1 Annual Report 2008 AIMING FOR SUSTAINABLE BALANCE
2 OUR CHALLENGES MAINTAIN COST LEADERSHIP IN STANDARD GRADES Tornio Works is a global leader in cost efficiency in high-volume standard grades due to its integrated production from chrome to stainless steel melting, cold rolling and hot rolling. ROUTE TO MARKET A majority of Outokumpu s sales is reaching the end-user of stainless steel through distributors and further processors. DEPENDENCE ON NICKEL The Group s current product portfolio consists to a large extent of nickel containing stainless steel grades. As nickel price is very volatile, demand for these grades and products also tends to vary a lot. EUROCENTRIC The majority of Outokumpu s sales and almost all production sites are located in Europe. >> OUTOKUMPU >> BUSINESS OPERATIONS 26
3 OUR MOVES FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE Our excellence programs are aiming at an improved overall efficiency in production and supply chain. We have a tight cost control and active cost saving measures ongoing. Also the investment program has been optimized to master the difficult market situation. CLOSER TO THE CUSTOMER In order to create a more stable business environment we intend to increase the share of sales to end-user customers & projects and to key distributors with more predictable order volumes. Our sales organization has been aligned and our service center network has been strengthened with the aim to better serve the different industries using stainless steel. DIVERSIFIED PRODUCT PORTFOLIO In order to have a more balanced product portfolio, we are increasing our sales of special grades and entering the market for non-nickel containing grades. Focus is also on optimizing the utilization of existing production capacity. GROWTH OUTSIDE OF EUROPE Outokumpu is a market leader in special grades and we aim to expand the global market for special grades and products further. We are establishing service centers and increasing our production outside of Europe. >> CORPORATE GOVERNANCE STATEMENT 52 >> SHAREHOLDER INFORMATION 68
4 >> OUTOKUMPU Outokumpu in brief 6 Outokumpu s market position 8 CEO s review 10 Vision and strategic direction 14 Highlights in Market review 19 Management discussion on financial performance
5 Our move FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
6 4 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / OUTOKUMPU IN BRIEF OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 Outokumpu in brief OPERATING PROFIT RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO million % % OUTOKUMPU AN INTERNATIONAL STAINLESS STEEL COMPANY Sales (2008) EUR million OUTOKUMPU is a global leader in stainless steel. Our vision is to be the undisputed number one in stainless, with success based on operational excellence. Customers in a wide range of industries worldwide use our stainless steel and services. Being fully recyclable, maintenancefree, as well as very strong and durable material, stainless steel is one of the key building blocks for sustainable future. Outokumpu operates in some 30 countries and employs more than people. The Group s head office is located in Espoo, Finland. Outokumpu has been listed on the NASDAQ OMX Helsinki since Stainless steel deliveries (2008) Personnel (Dec. 31, 2008) Main products Grades Dimensions Customers Typical customer industries using stainless steel Main production facilities Sales companies and service centers thousand tons Cold and hot rolled stainless steel coil, sheet and plate, quarto plate, thin strip, tubular and long products. Full range of standard and high alloyed austenitic grades, as well as ferritic duplex, and manganese grades. Cold rolled flat products in thickness range from 0.12 mm to 6.5 mm. White hot strip and hot rolled plate in varying widths and thicknesses. Full range of tubular products from hygienic tubes to heavy walled pipes. Distributors, re-rollers and further processors, tube makers as well as enduser and project customers in different industrial segments. Architecture, Building and Construction, Chemical, Petrochemical and Energy, Transportation, Catering and Appliances, Process Industries and Resources and various other industries and applications. Finland, Sweden, the UK, the US, the Netherlands A comprehensive network of sales companies and service centers in some 30 countries.
7 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 OUTOKUMPU IN BRIEF / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 5 Stainless steel is used in various end-user industries Process Industries and Resources Chemical, Petrochemical and Energy Architectural, Building and Construction Catering and Appliances Transportation STAINLESS STEEL AS A MATERIAL Stainless steel is corrosion resistant, strong, hygienic and fully recyclable. These properties make it an ideal choice for a variety of demanding industrial and consumer applications. Several life-cycle studies indicate that in many applications the total cost of stainless steel is lower than that of competing materials, since stainless steel hardly needs any maintenance. The consumption of stainless steel has been growing faster than any other metal in the world. Consumption of stainless steel increases with economic growth as both its properties and its aesthetic image are highly competitive. The stainless business covers both austenitic (300-series) and ferritic (400-series) grades. All stainless steel grades contain chromium which makes the steel stainless. Austenitic stainless typically contains nickel in addition to chromium. Ferritic stainless steel does not contain nickel. The 300-series stainless steel accounted for some 58% of the global stainless steel market in The unique properties of stainless steel make it difficult to find substitutes.
