Cédric Tille. Fields of Interest. Macroeconomics, International Finance. Education

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1 Fields of Interest Cédric Tille Department of Economics Graduate Institute for International and Development Studies Pavillon Rigot, Avenue de la Paix 11A 1202 Genève, Switzerland Phone: , Fax: Macroeconomics, International Finance. Education Princeton University: Ph.D. in Economics, November 1998 Dissertation: Essays in International Macroeconomics Advisors: Michael Woodford and Kenneth Rogoff. M.A., Economics, 1995 University of Lausanne: M.A., Economics, 1993; B.A., Economics, 1992 Employment 2007-present Professor of Economics, Graduate Institute for International and Development Studies, Geneva International Research Function, Federal Reserve Bank of New York : Research Officer : Senior Economist : Economist. Winter Graduate Institute for International Economics, Geneva, Visiting Fall 2001 Professor. Yale University, Teacher of Graduate International Finance (joint course with Giancarlo Corsetti and Luca Dedola) International Finance Section, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington D.C., Summer Intern Graduate Macroeconomics, Princeton University, Teaching Assistant Princeton University, Research Assistant Créa Institute for applied Macroeconomics, University of Lausanne, Switzerland, Research Assistant Advanced Macroeconomics, University of Lausanne, Switzerland, Teaching Assistant External expert for Doctoral dissertations: European University Institute, Firenze (Spring 2008), University of British Columbia (Spring 2006), University of Lausanne (Fall 2003, Spring 2002).

2 Publications and papers Academic Publications Composition of International Assets and the Long Run Current Account Economic Notes by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (37), pp A column based on this work appears on the Vox online forum: How do capital gains affect long run-current accounts?, October 11, Vehicle currency use in international trade. with Linda Goldberg, Journal of International Economics, December 2008, vol. 76, pp (also Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 200, January 2005, and NBER Working Paper 11127, February 2005). The Changing Nature of the U.S. Balance of Payments? with Rebecca Hellerstein, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 14, number 4, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, July A column based on this work appears on the Vox online forum: Financial factors and the current account: Is volatility a concern?, August 21, Financial integration and the wealth effect of exchange rate fluctuations Journal of International Economics, July 2008, vol. 75, pp (also Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 226, October 2005). Exchange rate pass-through to trade prices and external adjustment in IMF World Economic Outlook, ch.3 box 3.3., April 2007, pp Borrowing without debt? Interpreting the U.S. international investment position. with Matthew Higgins and Thomas Klitgaard, Business Economics 42, no. 1, National Association for Business Economics, January 2007, pp (also: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 271, December 2006). This paper was awarded an Abramson Scroll for outstanding articles by the National Association of Business Economics. Part of this work was quoted in the Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2006 (U.S. foreign debt shows its teeth as rates climb, by Mark Whitehouse). On the distributional effects of exchange rate fluctuations. Journal of International Money and Finance, December 2006, vol. 25, pp (also: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 146, March 2002). The international role of the dollar and trade balance adjustment. with Linda Goldberg, Group of Thirty Occasional Paper 71, May 2006 (also: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 255, August 2006, and NBER Working Paper 12495, August 2006). 2

3 Current account adjustment with high financial integration: A scenario analysis. with Michele Cavallo, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, March 2006, pp (also Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 226, January 2006, and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper ). The income implications of rising U.S. international liabilities. with Matthew Higgins and Thomas Klitgaard, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 11, number 12, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, December The welfare effect of international asset markets integration under nominal rigidities. Journal of International Economics, January 2005, vol. 65, pp (also Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 114, November 2000). Coping with terms-of-trade shocks in developing countries. with Christian Broda, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 9, number 11, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, November The impact of exchange rate movements on U.S. foreign debt. Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 9, number 1, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, January Exchange rate pass-through and the welfare effect of the euro. with Michael Devereux and Charles Engel, International Economic Review, February 2003, vol. 44, pp (also NBER Working Paper 7382, October 1999). To what extent does productivity drive the dollar? with Olga Gorbachev and Nicolas Stoffels, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 7, number 8, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, August Curbing unemployment in Europe: Are there lessons from Ireland and the Netherlands? with Kei-Mu Yi, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 7, number 5, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, June The role of consumption substitutability in the international transmission of shocks. Journal of International Economics, April 2001, vol. 53, pp Reprinted in Open Economy Macroeconomics (N.C. Miller ed.), a contribution to The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, published in 2006 (also: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 67, January 1999). The economics of currency crisis and contagion: An introduction. with Paolo Pesenti, Economic Policy Review 6, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, September 2000, pp

