Effect of Heat and Electricity Storage and Reliability on Microgrid Viability: A Study of Commercial Buildings in California and New York States

Transcription

1 LBNL-1334E ERNEST ORLANDO LAWRENCE BERKELEY NATIONAL LABORATORY Effect of Heat and Electricity Storage and Reliability on Microgrid Viability: A Study of Commercial Buildings in California and New York States Micael Stadler, Cris Marnay, Afzal Siddiqui, Judy Lai, Brian Coffey, and Hiroisa Aki Environmental Energy Tecnologies Division December 2008 ttp://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/emp/emp-pubs.tml Te work described in tis paper was funded by te Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability, Renewable and Distributed Systems Integration Program in te U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231.

2 Disclaimer Tis document was prepared as an account of work sponsored by te United States Government. Wile tis document is believed to contain correct information, neiter te United States Government nor any agency tereof, nor Te Regents of te University of California, nor any of teir employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal responsibility for te accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, produc or process disclosed, or represents tat its use would not infringe privately owned rigts. Reference erein to any specific commercial produc process, or service by its trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or oterwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsemen recommendation, or favoring by te United States Government or any agency tereof, or Te Regents of te University of California. Te views and opinions of autors expressed erein do not necessarily state or reflect tose of te United States Government or any agency tereof, or Te Regents of te University of California. Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory is an equal opportunity employer.

3 LBNL-1334E Effect of Heat and Electricity Storage and Reliability on Microgrid Viability: A Study of Commercial Buildings in California and New York States Prepared for te Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability, Distributed Energy Program of te U.S. Department of Energy Principal Autors Micael Stadler, Cris Marnay, Afzal Siddiqui, Judy Lai, Brian Coffey, and Hiroisa Aki Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory 1 Cyclotron Road, MS 90R4000 Berkeley CA December 2008

4 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Acknowledgments Te work described in tis paper, as well as prior DER-CAM developmen was funded by te Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability s Renewable and Distributed Systems Integration Program at te U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH Tis analysis relies on te contributions of numerous previous and current researc colleagues including Owen Bailey, Bala Candran, Ryan Firestone, Kristina Hamaci LaCommare, Karl Maribu, and Nan Zou, as well as upon prior work funded by te California Energy Commission. Te autors are also grateful for useful input from Profs. Robert Lasseter and Giri Venkataramanan of te University of Wisconsin at Madison, Robert Panora of Tecogen, Keit Davidson of DE Solutions, and Joe Eto of Berkeley Lab. Disclaimer Tis document was prepared as an account of work sponsored by te United States Government. Wile tis document is believed to contain correct information, neiter te United States Government nor any agency tereof, nor Te Regents of te University of California, nor any of teir employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal responsibility for te accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, produc or process disclosed, or represents tat its use would not infringe privately owned rigts. Reference erein to any specific commercial produc process, or service by its trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or oterwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsemen recommendation, or favoring by te United States Government or any agency tereof, or Te Regents of te University of California. Te views and opinions of autors expressed erein do not necessarily state or reflect tose of te United States Government or any agency tereof, or Te Regents of te University of California. Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory is an equal opportunity employer. ii

5 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Table of Contents Table of Contents... iii List of Executive Summary Figures and Tables...v List of Figures and Tables... vi Acronyms and Abbreviations... viii Executive Summary...x 1. Introduction Background Purpose of researc Te Distributed Energy Resources Customer Adoption Model (DER-CAM) Te sites Key caracteristics of te test buildings and sites CA nursing ome CA scool CA data center NYC nursing ome NYC scool NYC data center Brief description of tecnologies Electrical storage Lead-acid batteries Litium ion (Li-ion) batteries Sodium sulfur (NaS) batteries Flow batteries Fuel cells Proton-Excange Membrane Fuel Cell (PEMFC) Solid-Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC) Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell (MCFC) Posporic Acid Fuel Cell (PAFC) Reciprocating engines Absorption cillers Potovoltaics Solar termal CERTS microgrid capabilities Tecnology parameters used in te DER-CAM analyses...24 iii

6 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability 5. Tariffs CA tariffs Nortern California Soutern California NYC tariffs Results CA nursing ome results CA scool results CA data center results NYC nursing ome results NYC scool results NYC data center results Carbon tax sensitivity analyses Standby tariff sensitivity analysis Standby tariffs Results Conclusion References...58 Appendix A. DER-CAM matematical formulation...62 Appendix B. Solar data...79 iv

7 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability List of Executive Summary Figures and Tables Figure ES 1. Scematic of te energy flow model used in DER-CAM... xi Figure ES 2. CA nursing ome electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & 60% PV incentive... xix Table ES 1. Key caracteristics of test buildings and sites... xi Table ES 2. Comparison of te average fuel costs for eac case... xii Table ES 3. Menu of available equipment options, discrete investments... xiii Table ES 4. Menu of available equipment options, continuous investments... xiii Table ES 5. Energy storage parameters... xiv Table ES 6. Nursing omes results... xv Table ES 7. Scools results... xvi Table ES 8. Data center results... xvii Table ES 9. Electric sensitive load supply... xx v

