Carry of Asteroids - A Guide to Asteroid Spreading

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1 1/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Solar system science in the E-ELT era B. Carry 1,2 1 IMCCE, Observatoire de Paris 2 Lagrange, Observatoire de la Côte d Azur

2 2/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 1. Contamination by Small Bodies 2. Composition of Small Bodies 3. Physical properties of Small Bodies 4. Summary

3 3/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Contamination by asteroids A vermin E-ELT detection capability Schroeder (1987) Exposure: 300 s V 26 SNR 5 V 29 SNR 20 Foreground asteroids? V=21 700,000 V=29 millions Anonymous Contamination risks 1. Undetected Confusion noise 2. Detected False candidate 3. Identified Ok (if not blended)

4 3/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Contamination by asteroids A vermin E-ELT detection capability Schroeder (1987) Exposure: 300 s V 26 SNR 5 V 29 SNR 20 Foreground asteroids? V=21 700,000 V=29 millions Anonymous Contamination risks 1. Undetected Confusion noise 2. Detected False candidate 3. Identified Ok (if not blended)

5 3/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Contamination by asteroids A vermin E-ELT detection capability Schroeder (1987) Exposure: 300 s V 26 SNR 5 V 29 SNR 20 Foreground asteroids? V=21 700,000 V=29 millions Anonymous Contamination risks 1. Undetected Confusion noise 2. Detected False candidate 3. Identified Ok (if not blended)

6 4/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 The Vermins Strike Back! Szabo & Simon 2009

7 4/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 The Vermins Strike Back! Back-of-the-envelope computation: Moving object at V=30 1% error on V=25 target MBA: 5 mas/s KBO: mas/s From SAM (Tedesco et al. 2005) V = f(α, β) Number per sq. degree? (α, β) = (0,3 ) 20,000 (α, β) = (40,1 ) 10,000 (α, β) = (0,10 ) 10,000 (α, β) = (0,20 ) 2,000

8 4/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 The Vermins Strike Back! Instr. FOV β=0 β=10 β=20 ( ) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) CODEX 1x HARMONI 10x METIS 17x MICADO 11x MICADO 53x

9 5/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 1. Contamination by Small Bodies 2. Composition of Small Bodies Composition of Asteroids Composition of Kuiper-Belt objects Composition of Comets 3. Physical properties of Small Bodies 4. Summary

10 6/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Composition of asteroids Remnants of planet formation Orbit Composition Asteroid composition Broad absorption band Classification from spectra Multi-filter classification SDSS: R=5 & 400,000 Gaia: R=35 & 150,000 LSST: R=5 & 1,000,000 Walsh et al. 2011

11 6/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Composition of asteroids Remnants of planet formation Orbit Composition Asteroid composition Broad absorption band Classification from spectra Multi-filter classification SDSS: R=5 & 400,000 Gaia: R=35 & 150,000 LSST: R=5 & 1,000,000 DeMeo-Carry Classification 1.5 E S 0.45 λ (μm) V 0.45 λ (μm) λ (μm) 2.45 DeMeo & Carry, 2013, C P λ (μm) D 0.45 λ (μm) λ (μm) 2.45

12 6/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Composition of asteroids Remnants of planet formation Orbit Composition Asteroid composition Broad absorption band Classification from spectra Multi-filter classification SDSS: R=5 & 400,000 Gaia: R=35 & 150,000 LSST: R=5 & 1,000,000

13 6/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Composition of asteroids Remnants of planet formation Orbit Composition Asteroid composition Broad absorption band Classification from spectra Percentage of Asteroids E S Main Belt C M P D Trojans Distance from Sun (AU) Multi-filter classification SDSS: R=5 & 400,000 Gaia: R=35 & 150,000 LSST: R=5 & 1,000,000 Gradie & Tedesco 1982

14 7/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Composition of asteroids Mass (kg / 0.02 AU) :1 3:1 5:2 2:1 5:3 Hungaria Inner Middle Outer Cybele Hilda Trojan Mean-motion resonances Vesta Ceres Pallas 7:3 Hygeia Semi-major axis (AU) 11:6 Opaque-rich Mafic-silicate rich Misc. C P D B S V A R K L E M Total mass DeMeo & Carry, 2014

15 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS Jewitt 2012

16 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS Jewitt et al. 2015

17 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Adapted from Bockelee-Morvan et al Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS

