Overview Classes Logistic regression (5) 193 Building and applying logistic regression (6) 263 Generalizations of logistic regression (7)


 Ilene Little
 5 years ago
 Views:
Transcription
1 Overview Classes 123 Logistic regression (5) 193 Building and applying logistic regression (6) 263 Generalizations of logistic regression (7) 24 Loglinear models (8) hrs; 5B02 Building and applying loglinear models ( , 9.8) 234 Association ( ) hrs: 5A37 Matched pairs (10) 75 Repeated measurements (11/12) 145 Mixture models (13) 0
2 Logistic Regression Today s topics: 1. Introduction 2. Parameter interpretation 3. Inference 4. Categorical predictors 5. Multiple predictors 6. Software: SPSS 7. Software: lem Sections skipped: 5.5 (except formula 5.20) Logistic regression 5.1
3 Introduction: Logistic Regression The response variable (Y ) is a dichotomous variable. more, continuous or categorical predictor variables. We may have one or For the moment lets consider one predictor variable X. Denote π(x) = P (Y = 1 X = x). The logistic regression model is or equivalently π(x) = logit [π(x)] = log exp(α + βx) 1 + exp(α + βx) π(x) 1 π(x) = α + βx The logit link is equated to the linear predictor. Logistic regression 5.2
4 Interpretation How to interpret β? 1. The sign determines whether the possibility goes up or down with an increase in X. 2. The larger the absolute value of β the steeper the line. When β = 0 the line is flat and X and Y are independent. 3. The relationship between the predictor and the probability follows the logistic curve. Logistic regression 5.3
5 Interpretation P(Y=1 x) x Logistic regression 5.4
6 Interpretation How to interpret β? 1. The odds increase multiplicatively by e β for a unit change in X. 2. e β is an odds ratio. The odds at X = x + 1 divided by the odds at X = x. 3. Use quartiles to get a better understanding. 4. Via linearization argument: The line tangent to the curve has slope βπ(x)[1 π(x)]. This is approximately the increase in probability with an increase in predictor value of From this, it follows that near x where π(x) =.5, (i.e., x = α/β) 1/β approximates the distance between xvalues that correspond to π(x) =.25 or π(x) =.75 and π(x) =.5. Logistic regression 5.5
7 Inference Significance tests usually test H 0 : β = 0. Possible tests (see class 1): 1. Wald statistic: z = β/se. z 2 χ 2 with df=1. 2. Likelihood ratio statistic; Uses the difference of twice the maximized loglikelihood at ˆβ and β = 0. Also chisquare distributed with df=1. The likelihood ratio statistic is preferred over the Wald statistic. It uses more information and has more power. More information is usually provided by confidence intervals for β. These are arrived through inverse reasoning. Logistic regression 5.6
8 Inference Often we also like a confidence interval for the predicted probabilities (ˆπ(x)). For a fixed value x = x 0, logit[ˆπ(x 0 )] = ˆα + ˆβx 0 has a largesample standard error (SE) given by the square root of var(ˆα + ˆβx 0 ) = var(ˆα) + x 2 0 var(ˆβ) + 2x 0 cov(ˆα, ˆβ) The variances and covariances of the regression weights can be obtained from formula (5.20). A 95%confidence interval for the logit is obtained by adding and subtracting 1.96SE from the estimated logit. From this confidence interval we can obtain a confidence interval for the probabilities by π(x 0 ) = exp(logit) 1 + exp(logit) Logistic regression 5.7
9 Inference: Goodnessoffit stats In practice there is no guarantee that the model fits the data well. But if all more complex models do not increase the fit then this is some evidence that the chosen model is reasonable. Detecting lack of fit by searching any way that the model fails. Therefore, X 2 and G 2 statistics are used. Data must be grouped: Categorize continuous variables. An example is the Hosmer and Lemeshow statistic: Partition the data in g (approximately) equal groups based on predicted probabilities. Then form a contingency table of the groups against the two response categories. Compare fitted and observed frequencies. Such tests indicate lack of fit but no insight about its nature. Logistic regression 5.8
10 Categorical predictors Categorical variables are often named factors. log ( πi 1 π i ) = α + β i One must constrain one of the β i s, for example β 1 = 0 or i β i = 0. This is like the ANOVA model Logistic regression 5.9
