AN APPLICATION OF THE INDIVIDUAL TRAVEL COST METHOD TO NYANGA NATIONAL PARK, ZIMBABWE. Researchjournali s Journal of Economics

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "AN APPLICATION OF THE INDIVIDUAL TRAVEL COST METHOD TO NYANGA NATIONAL PARK, ZIMBABWE. Researchjournali s Journal of Economics"

Transcription

1 1 AN APPLICATION OF THE INDIVIDUAL TRAVEL COST METHOD TO NYANGA NATIONAL PARK, ZIMBABWE Manzote Emiriya Lecturers at Midlands State University, Faculty of Commerce, Department of Economics, Private Bag 9055, Gweru, Zimbabwe Mandishekwa Robson Lecturers at Midlands State University, Faculty of Commerce, Department of Economics, Private Bag 9055, Gweru, Zimbabwe Esnath N Tavengwa Gombarago Lecturers at Midlands State University, Faculty of Commerce, Department of Economics, Private Bag 9055, Gweru, Zimbabwe Reviewed by Jaison Chireshe Research, Monitoring and Evaluation Officer GOAL Ireland, Zimbabwe

2 2 Abstract This study aimed at finding the monetary value that people attach on Nyanga National Park (NNP) using the individual travel cost method (ITCM). It also intended to find factors that influence individuals to visit NNP. From the findings we discovered that NNP is highly valued as indicated by a consumer surplus of US$ per year or US$ per average visitor. We also found out that substitute sites, travel costs and income influence an individual to visit NNP. Substitute sites and travel costs have a negative influence on an individual s visit to NNP and this conforms to what theory says. An individual s income has a negative impact on visits to NNP, we concluded that maybe people use their income mostly for consumption purposes and treat visits to NNP as inferior. From these findings, we recommended the NNP management committee to take great care of NNP since sustainable management of wildlife resources could provide very significant and much needed revenue for the country. We also recommended the NNP management committee to to take into consideration the quality of the site if its goal of being a superior site in the local, regional and international arena is to be attained. Keywords: Value, Individual Travel Cost Method, Nyanga National Park, Zimbabwe 1. Background of the study The study uses the individual travel cost method (ITCM) to find the monetary value that people attach on Nyanga National Park (NNP). The knowledge that will be obtained among tourists is of great value in planning investments and pricing in the tourism sector. The protection of biodiversity and national heritage is of great importance since it yields meaningful benefits to people (Dixon and Sherman, 1990). Natural resources such as ecological and environmental services are difficult to market yet they are beneficial to society. Among the approaches used in the evaluation of non-market environmental goods are the travel cost method (TCM) and the contingent valuation method (CVM) which were both pioneered in the USA (Chase, Lee, Schulze, and Anderson, 1998). We chose the TCM to find the monetary value that people place on NNP. NNP was established under the Parks and Wildlife Management Authority Amendment Act (1976) ( The act confers the park the mandate to conserve, manage and control the flora and fauna within the park. 1.1 Statement to the problem The study was motivated by the difficulties in ascribing economic values to public goods such as national parks yet rational and informed decision making requires among other things, a consideration of economic costs and benefits of environmental improvements. The policy makers ascribe a value using price as a

3 3 standard measure of value which determines whether it is worthwhile to continue its provision or divert its resources to some alternative uses. Zimbabwe has eleven National Parks and few parks have been valued by economic means. This study seeks to establish a monetary value for NNP thereby filling a gap in the field of economic valuation in Zimbabwe by applying the individual travel cost method (ITCM). Furthermore, the assignment of monetary value to NNP will demonstrate the intuitive appreciation for the environment based on the visitors preferences. 1.2 Study objectives The major objective of this study is to measure the value of NNP by assigning a monetary value using the ITCM. Other sub-objectives are: To find the determinants of visitation rates to NNP To provide recommendations to policymakers basing on the results obtained in the study. 1.3 Hypothesis to be tested In this study we hypothesize that there is no relationship between total visits and travel costs. 1.4 Organisation of the rest of the paper The rest of the study is organized as follows: section two reviews literature on the economic valuation of nonmarketed environmental goods, the third section covers the methodology; the fourth part presents the regression results, their explanation as well as the value placed on NNP. The last section presents concluding remarks. 2. Literature Review 2.1 Theoretical Literature Review Prices are the basis for resource allocation among competing uses and are the standard measure of value for some privately traded goods. Mitchel and Carsons (1989) argue that public goods fail to reveal the values of the commodities in question. Values for public goods are necessary for comparing alternative government programmes that provide goods to improve efficiency and have a balance in the production of other goods. Value refers to the price individuals are willing to pay in order to obtain a good. The basic economic concepts of demand and supply are employed to estimate the willingness to pay. Willig (1995) defines economic value as a measure of the maximum amount an individual is willing to forgo in other goods and services in order to obtain some good. He adds that economic valuation is established by applying welfare

4 4 economics concepts of producer and consumer surplus to issues involving natural resources and state of the environment. The basic idea of economic valuation was discovered by Dupoit (1844) as cited in Dorfman and Nancy (1972) who estimated the economical amount spend on proposed bridges. Dupoit (1844) reasoned that the maximum economical amount for any bridge is just the greatest amount that users of the bridge would be willing to pay to have it in place, and this is equal graphically to the area under the demand curve. He stated that this area is usually called the consumer surplus. Pearce and Turner (1990) argue that the TCM uses the complementary relationship between quality of a natural resource and its recreational value. The recreational demand function is modeled using visitation rates and travel costs. Perman, Ma, MacGilvray and Common (1996) add that a common method of imputing the values associated with non-marketed recreational facilities has been through the use of observed travel costs. This technique is finding application in developing countries in the estimation of the value of game reserves and tourism developments. The idea of the TCM is attributed to Hotelling (1947), who noted that TCM is one of the frequently used approaches to estimating user benefits of recreational sites. He wrote a letter to the director of US national park services in which he suggested that the costs incurred by visitors could be used to develop a measure of a recreational value of the site visited ( This was subsequently developed by Clawson and Knetsch (1966) basing on the idea that visitors to outdoor recreational sites usually incur costs in terms of time and money in traveling to such sites. Knowledge of this expenditure can be used to infer values placed by visitors on an environmental amenity from costs incurred traveling to a particular site. The method imputes the price-quantity reactions of consumers by examining their actual current spending behavior. Since its original inception by Hotelling (1947), uses of the TCM is now the most widely applied revealed preference approach to valuing recreational sites. TCM falls into the general category of neo-classical welfare economics which assumes that individuals maximize their utility subject to certain constraints. The technique relates the total costs to the number of visits made by each visitor to the site. By extending this across a sample survey of a number of visitors, we come up with the visitor s demand curve. According to Perman et al (1996), the underlying assumption of the TCM is that, the costs incurred visiting a site in someway reflect the recreational value of that site. Costs of visit comprise travel costs and admission price. Visitors treat travel costs and admission fee as equivalent elements of the total visit. Questionnaires are used to ask visitors their places of origin. From visitors response, we can estimate their travel costs and relate this to the number of visits per year. This relationship shows a typical downward sloping demand curve. Statistical techniques can estimate the demand curve for the site, that is, the relationship between the price of

