Report on Short-term Power Market in India:

Transcription

1 Report on Short-term Power Market in India: Economics Division Central Electricity Regulatory Commission

2 The contents from the report can be freely copied/used with due acknowledgement to CERC Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 2

3 Preface The power sector has grown significantly since the enactment of the Electricity Act in However, it still faces the daunting challenge of providing adequate power to meet the growing needs of the economy. The mandate of the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) is to promote competition, efficiency and economy in the power markets and improve the quality of supply, which necessitates the development of a healthy short-term power market. A short- term power market can help electricity providers to meet unplanned and fluctuating power requirements, and on the sellers' side, enable power producers as well as procurers to sell their surplus power. In India, the shortterm power market, which covers contracts of less than a year through bilateral agreements and power exchanges are well developed, constituting approximately 11 % (about 104 BU) of the total electricity market in , though this includes power transactions through unscheduled interchange (UI) as well. Access to information is one of the key elements to ensure efficient markets and faith of the stakeholders in the system. CERC therefore brings out monthly and annual short-term power market reports to keep market participants as well as stakeholders aware and updated on the state of the power market. The annual reports give a snapshot of the short-term power transactions through different mechanisms by various market participants. These reports can be useful to a broader category of audience interested in the power market in India. The annual power market report also contains analysis of RECs transacted through power exchanges. In order to ensure ease of access, the short-term and annual power market reports are available on the CERC website As in the past, we are confident that market participants and stakeholders will find the Annual Report for useful. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 3

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5 Contents S.No Particulars Page No Preface 3 Contents 5 List of Tables 7 List of Figures 9 Abbreviations 11 Executive Summary 15 Introduction 19 1 Yearly Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity ( To ) 1.1 Total Short-term Transactions of Electricity with Respect to Total 20 Electricity Generation Electricity Transacted through Trading Licensees and Power 21 Exchanges Electricity Transacted through UI Electricity Transacted Directly Between DISCOMs 25 2 Monthly Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (April March 2014) 2.1 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity Volume of Electricity Transacted in Various Price Slabs 34 3 Daily Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (1 st April to 31 st March 14) 3.1 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity Trends in Price of Electricity Transacted through Power Exchanges Trends in Price of Electricity Transacted through UI 38 4 Time of the Day Variation in Volume and Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges 39 Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 5

6 S.No Contents Page No 4.1 Time of the Day Variation in Volume and Price of Electricity 39 Transacted through Traders 4.2 Time of the Day Variation in Volume and Price of Electricity 40 Transacted through Power Exchanges 5 Trading Margin Charged by Trading Licensees for Bilateral 42 Transactions 6 Analysis of Open Access Consumers on Power Exchanges Analysis of Various Types of Participants in Power Exchanges Analysis of Open Access Consumers in Power Exchanges 44 7 Major Sellers and Buyers of Electricity in the Short term market 48 8 Effect of Congestion on Volume of Electricity Transacted through 52 Power Exchanges 9 Tariffs of Long-term Sources of Power for Various Distribution 54 Companies 9.1 Tariff of Central Government power generating companies Levelised tariff of power projects under Case-I Bidding Average Cost of Supply and Average Revenue of State Power Utilities Analysis of transactions of Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) 59 through Power Exchanges Annexure-I: List of Trading Licensees as on Annexure-II: Historic Volatility Calculation 67 Annexure-III: Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) Calculation 68 Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 6

7 List of Tables Table No. Details Page No. Table-1 Total Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity with 21 Respect to Total Electricity Generation Table-2 Volume of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power 22 Exchanges Table-3 Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges as 22 Percentage of Total Volume of Short-Term Table-4 Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power 23 Exchanges Table-5 Size of the Bilateral Trader and Power Exchange Market in 24 Monetary Terms Table-6 Volume and Price of Electricity Transacted through UI 25 Table-7 Volume of Electricity Transacted Directly Between Discoms 26 Table-8 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity (MUs) 28 Table-9 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity as % of Total 29 Electricity Generation Table-10 Percentage Share of Electricity Traded by Traders and HHI in Table-11 Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity (`/kwh), Table-12 Weighted Average Trading Margin Charged by Trading Licensees 42 during to Table-13 Weighted Average Trading Margin Charged by Trading Licensees 43 during Table-14 Number of Open Access Consumers in Power Exchanges, Table-15 Participation by volume of Open Access Consumers in Day Ahead 47 Market of Power Exchanges, Table-16 Major Sellers of Electricity through Bilateral Trader Segment, Table-17 Major Buyers of Electricity through Bilateral Trader Segment, Table-18 Major Sellers of Electricity in the Day Ahead Market of IEX, Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 7