11 Categorical predictors The same model can be made using dummy variables. A factor with I levels needs I 1 dummy variables. Like in multiple regression with dummy variables. Example of dummyvariables for threecategory Effect Dummy x 1 x 2 x 1 x log ( πi 1 π i ) = α + β 1 x 1 + β 2 x 2... In effect coding the β i represents deviance from a mean. In dummy coding the β i denote deviance from the baseline group for which we set β i = 0. Logistic regression 5.10
12 Categorical predictors Effect coding corresponds with the constraint i β i = 0 in the ANOVA setup whereas Dummycoding corresponds with β I = 0. Depending on the dummies chosen, the interpretation of β i changes. However, model fit does not change. Whatever constraint is chosen ˆα + ˆβ i does not change and so the probabilities remain the same. The differences ˆβ a ˆβ b for any pair (a, b) represent estimated logodds ratios Logistic regression 5.11
13 Ordered Categorical predictors If there are ordered categorical predictors for which we can find sensible scores (x 1, x 2,..., x I ) these scores might be used and we act as if the predictor is of interval level. An advantage is that we have increased power if most of the relationship between predictor and logit is linear. We only use one degree of freedom. Disadvantage: When the relationship between predictor and the logit is nonlinear we loose valuable information. Logistic regression 5.12
14 Multiple predictors Like in ordinary regression, logistic regression extends to cases with multiple predictors. Let π(x) = P (Y = 1 X 1 = x 1, X 2 = x 2,..., X p = x p ), then π(x) = exp(α + β 1x 1 + β 2 x β p x p ) 1 exp(α + β 1 x 1 + β 2 x β p x p ) The parameters β i refers to the effect of x i on the log odds that Y = 1, controlling for the other x j (i.e. keeping the other x j fixed). The predictor variables can, of course, be categorical (dummy) or continuous. When all predictors are categorical the data can be represented in a contingency table format. (The data has grouped format). With factors the ANOVAmodel is written as ) log ( πi 1 π i = α + β X i + β Z k Logistic regression 5.13
15 Multiple predictors Are predictors important? 1. Use the Wald statistic (ˆβ 2 /SE 2 ). 2. Use the likelihood ratio test. Compare two nested models, M 0 and M 1 with maximized log likelihood values L 0 and L 1, respectively. Denote assuming that model M 1 holds. G 2 (M 0 M 1 ) = 2(L 0 L 1 ), G 2 (M 0 M 1 ) = 2(L 0 L 1 ) has a chisquared statistic with df the difference in number of (independent!) parameters of the two models. Logistic regression 5.14
16 SPSS SPSS has under Analyze > Regression > Binary Logistic.. a logistic regression program. Contains many statistics, such as 1. many residuals 2. the Hosmer and Lemeshow statistic 3. influence diagnostics (to be discussed next week) 4. etc Logistic regression 5.15
17 lem Program for categorical data analysis (free!) Can be found at: This program is especially useful for the analysis of contingency tables but it can do much more (See examples ). Logistic regression 5.16
STATISTICA Formula Guide: Logistic Regression. Table of Contents
: Table of Contents... 1 Overview of Model... 1 Dispersion... 2 Parameterization... 3 SigmaRestricted Model... 3 Overparameterized Model... 4 Reference Coding... 4 Model Summary (Summary Tab)... 5 Summary
More information11. Analysis of Casecontrol Studies Logistic Regression
Research methods II 113 11. Analysis of Casecontrol Studies Logistic Regression This chapter builds upon and further develops the concepts and strategies described in Ch.6 of Mother and Child Health:
More informationOrdinal Regression. Chapter
Ordinal Regression Chapter 4 Many variables of interest are ordinal. That is, you can rank the values, but the real distance between categories is unknown. Diseases are graded on scales from least severe
More informationVI. Introduction to Logistic Regression
VI. Introduction to Logistic Regression We turn our attention now to the topic of modeling a categorical outcome as a function of (possibly) several factors. The framework of generalized linear models
More informationLOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS
LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS C. Mitchell Dayton Department of Measurement, Statistics & Evaluation Room 1230D Benjamin Building University of Maryland September 1992 1. Introduction and Model Logistic
More information13. Poisson Regression Analysis