8 6 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / OUTOKUMPU S MARKET POSITION OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 Outokumpu s market position THE CONSUMPTION of stainless steel has been growing more rapidly than any other metal in the world. Outokumpu is one of the largest producers of stainless steel and is widely recognized as a world leader in technical support, research and development. According to the current strategic phase, Outokumpu is increasing the share of special grades and special products in its product mix. The global stainless steel market totals 27 million tons or some eur 80 billion. During the last twenty years, consumption has grown at a rate of 5 6% per annum. In Europe, the Group s main market area, the market totals 4.2 million tons and consumption has grown by 2% annually. In recent years, the largest growth globally has occurred in China with a growth rate of some 15% annually. Outokumpu is one of the world s largest producers of stainless steel with main production facilities located in Finland, Sweden, the uk, the us and the Netherlands. Outokumpu s melting capacity totals 2.55 million tons and the finished products capacity for cold rolled material and white hot strip is 1.6 million tons. Outokumpu also has annual production capacity of 0.3 million tons of long products and plate. In global terms, Outokumpu s biggest site, Tornio Works in Finland, is one of the world s most cost-efficient and the most integrated single-site stainless steel production facilities. At Tornio Works in Finland, Outokumpu produces mainly high volume standard grades of stainless steel while the Avesta integration in Sweden is focusing more on customer tailored special grades and products. Outokumpu has a 18% share of the stainless steel coil market in Europe and a 6% share worldwide. Outokumpu s main markets are Europe (78% of sales in 2008), Asia (8%) and North and South America (11%). GROUP KEY FIGURES Sales million Operating profit million Non-recurring items in operating profit million Profit before taxes million Non-recurring items in financial income million Net profit for the period from continuing operations million Net profit for the period from discontinued operations million Net profit for the period million Capital employed on Dec. 31 million Return on capital employed % Net cash generated from operating activities million Capital expenditure million Net interest-bearing debt on Dec. 31 million Equity-to-assets ratio % Debt-to-equity ratio % Earnings per share Earnings per share from continuing operations Earnings per share from discontinued operations Equity per share Dividend per share ) 1.20 Share price on Dec Market capitalization on Dec. 31 million Stainless steel deliveries tons Stainless steel base price 2) /ton Personnel on Dec. 31, continuing operations ) 2008: The Board of Directors proposal to the Annual General Meeting. 2) Stainless steel: CRU German base prices (2 mm cold rolled 304 sheet). Please note: Between July October 2007, European prices for some stainless grades were quoted on a transaction price basis, therefore base prices are the calculated value of transaction price minus alloy surcharge for this time period (CRU).
9 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 OUTOKUMPU S MARKET POSITION / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 7 Sales and Service Centres Sales and Stock Sales Offices Production facilities END-USES OF STAINLESS STEEL MAJOR STAINLESS STEEL PRODUCERS Source: CRU. Global consumption of cold rolled flat products Catering and Households 32% Industrial equipment 27% Transport 15% Building and Construction 16% Welded tubes 6% Others 4% Estimated slab capacity, million tons ArcelorMittal, The Netherlands Acerinox, Spain ThyssenKrupp, Germany TISCO, China POSCO, South Korea Outokumpu, Finland Source: CRU and Outokumpu RAW MATERIALS Recycled stainless and carbon steel as well as ferrochrome and nickel are the main raw materials used in producing stainless steel. Ferrochrome, and especially nickel, are the most valuable of the raw materials. Outokumpu operates its own chromite mine at Kemi and a ferrochrome smelter at Tornio, both in Finland. Recycled stainless and carbon steel as well as nickel and some of the ferrochrome are purchased on the open market. See the table on raw material use on page 42. ENERGY Electrical energy accounts for some 4% of total production costs. The largest consumers of electrical energy in the Group are the Tornio ferrochrome smelter and the stainless steel meltshops in Tornio in Finland, Avesta in Sweden and Sheffield in Britain.
