# MONEY MANAGEMENT. Guy Bower delves into a topic every trader should endeavour to master - money management.

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3 FIGURE 2 \$3,000,000 \$2,0,000 \$2,000,000 \$1,0,000 \$1,000,000 Peter Paul Mary \$0,000 \$ Trades FIGURE 3 SYSTEM A SYSTEM B = 4 Total Trades 20 Total Trades 20 % ners % % ners 80% % rs 40% % rs 20% Profit/Loss \$105 Profit/Loss -\$135 Mathematical Expectation +\$12. Mathematical Expectation -\$6. just less than \$685,000 a return of 585 per cent! Not too bad. Paul, on the other hand, has just over \$1,900,000 - a return of over 1,800 per cent! It is very interesting to note that for such seemingly small changes in bet size, the optimal fraction showed a return of more than three times the others. Another interesting point about Peter (10%) and Mary s (40%) results are that drawdowns for the 40 per cent allocation are up to six times that of the 10 per cent allocation. So you make the same amount of money for six times the worry! In other words, it is clearly better to err on the lower side of the Option f figure. Now ask yourself this question. If you were presented with this game (the 2:1 coin toss), and you wanted to make the most money, what would be your approach? What if you decided to be very aggressive and bet, say, 55 per cent of your stake on each toss? You would go broke with a probability that approaches 100 per cent the more you play. In the -toss example, you would end up with a loss of per cent! That is a loss of per cent from a game that has such advantageous odds. I hope these figures will convince you that there is something to this money management stuff. 14

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