5 5 a visit to the site (travel costs) and the number of visits made. The demand curve is then used to obtain the total number of visits made to the site per year to get an estimate of the annual recreation value for the site. The basic principle of the TCM is that although the actual value of recreational experience does not have a price tag, the costs incurred traveling to the site can be used as a surrogate price ( According to Perman et al (1996) total visits to the park are determined by a trip generation function of the form V f c, x ) where V i are the visits from individual i, c i are the costs incurred by individual i and x i i ( i i are other explanatory variables. Using this trip generation function, TCM can be used to estimate the economic benefits resulting from changes in access costs for a recreational site, elimination of an existing recreational site, addition of a new recreational site and changes in the environmental quality. Perman et al (1996) argue that the area surrounding a site is divided into concentric zones of increasing distance. A survey of users conducted at the site determines the zone of origin, visitation rates and various socio-economic characteristics. Users close to the site would be expected to make more trips because the implicit price as measured by travel costs, is lower than for more distance users. Analysis of questionnaires enables a demand curve to be constructed basing on the willingness to pay for entry into sites, costs of getting to the site and forgone earning or opportunity cost of time spent and the associated consumer surplus can be determined. The estimates represent the value of the environment resource in question. As cited in Perman et al (1996), there is the Zonal Travel Cost Method (ZTCM) and the Individual Travel Cost Method (ITCM). The ZTCM uses mostly secondary data with some simple data collected from visitors. It makes use of the whole area from which visitors originate into a set of visitor zones and then defines the dependent variable as the visitor rate which is the number of visits made from a particular zone. The ZTCM uses zonal averages for costs assuming that the cost per individual per trip is the same for all individuals from a given zone. The ITCM uses a more detailed survey of visitors. It uses survey data from individual visitors in the statistical analysis, rather than data from each zone. The method differs from the zonal in that the zones assume that the cost per individual per trip is the same for all individuals from a given zone while the individual travel cost allows the costs to vary across individuals. Using the survey data, the researcher estimates the relationship between number of visits and travel costs and other relevant variables in a way similar to the zonal model. The regression model gives the demand function for the average visitor to the site and the area below this demand curve gives the consumer surplus. We thus use this approach in this study.

6 6 Derivation of the demand curve and calculation of the consumer surplus can be done basing on the step by step summary of the Clawson-Knetsch (1966) method of estimating recreational demand (Myrik and Freeman111) as cited in Bateman and Turner (1993). The first step defines the set of zones surrounding the site. These may be defined by concentric circles around the site, or by geographical divisions surrounding the site. The second step is to form a sample of visitors at the recreational site from each zone. Then calculate the visitation rates per thousand populations for each zone. This is simply the total visits made per year from the zone, divided by the number of zones population in thousands. The fourth step is to calculate the average round trip travel distance and travel time to the site for each zone, that is, construct a travel cost measure that reflects the round trip cost of travel from the zone of origin to the recreational site. Then collect relevant socio-economic data such as income and educational data from each distance zone. The next step is to estimate, using the regression analysis, the equation that relates visits per capita to travel costs and other important variables, that is, use regression analysis to determine the relationship between visitation rates and per unit travel cost (costs per unit).then locate one point on the demand curve by using observed total number of visits to the site from all travel cost zones as the quantity variable and the total costs for the price variable. The other points on the demand curve are found by using the estimated equation that relates visitation rates to per unit travel costs, assuming that individuals respond to a $1 increase in the entry fee in exactly the same way as they would to a $1 increase in per unit travel costs. That is find the various visitation rates and total number of visits that corresponds to a series of hypothetical increases in the entry fee added to existing travel costs. The series for entry fee visitation rate pairs plots out the demand for recreational use for the resource. This produces a demand curve which shows the overall trend between the total costs and the visits rates for all the visitors interviewed. Using this information, a demand curve can be estimated on the average visitor s total recreational value for the site. Multiplying this by the total number of visitors per annum allows the estimation of the total annual recreational value of the site itself. 2.2 Empirical Literature Review Several studies have been carried out using the TCM so as to find the value attached to the environmental goods. Most of them used variables such as travel costs, income, travel time, age, substitute sites, distance traveled and country of origin. Kaliampakos and Damigos (1999) carried out a study in Greece. Their aim was to put a monetary value on an abandoned quarry site located in Athens Greece. Variables adopted were travel cost, income, substitute sites, occupation and age. They found out that travel cost, income, substitute sites and occupation are negatively related to the number of visitation rates. They found their consumer surplus as to be between Grid (GRD) and using the Monte Carlo Percentiles.

7 7 Lamtakul and Fischer (2004) used the TCM to estimate the economic value of three different parks in Saga City, Japan. They wanted to assess how visitors value Saga Castle Park, Kono Park and Shrin Park. The study used travel costs, time cost, income and age as their important variables. The results showed that on all the three sites, travel cost, income, travel time and age were positively related to the number of visits made to the parks. The estimated consumer surplus for Castle Park was $11, 35; Kono Park was $230,972 and $242,107 for Shrin Park. Navrud and Mungatana (1994) carried out a study in Kenya. They wanted to find the recreational value of wildlife viewing in Lake Nakuru National Park (LNNP). They used both the TCM and CVM. They distinguished between residents and non-residents to account for the fact that resident visitors were on a single destination trip to LNNP. For non-residents they used variables such as travel costs, income, age, sex and education. They found a negative relationship between visits and travel costs. For all the other variables they found a positive relationship with visits to LNNP. For Kenyan residents they found a negative relationship on travel costs, age and sex with visits and a positive relationship on the other variables with visits. The authors found out that the annual recreational value of wildlife viewing in LNNP was between 7.5 and 15 million United States Dollars. Garrod and Willis (1992) wanted to establish the monetary value of a visit to public forest managed for the nation in UK. Variables used in this study are visits made to the area per year, travel cost from area i to forest j, time cost from area i to forest j, substitute sites and income. Travel time, travel cost and substitute sites were negatively related to the number of visits. Income had a positive coefficient. The study produced the average net benefit per person of 2.00 pounds ranging across the fifteen clusters of forests from 1.34 pounds to 3.31 pounds. This gave $53 million as total consumer surplus. Smith, (1993) carried out a research in Water Quality Benefits for 21 water based sites in USA. They used travel cost and income as their explanatory variables. A regression analysis was carried out using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. They found out that twelve of the sites had a negative coefficient for income and nine had a positive coefficient. Of all the twenty one sites, they produced a negative relationship between travel cost and visitation rate. Using the Marshallian Consumer Surplus, the study found out that $5.87 to $54.20 per trip were for Corps sites. The estimate for Monongahela sites had a consumer surplus of between $0.98 and per trip.

8 8 3. Methodology 3.1 Model Specification The model developed by the researchers was adopted from the empirical works of Kaliampakos et al (1999), used in the valuation of abandoned quarry sites in Athens, Greece as stated in the empirical literature. The model adopted is of the following form: V ij 0 1TCij 2Yi 3 Where: i = individual j = the park V ij TC ij Y i S i S i i = number of visits made per year by individual (i) to site (j) = travel costs incurred by individual (i) to site (j) = income of individual (i) = substitute site to individual (i) and is a dummy variable taking values of 1 if individual visits another site and zero if he visits NNP only μ i = the error term β 0, β 1.., β 3 are regression coefficients which measure the changes in the number of visits as a result of a unit change in the explanatory variable, other things remaining constant. The econometric modeling makes use of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). The model in this case allows for plotting the travel costs against the number of visits (V) made within a year to the site. We adopted the Clawson-Knetsch (1966) Method of Estimating Recreational Demand Curve. 3.2 Data sources, instruments and collection methods The data for this study is from primary sources. Primary data is up to date. We used questionnaires as the main instrument for sourcing data from the targeted respondents. The respondents were asked to complete the questionnaires and return them to the researcher. The questionnaire was the preferred method because it permitted a wider coverage. Appointments were made to other individual visitors and an interview guide was sent in advance to the respondents to give them ample time to prepare for the interview. We used in-person interviews. This technique has the advantage that it explains fully parts of the survey to respondents and also verifies results (Shultz, Pinazzo and Cifuentesl, 1998) Personal surveys also enable one to get a greater response rate than other techniques such as s and telephone interviews. Although the method is time consuming and therefore labour intensive, we were able to elicit responses to the questions.