18 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids 313P/Gibbs Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI Adapted Hsieh et al. 2014, 2015 Targets for METIS

19 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids 324P/La Sagra Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI Adapted Hsieh et al. 2014, 2015 Targets for METIS

20 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids 176P/LINEAR Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI Adapted Hsieh et al. 2014, 2015 Targets for METIS

21 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Water ice sublimation Latitude ( ) Line area (km.s -1 ) Planetocentric longitude ( ) Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI Küppers et al Targets for METIS See the review by Jewitt, Hsieh & Agarwal 2015

22 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Impact ejecta Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Ishiguro et al Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS See the review by Jewitt, Hsieh & Agarwal 2015

23 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids YORP spin-up & fission Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids Walsh et al Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS See the review by Jewitt, Hsieh & Agarwal 2015

24 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids YORP spin-up & fission Active asteroids Discovered in 2006 Comet morphology Asteroid orbit Water in asteroids? Periodic phenomena, or not Mechanisms? Near-Earth asteroids JPL/Cassini/ISS Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS See the review by Jewitt, Hsieh & Agarwal 2015

25 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Near-Earth asteroids Tail of size-frequency distribution Potential Earth impactors Laboratory of surface processes Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS Harris & D Abramo 2015

26 Contamination by Small Bodies Composition of Small Bodies Physical properties of Small Bodies Summary E-ELT and Asteroids Tunguska in 1908 Active asteroids Near-Earth asteroids Tail of size-frequency distribution Potential Earth impactors Laboratory of surface processes Carancas in 2008 Chelyabinsk in /17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 I Targets for HARMONI I Targets for METIS

27 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Near-Earth asteroids Tail of size-frequency distribution Potential Earth impactors Laboratory of surface processes Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS Credit: ESA/AIDA

28 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Near-Earth asteroids Tail of size-frequency distribution Potential Earth impactors Laboratory of surface processes Targets for HARMONI Targets for METIS Yu et al. 2014

29 8/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Asteroids Active asteroids Near-Earth asteroids Targets for HARMONI V [18, 26+] Windows of days/weeks Spectra in µm Low resolution (R 500) HARMONI > JWST/NIRSPEC Targets for METIS Isotope abundances Spectra in 3-5 µm High resolution (R 100,000)

30 E-ELT and EKBO Remnants of planet formation Orbit & Composition Now: 2,000 & D 50 km LSST 40,000 KBO composition Narrow absorption band Ices from spectra Surface heterogeneity Atmospheres! Breakthrough Keck/VLT HARMONI/MICADO Spectra in µm Medium resolution (R 5000) METIS/HIRES Spectra in 3-15 µm High resolution (R 100k) 9/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Morbidelli/Tsiganis/Gomez et al Brown et al. 2012

31 9/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and EKBO Remnants of planet formation Orbit & Composition Now: 2,000 & D 50 km LSST 40,000 KBO composition Narrow absorption band Ices from spectra Surface heterogeneity Atmospheres! Breakthrough Keck/VLT HARMONI/MICADO Spectra in µm Medium resolution (R 5000) METIS/HIRES Spectra in 3-15 µm High resolution (R 100k) Carry et al., 2011 DeMeo et al., 2010

32 9/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and EKBO Remnants of planet formation Orbit & Composition Now: 2,000 & D 50 km LSST 40,000 KBO composition Narrow absorption band Ices from spectra Surface heterogeneity Atmospheres! Breakthrough Keck/VLT HARMONI/MICADO Spectra in µm Medium resolution (R 5000) METIS/HIRES Spectra in 3-15 µm High resolution (R 100k) DeMeo et al., 2015

33 Contamination by Small Bodies Composition of Small Bodies E-ELT and EKBO I Remnants of planet formation Orbit & Composition Now: 2,000 & D 50 km LSST 40,000 I KBO composition I I Narrow absorption band Ices from spectra Surface heterogeneity Atmospheres! Breakthrough Keck/VLT HARMONI/MICADO Spectra in µm Medium resolution (R 5000) I METIS/HIRES Spectra in 3-15 µm High resolution (R 100k) 9/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Physical properties of Small Bodies Summary

34 Contamination by Small Bodies Composition of Small Bodies E-ELT and EKBO I Remnants of planet formation Orbit & Composition Now: 2,000 & D 50 km LSST 40,000 I KBO composition I I Narrow absorption band Ices from spectra Surface heterogeneity Atmospheres! Breakthrough Keck/VLT HARMONI/MICADO Spectra in µm Medium resolution (R 5000) I METIS/HIRES Spectra in 3-15 µm High resolution (R 100k) 9/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Physical properties of Small Bodies Summary

35 10/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Comets Remnants of planet formation Sample for outer-disk Now: 2,000 LSST 10,000 Origin of Earth water? HIRES/METIS Ices and organics? D/H, C/O,... ratios Jewitt et al Nucleus properties? MICADO Spin/Size/Shape? Link with activity? Orbit?