8 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability List of Figures and Tables Figure 1. Scematic of te energy flow model used in DER-CAM... 3 Figure 2. Hig-Level scematic of information flow in DER-CAM... 4 Figure 3. MILP solved by DER-CAM... 4 Figure 4. Critical base and peak load for te CA nursing ome example... 5 Figure 5. CA nursing ome January and July weekday electricity and total eat (space + water eating) demand... 6 Figure 6. Layout of bi-level multi-building secondary scool in Soutern California... 7 Figure 7. CA scool weekday total electricity (inclusive of cooling) demand... 8 Figure 8. CA scool weekday total eat (space + water eating) demand... 8 Figure 9. CA data center weekday electricity demand... 9 Figure 10. CA data center weekday cooling demand Figure 11. NYC nursing ome January and July weekday electricity and total eat (space + water eating) demand Figure 12. Layout of tree storey secondary scool building in New York City Figure 13. NYC scool weekday total electricity (inclusive of cooling) demand Figure 14. NYC scool weekday total eat (space + water eating) demand Figure 15. Average NYC temperatures used for te NYC data center Figure 16. NYC data center weekday electricity demand Figure 17. NYC data center weekday cooling demand Figure 18. Cumulative installed PV capacity in IEA reporting countries Figure 19. National trends in grid connected residential PV system prices Figure 20. Discrete versus continuous tecnologies Figure 21. CA nursing ome electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3).. 31 Figure 22. CA nursing ome electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & 60% PV price reduction (run 6) Figure 23. CA Nursing ome eat pattern: July Weekday Low Storage & PV Cost (run 3) Figure 24. CA nursing ome eat pattern: Jan. weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 25. CA scool electricity pattern: May weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 26. CA scool electricity pattern: May weekday low storage & 60% PV price reduction (run 6) Figure 27. CA scool eat pattern: May weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 28. CA scool eat pattern: January weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 29. CA data center electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 30. CA data center electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & 60% PV price reduction (run 6) Figure 31. NYC nursing ome electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) 43 Figure 32. NYC nursing ome eat pattern: July weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 33. NYC nursing ome eat pattern: Jan. weekday low storage and PV cost (run 3) Figure 34. NYC scool electricity pattern: May weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 35. NYC scool electricity pattern: May weekday low storage & 60% PV price reduction (run 6) Figure 36. NYC scool eat pattern: May weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 37. NYC scool eat pattern: Jan. weekday low storage and PV cost (run 3) vi

9 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Figure 38. NYC data center electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & PV cost (run 3) Figure 39. Fraction of max. solar radiation for San Francisco Figure 40. Fraction of max. solar radiation for Los Angeles Figure 41. Fraction of max. solar radiation for New York City Table 1. Key caracteristics of test buildings and sites... 6 Table 2. Key Caracteristics of selected electric storage systems (see also Scoenung et al and EPRI-DOE Storage Handbook 2003) Table 3. Key caracteristics of selected stationary fuel cell systems Table 4. Key Caracteristics of Absorption cillers Table 5. Energy storage parameters Table 6. Menu of available equipment options, discrete investments Table 7. Menu of available equipment options, continuous investments Table 8. Energy prices, effective Nov Table 9. Energy prices, effective July 2007 for electricity and Nov for natural gas Table 10. Energy Prices, effective April Table 11. Annual results for te nortern California nursing ome Table 12. Annual results for te soutern California scool Table 13. Annual results for te nortern California data center Table 14. Annual results for te NYC nursing ome Table 15. Annual results for te NYC scool Table 16. Annual results for te NYC data center Table 17. Cange in installed tecnologies due to carbon tax of $150/tC compared to run 2 from te previous sections Table 18. Cange in installed tecnologies due to carbon tax of $450/tC compared to run 2 from te previous sections Table 19. Standby tariffs, effective May Table 20. Annual results for te nortern California nursing ome using standby tariffs Table 21. Settings for PVWATTS to obtain te fraction of max. radiation for Oakland Table 22. Settings for PVWATTS to obtain te fraction of max. radiation for Riverside Table 23. Settings for PVWATTS to obtain te fraction of max. radiation for New York City.. 81 vii

10 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Acronyms and Abbreviations AC CA CCHP CEC CERTS CEUS CHP ConEd COP DER DER-CAM DG DOE DSP EIA GAMS GW HHV ICE IEA IEEE IGBT IGCT kw kw LBNL Li-ion MCFC MILP MW NaS NG Ni-MH NPS NREL NYC O&M PAFC PEMFC PG&E PQ PQR PSB alternating current California combined cooling, eating, and power California Energy Commission Consortium for Electric Reliability Tecnology Solutions California Commercial End-Use Survey combined eat and power Consolidated Edison Company of New York coefficient of performance distributed energy resources Distributed Energy Resources-Customer Adoption Model distributed generation US Department of Energy digital signal processor Energy Information Administration General Algebraic Modeling System gigawatt our iger eating value internal combustion engine International Energy Agency Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers integrated gate bipolar transistor integrated gate commutated tyristor kilowatt kilowatt our Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (or Berkeley Lab) litium ion molten carbonate fuel cell mixed integer linear program megawatt sodium sulfur natural gas nickel metal ydride Nortern Power Systems National Renewable Energy Laboratory New York City operating and maintenance posporic acid fuel cell proton excange membrane fuel cell Pacific Gas and Electric power quality power quality and reliability polysulfide bromide batteries viii