9 9 We chose our sample randomly and individual visitors were regarded as respondents for the interview. We defined our respondents as those who use NNP for recreational purposes and therefore, concentrated on people between the ages of twenty and sixty. Interviews were conducted between 10am and 6pm on weekdays and weekends. Tourists were approached at random and after a brief introduction and once participation has been secured, respondents were asked to answer the questionnaire. We ended up with a sample of 70 respondents. Visitors were asked their place of origin, the frequency with which they visit the site and other socio-economic factors such as income, age and level of education. These were interviewed in the park enjoying recreational benefits as they refused to be interrupted at the gate. The survey was undertaken from 20 to 28 June 2011 with the aid of some colleagues. Some of the visitors had more than one visit in the last twelve months and it was easy to find a way of coming up with a dependent variable which is not a dummy, so that a relationship could be produced. We calculated the travel time cost using 75% of the visitors income. The zonal population was difficult to collect and this was one of our major constraints. We therefore estimated the population basing on the 1992 population census Provincial Profile which we got from ( ). All the monetary values are in US$. 4. Results And Interpretation 4.1 Presentation of Results To estimate the parameters of the demand function, a regression of the dependent variable V ij on the linear function of the other explanatory variables was run using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS).The regression results are summarized in the table below. Variable Coefficient Std. Error t- statistic Probability Constant Travel Cost Income Substitutes Table 4.1: Regression Results R- Squared = Adjusted R- squared = Durban Watson = 1.61 F- Statistic = Probability (F- statistic) =

10 10 The estimated equation of the linear functional form is: V TC Y S ij ij i i The R 2 of the model is 0.80 indicating a good fit of the model. It explains that about 80 percent of variations in the dependent variable of visits to the site are explained by the variations of the explanatory variables in the model. The adjusted R 2 of 0.79 shows that, about 79 % of variations in visitation rate, is explained by the explanatory variables, taking into account the degrees of freedom. The remaining 21 % is explained by other variables captured by the error term. The F- statistic of shows that the whole model is significant since it is greater than five. The model shows a probability F-statistic of which shows that there is a zero probability of rejecting the model. The constant of has a positive sign. It is statistically significant reinforcing the fact that the demand for visits to the site is just a normal good. The three parameters of the model are statistically significant by simply inferring to the rule of thumb that the t-statistic should be greater than two. The travel cost has a negative co-efficient of This illustrates the negative relationship between trip costs and the number of visits. This is consistent with theory. This negative relationship is responsible for the negative slope of the demand curve implying that the demand for visits to the site is a normal good. This finding is consistent with the empirical works of most researchers discussed in section two such as Garrod et al (1992) in the valuation of a forest carried out in the UK. According to the law of demand, the price of a good influences the demand for a commodity, thus travel costs act as a proxy of price which influences the number of visits to the site. A 1% increase in the travel costs reduces the visitation rate by about 0.46 percent. We would expect a positive relationship between the financial ability to pay and the demand for a product. In most cases, there is a positive relationship between income and product demand, that is, as income rises, the demand for products tends to rise. We obtained a negative relationship between income and the number of visits to the site. Any one percent increase in income reduces visitation rates by about 6.3 percent. This could be because visitors might now prefer better quality products. Products that are characterized by such a relationship are referred to as giffen goods. Thus, the negative coefficient of income implies that a visit to the site is inferior because as the income rises, a smaller proportion is spent to make visits to the site. This might also be due to the fact that an increase in income results in visitors saving more of their income on consumption rather than on leisure. Thus, visitors trips can be explained by other additional income and not the net income. This negative relationship is consistent with the works of Kaliampakos and Damigos (1999)

11 11 who had a negative relationship between income and the number of visits to the site as discussed in section two. A negative coefficient of exists between the number of visits and the existence of substitute sites. This confirms theory that the existence of substitute sites depresses the demand for the good in question. The coefficient of this dummy variable shows the extent to which the behavior of the category taking values of 1 deviate from the base value of zero. According to Perman et al (1996), another way in which goods might be related is for them to have similar uses, that is, they can be substituted for one another. Substitutes sites are related in a way that an increase in consumption of one site, holding consumer satisfaction level and quantity consumed constant, decreases the marginal rate of substitution of the other site. If the entry fee of a substitute site increases or there is deterioration in quality of the site, visitors will turn away from the now relatively higher priced and poor quality site. The negative coefficient of substitute sites indicates that the existence of substitute sites is associated with less frequent visits to the particular site. The existence of substitute sites reduces the visitation rates by 1, 67 percent. The negative coefficient of substitute site is consistent with the empirical works of Kaliampakos and Damigos(1999) as discussed earlier on in section two on the valuation of the abandoned quarry site in Athens, Greece. 4.3 Derivation of the Demand Curve Using data collected at the park, we derived the demand curve and estimated the value of the site. The demand curve produced in this study used the Clawson and Knetsch (1996) Method of Estimating Recreational Demand Curve. Plot of the total costs against the number of visits will give the demand curve for the site and the consumer surplus is calculated. we followed is a mixture of steps by Knetsch et al (1966) as cited in the Dorfman et al (1972) and as discussed in section two. The visitation rate is calculated per thousand populations in each zone. This is simply the total visits made from the zone divided by the zone s population. The table below shows the calculations of visits per capita. AREA Distance traveled to the Approximate Travel visits to Visits per capita recreational site in Population the site per year kilometres in (1000) A B C D E Table 4.2 Computation of visits per thousand

12 12 The costs incurred by visitors are aggregated, this is the summation of transport costs, entrance fee and time costs (1/4 of income).the table below illustrates the computation of the total costs for the first two visitors captured at the park and was extended to all the 70 visitors. Visitor Proportion of time cost Trip Time Trip Cost Entrance Fee Transport cost Total trip cost 1 ¼ * ¼ * Table 4.3 Total costs for the visitors In an attempt to make the data and the analysis manageable, average trip costs for each zone from which the identified visitor came from was calculated. The total cost of all visitors from the same zone are summed up together and then divided by the number of visitors in the zone in question. Table 4.4 below shows the computations of the average total cost for Zone A. Visitor Trip Costs Table 4.4 Computation of the Average Total Cost for Zone A Total Trip Costs Average Total Costs The computation of the average total cost is extended to all zones from which the visitors were received. Thus, the table below shows a computation of total costs for all the zones. Area Travel Costs A B 252 C 318 D 443,33 E 481,67 Table 4.5 Travel costs for all zones

13 TOTAL TRAVEL COST Researchjournali s Journal of Economics 13 As cited in the using regression analysis, the number of visits is regressed against the total cost in order to create the visitation rate curve. Plugging the estimated regression equation V *TC Computation of Total Visit for zone A V *TC V *169.6 V Area Travel Costs Total Visits Population A B C D 443, E 481, Table 4.6 Total visits and total costs Using the information in table 4.6 a demand curve can be plotted using total costs as the proxy for price. A plot of total costs against the total visits gives the demand curve for the site as figure 1 below. NYANGA NATIONAL PARK DEMAND CURVE demand curve TOTAL TRAVEL VISITS Figure 1: Derived demand curve for Nyanga National Park The demand curve produced by this model relates to individual annual visits to the cost of these visits and is negatively sloped. This downward sloping demand curve concurred with theoretical literature as argued by