136 Poisson Regression Analysis 13. Poisson Regression Analysis We have so far considered situations where the outcome variable is numeric and Normally distributed, or binary. In clinical work one often
More informationMultivariate Logistic Regression
1 Multivariate Logistic Regression As in univariate logistic regression, let π(x) represent the probability of an event that depends on p covariates or independent variables. Then, using an inv.logit formulation
More informationLogit Models for Binary Data
Chapter 3 Logit Models for Binary Data We now turn our attention to regression models for dichotomous data, including logistic regression and probit analysis. These models are appropriate when the response
More informationThe Probit Link Function in Generalized Linear Models for Data Mining Applications
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods Copyright 2013 JMASM, Inc. May 2013, Vol. 12, No. 1, 164169 1538 9472/13/$95.00 The Probit Link Function in Generalized Linear Models for Data Mining Applications
More informationSAS Software to Fit the Generalized Linear Model
SAS Software to Fit the Generalized Linear Model Gordon Johnston, SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC Abstract In recent years, the class of generalized linear models has gained popularity as a statistical modeling
More informationGeneralized Linear Models
Generalized Linear Models We have previously worked with regression models where the response variable is quantitative and normally distributed. Now we turn our attention to two types of models where the
More informationMultinomial and Ordinal Logistic Regression
Multinomial and Ordinal Logistic Regression ME104: Linear Regression Analysis Kenneth Benoit August 22, 2012 Regression with categorical dependent variables When the dependent variable is categorical,
More informationUnit 12 Logistic Regression Supplementary Chapter 14 in IPS On CD (Chap 16, 5th ed.)
Unit 12 Logistic Regression Supplementary Chapter 14 in IPS On CD (Chap 16, 5th ed.) Logistic regression generalizes methods for 2way tables Adds capability studying several predictors, but Limited to
More informationLogistic Regression. http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/garson/pa765/logistic.htm#sigtests
Logistic Regression http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/garson/pa765/logistic.htm#sigtests Overview Binary (or binomial) logistic regression is a form of regression which is used when the dependent is a dichotomy
More informationSimple Linear Regression Inference
Simple Linear Regression Inference 1 Inference requirements The Normality assumption of the stochastic term e is needed for inference even if it is not a OLS requirement. Therefore we have: Interpretation
More informationLogistic Regression (1/24/13)
STA63/CBB540: Statistical methods in computational biology Logistic Regression (/24/3) Lecturer: Barbara Engelhardt Scribe: Dinesh Manandhar Introduction Logistic regression is model for regression used
More informationWeight of Evidence Module
Formula Guide The purpose of the Weight of Evidence (WoE) module is to provide flexible tools to recode the values in continuous and categorical predictor variables into discrete categories automatically,
More informationLecture 18: Logistic Regression Continued
Lecture 18: Logistic Regression Continued Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Ph.D. BMTRY 711: Analysis of Categorical Data Spring 2011 Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology Medical University of South Carolina
More informationAuxiliary Variables in Mixture Modeling: 3Step Approaches Using Mplus
Auxiliary Variables in Mixture Modeling: 3Step Approaches Using Mplus Tihomir Asparouhov and Bengt Muthén Mplus Web Notes: No. 15 Version 8, August 5, 2014 1 Abstract This paper discusses alternatives
More informationPoisson Regression or Regression of Counts (& Rates)
Poisson Regression or Regression of (& Rates) Carolyn J. Anderson Department of Educational Psychology University of Illinois at UrbanaChampaign Generalized Linear Models Slide 1 of 51 Outline Outline
More informationPoisson Models for Count Data
Chapter 4 Poisson Models for Count Data In this chapter we study loglinear models for count data under the assumption of a Poisson error structure. These models have many applications, not only to the
More informationModule 4  Multiple Logistic Regression