10 8 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / CEO S REVIEW OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 CEO s review THE YEAR 2008 turned out to be very exceptional. During the first part of the year the stainless steel markets were rather normal with stable demand and healthy prices. The second half of the year, however, was anything but normal very weak demand and falling alloy and product prices, which resulted in a very difficult operating environment. The reason behind the drastic change in business environment was the turmoil in global financial markets. This had a major impact on the behavior of stainless steel customers. Shortage of financing and the overall uncertainty caused several companies to cancel or postpone their investments, consumers to avoid spending and many customers to reduce their inventories. This behavior led to very weak demand for stainless steel in the latter part of the year. Financially the situation was made worse by the collapse in the price of some of the alloying materials, mainly nickel and molybdenum, resulting in very poor financial results for us during the third and fourth quarter of the year. SHORT-TERM ACTIONS It is very difficult to make reliable forecasts for the short-term future, but one has to assume that markets will remain challenging. Outokumpu is facing this situation from a strong financial position: we have a healthy balance sheet, our debt maturity profile is balanced and our cash flow is good. As a company, however, we have to be prepared for a scenario in which markets will remain weak for some time ahead. Thus we made some decisions on decisive actions in December and January that aim at maximizing our short-term cashflow and ensuring financial flexibility. The key actions are: Cost reductions: both variable and fixed costs are reduced. The target for fixed cost savings is in the range of eur 100 million for Efficient management of inventories and procurement to ensure working capital reduction. Postponement of investments in The investment program is limited to some eur 300 million in 2009, a reduction of more than eur 500 million compared to the original plan. STRATEGY REMAINS VALID Outokumpu s strategy aims at creating a more stable and predictable business model. Some of the key components in this strategy are increasing sales to end-users and project customers, creating more stable deliveries to distributors, and raising sales of special products and ferritic (non-nickel containing) grades. To support the realization of these strategic goals, a new commercial organization structure was introduced. A key concept in this new structure is the creation of customer segment teams whose main tasks are to understand the needs of different customer industries and to tailor our offering accordingly. The segment teams combine the expertise of customer and product knowledge, r&d support and supply chain competence. The acquisition of the Italian distributor SoGePar during the summer of 2008 was a major step forward in increasing our business activity with end-user customers. The acquisition brought us a large customer base and high-quality service center operations in Italy and the uk, both of which are strategically important markets for Outokumpu. The strategy to develop a more stable business model remains valid even though some of the related, earlier decided investments are now postponed. Currently, we have enough available capacity to sell more special products and ferritic grades, and to increase both end-user and project business. Our new organization is well suited for this challenge. THE YEAR OF CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY To highlight its importance, we named year 2008 the year of corporate responsibility. We started the year by setting some clear and tangible goals for all of corporate responsibility s three dimensions. In the environmental dimension, targets were established for e.g. reducing wastes and improving energy efficiency, both in production and in offices. Some of the related targets became less relevant due to reduced volumes during the latter part of the year. However, clear progress was made especially in waste reduction. In the social dimension, encouraging improvements were made in safety. Lost-time accident frequency was improved from a level of 11 in 2007 to a level of 9 in Even more demanding targets are set for 2009, with the ultimate aim of zero accidents in the future. In the economic dimension, the year 2008 was a clear disappointment. Low volumes and prices during the second half of the year and collapsing alloy prices were the main reasons for this. THE WAY AHEAD Although visibility into the future is poor, it seems likely that markets will remain difficult in both the short and medium term. I am confident that Outokumpu will perform relatively well even in these challenging conditions. Our key strengths will demonstrate their importance now more than ever: Cost efficiency at our biggest production plant, Tornio Works A strong market position in special grades Strive for Operational Excellence Customer-focused organization Our strengths and our short-term actions will enable us to manage the tough times and come out even stronger once markets return to normal. Finally, I want to thank our customers for their support and loyalty and our shareholders for their patience in these turbulent times. I also want to thank the Outokumpu people for their excellent contribution and continuing commitment to high quality work. Juha Rantanen ceo
11 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 CEO S REVIEW / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 9