4 Competitive devaluations: toward a welfare-based approach. with Giancarlo Corsetti, Paolo Pesenti and Nouriel Roubini, Journal of International Economics, June 2000, vol. 51, pp (also: NBER Working Paper 6889, January 1999). Decomposition of the unemployment gap between Canada and the United States: Duration or incidence? Canadian Public Policy, XXIV, February Discussions Returns on FDI: Does the U.S. Really Do Better? by Barry Bosworth, Susan Collins and Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Brookings Trade Forum 2007: FDI, Brookings Institution, pp The missing dark matter in the wealth of nations and its implications for global imbalances by Ricardo Hausmann and Federico Sturzenegger, Economic Policy 22 (51), August 2007, pp Working Papers International Capital Flows under Dispersed Information: Theory and Evidence with Eric van Wincoop, CEPR Discussion Paper 6989, October 2008 (also: NBER Working Paper 14390, October 2008, FinRisk Working Paper 502, September 2008). Macroeconomic Interdependence and the International Role of the Dollar with Linda Goldberg CEPR Discussion Paper 6704, February 2008 (also: NBER Working Paper 13820, February 2008, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 316, February 2008, FinRisk Working Paper 451, February 2008). The leveraged U.S. external position: patterns, rewards, and risk mimeo, Graduate Institute for International and Development Studies. Why Are Switzerland s Foreign Assets so Low? The Growing Financial Exposure of a Small Open Economy. with Nicolas Stoffels, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 226, April International Capital Flows with Eric van Wincoop, NBER Working Paper 12856, January 2007 (also: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 280, March 2007, CEPR Discussion Paper 6705, February 2008, FinRisk Working Paper 450, February 2008). 4

5 How valuable is exchange rate flexibility? Optimal monetary policy under sectoral shocks. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 147, March 'Beggar-thy-neighbor' or 'beggar-thyself'? The income effect of exchange rate fluctuations. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 112, September Non-Academic Publications: Sovereign funds: nouvelles puissances financières, nouvelles logiques d investissement Journal de IHEID, Janvier Chômage: la statistique est-elle pertinente? with Jean-Pierre Danthine, 24 Heures Daily, September Le chômage en Suisse: Analyse de la décennie écoulée et examen de la récente embellie. Analyses & Prévisions, Créa Institute, University of Lausanne, Fall Le chômage en Suisse : un phénomène contrasté. La Vie Economique, October 1993 Evolution récente du chômage en Suisse : analyse par flux et cadre de réflexion Department of Economics and Econometrics / Créa Institute, University of Lausanne, Master's Thesis no 42., June 1993 Origines et causes de la montée du chômage en Suisse. with Régis Joly and Jean-Christian Lambelet, Créa Institute, University of Lausanne, January Le Canton de Vaud est-il en train de perdre sa substance économique? with Jean-Pierre Danthine, Régis Joly Jean-Christian Lambelet and Délia Nilles, Créa Institute, Working Paper, Créa Institute, University of Lausanne, June Une réalité contrastée. UNI Lausanne, University of Lausanne, December 1993 Vaud: situation économique difficile après la forte expansion des années 80. with Régis Joly, L'AGEFI Suisse 1993 Magazine, February Unpublished Work How Effective is Exchange Rate Intervention? Lessons from the Recent Japanese Experience. mimeo,

