Multiconsult. Solrevolusjonen er i gang! Klimaseminaret /09/ Trondheim. Stanislas Merlet Solar Energy Consultant. multiconsult.

Transcription

1 Multiconsult Solrevolusjonen er i gang! Klimaseminaret /09/ Trondheim Stanislas Merlet Solar Energy Consultant Source: Snøhetta

2 Agenda 1. The Solar Revolution is underway 2. Solar Power in Norway? Yes! 2

3 Source: IPCC 3

4 Climate change is a reality Winter. You ll miss it when it s gone. Source: Greenpeace 4

5 The age of fossil fuels is over Source: Rocky Mountain Institute 5

6 Renewables Source: Pelamis Source: Statkraft Source: Vestas Source: Scatec Solar 6

7 Solar Power - quick facts about technology Photovoltaic effect: Edmond Becquerel, 1839 Semiconducting materials: mostly silicon Produces DC electricity: DC/AC inverter Source: energythics 7

8 Solar Power Produce clean energy, from a free and abundant source Reliable, operation and maintenance almost negligible Decentralized, easy, flexible and extensible Long lifetime: estimated 100 years (warranty 25 years) Costs on a fast reducing track 8

9 jan.09 apr.09 jul.09 okt.09 jan.10 apr.10 jul.10 okt.10 jan.11 apr.11 jul.11 okt.11 jan.12 apr.12 jul.12 okt.12 jan.13 apr.13 jul.13 okt.13 jan.14 apr.14 jul.14 System cost (Germany, 100 kwp, in /kwp) Costs on a fast reducing track % during the last 4 years Trend: - 10 % / year Source: photovoltaik-guide.de 9

10 Solar PV to generate electricity below cost of fossil fuels by 2030 Source: Fraunhofer LCOE Renewable Energy Technologies November

11 Future: battery storage? Source: SMA 11

12 Future: battery storage? Source: SMA 12

13 Global PV cumulative capacity GW Energy source with the fastest growth Installed capacity x 10 in 5 years (123 GW) Trend: more than 180 GW in the next 5 years (low scenario) Source: EPIA Global Market Outlook

14 Net power generation capacities added in the EU in 2013 MW First time in history: 5 top sources are renewables Source: EPIA Global Market Outlook

15 Direct and Indirect Jobs Solar PV: 2,3 million jobs ( between 2012 and 2013) Source: REN Global Status Report 15

16 Many different competences Politician Solar Systems Engineer Power Engineer Urbanist Landscape Architect Ecology Engineer Researcher Energy Efficiency Engineer Architect Economist Physicist Material Engineer Geologist

17 Geographical distribution Biggest PV market in the world! Why not there? Source: dir.de 17

18 Preconceptions «There is not enough sun in Norway!» FALSE! - South Norway: kwh/kwp.yr -> same as North Germany - North Norway: 700 kwh/kwp.yr - Low temperatures -> better yield Source: PVGIS 18

19 Preconceptions «Yeah Ok But what about the snow?» - Only in winter months, the days are short anyway - Better albedo (reflection) Source: Stanislas Merlet 19

20 Preconceptions «Ok. But the electricity is very cheap here. How can it be economically profitable?» - Different drivers: energy efficiency in buildings Source: ucl.ac.uk 20

21 Drivers Energy efficiency in buildings - Energy label - TEK (10, 15, 20, ) - BREEAM Nor - Zero-energy and positive-energy buildings 21

22 Drivers - ZEB Source: ZEB 22

23 Is it happening in Norway? 23

24 Powerhouse Kjørbo Source: Multiconsult 312 kwp 2013

25 Høyskolen i Hedmark - Evenstad Source: Multiconsult 70 kwp 2013

26 Økern sykehjem Source: FUSen 130 kwp 2014

27 ASKO Vestby Source: FUSen 370 kwp 2014

28 Powerhouse 1 Brattørkaia Source: Snøhetta 600 kwp 2015?

29 Solar Power: 2014 in Norway 120 kwp connected in kwp connected in >Multiplication by 10!!! Record of the biggest plant beaten several times

30 Multiconsult and Solar Power Building the Norwegian Market - Projects: Powerhouse 1 Evenstad Økern sykehjem Asko Vestby - Partners: Solenergiforeningen Solenergiklyngen ZEB Forskningsrådet Source: Multiconsult

31 Multiconsult and Solar Power But not only! - Projects in: Sweden Poland Africa Asia Agreement with Ingeniører Uten Grenser - Project in Paraguay with 2 NTNU students Supervision of several Master thesis about Solar Energy

32 More information:

33 Thank you for your attention.

34 Stanislas Merlet Solar Energy Consultant Multiconsult Oslo

35 Extra slides

36 Is it really green? Source: REC 36

37 kr/kwh 3,25 3 2,75 Energikostnad (LCOE) for PV-anlegg i Norge ved ulike prisscenarier Dagens norske prisnivå Dagens tyske prisnivå Estimert tysk prisnivå i 2020 Konkurransedyktig innen rekkevidde 2,5 Tromsø Bergen 2,25 2 *Alle komponentpriser for enebolig er inkl. MVA Trondheim Oslo 1,75 1,5 1,25 Kristiansand Tromsø Bergen Trondheim Oslo Kristiansand 1 0,75 snivå strømpris til sluttbrukere inkl. nettleie og avgifter 0,5 Tromsø Bergen Trondheim Oslo Kristiansand 0,25 0 Enebolig (7kWp) Næringsbygg (100 kwp) Bakkemontert (1000 kwp) Enebolig (7kWp) Næringsbygg (100 kwp) Bakkemontert (1000 kwp) Enebolig (7 kwp) Næringsbygg (100 kwp) Bakkemontert (1000 kwp) 37 Dagens norske prisnivå Dagens tyske prisnivå Estimert tysk prisnivå i 2020