12 10 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / VISION AND STRATEGIC DIRECTION OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 Vision and strategic direction 2005 UP TO 5 YEARS UP TO 10 YEARS TODAY Achieving global leadership The undisputed number one in stainless Ensuring No. 1 position in stainless in Europe Delivering promises and setting new ambitions OUTOKUMPU is an international stainless steel company. Our vision is to be the undisputed number one in stainless steel, with success based on operational excellence. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES To direct our way of becoming the undisputed number one, we have defined three key strategic objectives: Value creation through building superior production and distribution capabilities in all major markets in the world Value realization through commercial and production excellence Sustaining value by continuously developing our people and putting customers at the heart of everything we do The path to achieving our vision is divided into three main phases: firstly, delivering our promises and setting new ambitions, secondly, ensuring the number one position in Europe by multiplying operational excellence, and thirdly, achieving global leadership in stainless. The ultimate goal is to secure a significant and sustained increase in shareholder value. In the first phase of the Group s strategic development, focus was on simplifying Outokumpu s business portfolio, strengthening the Group s balance sheet and financial flexibility, and improving internal efficiency and competitiveness by building and strengthening operational excellence. Outokumpu s position in the stainless steel industry is already strong. In Tornio in Finland, Outokumpu has one of the world s most cost-efficient and the most integrated production sites ensuring cost leadership in standard grades. Furthermore, Outokumpu s long history and comprehensive knowledge as well as well-tailored production facilities in Sweden give the Group a leading position in specialized stainless steel products. In accordance with the plan, the emphasis was on internal improvements and strengthening of financial performance, as well as on improving the quality of the current asset base. During this first phase also the Group s Excellence programs were initiated and are currently proceeding at full speed. Outokumpu is today a pure-play stainless steel company with a strong balance sheet and is well positioned to accelerate its profitable growth.
13 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 VISION AND STRATEGIC DIRECTION / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 11 BEING THE UNDISPUTED NUMBER ONE IN STAINLESS STEEL OUTOKUMPU S KEY STRENGHTS Best financial performance in the industry Industry benchmark in customer relationship management Most efficient production operations Most attractive employer Fully-integrated and globally cost-competitive production site in Tornio A leading position in specialty products Strong customer orientation Highly-recognized product and process development Focus on continuous improvement and excellence Outokumpu s position in the stainless steel industry is already strong. OUTOKUMPU S STRATEGY AIM- ING FOR A MORE STABLE AND PROFITABLE BUSINESS MODEL In 2007, Outokumpu moved into the next phase in its strategy development, with the aim to ensure the number one position in Europe. In this phase, focus is on developing and securing a more stable and profitable business model in order to balance out the effects of volatility in the market for stainless steel standard products. Growth opportunities related to both the Group s size and geographical coverage will also be considered. This second phase in Outokumpu s strategy aims at increasing the proportion of direct end-user and project sales from the current level of 35% to at least 50% over the next five years stabilizing sales volumes to key distributors increasing the proportion of valueadded special products and ferritic (non-nickel) grades from one third to a half maintaining cost leadership in standard grade volume production Shifting Outokumpu s production capacity into more value-added special products will include both a broadening in the range of products and grades produced and an increase in the production of duplex grades with low nickel content. Growth targets also include a scaling up of the Group s production capacity in ferritic grades to assist in reducing the earnings cyclicality that is driven by volatile nickel prices. In 2007 and 2008, a major investment program of some eur 2 billion supporting the strategy development was announced. Initiatives included investment in the expansion of the stock and processing network by expanding existing service centers and establishing new ones in both Europe and Asia. The program also included a broadening of the Group s product range by investing in production capacity for value-added special products, especially duplex grades and ferritic non-nickel grades. In addition to these, an investment to expand ferrochrome production in Tornio was part of the program. As a result of the turmoil in the global financial markets and consequently the weakening market for stainless steel in 2008, the Group s investment program was reviewed at the end of the year and a decision was made to postpone the investment program almost entirely. Projects totaling some eur 1.5 billion were postponed for a period of at least 12 months. Outokumpu s target of balancing the Group s product mix can still be achieved in coming years by higher utilization of current production capacity and by making some changes to the existing product mix. The transformation towards increased end-user and project customer sales requires expansion of the Group s stock and processing capabilities. In 2008, Outokumpu acquired the SoGePar Group, an independent distributor in Italy. As synergy benefits from the acquisition turned out to be greater than