Module 4  Multiple Logistic Regression Objectives Understand the principles and theory underlying logistic regression Understand proportions, probabilities, odds, odds ratios, logits and exponents Be
More informationDeveloping Risk Adjustment Techniques Using the SAS@ System for Assessing Health Care Quality in the lmsystem@
Developing Risk Adjustment Techniques Using the SAS@ System for Assessing Health Care Quality in the lmsystem@ Yanchun Xu, Andrius Kubilius Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations,
More informationRegression III: Advanced Methods
Lecture 16: Generalized Additive Models Regression III: Advanced Methods Bill Jacoby Michigan State University http://polisci.msu.edu/jacoby/icpsr/regress3 Goals of the Lecture Introduce Additive Models
More information" Y. Notation and Equations for Regression Lecture 11/4. Notation:
Notation: Notation and Equations for Regression Lecture 11/4 m: The number of predictor variables in a regression Xi: One of multiple predictor variables. The subscript i represents any number from 1 through
More informationHLM software has been one of the leading statistical packages for hierarchical
Introductory Guide to HLM With HLM 7 Software 3 G. David Garson HLM software has been one of the leading statistical packages for hierarchical linear modeling due to the pioneering work of Stephen Raudenbush
More informationINTRODUCTORY STATISTICS
INTRODUCTORY STATISTICS FIFTH EDITION Thomas H. Wonnacott University of Western Ontario Ronald J. Wonnacott University of Western Ontario WILEY JOHN WILEY & SONS New York Chichester Brisbane Toronto Singapore
More informationLecture 19: Conditional Logistic Regression
Lecture 19: Conditional Logistic Regression Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Ph.D. BMTRY 711: Analysis of Categorical Data Spring 2011 Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology Medical University of South Carolina
More informationLogit and Probit. Brad Jones 1. April 21, 2009. University of California, Davis. Bradford S. Jones, UCDavis, Dept. of Political Science
Logit and Probit Brad 1 1 Department of Political Science University of California, Davis April 21, 2009 Logit, redux Logit resolves the functional form problem (in terms of the response function in the
More informationCREDIT SCORING MODEL APPLICATIONS:
Örebro University Örebro University School of Business Master in Applied Statistics Thomas Laitila Sune Karlsson May, 2014 CREDIT SCORING MODEL APPLICATIONS: TESTING MULTINOMIAL TARGETS Gabriela De Rossi
More informationAssumptions. Assumptions of linear models. Boxplot. Data exploration. Apply to response variable. Apply to error terms from linear model
Assumptions Assumptions of linear models Apply to response variable within each group if predictor categorical Apply to error terms from linear model check by analysing residuals Normality Homogeneity
More informationBinary Logistic Regression
Binary Logistic Regression Main Effects Model Logistic regression will accept quantitative, binary or categorical predictors and will code the latter two in various ways. Here s a simple model including
More informationI L L I N O I S UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT URBANACHAMPAIGN
Beckman HLM Reading Group: Questions, Answers and Examples Carolyn J. Anderson Department of Educational Psychology I L L I N O I S UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT URBANACHAMPAIGN Linear Algebra Slide 1 of
More informationStatistics in Retail Finance. Chapter 6: Behavioural models
Statistics in Retail Finance 1 Overview > So far we have focussed mainly on application scorecards. In this chapter we shall look at behavioural models. We shall cover the following topics: Behavioural
More informationIII. INTRODUCTION TO LOGISTIC REGRESSION. a) Example: APACHE II Score and Mortality in Sepsis
III. INTRODUCTION TO LOGISTIC REGRESSION 1. Simple Logistic Regression a) Example: APACHE II Score and Mortality in Sepsis The following figure shows 30 day mortality in a sample of septic patients as
More informationLogistic regression modeling the probability of success
Logistic regression modeling the probability of success Regression models are usually thought of as only being appropriate for target variables that are continuous Is there any situation where we might
More informationExample: Credit card default, we may be more interested in predicting the probabilty of a default than classifying individuals as default or not.