6 Stabilization, Competitiveness, and Risk-Sharing A model of Monetary Interdependence with Paolo Pesenti, mimeo Divergence of Unemployment between Canada and the United States : Some Additional Evidence mimeo, 1995 Columns and contributions to the press Pouvoir d achat : on va vous plumer, Toutes Taxes Comprises show, télévision Suisse Romande, May 11, Le secret bancaire suisse a-t-il un avenir?, Telos online forum, April 3, Faut-il une nouvelle monnaie internationale?, Telos online forum, March 28, What are Switzerland s vulnerabilities?, Vox, March 12, La Suisse épargnée par la crise?, AGEFI newspaper, March 6, 2009 Bras de fer USA UBS, nouvel épisode, Toutes Taxes Comprises show, télévision Suisse Romande, March 2, Le trésor américain dépassé par les évènements?, Telos online forum, February 23, Une politique économique américaine trop timide?, AGEFI newspaper, February 17, 2009 Politique économique et crise financière : une nouvelle donne?, AGEFI newspaper, January 22, 2009 Plan de relance : les options d Obama, Toutes Taxes Comprises show, télévision Suisse Romande, January 12, Etats-Unis : quelles stratégies pour la relance fiscale?, AGEFI newspaper, January 12, 2009 Les banques centrales à cour de munitions?, AGEFI newspaper, December 2, 2008 La BNS fait-elle un cadeau à UBS?, Le Temps newspaper, October 22,

7 Trois fleurons de l'économie suisse en péril, Toutes Taxes Comprises show, télévision Suisse Romande, October 20, Faut-il s arrêter au renflouage du système financier?, AGEFI newspaper, October 20, 2008 Trois économistes examinent une crise que l'on n'avait pas prévue, Le Temps newspaper, October 16, 2008 How do capital gains affect long run-current accounts?, Vox, October 11, Crise de liquidité ou de solvabilité?, Telos online forum, October 8, 2008 / Le Temps newspaper October 9, Wall Street : que fait le gouvernement?, Telos online forum, September 21, Financial globalisation: the surge in the value of international assets and liabilities, interview to Vox blog. La fin des géants financiers?, AGEFI newspaper, September 18, 2008 La Fed s'est vu forcer la main, Le Temps newspaper, September 18, 2008 Rêve américain : plus dur est le réveil, Telos online forum, September 16, Rêve américain ou cauchemar du contribuable?, AGEFI newspaper, August 21, 2008 Financial factors and the current account: Is volatility a concern?, Vox, August 21, La Suisse face à la récession U.S.: un lien inhabituel, AGEFI newspaper, July, 2008 Le taux de change des émergents : fixe ou flottant?, Telos online forum, July 8, En pleine crise, UBS fait un achat, Le Matin newspaper, June 25, 2008 Stabilisation du taux de change: un carcan pour les pays émergents?, AGEFI newspaper, June 10,

8 Quelle réponse des autorités aux difficultés des banques? AGEFI newspaper, May 8, 2008 UBS: quelles conséquences pour les clients?, Le Matin newspaper, April 2, questions à Cédric Tille, AGEFI newspaper, March 28, Conferences and presentations Conferences and lectures 2009 Evolution of policy making in the crisis, panel the end of capitalism?, 8 th International Security Forum, Geneva, May 18, The Current Crisis and Financial Institutions, lecture at the Globalisation, Security and Humanitarian Policy program, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, May 12. CEPR Conference on International Macroeconomics and Finance, Brussels, February 13-14, discussant. Allied Social Science Association annual meeting, San Francisco, January, presenter (2) and discussant CEPR Banque de France conference on International Macroeconomics and Finance (VIIth Journées of the Fondation Banque de France), Paris, December 5-6, discussant. BIS workshop on Research on global financial stability: the use of BIS international financial statistics, Basel, December 4, discussant. IMF-Swiss National Bank conference on Exchange Rates, Zürich, November 24-25, The 2007-? Crisis: What happened, and what should we do about it?, Presentation to the Young Presidents Organization, Geneva, November 18. Crisis in Financial Markets: What Role for Policy Makers?, Public lecture, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva, September 30. CEPR-Swiss National Bank conference on Foreign Currency Related Risk Taking by Financial Institutions, Firms, and Households, Zürich, September 22-23, discussant. European Economic Association annual meeting, Milano, August 27-31, Society for Economic Dynamics annual meeting, Boston, July 10-12, La montée de la globalization financière: opportunités et défis, presentation to the Chambre Vaudoise du Commerce et de l Industrie, Lausanne, July 2. Financial globalization: What is it and why does it matter?, lecture at the Summer Programme on International Affairs and Multilateral Governance, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, July 1. 8