14 12 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / VISION AND STRATEGIC DIRECTION OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 LEADERSHIP PRINCIPLES Outokumpu has defined Group-wide leadership principles. The main principles are: Making sound decisions Achieving ambitious targets Creating a winning team Inspiring to perform Building trust and respect Outokumpu is moving forward on the path towards the vision of becoming the undisputed number one in stainless. expected, Outokumpu was able to postpone the majority of its planned organic service center investments. Currently, the only investments which are continuing are the expansion of a service center in Willich, Germany, and the establishment of a new plate service center in China and the investment into production capacity of quarto plate in New Castle in the us. In 2007, the longer-term Operational Excellence programs launched in 2005 and originally comprising Commercial and Production Excellence, were expanded to include also Supply Chain Excellence. By the end of 2008, the combined cumulative benefits achieved totaled some eur 86 million compared to 2005 cost levels. The benefit target of eur 200 million for 2009 from the programs will not be reached with the current market outlook as benefits are highly depending on delivery volumes and raw material prices. However, Outokumpu aims at reaching these targeted benefits, but with a delay. Outokumpu is moving forward on the path towards the vision of becoming the undisputed number one in stainless. As a result of the economic market outlook, the Group has to prepare for a weak market and focus on profitability and cash generation in the short term. Actions decided on cover the priority areas of developing stability over the business cycle, ensuring the competitiveness of the Group s European asset base, focusing further on managing the customer interface and on steps towards growth and readiness for global consolidation. Outokumpu s operational strength makes it well positioned to make progress in its pursuit of global leadership. FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES Outokumpu s overall financial objective is to generate the maximum sustainable economic value added. The Group s financial objectives in line with the vision in terms of growth, profitability and financial strength are as follows: To continue growing faster than the market A return on capital employed of over 13% and always the best among peers Gearing below 75% DIVIDEND POLICY The dividend policy established by the Board of Directors states that the dividend payout ratio over a business cycle should be at least one-third of the company s net profit for that period with the aim to have stable annual payments to shareholders. In its annual dividend proposal, the Board will, in addition to financial results, take into consideration the Group s investment and development needs. ETHICAL PRINCIPLES Outokumpu honors human dignity and diversity and condemns discrimination and intolerance of all kinds. In all its operations, Outokumpu strives to achieve sustainable human, economic, social and ecological development. The Group observes the laws and other regulations of countries in which it operates, and complies with agreements and com- mitments it has made. Furthermore, Outokumpu condemns corruption and bribery and complies strictly with competition legislation. A healthy and positive workplace is a source of strength for all employees, and benefits families, friends and colleagues as well.
15 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 VISION AND STRATEGIC DIRECTION / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 13
16 14 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / HIGHLIGHTS IN 2008 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 Highlights in 2008 Q1 In the first quarter of 2008, demand from distributors Q2 and end-user segments is healthy and stable. Base prices increase during the quarter and average 1243 EUR/t. Delivery volumes are at a good level, close to full production capacity. The nickel price is around USD/t. Operating profit totals EUR 100 million including nickel-related inventory losses of some EUR 60 million. The decision is made to invest in high-quality ultra-clean ferritic and austenitic production capacity in Tornio. Base prices peak at EUR/t and average EUR/t in the second quarter. In May, the nickel price starts to fall resulting in weakening demand especially from distributors. Operating profit totals EUR 174 million including net raw material- related inventory gains of some EUR 20 million. To enable increased sales to end-user and project customers, Outokumpu acquires the SoGePar Group, an Italian distributor of stainless steel. Outokumpu decides to invest in a doubling of ferrochrome production.
17 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 HIGHLIGHTS IN 2008 / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 15 Q3 Q4 The financial crisis hits globally and markets weaken further. Demand for stainless steel from both distributors and end-user segments, especially construction and white goods, slows significantly. The nickel price falls to levels around USD/t. In the seasonally weak Q3, stainless steel delivery volumes are low and base prices decline to EUR/t. Outokumpu reports an operating loss of EUR 66 million including raw material-related inventory losses of some EUR 60 million and non-recurring costs of EUR 66 million. An announcement is made that the Group intends to close its thin strip business in Sheffield in the UK. The increasing financial turmoil results in a review of most of the elements in Outokumpu s EUR 2 billion investment program. Global financial markets collapse and demand for stainless steel weakens further with base prices declining to historically low levels around EUR/t. Delivery volumes correspond to some 60% of full production capacity. Outokumpu issues a downward revision of its Q4 guidance. Operating loss in Q4 is EUR 271 million, including some EUR 185 million of raw material-related inventory losses and EUR 17 million of non-recurring provisions. Prices for all raw materials decline and the nickel price drops below USD/t. Almost the entire investment program is being postponed for at least 12 months and Group-wide cost-saving measures, including personnel reductions, are announced.