36 10/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Comets Remnants of planet formation Sample for outer-disk Now: 2,000 LSST 10,000 Origin of Earth water? HIRES/METIS Ices and organics? D/H, C/O,... ratios Adapted from Bockelee-Morvan et al Nucleus properties? MICADO Spin/Size/Shape? Link with activity? Orbit?

37 10/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 E-ELT and Comets Ali-Lagoa et al Remnants of planet formation Sample for outer-disk Now: 2,000 LSST 10,000 Origin of Earth water? HIRES/METIS Ices and organics? D/H, C/O,... ratios Nucleus properties? MICADO Spin/Size/Shape? Link with activity? Orbit?

38 11/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 1. Contamination by Small Bodies 2. Composition of Small Bodies 3. Physical properties of Small Bodies What do we know? What do we want to know? Density of SSOs 4. Summary

39 12/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Current census Asteroids

40 12/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Current census Asteroids TNOs & Comets 2000 objects A handful known!

41 13/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Some open questions A. What is the distribution of spin-axis? B. What is the shape of SSOs? What is the distribution of craters? For comets, is activity linked with topography? C. What is the internal structure of SSOs? Is there a relation between density and surface composition? Is there a relation between structure and population? D. What is the multiplicity rate among SSO populations? How does it relate to their formation? How does it relate to their composition?

42 13/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Some open questions A. What is the distribution of spin-axis? B. What is the shape of SSOs? What is the distribution of craters? For comets, is activity linked with topography? C. What is the internal structure of SSOs? Is there a relation between density and surface composition? Is there a relation between structure and population? D. What is the multiplicity rate among SSO populations? How does it relate to their formation? How does it relate to their composition?

43 14/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Opening the door... Spin-axis Durech et al. 2015

44 Opening the door... Spin-axis Durech et al Multiplicity 14/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 From Johnston 2015

45 Opening the door... Spin-axis Durech et al Shape Multiplicity Ali-Lagoa et al /17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 From Johnston 2015

46 Opening the door... Spin-axis Internal structure Durech et al Shape Carry 2012 Multiplicity Ali-Lagoa et al /17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 From Johnston 2015

47 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites Big expectations for E-ELT

48 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites Big expectations for E-ELT

49 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs E N Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites 0.5" VLT Big expectations for E-ELT

50 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs E N Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites 0.5" Keck VLT Big expectations for E-ELT

51 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs E N Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites 0.5" Keck VLT Orbit Big expectations for E-ELT

52 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs E N Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites 0.5" Keck VLT Orbit Big expectations for E-ELT

53 15/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Density of SSOs Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Marchis et al Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites Yang et al Big expectations for E-ELT

54 Density of SSOs Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites Big expectations for E-ELT Viikinkoski et al /17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13

55 Density of SSOs Density composition Ices: ρ 1 g.cm 3 Rock: ρ 2 3 g.cm 3 Metal: ρ 7 g.cm 3 Earth: ρ = 5.5 g.cm 3 Density = Mass / Volume Satellite mass 3-D Shape volume 1 = 1 2 km History of binary imaging 1990s: No AO No satellites 2000s: AO One satellites 2010s: XAO Two satellites Big expectations for E-ELT Viikinkoski et al /17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13

56 16/17 B. Carry, ERICE, 2015/10/13 Summary E-ELT for Solar System means observing Fainter: Smaller, Farther, or Less abundant Smaller: Smaller or Farther Finer: Minor species E-ELT will provide a breakthrough for Giant planet atmospheres Comet nuclei Surfaces of TNOs Ring dynamics and composition Multiplicity of small bodies E-ELT will push further our knowledge of the Physical properties of asteroids Composition of comets Dynamics of giant planet systems

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