11 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability PVPS R&D RT SCE SoCal SOFC tc TOU UL UPS VRB WAC W ZBB Potovoltaic Power Systems Programme researc and development refrigeration ton (= kw) Soutern California Edison Soutern California Gas Company solid oxide fuel cell metric tons of elemental carbon time-of-use Underwriters Laboratories Inc. uninterruptable power supply vanadium redox batteries alternating current Watts, AC power output PV systems wattour zinc bromine batteries ix

12 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Executive Summary Researc Objectives Berkeley Lab as for several years been developing metods for selection of optimal microgrid systems, especially for commercial building applications, and applying tese metods in te Distributed Energy Resources Customer Adoption Model (DER-CAM). Tis project began wit 3 major goals: 1. to conduct detailed analysis to find te optimal equipment combination for microgrids at a few promising commercial building osts in te two favorable markets of California and New York, 2. to extend te analysis capability of DER-CAM to include bot eat and electricity storage, and 3. to make an initial effort towards adding consideration of power quality and reliability (PQR) to te capabilities of DER-CAM. All of tese objectives ave been pursued via analysis of te attractiveness of a Consortium for Electric Reliability Tecnology Solutions (CERTS) Microgrid consisting of multiple nameplate 100 kw Tecogen Premium Power Modules (CM-100). Tis unit consists of an asyncronous inverter-based variable speed internal combustion engine genset wit combined eat and power (CHP) and power surge capability. Te essence of CERTS Microgrid tecnology is tat smarts added to te on-board power electronics of any microgrid device enables stable and safe islanded operation witout te need for complex fast supervisory controls. Tis approac allows plug and play development of a microgrid tat can potentially provide ig PQR wit a minimum of specialized site-specific engineering. A notable feature of te CM-100 is its time-limited surge rating of 125 kw, and DER-CAM capability to model tis feature was also a necessary model enancement. DER-CAM Figure ES 1 demonstrates te fundamental pilosopy of te DER-CAM approac. For te purposes of tis study, te grapic can be tougt of as sowing te energy system of a commercial building or group of buildings. On te rigt are te energy services tat need to be provided to building occupants, and on te left are te purcases of commercial fuels entering te facility. In between are various devices for energy use, conversion, and storage. A building may often ave oter fuel opportunities available, and solar is sown in te figure. Te goal of DER-CAM development is to build a model tat can solve te entire system sown suc tat te entire cos carbon footprin oter metric, or combination of metrics is minimized. Te approac is fully tecnology-neutral and can include energy purcases, on-site conversion, bot electrical and termal local renewable arvesting, and end-use efficiency investments. In tis study, DER-CAM minimizes only te annual costs for providing energy services to te modeled site, including utility electricity and natural gas purcases plus amortized capital and annual maintenance costs for distributed generation (DG) investments. In addition to te CM-100 engines, te DER available include solar termal, potovoltaics (PV) and fuel cells. Furtermore, system coice considers te simultaneity of solutions, especially regarding te building cooling problem; tat is, multiple tecnologies can be used for cooling and results x

13 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability reflect te benefit of electricity demand displacement by eat-activated or direct-fire cooling tat lowers building peak load, and terefore, te generation requirement. Similarly, operation of storage is optimized over all time periods of te simulation. Acieving tese optimums requires above all else sopisticated representation of tariffs. Figure ES 1. Scematic of te energy flow model used in DER-CAM decoupling by termal storage decoupling by termal storage decoupling by electric storage CA NY Tecnically, DER-CAM is a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) written and executed in te General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS) using te CPLEX solver. Test Sites Te key site-specific inputs to DER-CAM are ourly energy service requirements aggregated into te categories sown in Figure ES 1, plus electricity and natural gas tariff structure and rates. Te ourly data requirement is typically te most difficult to meet. Few monitored building results are available, so almost always te end-use detail must be developed using some form of building energy use simulation. An earlier market assessment sowed tat nursing omes and assisted living facilities, K-12 scools, and data centers are tree promising markets, so end-use data sets were collected for representative example buildings of eac of tese tree types in bot California and New York. Te details are sown in Table ES 1. floorspace (m 2 ) Table ES 1. Key caracteristics of test buildings and sites electricity peak load (kw) annual electricity consumption (kw) annual NG consumption (terms) nursing ome scool vicinity elec. utility gas utility F s,base F s,peak nortern CA PG&E PG&E soutern SoCal CA SCE Gas nortern CA PG&E PG&E 1 1 data center nursing ome NYC ConEd ConEd scool NYC ConEd ConEd data center NYC ConEd ConEd 1 1 xi