Statistical Learning: Chapter 4 Classification 4.1 Introduction Supervised learning with a categorical (Qualitative) response Notation:  Feature vector X,  qualitative response Y, taking values in C
More informationAdditional sources Compilation of sources: http://lrs.ed.uiuc.edu/tseportal/datacollectionmethodologies/jintselink/tselink.htm
Mgt 540 Research Methods Data Analysis 1 Additional sources Compilation of sources: http://lrs.ed.uiuc.edu/tseportal/datacollectionmethodologies/jintselink/tselink.htm http://web.utk.edu/~dap/random/order/start.htm
More informationLOGIT AND PROBIT ANALYSIS
LOGIT AND PROBIT ANALYSIS A.K. Vasisht I.A.S.R.I., Library Avenue, New Delhi 110 012 amitvasisht@iasri.res.in In dummy regression variable models, it is assumed implicitly that the dependent variable Y
More informationLogistic Regression. Jia Li. Department of Statistics The Pennsylvania State University. Logistic Regression
Logistic Regression Department of Statistics The Pennsylvania State University Email: jiali@stat.psu.edu Logistic Regression Preserve linear classification boundaries. By the Bayes rule: Ĝ(x) = arg max
More informationStatistics in Retail Finance. Chapter 2: Statistical models of default
Statistics in Retail Finance 1 Overview > We consider how to build statistical models of default, or delinquency, and how such models are traditionally used for credit application scoring and decision
More informationMORE ON LOGISTIC REGRESSION
DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Posc/Uapp 816 MORE ON LOGISTIC REGRESSION I. AGENDA: A. Logistic regression 1. Multiple independent variables 2. Example: The Bell Curve 3. Evaluation
More informationExamples of Using R for Modeling Ordinal Data
Examples of Using R for Modeling Ordinal Data Alan Agresti Department of Statistics, University of Florida Supplement for the book Analysis of Ordinal Categorical Data, 2nd ed., 2010 (Wiley), abbreviated
More informationSun Li Centre for Academic Computing lsun@smu.edu.sg
Sun Li Centre for Academic Computing lsun@smu.edu.sg Elementary Data Analysis Group Comparison & Oneway ANOVA Nonparametric Tests Correlations General Linear Regression Logistic Models Binary Logistic
More informationHYPOTHESIS TESTING: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS, TTESTS, ANOVAS, AND REGRESSION
HYPOTHESIS TESTING: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS, TTESTS, ANOVAS, AND REGRESSION HOD 2990 10 November 2010 Lecture Background This is a lightning speed summary of introductory statistical methods for senior undergraduate
More informationElements of statistics (MATH04871)
Elements of statistics (MATH04871) Prof. Dr. Dr. K. Van Steen University of Liège, Belgium December 10, 2012 Introduction to Statistics Basic Probability Revisited Sampling Exploratory Data Analysis 
More informationApplied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences
Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences Third Edition Jacob Cohen (deceased) New York University Patricia Cohen New York State Psychiatric Institute and Columbia University
More informationWhen to Use a Particular Statistical Test
When to Use a Particular Statistical Test Central Tendency Univariate Descriptive Mode the most commonly occurring value 6 people with ages 21, 22, 21, 23, 19, 21  mode = 21 Median the center value the
More informationDescriptive Statistics
Descriptive Statistics Primer Descriptive statistics Central tendency Variation Relative position Relationships Calculating descriptive statistics Descriptive Statistics Purpose to describe or summarize
More informationMultiple logistic regression analysis of cigarette use among high school students
Multiple logistic regression analysis of cigarette use among high school students ABSTRACT Joseph AdwereBoamah Alliant International University A binary logistic regression analysis was performed to predict
More informationUse of deviance statistics for comparing models
A likelihoodratio test can be used under full ML. The use of such a test is a quite general principle for statistical testing. In hierarchical linear models, the deviance test is mostly used for multiparameter
More informationInteractions involving Categorical Predictors
Interactions involving Categorical Predictors Today s Class: To CLASS or not to CLASS: Manual vs. programcreated differences among groups Interactions of continuous and categorical predictors Interactions
More informationCalculating PValues. Parkland College. Isela Guerra Parkland College. Recommended Citation
Parkland College A with Honors Projects Honors Program 2014 Calculating PValues Isela Guerra Parkland College Recommended Citation Guerra, Isela, "Calculating PValues" (2014). A with Honors Projects.