14 14 Pearce et al (1990), thus the researchers have rejected the null hypothesis outlined in the introductory section that there is no relationship between total travel cost and the total visits made. According to Knetsch et al (1966) as cited in Pearce et al (1990), the estimated total economic benefit of the site is derived by calculating the consumer surplus, or the area under the demand curve. It is calculated as the area under the demand curve minus the cost of visit (which is given at each point) and multiplying by the number of visits from that area. The estimate for economic benefits from recreational uses of NNP is US$ per year or US$ per average visitor. 5. Conclusion And Policy Recommendations 5.1 Conclusion The central objective of the study was to obtain a monetary value of NNP using the ITCM. The estimated consumer surplus is $9426, 0576 per year. We also aimed to find what influences individual visitors to come to NNP. We found that travel costs to the site, income of an individual visitor and substitute sites are statistically significant. The researchers accepted the null hypothesis outlined in the introductory section that there is a negative relationship between travel costs and the number of visits made per year. This is consistent with theory discussed in section two. Thus this relationship is responsible for the downward slopping demand curve derived in in the previous section. 5.2 Policy Recommendations The annual value of the park is $ per year. Realizing that this is one of the many parks in Zimbabwe, and that wildlife viewing is becoming an important part of the global trend of increasing ecotourism, this shows that sustainable management of wildlife resources could provide a very significant and much needed revenue source for the country in future. Basing on travel costs and travel visits, visitors are inelastic demand meaning they respond more proportionately to the changes in price, taking price as a proxy for travel costs. Thus, the value of the site is shown by an individual devoting the costs in traveling to the site, so it is wiser for the park to keep the site at its best use in order to attract more visitors. We also recommend the NNP management committee to take into consideration the negative coefficients on income and substitute sites without relying on the visitors willingness to pay. They should take into consideration the quality of the site if its goal of being a superior site in the local, regional and international arena is to be attained. Basing on the research findings, it is evident that the sites quality has deteriorated as shown by the negative relationship between income and substitute sites and the number of visits. This implies that visitors may regard the site as an inferior good and is thus associated with less frequent visits. The

15 15 deterioration in the quality of the park and the existence of alternative sites work hand in hand. We thus recommend the stakeholders to take upgrade the site because they may lose more visitors to other alternative sites. We also recommend that stakeholders such as the Zimbabwe Tourism Authority (ZTA), the Environment 2000, World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) and African Wildlife Foundations (AWF) whose responsibility is to market programmes locally, regionally and internationally should work together as a team for the marketing of NNP and facilitate good management so as to attract more foreigners. If the park is well marketed it can lure a lot of visitors due to its superior activities. 6. References Bateman, I., & Turner, R. (1993). 'Valuation of Environmental goods',. London: Belhaven Press. Chase, L., Lee, D., Schulze, W., & Anderson, D. (1998). 'Ecotourism Demand and Differential Pricing of Nationa Park Access in Costa Rica',. Land Economics, Clawson, M., & Knetsch, J. L. (1966). 'Economics of Outdoor Recreation',. Washington D C: John Hopkins University Press. Dixon, J., & Sherman, p. b. (1990). 'Economics of protected areas: A new look at benefits and costs'. Washington, DC: Island Press. Dorfman, R., & Nancy, C. (1972). 'Economic of the Environment',. W.W Norton and Company, Inc. Garrod, G., & Willis, K. (1992). 'The amenity value of woodland in Great Britain: A comparison of Economic Estimates',. Environmental and Resource Economics, Hotelling, H. (1947). 'The Economics of Public Recreation, An Economic Survey of the Monetary Valuation of Recreation in the National Park',. Washington D C. Kaliampakos, D., & Damigos, D. (1999). 'Using Environmental Economics to Evaluate Quarry Rehabilitation Alternatives'. 60 Conference of Environmental Science and Technology. Samos. Lamtakul, J., & Fischer, A. C. (2004). 'Accessibility and attractiveness for Public Park Utilisation, Case study of Saga, Japan',. International Symposium of Lowland Technology. Thailand. Mitchel, R., & Carsons, R. T. (1989). 'Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method',. New York: Resources for the Future. Navrud, S., & Mungatana, E. D. (1994). 'Environmental Valuation in Developing Countries: The recreational value of wildlife viewing',. Ecological Economics, Pearce, D., & Turner, R. K. (1990). 'Economics of Natural Resources and the Environment'. Harvestor Wheatsheaf.

16 16 Perman, R., Ma, Y., MacGilvray, J., & Common, M. (1996). 'Natural Resource and Environmental Economics',. New York: Longman Publishing. Shultz, S., Pinazzo, J., & Cifuentesl, M. (1998). 'Opportunities and limitations of the contingent valuation surveys to determine national park entrance fees: Evidence from. Environmental and Development Economics, Smith, V. K. (1993). 'Non market valuation of Environmental Resources: An interpretive Appraisal',. Land Economics, Willig, J. T. (1995). 'Auditing for Environmental Quality Leadership',. New York: John Wiley and Sons zimbabwepopulationcensus.org

PUBLIC PARK VALUATION USING TRAVEL COST METHOD

PUBLIC PARK VALUATION USING TRAVEL COST METHOD PUBLIC PARK VALUATION USING TRAVEL COST METHOD Pawinee IAMTRAKUL Doctoral Student Department of Civil Engineering Saga University 1 Honjo, Saga, 840-8502, Japan Phone: +81-952-28-8830 Fax: +81-952-28-8699

More information

The Benefits and Costs of Establishing a National Park in Madagascar 1 COSTS TO LOCAL VILLAGERS

The Benefits and Costs of Establishing a National Park in Madagascar 1 COSTS TO LOCAL VILLAGERS The Benefits and Costs of Establishing a National Park in Madagascar 1 This case study presents the application of the opportunity cost, contingent valuation, and travel cost methods to estimate some of

More information

Finding a Best Conservation Park Entry Fee for Kruger National Park

Finding a Best Conservation Park Entry Fee for Kruger National Park Finding a Best Conservation Park Entry Fee for Kruger National Park Gardner Brown 1 and Johane Dikgang 2 Abstract Whereas most park valuation studies simply value a park our goal is to maximize net revenue.

More information

CHAPTER 13 SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION. Opening Example. Simple Regression. Linear Regression

CHAPTER 13 SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION. Opening Example. Simple Regression. Linear Regression Opening Example CHAPTER 13 SIMPLE LINEAR REGREION SIMPLE LINEAR REGREION! Simple Regression! Linear Regression Simple Regression Definition A regression model is a mathematical equation that descries the

More information

Is the Forward Exchange Rate a Useful Indicator of the Future Exchange Rate?

Is the Forward Exchange Rate a Useful Indicator of the Future Exchange Rate? Is the Forward Exchange Rate a Useful Indicator of the Future Exchange Rate? Emily Polito, Trinity College In the past two decades, there have been many empirical studies both in support of and opposing

More information

Well-being and the value of health

Well-being and the value of health Well-being and the value of health Happiness and Public Policy Conference Bangkok, Thailand 8-9 July 2007 Bernard van den Berg Department of Health Economics & Health Technology Assessment, Institute of

More information

Chapter 5 Estimating Demand Functions

Chapter 5 Estimating Demand Functions Chapter 5 Estimating Demand Functions 1 Why do you need statistics and regression analysis? Ability to read market research papers Analyze your own data in a simple way Assist you in pricing and marketing

More information

Hedonic prices for crude oil

Hedonic prices for crude oil Applied Economics Letters, 2003, 10, 857 861 Hedonic prices for crude oil Z. WANG Department of Economics, Monash University, PO Box 197, Caulfield East, Victoria 3145, Australia Email: Zhongmin.Wang@BusEco.monash.edu.au

More information

Pricing of National Park Visits in Kenya: The Case of Lake Nakuru National Park

Pricing of National Park Visits in Kenya: The Case of Lake Nakuru National Park Pricing of National Park Visits in Kenya: The Case of Lake Nakuru National Park Peter Chacha, Edwin Muchapondwa, Anthony Wambugu and & Daniel Abala ERSA working paper 357 July 2013 Economic Research Southern

More information

The Macrotheme Review A multidisciplinary journal of global macro trends

The Macrotheme Review A multidisciplinary journal of global macro trends The Macrotheme Review A multidisciplinary journal of global macro trends IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON NIGERIA S ECONOMIC GROWTH (1992 2011) Nwaeze Chinweoke* Njoku Ray** and Nwaeze Okeoma Paschal***

More information

A Primer on Forecasting Business Performance

A Primer on Forecasting Business Performance A Primer on Forecasting Business Performance There are two common approaches to forecasting: qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative forecasting methods are important when historical data is not available.