9 Conference on the Impact of Global Financial Imbalances, Banca Monte dei Paschi, Sienna, June 27-28, Fifth conference of the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy, European Central Bank, Frankfurt, June 26-27, discussant. Financial Globalization: Patterns, Opportunities and Challenges, presentation to the HEID Alumni chapter, Washington D.C., June 18. Workshop on International Risk Sharing and Portfolio Diversification, European University Institute, Firenze, June 13, co-organizer and Europe and Financial Globalization, Norface Programme, Trinity College, Dublin, June 11-12, discussant. The New International Monetary System, conference in honor of Alexander Swoboda, Graduate Institute, Geneva, May 29,, The Changing Nature of Financial Integration, lecture at the Workshop on Globalization, Security and Humanitarian Policy, Geneva Center for Security Policy, May 14. CEPR third Annual Conference on the Macroeconomics of Global Interdependence, Barcelona, March 28-29, NBER International Finance and Macroeconomics Program Meeting, Cambridge, March 21, discussant. Allied Social Science Association annual meeting, New-Orléans, January, presenter and discussant Trade or Financial Linkages? The changing nature of international integration, Public lecture, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva, December 13. CEPR Conference on International Adjustment, Brussels, November 9-10, discussant. Brookings Institution trade forum: Foreign Direct Investment, Washington DC, May 11, discussant. NBER International Finance and Macroeconomics Program Meeting, Cambridge, March 23, co-author of CEPR Second Annual Conference on the Macroeconomics of Global Interdependence, Dublin, March 2, Economic Policy panel meeting, New York, February 12, discussant National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting, Boston, September, European Economic Association annual meeting, Vienna, August, Financial Globalisation and Integration conference, European Central Bank, Frankfurt, July, presenter and discussant. Society for Economic Dynamics annual meeting, Vancouver, July, The Euro and the Dollar in a Globalized Economy conference, University of California Santa Cruz, May, Current account sustainability in major advanced economies conference, University of Wisconsin Madison, April, 9

10 First Annual Workshop on the Macroeconomics of Global Interdependence conference, Gerzensee, March, 2005 Capital Market Integration and Regional Integration in Asia conference, Graduate Institute for International Studies (HEI), December, discussant. External imbalances and adjustment in the Pacific basin conference, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, September, discussant. European Economic Association annual meeting, Amsterdam, August, NBER Summer Institute Meeting, International Finance and Macroeconomics Program, Cambridge, July, discussant. Society for Economic Dynamics annual meeting, Budapest, June, Inflation, Interest Rates and Relative Prices conference, European University Institute Northwestern University conference, Firenze, June, Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, Washington DC, April, NBER International Trade and Investment Program Meeting, Cambridge, April, NBER International Finance and Macroeconomics Program Meeting, Cambridge, March, Allied Social Science Association annual meeting, Philadelphia, January, discussant Financial Globalization: Causes and Consequences conference, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, December, discussant. New policy thinking in macroeconomics conference, Council of Foreign Relations, New York, November, discussant. NBER Summer Institute Meeting, International Finance and Macroeconomics Program, Cambridge, July, Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, San Francisco, April, discussant. The external dimension of the euro area: trade, capital flows and international macroeconomic linkages conference, European Central Bank, Frankfurt, March, discussant New York State Economics Association Annual Meetings, New York, October, discussant. Exchange Rate, Prices and the International Transmission Mechanism conference, Bank of Italy, Rome, June, discussant. Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, Washington D.C., April, discussant. 10