More informationThe Proportional Odds Model for Assessing Rater Agreement with Multiple Modalities
The Proportional Odds Model for Assessing Rater Agreement with Multiple Modalities Elizabeth GarrettMayer, PhD Assistant Professor Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center Johns Hopkins University 1
More informationChapter 7: Simple linear regression Learning Objectives
Chapter 7: Simple linear regression Learning Objectives Reading: Section 7.1 of OpenIntro Statistics Video: Correlation vs. causation, YouTube (2:19) Video: Intro to Linear Regression, YouTube (5:18) 
More informationGeneral Regression Formulae ) (N2) (1  r 2 YX
General Regression Formulae Single Predictor Standardized Parameter Model: Z Yi = β Z Xi + ε i Single Predictor Standardized Statistical Model: Z Yi = β Z Xi Estimate of Beta (Betahat: β = r YX (1 Standard
More informationResponse variables assume only two values, say Y j = 1 or = 0, called success and failure (spam detection, credit scoring, contracting.
Prof. Dr. J. Franke All of Statistics 1.52 Binary response variables  logistic regression Response variables assume only two values, say Y j = 1 or = 0, called success and failure (spam detection, credit
More informationStatistical Machine Learning
Statistical Machine Learning UoC Stats 37700, Winter quarter Lecture 4: classical linear and quadratic discriminants. 1 / 25 Linear separation For two classes in R d : simple idea: separate the classes
More informationStatistical Models in R
Statistical Models in R Some Examples Steven Buechler Department of Mathematics 276B Hurley Hall; 16233 Fall, 2007 Outline Statistical Models Structure of models in R Model Assessment (Part IA) Anova
More informationDirections for using SPSS
Directions for using SPSS Table of Contents Connecting and Working with Files 1. Accessing SPSS... 2 2. Transferring Files to N:\drive or your computer... 3 3. Importing Data from Another File Format...
More informationChapter 13 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analysis
Chapter 3 Student Lecture Notes 3 Chapter 3 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analsis Fall 2006 Fundamentals of Business Statistics Chapter Goals To understand the methods for displaing
More informationLogistic Regression 1. y log( ) logit( y) 1 y = = +
Written by: Robin Beaumont email: robin@organplayers.co.uk Date Thursday, 05 July 2012 Version: 3 Logistic Regression model Can be converted to a probability dependent variable = outcome/event log odds
More informationSupplementary PROCESS Documentation
Supplementary PROCESS Documentation This document is an addendum to Appendix A of Introduction to Mediation, Moderation, and Conditional Process Analysis that describes options and output added to PROCESS
More informationLinda K. Muthén Bengt Muthén. Copyright 2008 Muthén & Muthén www.statmodel.com. Table Of Contents
Mplus Short Courses Topic 2 Regression Analysis, Eploratory Factor Analysis, Confirmatory Factor Analysis, And Structural Equation Modeling For Categorical, Censored, And Count Outcomes Linda K. Muthén
More informationTwo Correlated Proportions (McNemar Test)
Chapter 50 Two Correlated Proportions (Mcemar Test) Introduction This procedure computes confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for the comparison of the marginal frequencies of two factors (each with
More informationStatistics 305: Introduction to Biostatistical Methods for Health Sciences
Statistics 305: Introduction to Biostatistical Methods for Health Sciences Modelling the Log Odds Logistic Regression (Chap 20) Instructor: Liangliang Wang Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser
More informationMultinomial Logistic Regression
Multinomial Logistic Regression Dr. Jon Starkweather and Dr. Amanda Kay Moske Multinomial logistic regression is used to predict categorical placement in or the probability of category membership on a
More informationLocal classification and local likelihoods
Local classification and local likelihoods November 18 knearest neighbors The idea of local regression can be extended to classification as well The simplest way of doing so is called nearest neighbor
More informationBasic Statistics and Data Analysis for Health Researchers from Foreign Countries
Basic Statistics and Data Analysis for Health Researchers from Foreign Countries Volkert Siersma siersma@sund.ku.dk The Research Unit for General Practice in Copenhagen Dias 1 Content Quantifying association
More informationData Mining: An Overview of Methods and Technologies for Increasing Profits in Direct Marketing. C. Olivia Rud, VP, Fleet Bank
Data Mining: An Overview of Methods and Technologies for Increasing Profits in Direct Marketing C. Olivia Rud, VP, Fleet Bank ABSTRACT Data Mining is a new term for the common practice of searching through
More informationStudy Guide for the Final Exam
Study Guide for the Final Exam When studying, remember that the computational portion of the exam will only involve new material (covered after the second midterm), that material from Exam 1 will make
More informationSUGI 29 Statistics and Data Analysis
Paper 19429 Head of the CLASS: Impress your colleagues with a superior understanding of the CLASS statement in PROC LOGISTIC Michelle L. Pritchard and David J. Pasta Ovation Research Group, San Francisco,
More informationChapter 3 Quantitative Demand Analysis
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 3 uantitative Demand Analysis McGrawHill/Irwin Copyright 2010 by the McGrawHill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Overview I. The Elasticity Concept
More informationANALYSING LIKERT SCALE/TYPE DATA, ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION EXAMPLE IN R.