More information

2. Simple Linear Regression

2. Simple Linear Regression Research methods - II 3 2. Simple Linear Regression Simple linear regression is a technique in parametric statistics that is commonly used for analyzing mean response of a variable Y which changes according

More information

Do Currency Unions Affect Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from US FDI Flows into the European Union

Do Currency Unions Affect Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from US FDI Flows into the European Union Economic Issues, Vol. 10, Part 2, 2005 Do Currency Unions Affect Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from US FDI Flows into the European Union Kyriacos Aristotelous 1 ABSTRACT This paper investigates the

More information

Curriculum Map Statistics and Probability Honors (348) Saugus High School Saugus Public Schools 2009-2010

Curriculum Map Statistics and Probability Honors (348) Saugus High School Saugus Public Schools 2009-2010 Curriculum Map Statistics and Probability Honors (348) Saugus High School Saugus Public Schools 2009-2010 Week 1 Week 2 14.0 Students organize and describe distributions of data by using a number of different

More information

Working Paper Series No. 12

Working Paper Series No. 12 Working Paper Series No. 12 Hypothetical, real, and predicted real willingness to pay in open-ended surveys: experimental results Anabela Botelho Lígia Costa Pinto September 2001 Published in Applied Economics

More information

Introduction to Regression and Data Analysis

Introduction to Regression and Data Analysis Statlab Workshop Introduction to Regression and Data Analysis with Dan Campbell and Sherlock Campbell October 28, 2008 I. The basics A. Types of variables Your variables may take several forms, and it

More information

Robichaud K., and Gordon, M. 1

Robichaud K., and Gordon, M. 1 Robichaud K., and Gordon, M. 1 AN ASSESSMENT OF DATA COLLECTION TECHNIQUES FOR HIGHWAY AGENCIES Karen Robichaud, M.Sc.Eng, P.Eng Research Associate University of New Brunswick Fredericton, NB, Canada,

More information

Calculating P-Values. Parkland College. Isela Guerra Parkland College. Recommended Citation

Calculating P-Values. Parkland College. Isela Guerra Parkland College. Recommended Citation Parkland College A with Honors Projects Honors Program 2014 Calculating P-Values Isela Guerra Parkland College Recommended Citation Guerra, Isela, "Calculating P-Values" (2014). A with Honors Projects.

More information

2013 MBA Jump Start Program. Statistics Module Part 3

2013 MBA Jump Start Program. Statistics Module Part 3 2013 MBA Jump Start Program Module 1: Statistics Thomas Gilbert Part 3 Statistics Module Part 3 Hypothesis Testing (Inference) Regressions 2 1 Making an Investment Decision A researcher in your firm just

More information

The Study on the Value of New & Renewable Energy as a Future Alternative Energy Source in Korea

The Study on the Value of New & Renewable Energy as a Future Alternative Energy Source in Korea , pp.26-31 http://dx.doi.org/10.14257/astl.2015.86.06 The Study on the Value of New & Renewable Energy as a Future Alternative Energy Source in Korea Woo-Jin Jung 1, Tae-Hwan Kim 2, and Sang-Ying Tom Lee

More information

Course Objective This course is designed to give you a basic understanding of how to run regressions in SPSS.

Course Objective This course is designed to give you a basic understanding of how to run regressions in SPSS. SPSS Regressions Social Science Research Lab American University, Washington, D.C. Web. www.american.edu/provost/ctrl/pclabs.cfm Tel. x3862 Email. SSRL@American.edu Course Objective This course is designed

More information

An evaluation of the effectiveness of performance management systems on service delivery in the Zimbabwean civil service

An evaluation of the effectiveness of performance management systems on service delivery in the Zimbabwean civil service An evaluation of the effectiveness of performance management systems on service delivery in the Zimbabwean civil service ABSTRACT P. Zvavahera National University of Science and Technology, Zimbabwe This

More information

National Money as a Barrier to International Trade: The Real Case for Currency Union Andrew K. Rose and Eric van Wincoop*

National Money as a Barrier to International Trade: The Real Case for Currency Union Andrew K. Rose and Eric van Wincoop* National Money as a Barrier to International Trade: The Real Case for Currency Union Andrew K. Rose and Eric van Wincoop* Revised: December 18, 2000. Comments Welcome Andrew K. Rose Eric van Wincoop Haas

More information

Business Statistics. Successful completion of Introductory and/or Intermediate Algebra courses is recommended before taking Business Statistics.

Business Statistics. Successful completion of Introductory and/or Intermediate Algebra courses is recommended before taking Business Statistics. Business Course Text Bowerman, Bruce L., Richard T. O'Connell, J. B. Orris, and Dawn C. Porter. Essentials of Business, 2nd edition, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2008, ISBN: 978-0-07-331988-9. Required Computing

More information

Journal Of Financial And Strategic Decisions Volume 11 Number 1 Spring 1998

Journal Of Financial And Strategic Decisions Volume 11 Number 1 Spring 1998 Journal Of Financial And Strategic Decisions Volume 11 Number 1 Spring 1998 AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF FOREIGN OWNERSHIP ON THE VALUES OF U.S. COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES Arnold L. Redman * and N. S.

More information

Estimating the Effects of Spending

Estimating the Effects of Spending Economic Impacts of Protecting Rivers, Trails, and Greenway Corridors Estimating the Effects of Spending Contents Page Direct, Indirect, and Induced Effects 6-3 Multipliers 6-5 Economic Impact Models 6-7

More information

4. Suppose that an airline company s long-run production depends only upon labour according to the following function: Passenger-Miles (PM) = AL α

4. Suppose that an airline company s long-run production depends only upon labour according to the following function: Passenger-Miles (PM) = AL α LR Cost 1. Assume that the production of less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier services depends upon three inputs: capital, labour, and fuel. The production function for LTL ton-miles is TM = f(l,k,f,γ),

More information

Chi Square Tests. Chapter 10. 10.1 Introduction

Chi Square Tests. Chapter 10. 10.1 Introduction Contents 10 Chi Square Tests 703 10.1 Introduction............................ 703 10.2 The Chi Square Distribution.................. 704 10.3 Goodness of Fit Test....................... 709 10.4 Chi Square

More information

Course Text. Required Computing Software. Course Description. Course Objectives. StraighterLine. Business Statistics

Course Text. Required Computing Software. Course Description. Course Objectives. StraighterLine. Business Statistics Course Text Business Statistics Lind, Douglas A., Marchal, William A. and Samuel A. Wathen. Basic Statistics for Business and Economics, 7th edition, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2010, ISBN: 9780077384470 [This

More information

12.5: CHI-SQUARE GOODNESS OF FIT TESTS

12.5: CHI-SQUARE GOODNESS OF FIT TESTS 125: Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Tests CD12-1 125: CHI-SQUARE GOODNESS OF FIT TESTS In this section, the χ 2 distribution is used for testing the goodness of fit of a set of data to a specific probability

More information

Nonmarket Valuation Methods Theory and Applications. czajkowski@woee.pl

Nonmarket Valuation Methods Theory and Applications. czajkowski@woee.pl Nonmarket Valuation Methods Theory and Applications Mikołaj Czajkowski czajkowski@woee.pl Environmental Protection and Economics Value of environmental goods? Human activity Environment Optimum Human activity