14 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Data sets for tese example buildings were obtained in diverse ways. Te nursing omes are based on an Oakland example taken from te California Commercial End-Use Survey (CEUS). It is used as-is for California, but end-use requirements were weater adjusted for New York conditions. Te two scools are standard building models taken from a database of commercial prototype EnergyPlus models. Te data center is based on billing information for a real Silicon Valley facility, wit a climate adjusted version used for New York. Te structure and level of utility rates frequently proves to be a critical determining inpu and tese examples are typical in tis regard. Table ES 2. Comparison of te average fuel costs for eac case Average Fuel Costs NG ($/term) NG ($/kw) Electricity ($/kw) CA NY Nursing Home Scool Data Center Nursing Home Scool Data Center Fuel price levels and spark spread are not too different between California and New York, as can be seen in Table ES 2, but te tariff structures are different. Bot Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) and Soutern California Edison (SCE) ave time-of-use tariffs wit stiff demand carges, wile Consolidated Edision (ConEd) as flat energy carges along wit a severe demand carge. Te ConEd tariffs, wit flat electrical energy carges, and somewat iger natural gas costs create an environment less amenable to microgrid development. Te F s,base and F s,peak variables in Table ES 1 refer to assumptions about te extent to wic site loads are considered critical. Tese two variables are fractions of base and peak loads respectively tat must be met during loss of grid power, i.e. te available on-site generation and storage capacity must exceed tese ratings. It is a goal of tis work to add consideration of te reliability benefits of microgrids to DER-CAM analysis capabilities. Te load fractions considered critical by assumption ave been sown, but witin te DER-CAM framework an economic value of te added reliability is sougt. Wile it may sound as if te cost of an alternative, suc as backup generation, is a reasonable indicator of te site s willingness to pay for te iger reliability, in practice tis faces tree problems. Firs some critical loads eiter require backup by code or are of suc ig value tat cost is no object. Having on-site generation offers limited advantage to suc customers. Second, te advantage of a CERTS microgrid is coverage of relatively sort disturbances, e.g. ones for wic on-site fuel storage would not be required. Tird, sort outages are difficult to include in DER-CAM s ourly time resolution. Te approac taken in tis study is a two-step one. In te firs te true optimum system is found, and in te second, a system is forced into existence tat meets te critical load requirement. Ten a value of reliability is incrementally added to te objective function until te equivalent cost of te optimum system is acieved. Te value necessary for tis equivalency represents te value te site must put on te added reliability for tis capability to be cost effective. xii

15 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Equipment Available One of te key barriers to detailed optimization of building energy systems is te potentially ig computational requirement. Tis burden arises in part because te number of tecnology options is large and te number of possible combinations uge. Also, note tat tese are difficult optimization problems because energy purcase from te grid is always a possibility and te conditions for tose purcases are complex because tariffs are complex. Furter, wit storage involved, decisions made in any timestep can potentially affect all oter timesteps. Te upsot of tese conditions is a quite flat surface of alternative coice combinations tat ave similar objective function values. In oter words, tere are a large number of alternative combinations of equipment tat produce similar results and coosing between tem is not easy. An effective sortcut is to include only tecnologies tat experience as sown to be competitive. Alternatively, computation may be reduced by representing lumpy tecnologies wit strong diseconomies of small scale as integer alternatives, wile representing te oters as continuous functions. Te upsot of tese two simplifications is te sort menu of equipment sown in Table ES 3 and Table ES 5. Note tat representing a tecnology as continuous does not mean it cannot exibit economies of scale, only tat suc economies are linear and tat it can be sized to exactly matc te most desirable capacity and partial units are allowed. For many types of equipmen tis approximation is quite reasonable, e.g. lead acid batteries are available in a wide range of sizes. Conversely, te scale economies of equipment suc as gensets are considerable and tey sould be represented as integer tecnologies. Table ES 3. Menu of available equipment options, discrete investments Tecogen CM-100 fuel cell capacity (kw) sprint capacity (kw) 125 installed costs ($/kw) installed costs wit eat recovery ($/kw) variable maintenance ($/kw) Efficiency (%), (HHV) lifetime (a) Table ES 4. Menu of available equipment options, continuous investments lead-acid batteries termal storage 1 flow battery absorption ciller solar termal potovoltaics intercept costs ($) variable costs ($/kw or $/kw) $/kW and 2125$/kW lifetime (a) Please note tat cold termal storage is not among te set of available tecnologies, but could be added. xiii

16 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Table ES 5. Energy storage parameters Description lead-acid batteries flow battery termal carging efficiency (1) discarging efficiency (1) portion of energy input to storage tat is useful portion of energy output from storage tat is useful decay (1) portion of state of carge lost per our maximum carge rate (1) maximum discarge rate (1) minimum state of carge (1) maximum portion of rated capacity tat can be added to storage in an our 0.1 n/a 0.25 maximum portion of rated capacity tat can be witdrawn from storage in an our 0.25 n/a 0.25 minimum state of carge as apportion of rated capacity xiv