18 16 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / MARKET REVIEW OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 Market review STAINLESS STEEL DEMAND NEGATIVELY AFFECTED BY NICKEL PRICE FERROCHROME PRICE GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH DECLINES Following four consecutive years of strong global growth in GDP, 2008 marked a downward step in the fortunes of the world economy. During September 2008, a year after the initial onset of the financial crisis, the global financial system suffered a series of shocks with a variety of banks and financial institutions filing for bankruptcy. This in turn created concern over the capitalization of many other financial institutions. A credit and confidence crisis then ensued which threatened the stability of the world banking system. Governments around the world acted to stem the crisis by providing massive lending and financial support to the banking sector, in an attempt to alleviate the effects on the real economy. However, the collapse in credit availability severely impacted business conditions and industrial production, and confidence indicators plummeted in the last quarter of FINANCIAL CRISIS Stainless steel demand and prices during the course of 2008 were heavily influenced by the global financial crisis. The first part of 2008 was reasonably good European stainless steel production for instance increased by 4.7% year-on-year during the first three quarters of Business conditions deteriorated significantly from September due to the financial crisis, the abrupt reduction in credit, and subsequent impact on stainless steel demand. The uncertainty over the length, magnitude and real impacts of the financial crisis also severely clouded business conditions. This uncertainty, combined with the deterioration of consumer spending and household purchases caused many stainless steel consumers to introduce a variety of temporary and permanent production stoppages and cost reduction measures. These actions obviously impacted the stainless steel demand and the industry was operating at low capacity utilization rates during the fourth quarter. Worldwide stainless steel flat products apparent consumption declined by 5.9% in 2008 to a level of 17.9 million tons (cru Feb. 2009). Global production of stainless steel decreased by 4.8% in The benchmark average annual German cold rolled 304 base price (cru) declined 9% year-on-year from eur/t in 2007 to eur/t in From a level of eur/t at the end of 2007, monthly base prices increased to eur/t in June 2008 due to good demand USD/t Source: LME. Including January during the first half of the year. Base prices moderated during the seasonally slow summer period and were impacted further by the financial crisis in q4, ending 2008 at eur/t. The cold rolled 304 transaction price decreased by 27% year-on-year to eur/t, down from eur/t in The alloy surcharge component of the transaction price declined by 36% year-on-year from eur/t in 2007 to eur/t in 2008, due in particular to the decline in the cost of nickel which occurred during the course of the year. Towards the end of the year also prices for molybdenum and recycled steel declined significantly. RAW MATERIAL PRICES DECLINED IN 2008 Following six consecutive years of increase, the average annual lme 09 USD/lb Source: Metal Bulletin. Including January (London Metals Exchange) nickel price declined to usd/t in 2008, down 43% from usd/t in The monthly price was on an increasing trend during the first three months of 2008, but then posted declines throughout the remaining months of the year. Nickel stocks held in lme warehouses ended the year at tons, up 63% year-on-year. Nickel production and refining capacity increased during the course of 2008, however due to demand side limitations production and consumption declined year-on-year. World production of nickel declined by 5% year-on-year in 2008 and consumption by 3.2% (cru Jan. 2009). The imbalance of capacity and demand caused many nickel producers to implement temporary and permanent production cutbacks or stoppages during the course of the year.