11 NBER International Finance and Macroeconomics Program Meeting, Cambridge, March, Allied Social Science Association annual meeting, Washington D.C., January, presenter and session chair CEPR Analysis of International Capital Markets Research Training Network conference, Dublin, Ireland, December, discussant. Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, Baltimore, October, discussant. Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association annual meeting, Madrid, October, International Research Forum on Monetary Policy conference, European Central Bank, Frankfurt, July, discussant. Society for Economic Dynamics annual meeting, New York, June, Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, New York April, 2001 European Economic Association annual meeting, Lausanne, August, Workshop on International Economics, Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), Bern, June, Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, Washington D.C., April, discussant. Allied Social Science Association annual meeting, New Orleans, January, 2000 Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, Philadelphia October, Western Economic Association annual meeting, Vancouver, Canada, July, presenter and discussant (2). NBER International Finance and Macroeconomics Program Meeting, Cambridge, March, 1999 Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Central Banking Seminar, New York, October, NBER International Finance and Macroeconomics Program Meeting, Cambridge, March, discussant. NBER conference on Analytical Models of Currency Crises, Cambridge, February, coauthor of 11

12 1998 Federal Reserve System Committee on International Economic Analysis, Boston November , Perspectives on the Financial Crisis in Asia conference, Journal of International Money and Finance, Fordham University October 16, 1998 co-author of Seminars Central European University, Budapest; Bank of England; London Business School; Paris School of Economics; European Central Bank; University of Bern; Bilkent University; Bocconi University; University of Zürich; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve; Federal Reserve Bank of New York; International Monetary Fund; Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance, Rome; European University Institute, Florence; Bank of Canada; Wharton Business School University of Pennsylvania; Georgetown University; University of Connecticut; Graduate Institute of International Economics, Geneva; Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond; Bank for International Settlements; Swiss National Bank; University of Tuebingen; University of Geneva; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas; Cornell University; City University of New York; Yale University; Bank of England; London School of Economics; Queens University, Belfast; University of Paris I; New York University; University of Lausanne; Université du Québec à Montréal; University of Munich; European Central Bank; University of Tilburg; Rutgers University; University of Pennsylvania; ECARE, University of Brussels; Bocconi University; INSEAD. Refereeing and affiliations Referee work American Economic Review, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Journal of Political Economy, Econometrica, Review of Economic Studies, Journal of the European Economic Association, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, European Economic Review, Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Review of Economic Dynamics, Economic Journal, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies,Review of International Economics, International Economic Review, Economic Policy Review (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), International Journal of Central Banking, Economic Inquiry, International Economic Journal, International Review of Economics and Finance, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Journal of Macroeconomics, B.E. Journal in Macroeconomics, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Current Issues in Economics and Finance (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), Oxford Economic Papers, Ricerche Economiche, Recherches Economiques de Louvain, Swiss National Bank, Economic Studies, Bank of England Working Papers. National Science Foundation, Routledge editors, Swiss National Science Foundation. 12

13 Affiliations Center for Economic Policy Research American Economic Association European Economic Association Fellowships and prizes Swiss National Fund for Scientific Research, September August 1998 Princeton University Fellowship, September June 1997 University of Lausanne Fellowship, September June 1995 Georges Paillard Fellowship, Lausanne, September June 1994 Academic Society of the State of Vaud Fellowship, Lausanne, September June 1994 Prize of the Business and Industry Association of the State of Vaud, Lausanne, 1993 Prize of 'Confederal Solidarity', Lausanne, 1992 Prize Gustave-Louis Chapuis, Lausanne, 1991 Prize of the Business and Economics School Alumni Association, Lausanne,

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