More information

A Short review of steel demand forecasting methods

A Short review of steel demand forecasting methods A Short review of steel demand forecasting methods Fujio John M. Tanaka This paper undertakes the present and past review of steel demand forecasting to study what methods should be used in any future

More information

Students' Opinion about Universities: The Faculty of Economics and Political Science (Case Study)

Students' Opinion about Universities: The Faculty of Economics and Political Science (Case Study) Cairo University Faculty of Economics and Political Science Statistics Department English Section Students' Opinion about Universities: The Faculty of Economics and Political Science (Case Study) Prepared

More information

Simple Linear Regression Inference

Simple Linear Regression Inference Simple Linear Regression Inference 1 Inference requirements The Normality assumption of the stochastic term e is needed for inference even if it is not a OLS requirement. Therefore we have: Interpretation

More information

A Hands-On Exercise Improves Understanding of the Standard Error. of the Mean. Robert S. Ryan. Kutztown University

A Hands-On Exercise Improves Understanding of the Standard Error. of the Mean. Robert S. Ryan. Kutztown University A Hands-On Exercise 1 Running head: UNDERSTANDING THE STANDARD ERROR A Hands-On Exercise Improves Understanding of the Standard Error of the Mean Robert S. Ryan Kutztown University A Hands-On Exercise

More information

The Impact of Broadband Deployment on Recreational and Seasonal Property Values- A Hedonic Model

The Impact of Broadband Deployment on Recreational and Seasonal Property Values- A Hedonic Model 1 The Impact of Broadband Deployment on Recreational and Seasonal Property Values- A Hedonic Model Authors Russell Kashian, PhD University of Wisconsin Whitewater kashianr@uww.edu Jose Zenteno University

More information

2. Discuss the implications of the interest rate parity for the exchange rate determination.

2. Discuss the implications of the interest rate parity for the exchange rate determination. CHAPTER 6 INTERNATIONAL PARITY RELATIONSHIPS AND FORECASTING FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. Give a full definition of arbitrage.

More information

Factors affecting online sales

Factors affecting online sales Factors affecting online sales Table of contents Summary... 1 Research questions... 1 The dataset... 2 Descriptive statistics: The exploratory stage... 3 Confidence intervals... 4 Hypothesis tests... 4

More information

Causes of Inflation in the Iranian Economy

Causes of Inflation in the Iranian Economy Causes of Inflation in the Iranian Economy Hamed Armesh* and Abas Alavi Rad** It is clear that in the nearly last four decades inflation is one of the important problems of Iranian economy. In this study,

More information

August 2012 EXAMINATIONS Solution Part I

August 2012 EXAMINATIONS Solution Part I August 01 EXAMINATIONS Solution Part I (1) In a random sample of 600 eligible voters, the probability that less than 38% will be in favour of this policy is closest to (B) () In a large random sample,

More information

Inflation. Chapter 8. 8.1 Money Supply and Demand

Inflation. Chapter 8. 8.1 Money Supply and Demand Chapter 8 Inflation This chapter examines the causes and consequences of inflation. Sections 8.1 and 8.2 relate inflation to money supply and demand. Although the presentation differs somewhat from that

More information

Section 1.5 Linear Models

Section 1.5 Linear Models Section 1.5 Linear Models Some real-life problems can be modeled using linear equations. Now that we know how to find the slope of a line, the equation of a line, and the point of intersection of two lines,

More information

Abstract. In this paper, we attempt to establish a relationship between oil prices and the supply of

Abstract. In this paper, we attempt to establish a relationship between oil prices and the supply of The Effect of Oil Prices on the Domestic Supply of Corn: An Econometric Analysis Daniel Blanchard, Saloni Sharma, Abbas Raza April 2015 Georgia Institute of Technology Abstract In this paper, we attempt

More information

Demographic Influence on the U.S. Demand for Beer Steve Spurry, Mary Washington College

Demographic Influence on the U.S. Demand for Beer Steve Spurry, Mary Washington College Demographic Influence on the U.S. Demand for Beer Steve Spurry, Mary Washington College Research indicates that the U.S. beer market is experiencing shifting demand away from typical American macro-beers

More information

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION AND DESIGN OF THE STUDY

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION AND DESIGN OF THE STUDY Chapter I xxvi CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION AND DESIGN OF THE STUDY Chapter No. Description Page No. 1.2 INTRODUCTION 1 1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM 2 1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 3 1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

More information

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT AND DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO OF FIRMS LISTED IN NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT AND DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO OF FIRMS LISTED IN NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management United Kingdom Vol. III, Issue 11, November 2015 http://ijecm.co.uk/ ISSN 2348 0386 THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT AND DIVIDEND

More information

Effect of working capital and financial decision making management on profitability of listed companies in Tehran s securities exchange

Effect of working capital and financial decision making management on profitability of listed companies in Tehran s securities exchange Effect of working capital and financial decision making management on profitability of listed companies in Tehran s securities exchange Masoomeh Shahnazi 2 (Shahnazi1393@gmail.com) Keyhan Azadi 1 (Ka.cpa2012yahoo.com)

More information

Example: Boats and Manatees

Example: Boats and Manatees Figure 9-6 Example: Boats and Manatees Slide 1 Given the sample data in Table 9-1, find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r, then refer to Table A-6 to determine whether there is a significant

More information

Final Exam (Version 1) Answers

Final Exam (Version 1) Answers Final Exam Economics 101 Fall 2003 Wallace Final Exam (Version 1) Answers 1. The marginal revenue product equals A) total revenue divided by total product (output). B) marginal revenue divided by marginal

More information

11. Analysis of Case-control Studies Logistic Regression

11. Analysis of Case-control Studies Logistic Regression Research methods II 113 11. Analysis of Case-control Studies Logistic Regression This chapter builds upon and further develops the concepts and strategies described in Ch.6 of Mother and Child Health:

More information

Chapter 13 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analysis

Chapter 13 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analysis Chapter 3 Student Lecture Notes 3- Chapter 3 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analsis Fall 2006 Fundamentals of Business Statistics Chapter Goals To understand the methods for displaing

More information

Price Discrimination: Part 2. Sotiris Georganas

Price Discrimination: Part 2. Sotiris Georganas Price Discrimination: Part 2 Sotiris Georganas 1 More pricing techniques We will look at some further pricing techniques... 1. Non-linear pricing (2nd degree price discrimination) 2. Bundling 2 Non-linear

More information

Unit 31 A Hypothesis Test about Correlation and Slope in a Simple Linear Regression

Unit 31 A Hypothesis Test about Correlation and Slope in a Simple Linear Regression Unit 31 A Hypothesis Test about Correlation and Slope in a Simple Linear Regression Objectives: To perform a hypothesis test concerning the slope of a least squares line To recognize that testing for a

More information

Economic Statistics (ECON2006), Statistics and Research Design in Psychology (PSYC2010), Survey Design and Analysis (SOCI2007)

Economic Statistics (ECON2006), Statistics and Research Design in Psychology (PSYC2010), Survey Design and Analysis (SOCI2007) COURSE DESCRIPTION Title Code Level Semester Credits 3 Prerequisites Post requisites Introduction to Statistics ECON1005 (EC160) I I None Economic Statistics (ECON2006), Statistics and Research Design

More information

seasonal causality in the energy commodities

seasonal causality in the energy commodities PROFESSIONAL BRIEFING aestimatio, the ieb international journal of finance, 2011. 3: 02-9 2011 aestimatio, the ieb international journal of finance seasonal causality in the energy commodities Díaz Rodríguez,

More information

International College of Economics and Finance Syllabus Probability Theory and Introductory Statistics

International College of Economics and Finance Syllabus Probability Theory and Introductory Statistics International College of Economics and Finance Syllabus Probability Theory and Introductory Statistics Lecturer: Mikhail Zhitlukhin. 1. Course description Probability Theory and Introductory Statistics

More information

An Analysis of Price Determination and Markups in the Air-Conditioning and Heating Equipment Industry

An Analysis of Price Determination and Markups in the Air-Conditioning and Heating Equipment Industry LBNL-52791 An Analysis of Price Determination and Markups in the Air-Conditioning and Heating Equipment Industry Larry Dale, Dev Millstein, Katie Coughlin, Robert Van Buskirk, Gregory Rosenquist, Alex

More information

Topic 1 - Introduction to Labour Economics. Professor H.J. Schuetze Economics 370. What is Labour Economics?