17 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Results Detailed Microgrid Results Table ES 6. Nursing omes results CA nursing ome donoting invest in all tecnologies low storage cost & 60% PV incentive Units of CM-100 (units) 3 3 absorption ciller (kw) Solar termal (kw) PV (kw) lead-acid batteries (kw) termal storage (kw) 0 47 electricity bill (k$) NG bill (k$) microgrid equipment (k$) total bill (k$) Bill effect (%) electricity use (GW) electricity effect (%) NG use (GW) NG effect (%) carbon emissions (tc) carbon effect (%) NYC nursing ome donoting invest in all tecnologies low storage cost & 60% PV incentive Units of CM-100 (units) 0 0 absorption ciller (kw) solar termal (kw) PV (kw) 0 0 lead-acid batteries (kw) termal storage (kw) electricity bill (k$) NG bill (k$) microgrid equipment (k$) total bill (k$) Bill effect (%) electricity use (GW) electricity effect (%) NG use (GW) NG effect (%) carbon emissions (tc) carbon effect (%) xv

18 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Table ES 7. Scools results CA scool donoting invest in all tecnologies low storage cost & 60% PV incentive Units of CM-100 (units) 0 0 absorption ciller (kw) solar termal (kw) PV (kw) Lead-acid batteries (kw) termal storage (kw) 0 41 electricity bill (k$) NG bill (k$) microgrid equipment (k$) 7 72 Total bill (k$) bill effect (%) electricity use (GW) electricity effect (%) NG use (GW) NG effect (%) carbon emissions (tc) carbon effect (%) NYC scool donoting invest in all tecnologies low storage cost & 60% PV incentive Units of CM-100 (units) 0 0 absorption ciller (kw) solar termal (kw) PV (kw) Lead-acid batteries (kw) termal storage (kw) electricity bill (k$) NG bill (k$) microgrid equipment (k$) 9 62 Total bill (k$) bill effect (%) electricity use (GW) electricity effect (%) 0-22,32 NG use (GW) NG effect (%) carbon emissions (tc) carbon effect (%) xvi

19 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Table ES 8. Data center results CA data center donoting invest in all tecnologies low storage cost & 60% PV incentive Units of CM-100 (units) 0 0 absorption ciller (kw) solar termal (kw) 0 0 PV (kw) lead-acid batteries (kw) termal storage (kw) 0 0 electricity bill (k$) NG bill (k$) microgrid equipment (k$) total bill (k$) bill effect (%) electricity use (GW) electricity effect (%) NG use (GW) NG effect (%) carbon emissions (tc) carbon effect (%) NYC data center donoting invest in all tecnologies low storage cost & 60% PV incentive Units of CM-100 (units) 0 0 absorption ciller (kw) 0 0 solar termal (kw) 0 0 PV (kw) 0 4 lead-acid batteries (kw) 0 94 termal storage (kw) 0 0 electricity bill (k$) NG bill (k$) microgrid equipment (k$) 0 2 total bill (k$) bill effect (%) electricity use (GW) electricity effect (%) 0 0 NG use (GW) NG effect (%) 0 0 carbon emissions (tc) carbon effect (%) xvii

20 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Table ES 6 troug Table ES 8 sow te results for te nursing omes, scools, and data centers, respectively. Te tables sow tree cases. Te no-invest case sows results if te sites buy all teir energy from teir local utilities at publised tariffs. Te invest in all tecnologies case is te pure optimum result from DER-CAM. Tis represents te lowest possible energy cost case and is te bencmark against wic all oters can be compared. Te first two cases represent te key microgrid results. In te case of te nursing omes, te CA and NY results are noticeably different. In CA conditions, tree of te Tecogen CM-100 units are selected togeter wit an absorption ciller tat is also fed by solar termal eat. Tis proves te only case in wic te CM-100 is cosen based on simple cost effectiveness. NG use increases by a dramatic 75% to fuel te engines, but te overall energy bill is down by 4% and te carbon footprint by 13%. In NY by contras te Tecogen units are not cosen but absorption cillers using solar termal eat are, and te carbon abatement effects are smaller. Te CA scool also does not pick te Tecogen units, but solar termal and absorption cooling are attractive, and in tis case, te NY scool results are similar. Te cost and carbon reduction benefits are similarly small in bot cases. Te data center cases are similarly disappointing wit only absorption cilling adopted in te CA case and noting in te NY case. Storage results A considerable acievement of tis project as been te addition of electricity and eat storage capabilities to DER-CAM. Storage poses a difficult problem because any decision made in any one time period must consider te effects on all oter time periods. Tere are also some longer time period problems, for example ow migt storage on weekends for use on weekdays be andled, or potentially even storage in winter for use in summer, etc. In general, tese issues ave not been addressed and only storage over a day is currently considered. Bot traditional batteries, suc as te familiar lead-acid ones, and flow batteries are considered. Te key distinction of te latter tecnology is tat storage capacity and carge-discarge capacity are quasi-independent because te electrolyte flows troug te battery and can be stored in eiter its carged or discarged states. All batteries are amenable to optimization using DER-CAM because finding a good carge-discarge scedule by simple searc would be ineffective. Flow batteries are additionally callenging because of te dual optimization needed to pick bot te storage and carge-discarge capabilities separately. Unfortunately, as as already been reported above, wen available at approximately teir estimated current full cos no storage tecnologies are cosen for any of te test sites, and te same is true for PV. To demonstrate te capabilities for storage and PV adoption and sceduling, and because tese two tecnologies are connected and are strong candidates for government suppor several cases wit various levels of subsidy were conducted. Te tird case sown in Table ES 6 troug Table ES 8 above, low storage and PV costs, is one in wic storage and PV ave been eavily subsidized. In tis case, electricity storage costs are reduced from 193 $/kw to 60, eat storage is alved from 100 $/kw to 50, and 60% of PV costs are written down. Wit tese costs, bot electricity storage and eat storage become attractive to te CA nursing ome, as does PV. Te PV array is substantial (517 kw) and te battery bank uge (2082 kw), wile te eat storage is modest. Note tat despite tese significant subsidies, te net bill savings are modes altoug te carbon footprint is reduced by almost a quarter. Interestingly, te NY results are almost reversed, wit a uge amount of eat storage (4862 kw) installed, but only 294 kw of batteries and no PV. Again, given te value of te subsidy, te net effect on costs is xviii