ANALYSING LIKERT SCALE/TYPE DATA, ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION EXAMPLE IN R. 1. Motivation. Likert items are used to measure respondents attitudes to a particular question or statement. One must recall
More informationModeling Lifetime Value in the Insurance Industry
Modeling Lifetime Value in the Insurance Industry C. Olivia Parr Rud, Executive Vice President, Data Square, LLC ABSTRACT Acquisition modeling for direct mail insurance has the unique challenge of targeting
More informationCHAPTER 12 EXAMPLES: MONTE CARLO SIMULATION STUDIES
Examples: Monte Carlo Simulation Studies CHAPTER 12 EXAMPLES: MONTE CARLO SIMULATION STUDIES Monte Carlo simulation studies are often used for methodological investigations of the performance of statistical
More informationUsing An Ordered Logistic Regression Model with SAS Vartanian: SW 541
Using An Ordered Logistic Regression Model with SAS Vartanian: SW 541 libname in1 >c:\=; Data first; Set in1.extract; A=1; PROC LOGIST OUTEST=DD MAXITER=100 ORDER=DATA; OUTPUT OUT=CC XBETA=XB P=PROB; MODEL
More informationRegression Modeling Strategies
Frank E. Harrell, Jr. Regression Modeling Strategies With Applications to Linear Models, Logistic Regression, and Survival Analysis With 141 Figures Springer Contents Preface Typographical Conventions
More informationLinear Models for Continuous Data
Chapter 2 Linear Models for Continuous Data The starting point in our exploration of statistical models in social research will be the classical linear model. Stops along the way include multiple linear
More information1. What is the critical value for this 95% confidence interval? CV = z.025 = invnorm(0.025) = 1.96
1 Final Review 2 Review 2.1 CI 1propZint Scenario 1 A TV manufacturer claims in its warranty brochure that in the past not more than 10 percent of its TV sets needed any repair during the first two years
More informationLecture 3: Linear methods for classification
Lecture 3: Linear methods for classification Rafael A. Irizarry and Hector Corrada Bravo February, 2010 Today we describe four specific algorithms useful for classification problems: linear regression,
More informationLogistic Regression (a type of Generalized Linear Model)
Logistic Regression (a type of Generalized Linear Model) 1/36 Today Review of GLMs Logistic Regression 2/36 How do we find patterns in data? We begin with a model of how the world works We use our knowledge
More informationDEPARTMENT OF PSYCHOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF LANCASTER MSC IN PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH METHODS ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA 2 PART 1 WEEK 9
DEPARTMENT OF PSYCHOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF LANCASTER MSC IN PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH METHODS ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA 2 PART 1 WEEK 9 Analysis of covariance and multiple regression So far in this course,
More informationChapter Seven. Multiple regression An introduction to multiple regression Performing a multiple regression on SPSS
Chapter Seven Multiple regression An introduction to multiple regression Performing a multiple regression on SPSS Section : An introduction to multiple regression WHAT IS MULTIPLE REGRESSION? Multiple
More information2. Simple Linear Regression
Research methods  II 3 2. Simple Linear Regression Simple linear regression is a technique in parametric statistics that is commonly used for analyzing mean response of a variable Y which changes according
More informationSilvermine House Steenberg Office Park, Tokai 7945 Cape Town, South Africa Telephone: +27 21 702 4666 www.spsssa.com
SPSSSA Silvermine House Steenberg Office Park, Tokai 7945 Cape Town, South Africa Telephone: +27 21 702 4666 www.spsssa.com SPSSSA Training Brochure 2009 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 SPSS TRAINING COURSES FOCUSING