Topic 1 - Introduction to Labour Economics. Professor H.J. Schuetze Economics 370. What is Labour Economics? Topic 1 - Introduction to Labour Economics Professor H.J. Schuetze Economics 370 What is Labour Economics? Let s begin by looking at what economics is in general Study of interactions between decision

More information

Chapter 6 Cost-Volume-Profit Relationships

Chapter 6 Cost-Volume-Profit Relationships Chapter 6 Cost-Volume-Profit Relationships Solutions to Questions 6-1 The contribution margin (CM) ratio is the ratio of the total contribution margin to total sales revenue. It can be used in a variety

More information

Managerial Economics Prof. Trupti Mishra S.J.M. School of Management Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay. Lecture - 13 Consumer Behaviour (Contd )

Managerial Economics Prof. Trupti Mishra S.J.M. School of Management Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay. Lecture - 13 Consumer Behaviour (Contd ) (Refer Slide Time: 00:28) Managerial Economics Prof. Trupti Mishra S.J.M. School of Management Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay Lecture - 13 Consumer Behaviour (Contd ) We will continue our discussion

More information

Estimating the Recreational Value of Portland s Forest Park

Estimating the Recreational Value of Portland s Forest Park Estimating the Recreational Value of Portland s Forest Park April 20, 2015 Prepared for: The Forest Park Conservancy http://www.forestparkconservancy.org/ http://www.pdx.edu/sustainability/iss Institute

More information

Do Taxes Really Affect the Consumption of Cigarettes?

Do Taxes Really Affect the Consumption of Cigarettes? Do Taxes Really Affect the Consumption of Cigarettes? Patrick C. Gallagher, Elon College The issue of smoking has recently been under close scrutiny by the government. Tobacco companies have been blamed

More information

Public and Private Sector Earnings - March 2014

Public and Private Sector Earnings - March 2014 Public and Private Sector Earnings - March 2014 Coverage: UK Date: 10 March 2014 Geographical Area: Region Theme: Labour Market Theme: Government Key Points Average pay levels vary between the public and

More information

On the Dual Effect of Bankruptcy

On the Dual Effect of Bankruptcy On the Dual Effect of Bankruptcy Daiki Asanuma Abstract This paper examines whether the survival of low-productivity firms in Japan has prevented economic recovery since the bursting of the financial bubble

More information

FORECASTING DEPOSIT GROWTH: Forecasting BIF and SAIF Assessable and Insured Deposits

FORECASTING DEPOSIT GROWTH: Forecasting BIF and SAIF Assessable and Insured Deposits Technical Paper Series Congressional Budget Office Washington, DC FORECASTING DEPOSIT GROWTH: Forecasting BIF and SAIF Assessable and Insured Deposits Albert D. Metz Microeconomic and Financial Studies

More information

I. Basic concepts: Buoyancy and Elasticity II. Estimating Tax Elasticity III. From Mechanical Projection to Forecast

I. Basic concepts: Buoyancy and Elasticity II. Estimating Tax Elasticity III. From Mechanical Projection to Forecast Elements of Revenue Forecasting II: the Elasticity Approach and Projections of Revenue Components Fiscal Analysis and Forecasting Workshop Bangkok, Thailand June 16 27, 2014 Joshua Greene Consultant IMF-TAOLAM

More information

In this chapter, you will learn improvement curve concepts and their application to cost and price analysis.

In this chapter, you will learn improvement curve concepts and their application to cost and price analysis. 7.0 - Chapter Introduction In this chapter, you will learn improvement curve concepts and their application to cost and price analysis. Basic Improvement Curve Concept. You may have learned about improvement

More information

Agricultural & Applied Economics Association

Agricultural & Applied Economics Association Agricultural & Applied Economics Association Measuring Values of Extramarket Goods: Are Indirect Measures Biased? Author(s): Richard C. Bishop and Thomas A. Heberlein Reviewed work(s): Source: American

More information

The Cheap-talk Protocol and the Estimation of the Benefits of Wind Power

The Cheap-talk Protocol and the Estimation of the Benefits of Wind Power The Cheap-talk Protocol and the Estimation of the Benefits of Wind Power Todd L. Cherry and John Whitehead Department of Economics Appalachian State University August 2004 1 I. Introduction The contingent

More information

Where s the Beef? : Statistical Demand Estimation Using Supermarket Scanner Data

Where s the Beef? : Statistical Demand Estimation Using Supermarket Scanner Data Where s the Beef? : Statistical Demand Estimation Using Supermarket Scanner Data Fred H. Hays University of Missouri Kansas City Stephen A. DeLurgio University of Missouri Kansas City Abstract This paper

More information

Economic evaluation of natural forest park using the travel cost method (case study; Masouleh forest park, north of Iran)

Economic evaluation of natural forest park using the travel cost method (case study; Masouleh forest park, north of Iran) JOURNAL OF FOREST SCIENCE, 60, 2014 (6): 254 261 Economic evaluation of natural forest park using the travel cost method (case study; Masouleh forest park, north of Iran) S. Mohammadi Limaei 1, H. Ghesmati

More information

User Behaviour on Google Search Engine

User Behaviour on Google Search Engine 104 International Journal of Learning, Teaching and Educational Research Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 104 113, February 2014 User Behaviour on Google Search Engine Bartomeu Riutord Fe Stamford International University

More information

The Impact of Dining by Restaurant Type on Gaming Volumes of Casino Worth Segments

The Impact of Dining by Restaurant Type on Gaming Volumes of Casino Worth Segments University of Massachusetts - Amherst ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst International CHRIE Conference-Refereed Track 2011 ICHRIE Conference Jul 27th, 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM The Impact of Dining by Restaurant Type

More information

Figure 4-1 Price Quantity Quantity Per Pair Demanded Supplied $ 2 18 3 $ 4 14 4 $ 6 10 5 $ 8 6 6 $10 2 8

Figure 4-1 Price Quantity Quantity Per Pair Demanded Supplied $ 2 18 3 $ 4 14 4 $ 6 10 5 $ 8 6 6 $10 2 8 Econ 101 Summer 2005 In-class Assignment 2 & HW3 MULTIPLE CHOICE 1. A government-imposed price ceiling set below the market's equilibrium price for a good will produce an excess supply of the good. a.