8 Table No. Details Page No. Table-19 Major Buyers of Electricity in the Day Ahead Market of IEX, Table-20 Major Sellers of Electricity in the Day Ahead Market of PXIL, Table-21 Major Buyers of Electricity in the Day Ahead Market of PXIL, Table-22 Annual Details of Congestion in Power Exchanges 52 Table-23 Power Exchange wise details of Congestion, Table-24 Tariff of Central Thermal Power Stations, Table-25 Composite Tariff of Central Hydro Power Stations, Table-26 Capacity Contracted under Case-I Bidding Route during Table-27 Average Cost of Supply and Average Revenue (without subsidy) of 58 State Power Utilities Table-28 Annual details of Renewable Energy Certificates transacted through 60 Power Exchanges Table-29 Volume and Price of Renewable Energy Certificates transacted through Power Exchanges, Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 8

9 List of Figures Figure No. Details Page No. Figure-1 Total Volume of Electricity Transacted through Traders 22 and Power Exchanges Figure-2 Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power 23 Exchanges as Percentage of Total Volume of Short-term Transactions Figure-3 Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power 24 Exchanges Figure-4 Volume and Price of Electricity Transacted through UI 25 Figure-5 Volume of Electricity Transacted Directly between 26 DISCOMs Figure-6 Share of Different Segments in Total Electricity 27 Generation, Figure-7 Share of Different Segments in Short-term Transactions, Figure-8 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity, Figure-9 Percentage Share of Electricity Transacted by Traders, Figure-10 Concentration of Market Power: Number of Traders and 31 HHI based on Volume of Electricity Transacted by the Traders Figure-11 Comparison of Price of Bilateral, Power Exchange and UI 33 Transactions in Figure-12 Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders during 34 Round the Clock, Peak and Off-peak Periods Figure-13 Volume of Bilateral Transactions at different Price Slabs, Figure-14 Volume of Transactions in Power Exchanges at different 35 Price Slabs, Figure-15 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity, Figure-16 Price and its Volatility in IEX during Figure-17 Price and its Volatility in PXIL during Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 9

10 Figure No. Details Page No. Figure-18 Daily Price of Electricity Transacted through UI during Figure-19 Volume (Excluding Banking) and Price of Electricity 39 Transacted through Traders during RTC, Peak and Other Than RTC & Peak, Figure-20 Block-wise Market Clearing Volume and Price in Power 40 Exchanges during Figure-21 Region-wise and Block-wise Price of Electricity 41 Transacted through IEX, Figure-22 Region-wise and Block-wise Price of Electricity 41 Transacted through PXIL, Figure-23 Trading Margin Charged by Trading Licensees, to Figure-24 Sell and Buy Volume of Various Types of Participants in 44 Power Exchanges, Figure-25 State-Wise Number of Open Access Consumers in IEX in 45 March 2014 Figure-26 State-Wise Number of Open Access Consumers in PXIL in 45 March 2014 Figure-27 Participation of Open Access Consumers in Power 46 Exchanges, Figure-28 Open Access Consumer Purchase Volume and Total Volume in Power Exchanges, Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 10

11 Abbreviations Abbreviation ADHPL ADHPL (GOHP) APCPDCL APL APM APNRL APPCC Block BRPL BSEB BU BUDHIL BYPL CCGT CERC CGS CGSEB CPP CSPDCL CSPTCL DAM DISCOMs DVC ER FGUTPP GOHP/GoHP GPS GRIDCO GUVNL HEP HHI HPPC HPSEB HSD IEX ISGS J&K JPL JSL JSWEL Expanded Version Allain Duhangan Hydro Power Limited Allain Duhangan Hydro Power Limited (GOHP Share) Central Power Distribution Company of Andhra Pradesh Ltd Adani Power Limited Administered Price Mechanism Adhunik Power and Natural Resources Ltd Andhra Pradesh Power Coordination Committee 15 Minutes Time Block BSES Rajdhani Power Limited Bihar State Electricity Board Billion Units (Billion kwh) Lanco Budhil Hydro Power Private Limited BSES Yamuna Power Limited Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Central Electricity Regulatory Commission Central Generating Stations Chhattisgarh State Electricity Board Captive Power Producer/Plant Chhattisgarh State Power Distribution Company Limited Chhatisgarh State Power Trading Company Limited Day Ahead Market Distribution Companies Damodar Valley Corporation Eastern Region Firoz Gandhi Unchahar Thermal Power Project Government of Himachal Pradesh Gas Power Station Grid Corporation of Orissa Limited Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Limited Hydro Electric Project Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Haryana Power Purchase Centre Himachal Pradesh State Electricity Board High Speed Diesel Indian Energy Exchange Limited Inter State Generating Station Jammu & Kashmir Jindal Power Limited Jindal Steel Limited JSW Energy Limited Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 11