21 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability minimal. At te CA scool, all tecnologies except te CM-100 and flow batteries are selected. Te PV array is sizeable (181 kw), as is te battery bank (1518 kw). In tis case te effect on costs is more promising (13.5%) and te emissions reduction is 19%. Te NY scool adopts te same fleet of tecnologies wit almost as muc PV (166 kw), but less electricity and more eat storage. Te lower attraction of batteries in NY (569 kw) is probably driven by te absence of a time of use tariff for electrical energy. Te CA data center installs bot a uge 1577 kw PV array and a uge battery bank (6434 kw). Note tat tis PV array could supply 88% of te building peak load. Also, te battery bank could meet te peak load of te building for fully 3.6. Te NY data center results are starkly different wit only 4 kw of PV and 94 kw of electricity storage adopted. Again, te absence of a significant diurnal electricity price differential clearly makes a dramatic difference to te outcome. Finally, consider te CA nursing ome scedule for te low storage and PV costs run sown in Figure ES 2. Figure ES 2. CA nursing ome electricity pattern: July weekday low storage & 60% PV incentive kw Battery carging Battery discarging Electricity generation from DG Utility electricity consumption Electricity generation from potovoltaics Electricity provided by te battery Cooling offset Total electricity load Electricity input to battery Te grapic sows a July weekday from te DER-CAM results. Te tree engines run at close to full power all day and te surge capability is actually used briefly at 18:00. Te eavy blue line sows te actual electricity consumed in eac our witout DER. Tis can be tougt of as te electricity service requirement. Wen te electricity supply exceeds tis line, te battery bank is carging. Tis occurs from 1:00 to 9:00, as sown by te black line. Te PV system produces from 9:00 to 18:00, and te battery is discarged between 12:00 and 21:00, wit a strong peak discarge at 18:00. Te tiny slice of ligt blue represents te electricity requirement tat is displaced by te absorption ciller. One key result to note is tat te nursing ome makes considerable grid electricity purcases over te course of te day, but buys virtually noting during te peak period, 12:00-18:00, and tis sows te power of te time-of-use tariff. Te xix

22 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability engines, te PV, and te batteries are all used to avoid afternoon grid purcase. In oter words, te batteries are used to save ceap off-peak electricity for consumption during te expensive on-peak ours; terefore, te PV and te batteries are in competition to provide tis service. PQR results To model te PQR benefit of te microgrid, a certain amount of site load was assumed to be critical. During a macrogrid failure: te nursing ome must meet 50% of its base load and 10% of its peak load (defined as any ourly load above te base); te scool must meet 25% of its base load, and te data center must cover its entire load. For te PQR runs, availability of te different tecnologies suc as ICEs, batteries or PVs is important. For example, PV cannot be used as backup during te nigt and batteries migt not be fully carged wen a grid failure occurs. Additionally, lead-acid batteries can only be discarged to 30% of total battery capacity to avoid battery damaging. Tese boundaries limit te potential of te different tecnologies to contribute to sensitive loads during a grid failure. However, DER-CAM calculates te availability of storage tecnologies as well as PV depending on te carge / discarge cycle and solar radiation. Te reliability / availability of ICEs and fuel cells were assumed to be 90%, and tere is an 18% to 22% cance tat potovoltaics can contribute to sensitive loads during a grid failure (see also Table ES 9). To satisfy te sensitive load, te product of te installed tecnology s availability factor and its installed capacity must be greater tan te sensitive load. Or, in cases wit multiple tecnologies, te sum of te products must be greater tan te sensitive load. Te detailed matematical formulations for calculating te average availability can be found in te appendix equations A58 to A62. Table ES 9. Electric sensitive load supply tecnology can it contribute to electric sensitive loads? CM-100 yes 0.90 fuel cell yes 0.90 average possible contribution of max. installed capacity, availability factor (= cance tat it can contribute to sensitive loads) electric storage yes 0.15 to 0.21 (soutern CA scool) eat storage no n/a flow battery yes 1 abs. ciller no n/a potovoltaic yes 0.18 (NY examples) to 0.22 (soutern CA Scool) solar termal no n/a xx