More informationAdequacy of Biomath. Models. Empirical Modeling Tools. Bayesian Modeling. Model Uncertainty / Selection
Directions in Statistical Methodology for Multivariable Predictive Modeling Frank E Harrell Jr University of Virginia Seattle WA 19May98 Overview of Modeling Process Model selection Regression shape Diagnostics
More informationFinal Exam Practice Problem Answers
Final Exam Practice Problem Answers The following data set consists of data gathered from 77 popular breakfast cereals. The variables in the data set are as follows: Brand: The brand name of the cereal
More informationRegression Models for Ordinal Responses: A Review of Methods and Applications
International Journal of Epidemiology International Epidemiological Association 1997 Vol. 26, No. 6 Printed in Great Britain Regression Models for Ordinal Responses: A Review of Methods and Applications
More informationLecture 14: GLM Estimation and Logistic Regression
Lecture 14: GLM Estimation and Logistic Regression Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Ph.D. BMTRY 711: Analysis of Categorical Data Spring 2011 Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology Medical University of South
More informationPROC LOGISTIC: Traps for the unwary Peter L. Flom, Independent statistical consultant, New York, NY
PROC LOGISTIC: Traps for the unwary Peter L. Flom, Independent statistical consultant, New York, NY ABSTRACT Keywords: Logistic. INTRODUCTION This paper covers some gotchas in SAS R PROC LOGISTIC. A gotcha
More informationComparison of Estimation Methods for Complex Survey Data Analysis
Comparison of Estimation Methods for Complex Survey Data Analysis Tihomir Asparouhov 1 Muthen & Muthen Bengt Muthen 2 UCLA 1 Tihomir Asparouhov, Muthen & Muthen, 3463 Stoner Ave. Los Angeles, CA 90066.
More informationCalculating EffectSizes
Calculating EffectSizes David B. Wilson, PhD George Mason University August 2011 The Heart and Soul of Metaanalysis: The Effect Size Metaanalysis shifts focus from statistical significance to the direction
More informationSome Essential Statistics The Lure of Statistics
Some Essential Statistics The Lure of Statistics Data Mining Techniques, by M.J.A. Berry and G.S Linoff, 2004 Statistics vs. Data Mining..lie, damn lie, and statistics mining data to support preconceived
More informationScoring of Bank Customers for a Life Insurance Campaign
Scoring of Bank Customers for a Life Insurance Campaign by Brian Schwartz and Jørgen Lauridsen Discussion Papers on Business and Economics No. 5/2007 FURTHER INFORMATION Department of Business and Economics
More informationRegression 3: Logistic Regression
Regression 3: Logistic Regression Marco Baroni Practical Statistics in R Outline Logistic regression Logistic regression in R Outline Logistic regression Introduction The model Looking at and comparing
More informationExamining a Fitted Logistic Model
STAT 536 Lecture 16 1 Examining a Fitted Logistic Model Deviance Test for Lack of Fit The data below describes the male birth fraction male births/total births over the years 1931 to 1990. A simple logistic
More informationA Primer on Mathematical Statistics and Univariate Distributions; The Normal Distribution; The GLM with the Normal Distribution
A Primer on Mathematical Statistics and Univariate Distributions; The Normal Distribution; The GLM with the Normal Distribution PSYC 943 (930): Fundamentals of Multivariate Modeling Lecture 4: September
More informationEnd User Satisfaction With a Food Manufacturing ERP
Applied Mathematical Sciences, Vol. 8, 2014, no. 24, 11871192 HIKARI Ltd, www.mhikari.com http://dx.doi.org/10.12988/ams.2014.4284 EndUser Satisfaction in ERP System: Application of Logit Modeling Hashem
More informationStatistical Analysis with Missing Data
Statistical Analysis with Missing Data Second Edition RODERICK J. A. LITTLE DONALD B. RUBIN WILEY INTERSCIENCE A JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC., PUBLICATION Contents Preface PARTI OVERVIEW AND BASIC APPROACHES
More information