12 Abbreviation Expanded Version JVVNL Jaipur Vidyut Vitaran Nigam Limited KSEB Kerala State Electricity Board kwh Kilo Watt Hour KWHEP/S Karcham Wangtoo Hydro Electric Power Station KWHEPS (GOHP) Karcham Wangtoo Hydro Electric Power Station (GOHP Share) LBHPPL LANCO Budhil Hydro Power Private Limited LNG Liquefied Natural Gas LOI Letter of Intent Ltd Limited MALANA2 Malana2 (Everest Power Private Limited) MCP Market Clearing Price MPPMCL M P Power Management Company Limited MU Million Units MW Mega Watts MWh Mega Watt Hour NCTP National Capital Thermal Power Plant (Dadri) NDMC New Delhi Municipal Corporation NEEPCO North Eastern Electric Power Corporation Limited NER North Eastern Region NEW Grid Northern, Eastern, Western and North-Eastern Region Grid NHDC National Hydro Development Corporation Limited NHPC National Hydro-Electric Power Corporation Limited NLC Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited NLDC National Load Dispatch Centre NR Northern Region NTPC National Thermal Power Corporation Limited OA Open Access OAC Open Access Consumer OTP Other than RTC and Peak period PPA Power Purchase Agreement PSPCL Punjab State Power Corporation Limited PX/PXs Power Exchange/Power Exchanges PXIL Power Exchange India Limited RDPPC Rajasthan Discoms Power Procurement Centre REC Renewable Energy Certificates REL Reliance Energy Limited RLNG Re-gasified Liquefied Natural Gas ROR Run of River RTC Round The Clock S1 Southern Region 1 S2 Southern Region 2 Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 12

13 Abbreviation Expanded Version SEB/SEBs State Electricity Board SEL Sterlite Energy Limited SJVNL Sutlej Jal Vidyut Nigam Limited SR Grid Southern Region Grid St Stage STPS Super Thermal Power Station TAM Term Ahead Market TANGEDCO Tamil Nadu Generation & Distribution Company THDC Tehri Hydro Development Corporation Limited TNEB Tamil Nadu Electricity Board TPCL Tata Power Company Limited TPDDL Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited TPS Thermal Power Station UI Unscheduled Interchange UPCL Uttarakhand Power Corporation Limited UPPCL Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation Limited UT Union Territory W1 Western Region 1 W2 Western Region 2 W3 Western Region 3 WBSEDCL West Bengal State Electricity Distribution Company Ltd WR Western Region Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 13

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15 Executive Summary An analysis of short-term transactions of electricity in India has been made in this Report on Short-term Power Market 1 for the year Here, short-term transactions of electricity refers to contracts of less than one year period for electricity transacted under bilateral transactions through Inter-State Trading Licensees (only inter-state part) and directly by the Distribution Licensees (also referred as Distribution Companies or DISCOMs), Power Exchanges (Indian Energy Exchange Ltd (IEX) and Power Exchange India Ltd (PXIL)), and Unscheduled Interchange (UI). The analysis includes (i) Yearly/monthly/daily trends in short-term transactions of electricity; (ii) Time of the day variation in volume and price of electricity transacted through traders and power exchanges; (iii) Trading margin charged by trading licensees for bilateral transactions (iv) Analysis of open access consumers on power exchanges; (v) Major sellers and buyers of electricity in the short term market; (vi) Effect of congestion on volume of electricity transacted through power exchanges; (vii) Tariffs of long-term sources of power for various distribution companies; and (viii) Analysis of transactions of Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) through power exchanges. listed below. Salient features of the report that are discussed in detail in subsequent sections are 1. Of the total electricity procured in India in , the short-term power market comprised 11 per cent. The balance 89 % of generation was procured mainly by distribution companies through long-term contracts and short-term intra-state transactions. 2. In terms of volume, the size of the short-term market in India was BU (units) in the year As compared to the volume of electricity transacted through short- 1 Although unscheduled interchange (UI) is not a market mechanism, electricity transacted under UI is often considered a part of short-term transactions. Also, electricity transacted bilaterally directly between the distribution companies (without involving trading licensees or power exchanges) is also considered a part of short-term market. In the year , the volume of UI was about BU and that of bilateral transactions between distribution companies was about BU. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 15