23 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability It is furter assumed tat te necessary PQR features add $25/kW to te capital cost of CM-100 engines plus $100/kW for a fast DER switc, wic seamlessly separates te site from te macrogrid during a grid disturbance. However, te possibility of supporting sensitive loads during a grid failure also adds benefits to te microgrid. In DER-CAM, tese benefits are currently expressed only as monetary benefits. And since estimates of suc benefits are difficult to find empirically, a set of PQR runs wit variable benefits and fixed PQR costs were performed. Finding an optimal solution wic delivers te same total bill costs as run invest all tecnologies from Table ES 6 troug Table ES 8 provides an estimate of te monetary PQR benefits necessary to make te microgrid attractive. In oter words, te value of PQR derived in tis way is a urdle tat te site must clear to find te microgrid cost effective. For te CA nursing ome, te same equipment as in run invest all tecnologies from Table ES 6 meets te critical load. Furter, te breakeven monetary benefit from PQR features is quite little, less tan $25/kW (or less tan 6.5 k$/a added to an annual energy bill of approacing one M$), wit no additional adoption of DER generation necessary. Te added reliability benefit certainly seems promising in tis case. For te NY nursing ome, te results are more interesting and sow an adoption of two CM-100 units to satisfy te critical load condition. Te monetary benefit from te PQR features is again quite little, less tan $25/kW resulting in a similar cost consequence as its CA equivalent. In te NY nursing ome case ten, te consideration of PQR as a small effect on costs but makes a considerable difference to te attractiveness of a microgrid. Bot of tese examples support te notion tat te nursing ome/assisted living sector migt be a promising market for microgrids. In bot of te scool examples, DER adoption canges only sligtly due to te small critical load assumed. No additional CM-100 units are installed; te only canges occur in lead-acid battery adoption; and te benefit from PQR features is low (less tan $25/kW). Terefore, for te scools, a low value of te added reliability is necessary for te adoption of basic microgrid capability but it comes in te rater traditional form of battery back-up. Te data center critical load requirement is te most demanding, and te microgrid needs to satisfy 100% of te data center load during a grid failure. Tis requirement results in massive CM-100 adoption. Te CA data center adopts 16 units and te NY data center 14; owever, te found PQR benefit requirements are iger tan for te oter examples, $125/kW for CA and $200/kW for NY. For example, for te CA data center, tis cost represents an addition of about 223 k$ to its 1.4 M$ annual energy bill. Wile tese costs are considerable, given te extreme priority placed on reliability by data centers, tey are certainly feasible. Overall, te results of te reliability analyses are promising, wile none of te results are surprising in and of temselves. For sites at wic a microgrid is already or close to being viable, te added value of reliability can easily enance te economics. Te two nursing omes substantiate te claim tat a large potential market exists at sites were CHP is possible and reliability as some additional modest value wen a significant sare of load needs to be supported. Te scools tend to argue tat if a microgrid is not attractive absent a reliability benefit and te sensitive load is small, alternatives to a microgrid are likely to be more appealing, e.g. traditional back-up. Finally, te data center results sow tat if sites wit significant xxi

24 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability sensitive loads value te reliability benefit ig enoug and many suc sites are likely to ten te effect on te attractiveness of a microgrid could be dramatic. Sensitivity results Two types of sensitivity cases were completed. One imposed carbon taxes ranging from $ /tC, and te oter applied te prevailing standby tariff to an oterwise favorable microgird site, i.e. CA nursing ome. Te imposition of carbon taxes tended to encourage te adoption of CM-100 gensets, altoug te effect was only dramatic in te NYC nursing ome case, wic installs four units at a carbon tax rate of $450/tC. Te carbon taxes tend to encourage adoption of solar termal collectors, wic togeter wit eat recovery from te gensets, feed sizable absorption cillers. Additional storage occurs in a few isolated cases, but PV adoption at its full unsubsidized price never appears. In fac at $1000/tC, fuel cells are adopted by te NYC nursing ome, wile PV still does not appear. Application of te PG&E standby tariff to te CA nursing ome does not preclude adoption of gensets, but does result in iger costs because of te ig fixed carge in te tariff. xxii

25 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability 1. Introduction 1.1 Background In past work, Berkeley Lab as developed te Distributed Energy Resources Customer Adoption Model (DER-CAM). Given end-use energy details for a facility, a description of its economic environment and a menu of available equipmen DER-CAM finds te optimal investment portfolio and its operating scedule wic togeter minimize te cost of meeting site service, e.g., cooling, eating, requirements. Past studies ave considered combined eat and power (CHP) tecnologies. Metods and software ave been developed to solve tis proble finding optimal solutions wic take simultaneity into account. Tis project aims to extend on tose prior capabilities in two key dimensions. In tis researc storage tecnologies ave been added as well as power quality and reliability (PQR) features tat provide te ability to value te additional indirect reliability benefit derived from Consortium for Electricity Reliability Tecnology Solutions (CERTS) Microgrid capability. 1.2 Purpose of researc Tis project is intended to determine ow attractive on-site generation becomes to a medium-sized commercial site if economical storage (bot electrical and termal), CHP opportunities, and PQR benefits are provided in addition to avoiding electricity purcases. On-site electrical storage, generators, and te ability to seamlessly connect and disconnect from utility service would provide te facility wit ride-troug capability for minor grid disturbances. Tree building types in bot California and New York are assumed to ave a sare of teir sensitive electrical load separable. Providing enanced service to tis load fraction as an unknown value to te facility, wic is estimated analytically. In summary, tis project began wit 3 major goals: 1. to conduct detailed analysis to find te optimal equipment combination for microgrids at a few promising commercial building osts in te two favorable markets of California and New York, 2. to extend te analysis capability of DER-CAM to include bot eat and electricity storage, and 3. to make an initial effort towards adding consideration of PQR into te capabilities of DER-CAM. 1

