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1 DAILY REPORT Financial market analysis Unit Brokerage Unit Milica Travica Ljiljana Zipovski Srñan Maletić Snežana Spasojević Olivera Glisić FX sales Unit Custody Unit Darko Karanović Vitomir Marić Marija Prebanić Biljana Radosavljević Dragan Ignja FX rate Domestic market International market Currency Previous Change Currency Previous Change EUR % EURUSD % USD % EURCHF % CHF % EURGBP % GBP % GBPUSD % Source: NBS USDJPY % EUR EURUSD Central bank informed us that till 12:3 total amount of trading was 19, 9 mil EUR at average rate 11, 827. EUR and USD indicators for current day: beonia Time Country Event Period Previous Forecast!! Germany Consumer Index (YoY) Sept. 2.4% 2.4% MM and fixed income Key rate NBS 11.25% Interbank market - Serbia Previous Change bps Source: NBS BEONIA BELIBOR1M T Bills - Serbia BELIBOR3M Maturity Previous Source: Reuters 3 month 11.9% 11.95% 6 month 11.9% 12.% Major Key rates 12 month 13.% 12.75% 18 month 13.3% 12.95% ECB 1.5% 24 month 12.99% 12.89% FED.25% 36 month 14.89% 14.5% SNB.% euro-linked 6 month 5.25% - euro-denominated Interbank - World 53 weeks 4.48% - Previous Change bps 18 month 5.4% - EONIA 1.71% 1.58% month 5.% - EURIBOR1M 1.351% 1.349%.2 15 year 5.85% - EURIBOR3M 1.537% 1.535%.2 FX Savings Bond - Serbia EURIBOR6M 1.738% 1.732%.6 Yield LIBOR1M (USD).23878%.23744%.134 A212 96,57 5,29% LIBOR3M (USD).36522%.36278%.244 A213 91,55 5,41% LIBOR1M (CHF).333%.333%. A214 86,36 5,63% LIBOR3M (CHF).1%.1167%.333 A215 82,61 5,33% A216 8,87 4,64% Source: Belex Note: Interest rates refer to the previous working day 1
2 Equity market SERBIA Previous Change Belex % Belex line 1, , % Turnover 83,474,191 Din. 41,736,436 Din. 1.% 819,126 48, % Ratios P / B P / E Belex15,63 6,13 YTD % -14.4% Source: Belex Belex Belex Line % 3.% - members of Belex % 3.46% 2.% 1.%.% -1.% -2.% -3.% -.63% 1.45%.%.%.3% -.84% -.81% -.46% -.17% -1.73% -1.67% -2.5% -2.4% MTBN ENHL TIGR AIKB JMBN KMBN ALFA IMLK SJPT MTLC TGAS NIIS AGBN VZAS AERO Serbia was included in a $9. million (6.7 million euro) programme for strengthening the management of fiscal shocks in middleincome countries jointly launched by the World Bank and Switzerland's State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO), SECO said.seco said in a statement the program will focus on two major sources of fiscal risk: public debts and natural disasters. The programme leverages on SECO's and the World Bank's experience and expertise in fiscal risk management, in particular public debt management, disaster risk financing and financial sector reforms and will exploit Swiss expertise in these areas," the statement said. The programme will be implemented over a period of five years starting in 211. Apart from Serbia it also includes Colombia, Egypt, Ghana, Indonesia, South Africa, Peru and Vietnam.(source: bloomberg) Serbian accounting and consultancy firm Pandam-NS said on Tuesday it is filing a buyout bid for the 26.56% of local mineral water bottler BB Minaqua it does not already own. Pandam-NS is offering to pay 4,8 dinars ($64/47 euro) for each of the 38,576 outstanding BB Minaqua shares, it said in a filing to the Central Securities Depository and Clearing House.The offer is valid between September 28 and October 1.(source: bloomberg) Belgian renewable energy company Electrawinds said today it will invest EUR 21 million (USD 28.6m) in the construction of a waste processing plant in Serbia.The biomass plant in Indjija will process an annual amount of 15, tonnes of animal waste generated by the meat industry in Serbia.The facility will be put into operation in the autumn of 212 and will create up to 1 new jobs.electrawinds is also active in Romania and Bulgaria.(source: bloomberg) 2
