet moved, and shrinkage, waste, and other losses that occur after the date of each report. Sales of fall potatoes for all purposes for the past years averaged. percent of the total fall production. Shrinkage, loss, and home use account for the remaining. percent. Production Sold Potatoes: Production, Sold, Not Sold, and Kept for Seed, United States, Fall Potatoes Sold as % of Production Not Sold Not Sold as % of Production Amount Used for Seed All Seasons Following,000 Cwt,000 Cwt Percent,000 Cwt Percent,000 Cwt,,,, 0,00,,,,0,, , 0,0,0, 0, Production revised in Field s, Final Estimates publication released December, 00. Disposition will be revised in Potatoes and Sweet Potatoes, Final Estimates publication, which will be released uary 0, ,,,,, Dec Potatoes: Shrinkage and Loss, Fall Storage States, -00 Feb Mar Apr May tal Jun Million Cwt Million Cwt Million Cwt Million Cwt Million Cwt Million Cwt Million Cwt.... December, 00 shrink and loss revised Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA

7 Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA Fall Potatoes: Farm Marketings, Selected States and United States, -00 Marketing s State Marketing Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent CA CO ID ME MI MN NY ND OR WA WI US

8 Reliability of uary Estimates assist users in evaluating the reliability of the uary stocks estimate, the Root Mean Square Error, a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the uary stocks estimate and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 0-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the Root Mean Square Error. Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current estimate relative to the final end-ofseason estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year s estimate are not different from those influencing recent years. The Root Mean Square Error for the uary stocks estimate is. percent. This means that chances are out of that the current estimate of million cwt will not be above or below the final estimate by more than. percent, or approximately. million cwt. Chances are out of (0 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed. percent, or approximately. million cwt. The 0-year (-00) record of differences between the uary stocks estimates and the final estimates averaged. million cwt, ranging from. million cwt above the final to,000 cwt below the final. During the 0-year period, the uary estimate has been below the final estimate years and above years Fall Potato : Preliminary and Final uary, United States, -00 Preliminary % of Final Final,000 Cwt Percent,000 Cwt,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00 0,000,00, ,0,,0,0,0,0,00 0,00,0,0 Potato uary 00 NASS, USDA

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