16 term market in the year (98.94 BU), this was about 6 % higher. Majority of this growth in volume of 5.70 BU was accounted for by growth in transactions through power exchanges (7.13 BU), followed by direct bilateral transactions between the DISCOMs (2.86 BU). The bilateral transactions through the inter-state trading licensees and the transactions through UI declined by 1.01 BU and 3.29 BU respectively. A caveat, however, needs to be added; in case of traders only inter-state transactions have been considered. 3. Excluding UI and direct bilateral sale between the DISCOMs, the volume of electricity transacted was BU in This was about 10 % higher than in Volume of electricity transacted through power exchanges witnessed a sharp increase of about 30% over volume. On the other hand, the volume of electricity transacted through inter-state trading licensees witnessed decrease of -2.8%. In monetary terms, the size of this segment of the short-term market was `23,952 crore in the year , which was 1% less than in the year Of this, `8,891 crore was the value of electricity transacted through power exchanges (3% more than in ), and the balance of `15,061 crore was the value of inter-state transaction of electricity through trading licensees (about 4% less than in ). 4. In absolute terms, the volume of UI in the year decreased by 13% over The share of UI as a percentage of total volume of short-term transaction of electricity continued the downward trend of past years and was about 21% in , down from 39%, 34%, 29% and 25% respectively in the years , , and The share of direct bilateral transactions between DISCOMs as a percentage of total short term transaction volume remains the same at about 15% in the year when compared with the previous year In terms of volume, these direct bilateral transactions between DISCOMs witnessed an increase of about 20% in as compared to Excluding transactions pertaining to banking transactions. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 16

17 6. The weighted average price of electricity transacted through power exchanges was `2.90/kWh and through trading licensees it was `4.29/kWh in The corresponding values for the year were `3.67/kWh and `4.33/kWh, respectively. In the year , the weighted average price of electricity transacted through Day Ahead Market sub-segment of the power exchanges was `2.89/kWh and that through Term Ahead Market sub-segment was `3.42/kWh. 7. During the year, about 84% of the volume of electricity transacted through traders was at less than `6/kWh. About 51% of the volume was transacted at less than `4/kWh. 8. During , both power exchanges transacted 97% of the volume of electricity at price less than `6/kWh. About 89% of the volume was transacted at less than `4/kWh. 9. During , only 296 million units of electricity was exclusively bought during peak hours under bilateral transactions from traders (exclusive of banking). This was 1.26% of the total electricity bought under bilateral transaction from traders (excluding banking). A major part of this, 93.51%, was bought on round the clock (RTC) basis, followed by 5.23% exclusively bought in periods other than peak periods (OTP). The per unit price of electricity procured during RTC is high (`4.30/kWh), when compared with the price during Peak period (`3.79/kWh) and OTP (`4.07/kWh). 10. It is observed from the block-wise and region-wise prices of electricity transacted through power exchanges in that the price of electricity in Southern Region (S1 and S2 regions) was high when compared to the price in other regions in both the power exchanges. This was mainly due to high demand for electricity in the Southern Region and due to congestion between NEW grid and SR grid (on December 31, 2013 both the grids were synchronized and thereafter a single integrated transmission network has evolved). 11. Level of competition among the trading licensees is shown for the period from to During the period, number of traders who were undertaking trading increased from 4 to 23 and concentration of market power (HHI based on volume of trade undertaken by the licensees) declined from high concentration (HHI of ) to Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 17

18 no concentration (HHI of ). The competition among the trading licensees resulted in increase in volume and decrease in prices in the short-term bilateral market. 12. The weighted average trading margin charged by the trading licensees in was 4 paise/kwh or less, which is in line with the CERC Trading Margin Regulations, The procurement of power by the industrial consumers through power exchanges began in the year In both power exchanges, Open Access industrial consumers bought BU of electricity, which formed 60.20% of the total day ahead volume transacted in the power exchanges during The weighted average price of electricity bought by open access consumers at IEX was lower (`2.88/kWh) compared to the weighted average price of total electricity transacted through IEX (`2.90/kWh). The weighted average price of electricity bought by open access consumers at PXIL was lower (`2.59/kWh) compared to the weighted average price of total electricity transacted through PXIL (`2.60/kWh). 15. The year also witnessed constraints on the volume of electricity that could be transacted through power exchanges, mainly due to transmission congestion. During , the actual transacted volume was about 16 % less than unconstrained volume. Because of congestion and the splitting of day ahead market at both the power exchanges, the congestion amount collected during the year was ` crore. 16. In , the number of Solar RECs transacted on IEX and PXIL were 53,056 and 13,624 respectively and the market clearing prices of these RECs were `9725/MWh and `9666/MWh on IEX and PXIL respectively. During the year, market clearing volume of Non-Solar RECs transacted on IEX and PXIL were 12,71,267 and 14,10,747 respectively and the market clearing price of these RECs was `1500/MWh on both IEX and PXIL. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 18