More information

Why is Insurance Good? An Example Jon Bakija, Williams College (Revised October 2013)

Why is Insurance Good? An Example Jon Bakija, Williams College (Revised October 2013) Why is Insurance Good? An Example Jon Bakija, Williams College (Revised October 2013) Introduction The United States government is, to a rough approximation, an insurance company with an army. 1 That is

More information

Assessing public preferences for managing cultural heritage: tools and methodologies

Assessing public preferences for managing cultural heritage: tools and methodologies Assessing public preferences for managing cultural heritage: tools and methodologies Patrizia RIGANTI Summary It is crucial to increase citizens and stakeholders participation in all decision-makings,

More information

CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY FACING WITH IN RELATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE

CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY FACING WITH IN RELATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY FACING WITH IN RELATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE Fekete Mária FARKASNÉ Szent István University 2100 Gödöllő, Páter Károly u. 1. E-mail: Farkasne.Fekete.Maria@gtk.szie.hu

More information

The influence of communication on administration of secondary schools in Delta State, Nigeria

The influence of communication on administration of secondary schools in Delta State, Nigeria International NGO Journal Vol. 5(8), pp. 194-198, December 2010 Available online at http:// www.academicjournals.org/ingoj ISSN 1993 8225 2010 Academic Journals Article The influence of communication on

More information

Earnings Announcement and Abnormal Return of S&P 500 Companies. Luke Qiu Washington University in St. Louis Economics Department Honors Thesis

Earnings Announcement and Abnormal Return of S&P 500 Companies. Luke Qiu Washington University in St. Louis Economics Department Honors Thesis Earnings Announcement and Abnormal Return of S&P 500 Companies Luke Qiu Washington University in St. Louis Economics Department Honors Thesis March 18, 2014 Abstract In this paper, I investigate the extent

More information

April 2015 Revenue Forecast. Methodology and Technical Documentation

April 2015 Revenue Forecast. Methodology and Technical Documentation STATE OF INDIANA STATE BUDGET AGENCY 212 State House Indianapolis, Indiana 46204-2796 317-232-5610 Michael R. Pence Governor Brian E. Bailey Director April 2015 Revenue Forecast Methodology and Technical

More information

Interaction between quantitative predictors

Interaction between quantitative predictors Interaction between quantitative predictors In a first-order model like the ones we have discussed, the association between E(y) and a predictor x j does not depend on the value of the other predictors

More information

AP Microeconomics Chapter 12 Outline

AP Microeconomics Chapter 12 Outline I. Learning Objectives In this chapter students will learn: A. The significance of resource pricing. B. How the marginal revenue productivity of a resource relates to a firm s demand for that resource.

More information

The Initial Impact of Casino Gaming on Bankruptcy Filings in Louisiana

The Initial Impact of Casino Gaming on Bankruptcy Filings in Louisiana The Initial Impact of Casino Gaming on Bankruptcy Filings in Louisiana Dr. Barbara J. Davis Dr. Helen B. Sikes Centenary College Abstract Louisiana voters overwhelmingly approved riverboat casino gaming

More information

Potential Savings due to economies of scale & efficiency Gains. october 2011

Potential Savings due to economies of scale & efficiency Gains. october 2011 Analysis by Analysis for New Jersey Association of REALTORS Governmental Research Foundation Local Government Consolidation: Potential Savings due to economies of scale & efficiency Gains Analysis of Public

More information

The Effects of Unemployment on Crime Rates in the U.S.

The Effects of Unemployment on Crime Rates in the U.S. The Effects of Unemployment on Crime Rates in the U.S. Sandra Ajimotokin, Alexandra Haskins, Zach Wade April 14 th, 2015 Abstract This paper aims to analyze the relationship between unemployment and crime

More information

Section Format Day Begin End Building Rm# Instructor. 001 Lecture Tue 6:45 PM 8:40 PM Silver 401 Ballerini

Section Format Day Begin End Building Rm# Instructor. 001 Lecture Tue 6:45 PM 8:40 PM Silver 401 Ballerini NEW YORK UNIVERSITY ROBERT F. WAGNER GRADUATE SCHOOL OF PUBLIC SERVICE Course Syllabus Spring 2016 Statistical Methods for Public, Nonprofit, and Health Management Section Format Day Begin End Building

More information

The Elasticity of Taxable Income: A Non-Technical Summary

The Elasticity of Taxable Income: A Non-Technical Summary The Elasticity of Taxable Income: A Non-Technical Summary John Creedy The University of Melbourne Abstract This paper provides a non-technical summary of the concept of the elasticity of taxable income,

More information

THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LABOUR FORCE SURVEY REPORT SPRING 2015

THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LABOUR FORCE SURVEY REPORT SPRING 2015 THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LABOUR FORCE SURVEY REPORT SPRING 2015 Published September 2015 Economics and Statistics Office i CONTENTS SUMMARY TABLE 1. KEY LABOUR FORCE INDICATORS BY STATUS... 1 SUMMARY TABLE 2.

More information

Learning Objectives. Essential Concepts

Learning Objectives. Essential Concepts Learning Objectives After reading Chapter 3 and working the problems for Chapter 3 in the textbook and in this Workbook, you should be able to: Employ marginal analysis to find the optimal levels of activities

More information

GLOSSARY OF EVALUATION TERMS

GLOSSARY OF EVALUATION TERMS Planning and Performance Management Unit Office of the Director of U.S. Foreign Assistance Final Version: March 25, 2009 INTRODUCTION This Glossary of Evaluation and Related Terms was jointly prepared

More information

OPTIMAL DESIGN OF A MULTITIER REWARD SCHEME. Amir Gandomi *, Saeed Zolfaghari **

OPTIMAL DESIGN OF A MULTITIER REWARD SCHEME. Amir Gandomi *, Saeed Zolfaghari ** OPTIMAL DESIGN OF A MULTITIER REWARD SCHEME Amir Gandomi *, Saeed Zolfaghari ** Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Ryerson University, Toronto, Ontario * Tel.: + 46 979 5000x7702, Email:

More information

Chapter 7. One-way ANOVA

Chapter 7. One-way ANOVA Chapter 7 One-way ANOVA One-way ANOVA examines equality of population means for a quantitative outcome and a single categorical explanatory variable with any number of levels. The t-test of Chapter 6 looks

More information

FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS SCIENCE Elviña Campus, A Coruña Updated: october 2005 GRADUATE IN BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION AND MANAGEMENT

FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS SCIENCE Elviña Campus, A Coruña Updated: october 2005 GRADUATE IN BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION AND MANAGEMENT FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS SCIENCE Elviña Campus, A Coruña Updated: october 2005 Address Campus de Elviña 15071 A Coruña Tel.: +34.981.167000 (Ext.: 2409) Fax.: +34. 981.167070 Webpage: www.udc.es

More information

Association Between Variables

Association Between Variables Contents 11 Association Between Variables 767 11.1 Introduction............................ 767 11.1.1 Measure of Association................. 768 11.1.2 Chapter Summary.................... 769 11.2 Chi

More information

An Empirical Analysis of Insider Rates vs. Outsider Rates in Bank Lending

An Empirical Analysis of Insider Rates vs. Outsider Rates in Bank Lending An Empirical Analysis of Insider Rates vs. Outsider Rates in Bank Lending Lamont Black* Indiana University Federal Reserve Board of Governors November 2006 ABSTRACT: This paper analyzes empirically the

More information

DEPARTMENT OF PSYCHOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF LANCASTER MSC IN PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH METHODS ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA 2 PART 1 WEEK 9

DEPARTMENT OF PSYCHOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF LANCASTER MSC IN PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH METHODS ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA 2 PART 1 WEEK 9 DEPARTMENT OF PSYCHOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF LANCASTER MSC IN PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH METHODS ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA 2 PART 1 WEEK 9 Analysis of covariance and multiple regression So far in this course,

More information

Chapter 21: The Discounted Utility Model

Chapter 21: The Discounted Utility Model Chapter 21: The Discounted Utility Model 21.1: Introduction This is an important chapter in that it introduces, and explores the implications of, an empirically relevant utility function representing intertemporal

More information

THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON BRAZILIAN MANUFACTURED EXPORTS

THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON BRAZILIAN MANUFACTURED EXPORTS THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON BRAZILIAN MANUFACTURED EXPORTS ANTONIO AGUIRRE UFMG / Department of Economics CEPE (Centre for Research in International Economics) Rua Curitiba, 832 Belo Horizonte

More information