26 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability 2. Te Distributed Energy Resources Customer Adoption Model (DER-CAM) DER-CAM (Siddiqui et al. 2003) is a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) written and executed in te General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS). Its objective is to minimize te annual costs for providing energy services to te modeled site, including utility electricity and natural gas purcases, amortized capital and annual maintenance costs for distributed generation (DG) investments. Te approac is fully tecnology-neutral and can include energy purcases, on-site conversion, bot electrical and termal on-site renewable arvesting, and end-use efficiency investments. Furtermore, te system coice considers te simultaneity of solutions, especially regarding te building cooling problem; tat is, results reflect te benefit of electricity demand displacement by eat-activated cooling tat lowers building peak load and, terefore, te generation requirement. Site-specific inputs to te model are end-use energy loads, 2 electricity and natural gas tariff structures and rates, and DG tecnology investment options. Wile any equipment could be incorporated in DER-CAM, te following tecnologies are considered in tis study: 3 natural gas-fired reciprocating engines, gas turbines, microturbines, and fuel cells; potovoltaics (PV) and solar termal collectors; traditional batteries, flow batteries, and eat storage; eat excangers for application of solar termal and recovered eat to end-use loads; direct-fired natural gas cillers; and eat-driven absorption cillers. Figure 1 sows a ig-level scematic of te energy flow modeled by DER-CAM. Available energy inputs to te site are solar insolation, utility electricity, and utility natural gas. For a given site, DER-CAM selects te economically 4 optimal combination of utility electricity purcase, on-site generation, and storage as well as cooling equipment required at eac time step to meet te following end-use loads: electricity-only loads, e.g. ligting and office equipment; cooling loads tat can be met eiter by electricity powered compression or by eat activated absorption cooling, direct-fired natural gas cillers, waste eat or solar eat; ot water and space eating loads tat can be met by recovered eat or by natural gas; and natural gas-only loads, e.g. mostly cooking tat can only be met by natural gas. Te simulation is typically executed for a test year represented by 36 days: a weekday, weekend, and peak day for eac mont. 2 Tree different diurnal profiles are used to represent te set of daily profiles for eac mont: weekday, peak day, and weekend day. DER-CAM assumes tat tree weekdays of eac mont are peak days. 3 Despite te wide variety of tecnologies tat can be considered in DER-CAM, only a small subset of tecnologies are used in tis work to allow focus on premium power products. See also section DER Equipment Including Storage Tecnologies. 4 DER-CAM s objective function is to minimize te total energy bill, but tis can easily be canged to a carbon minimizing strategy or some oter combination. 2

27 Te Effects of Storage Tecnologies on Microgrid Viability Figure 1. Scematic of te energy flow model used in DER-CAM 5 decoupling by termal storage decoupling by termal storage decoupling by electric storage Te outputs of DER-CAM include te optimal DG and storage adoption and an ourly operating scedule, as well as te resulting costs, fuel consumption, and carbon emissions (Figure 2). Optimal combinations of equipment involving PV, termal generation wit eat recovery, termal eat collection, and eat-activated cooling can be identified in a way tat would be intractable by trial-and-error enumeration of possible combinations. Te economics of storage are particularly complex, bot because tey require optimization across multiple time steps and also because of te influence of tariff structures (on-peak, off-peak, and demand carges). Note tat facilities wit on-site generation will incur electricity bills more biased toward demand (peak power) carges and less toward energy carges, tereby making te timing and control of cargeable peaks of particular operational importance. Te MILP solved by DER-CAM is sown in pseudocode in Figure 3. In minimizing te site s annualized energy bill, DER-CAM also as to take into account various constraints. Among tese, te most fundamental ones are te energy-balance and operational constraints wic require tat every end-use load as to be me and tat te termodynamics of energy production, conversion, and transfer are obeyed. Te recently added storage constraints are essentially inventory balance constraints. Te amount of energy in a storage device at te beginning of a time period is equal to te amount available at te beginning of te previous time period plus energy carges and minus energy discarges/losses. Finally, investment and regulatory constraints may be included as needed. A limit on te acceptable simple payback period is imposed to mimic typical investment decisions made in practice. Only investment options wit a payback period of less tan 12 years are considered for tis paper. For a complete matematical formulation of te MILP wit energy storage solved by DER-CAM, please refer to Appendix A or Siddiqui et al Please note tat termal storage contains also eat for absorption cillers, and terefore, Figure 1 considers cold termal storage indirectly. However, direct cold storage is not considered in DER-CAM at tis stage, but can be added in future versions. 3