3 A Listing Aerodrom Nikola Tesla Energoprojekt holding Naftna industrija Srbije Soja protein Tigar Izvor: Bloomberg AERO 469 5,865, % -.42% ENHL , % -3.75% NIIS 657 7,493,85.3% -5.95% SJPT 582 5,696, % -3.48% TIGR 625 4, % -1.59%.32 n/a ,81,71, Din. 4,61,823, Din. 17,13,7, Din. 5,729,699, Din. 1,74,37, Din. Alfa Plam Komercijalna banka Metalac Izvor: Bloomberg B Listing ALFA 7,85 376,8 -.63% -.63% KMBN 2,83 49, % -2.21% MTLC 1,85.% -.54% ,372,274, Din. 18,141,49, Din. 1,887,, Din. Continuous Trading Method Agrobanka AIK banka Beogradska industrija piva Bambi Credy banka Čačanska banka DIN prioritetne Dunav osiguranje Galenika Fitofarmacija Globos osiguranje Imlek Informatika Jedinstvo Sevojno Jubmes banka Komercijalna banka PB Lasta Napred GP Politika Privredna banka Progres Pupin Telecom Putevi Užice Razvojna banka Vojvodine Simpo Tehnogas Telefonija Univerzal banka Velefarm Veterinarski zavod Subotica Vino Župa Vital Voda Vrnjci AGBN 4,98 43, % -.95%.2 n/a 6.77 AIKB 1,947 4,433, % -2.65% BIPB 34 1,292.% 3.% 3.8 n/a BMBI 2, 6,,.%.% CYBN 2,.%.%.49 n/a CCNB 11, 33,.%.% DINNPB 1,511.% -5.45% DNOS 1,1 2,2.1% -9.41%.3 n/a 2.16 FITO 6,51.% -7.13% GLOS 29.% 5.7%.13 n/a 2.21 IMLK 2,151 2,151, -.46% -1.65% INFM 2,4.% -4.% JESV 5,437 97,979.68% -1.13% JMBN 13, , % -1.77% KMBNPB 948.% 9.9% n/a n/a 8.62 LSTA , % % NPRD 1,94.%.% PLTK 55 1, % -5.17%.16 n/a PRBN 38 3,171, % -4.28%.41 n/a PRGS 6.%.% PTLK 127.%.% PUUE 74.%.% MTBN 1,95 3,9-2.5% -9.72% SIMP 255.%.%.5 n/a TGAS 4,885.%.% TLFN 747.%.% UNBN 3,.%.% VLFR 45.%.%.33 n/a VLFR , % -2.28% VINZ 6,9.%.% VITL 1,445 8, % -3.99% VDAV 3,3.%.%.37 n/a ,579,365, Din. 16,979,48, Din. 39,66, Din. 7,657,98, Din. 1,33,166, Din. 1,468,16, Din. 4,999,548, Din. 259,438,2 Din. 2,86,44, Din. 322,15,6 Din. 19,513,7, Din. 441,136,8 Din. 1,656,757, Din. 3,544,66, Din. 354,87, Din. 39,394,8 Din. 665,961,2 Din. 362,829,3 Din. 947,274,7 Din. 323,565, Din. 142,49,6 Din. 691,497,7 Din. 2,19,65, Din. 27,223, Din. 5,64,74, Din. 432,658,7 Din. 1,986,183, Din. 71,592,8 Din. 87,175, Din. 1,368,753, Din. 1,13,889, Din. 378,797,1 Din. Napomene: (1) Promet=prosečna ponderisana cena x obim. (2) -price to book value je racio koji predstavlja odnos tržišne cene i knjigovodstvene vrednosti. (3) -price to earnings je racio koji predstavlja odnos tržišne cene i zarade po akciji (EPS). (4) -return on equity je racio koji predstavlja odnos neto dobiti i akcijskog kapitala. (5) Mcap-tržišna kapitalizacija=tržišna cena akcije x broj akcija 3
4 REGION Index Country / Region Previous Change YTD Crobex Hrvatska 1, ,85.48 SBITOP Slovenija SOFIX Bugarska BET Rumunija 4, ,26.95 DJ Stoxx Balkan 5 Balkan % % 1.65% %.9% -3.86% 3.45% % 1.31% -28.4% CROBEX SBITOP crobex 1 sbi SOFIX BET sofix bet-c dj balkan DJ Stoxx Balkan 5 Croatia s Agrokor d.d. will probably submit its offer for a majority stake in Mercator Poslovni Sistem d.d. as early as tomorrow, Finance newspaper reported, citing Agrokor s executive Vice-President Ivan Crnjac.Croatia s largest privately held company has already secured about 7 million euros ($951 million) in a syndicated loan from a group of European banks, including Deutsche Bank AG, Societe Generale SA, UniCredit SpA, Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, Erste Group Bank AG, Raiffesisen Bank International AG and UBS AG, the Ljubljana-based newspaper said. Slovenian banks and other Mercator investors last month appointed ING Bank NV to advise on the sale of just more than 5 percent of Mercator with the process likely to be completed by the end of the year.