19 OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 MARKET REVIEW / OUTOKUMPU 2008 >> 17 MOLYBDENUM PRICE MARKET PRICE COMPARISON WITH COMPETING MATERIALS STAINLESS STEEL PRICE USD/lb Source: Metal Bulletin. Including January Index Stainless steel Aluminium Zinc Carbon steel Carbon steel cold rolled coil galvanized sheet Copper Source: CRU, LME and Metal Bulletin. Including January EUR/t Base price Alloy surcharge Transaction price Note: Between July October 2007, European prices for some stainless steel grades were quoted on a transaction price basis, therefore base prices are the calculated value of transaction price minus alloy surcharge for this time period (CRU). 09 Source: CRU. Including January Stainless steel demand and prices during the course of 2008 were heavily influenced by the global financial crisis. Average annual ferrochrome contract prices advanced by 93% in 2008 to 1.76 usc/lb, following a 26% increase in Quarterly contract prices (agreed between South African producers and European consumers) were on a continual rising trend from the second quarter of 2006 to the third quarter of 2008, rising 1.42 usc/lb or 225% over the period. Growing demand from stainless steel production helped to strengthen ferrochrome prices. Price increases were however exacerbated at the end of 2007 and during the first half of 2008 by limitations in the capability to produce ferrochrome in South Africa, caused by the curtailment of energy usage as a result of the country s energy supply shortage. Global consumption of ferrochrome declined by 9% in Supply decreased by 5%. (cru Jan ) The average annual molybdenum price declined by 3.3% year-on-year to usd/lb. This small annual decline does not highlight however the steep reduction in prices which occurred at the end of the year. After being stable at the level of usd/lb during the first nine months of the year, the molybdenum price declined steeply in the months proceeding the 2008 financial crisis, and finished the year at 10 usd/lb. Global consumption of molybdenum declined by 0.6% in 2008, whereas supply increased by 3.4%. (cru Jan ) Recycled steel prices increased by 43% year-on-year to 401 usd/t in 2008, following a 22% increase in Monthly average prices ended 2007 at 299 usd/t and advanced to 596 usd/t in June Prices then trended down to a low of 151 usd/t in November before recovering to 200 usd/t in December.
20 18 >> OUTOKUMPU 2008 / MARKET REVIEW OUTOKUMPU ANNUAL REPORT 2008 OUTLOOK FOR STAINLESS STEEL DEMAND CONTINUES BRIGHT Given the gloomy economic outlook and remaining challenges within the financial sector, 2009 is expected to be a challenging year for industrial activity and as a consequence stainless demand and prices. The long term prospects for stainless steel demand however remain robust. The long term average annual growth of stainless steel consumption has been 5 6% (cagr over the period ) and this long term growth rate is expected to continue. With growth expected to undershoot this long term average in 2008 and 2009, a period of above trend growth can be expected when the global economy recovers from its recession. Stainless steel will continue to play an important role in the development of the world s infrastructure buildings, bridges, airports, metro and train stations areas that will receive significant fiscal stimulus by governments over the next years. Stainless steel continues to be a hygienic and aesthetic solution in the production of foods, beverages, and various chemicals, as well as highly desired in domestic appliances, catering equipment and utensils. Stainless steel also continues to be an important part in the solutions to address the world s growing appetite for energy and water. Two of the world s key challenges in the future will be to meet the growing demand for energy and potable water. Stainless steel is used extensively in energy production industries such as Oil and Gas as well as renewable sources such as bio-fuels. Stainless steel is also a key material within desalination processes. Outokumpu s leading position in austenitic (nickel-containing) and special grades of stainless steel will ensure that the Group will continue to make positive contributions to the world s future development. ANNUAL AVERAGE METAL MARKET PRICES 2008 Change % Stainless steel Base price EUR/t Alloy surcharge EUR/t Transaction price EUR/t Nickel USD/t EUR/t Ferrochrome (Cr-content) USD/lb EUR/kg Molybdenum USD/lb EUR/kg Recycled steel USD/t EUR/t Sources: Stainless steel: CRU German base price, alloy surcharge and transaction price (2 mm cold rolled 304 sheet), estimates for deliveries during the period. Please note: Between July October 2007, European prices for some stainless grades were quoted on a transaction price basis, therefore base prices are the calculated value of transaction price minus alloy surcharge for this time period (CRU). Nickel: London Metal Exchange (LME) cash quotation. Ferrochrome: Metal Bulletin Quarterly contract price, ferrochrome lumpy chrome charge, basis 52% chrome. Molybdenum: Metal Bulletin Molybdenum oxide, Europe. Recycled steel: Metal Bulletin Steel scrap HMS 1&2 fob Rotterdam.
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