(source: bloomberg) Bulgaria's Finance Ministry has sold five-year Treasury notes worth 35 million euro at an auction held on September , the ministry's media office said.the offering produced an average weighted annual yield of 3.9 per cent, the lowest rate achieved on this issue since its launch in March 211, when the yield stood at 4.16 %.Although the coverage ratio reached 1.91 and the transaction drew the interest of both primary dealers such as banks and institutional investors, the ministry decided not to increase the bond volume.following the re-opening, the debt issue now aggregates 19 million euro.the approved yield at the auction is below that of euro-denominated bonds with similar remaining maturity of Lithuania (4.2 per cent), Turkey (4.8 per cent) and Hungary (6.25 per cent).(source: bloomberg) 4
5 WORLD Index Country / Region Previous Change YTD Dow Jones Industrial S&P NASDAQ FTSE Dow Jones Stoxx 6 Nikkei , , , Engleska 5,294.5 EU Japan 8, , , , , , % -3.34% 1.7% -6.54% 1.2% -4.% 4.2% -1.27% 4.37% % 2.82% % Dow Jones Industrial S&P dow jones s&p NASDAQ Composite FTSE nasdaq 6 dax DJ Stoxx 6 Nikkei nikkei 1 \ dj stoxx US stocks put in their third satisfactory shift in a row with optimism over a resolution to the Eurozone's debt crisis again fuelling gains, though prices finished off the top as it emerged that Europe's leaders might not be so united behind a the next phase of the rescue strategy as initially thought.the Dow Jones industrial average enjoyed another triple-digit gain, rising 147 points to 11,191. The broader based S&P rose 12 to 1,175 while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite advanced 3 to 2,546. On the company news front, fourth quarter earnings from Walgreen, the pharmacy chain, were ahead of expectations. The shares were the worst performers among S&P constituents, however, as investors baled on the stock after the company revealed that "no substantive progress" has been made in the renewal of an important contract with health benefit manager Express Scripts. (source:bloomberg) European stocks fell, snapping the biggest three-day rally in 16 months, after a report that some countries are demanding private creditors take bigger writedowns on Greek bonds. Asian shares and U.S. futures rose. Man Group Plc sank 17 percent as the world s biggest hedge-fund manager said assets under management will decrease. Cairn Energy Plc slid 2.2 percent after abandoning an exploration well. PSA Peugeot Citroen, Europe s second-largest carmaker, declined 1.6 percent after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. advised selling the shares.the Stoxx Europe 6 Index slid.3 % to at 8:25 a.m. in London. The gauge had surged 7 percent over the past three days, the biggest rally since May 21, amid speculation policy makers will increase efforts to contain the region s debt crisis. The Financial Times reported late yesterday that some euro-area countries are demanding private creditors take bigger writedowns on their Greek bond holdings.(source: bloomberg) Navedene informacije date su u svrhu opšteg informisanja i ne mogu biti zamena za finansijski savet niti se njihovim objavljivanjem stvara bilo kakva obveza za Banca Intesa ad Beograd. Banca Intesa ad Beograd ne prihvata odgovornost za bilo kakvu štetu nastalu upotrebom informacija iz ovog materijala. niti garantuje za njihovu tačnost. Zabranjeno je dalje distribuiranje i umnožavanje ovog materijala ili nekih njegovih delova bez prethodnog pisanog pristanka Banca Intesa ad Beograd. 5
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