19 Introduction A brief analysis of the short-term transactions of electricity in India has been done in this Report on Short-term Power Market 3 for the year Here, short-term transactions of electricity refers to the contracts less than one year for the following trades: (a) Electricity traded under bilateral transactions through Inter-State Trading Licensees (only inter-state trades), (b) Electricity traded directly by the Distribution Licensees (also referred as Distribution Companies or DISCOMs), (c) Electricity traded through Power Exchanges (Indian Energy Exchange Ltd (IEX) and Power Exchange India Ltd (PXIL)), and (d) Unscheduled Interchange (UI). The analysis includes: (i) Yearly/monthly/daily trends in short-term transactions of electricity; (ii) Time of the day variation in volume and price of electricity transacted through traders and power exchanges; (iii) Trading margin charged by trading licensees for bilateral transactions; (iv) Analysis of open access consumers on power exchanges; (v) Major sellers and buyers of electricity in the short term market; (vi) Effect of congestion on volume of electricity transacted through power exchanges; (vii) Tariffs of long-term sources of power for various distribution companies; and (viii) Analysis of transactions of Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) through power exchanges. 3 Although unscheduled interchange (UI) is not a market mechanism, electricity transacted under UI is often considered a part of short-term transaction. Also, electricity transacted bilaterally directly between the distribution companies (without involving trading licensees or power exchanges) is also considered a part of short-term market. In the year , the volume of UI was about BU and that between distribution companies was about BU. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 19

20 1. Yearly Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity ( to ) The analysis on yearly trends in short-term transactions includes the electricity transacted through the following segments: trading licensees (inter-state part only) under bilateral transactions or bilateral trader segment, power exchange segment with transactions in both Day Ahead and Term Ahead Markets, UI segment, and direct transactions of electricity between DISCOMs. Inter-state trading licensees (traders) have been undertaking trading in electricity since 2004 and the power exchanges started operating since The two power exchanges, IEX and PXIL started their operations in June 2008 and October 2008 respectively. As of March 2014, there were 42 inter-state trading licensees (list is enclosed at Annexure-I) and two power exchanges Total Short-term Transactions of Electricity with respect to Total Electricity Generation Total volume of short-term transactions of electricity increased from BU in to BU in The annual growth in volume was 24% from to , 16% from to , 5% from to and 6% from to Total volume of short-term transactions of electricity as percentage of total electricity generation has increased from 9% in to 11% in (Table-1). Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 20

21 Table-1: Total Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity with respect to Total Electricity Generation Year Total Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity (BU) Total Electricity Generation (BU) Total volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity as % of Total Electricity Generation % % % % % Source: NLDC The analysis of yearly trends of short-term transactions of electricity for various segments, i.e. electricity transacted through traders and power exchanges, UI, and directly between DISCOMs is included in the sections that follow Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges Table-2, Table-3, Figure-1 & Figure-2 show details of volume of electricity transacted through traders under bilateral transactions and through power exchanges for the period from to The volume of electricity transacted through traders and power exchanges increased from BU in to BU in The share of electricity transacted through traders and power exchanges (in volume terms) as a percentage of total short-term transactions of electricity has increased from 51.45% in to 62.87% in The growth in volume for this segment during the year as compared to was 6.12 BU (10%). The increase in power exchange segment volume was 7.13 BU (30%) whereas bilateral trader segment volume declined by 1.01 BU (-2.79%). Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 21

22 Table-2: Volume of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges Year Electricity Transacted through traders (BUs) Electricity Transacted through IEX (BUs) Day Ahead Market Term Ahead Market Electricity Transacted through PXIL (BUs) Day Ahead Market Term Ahead Market Electricity Transacted through IEX and PXIL (BUs) Total (BUs) Note1: The volume of electricity transacted through traders in (April to July 2008) includes cross border trading and intra-state trading volume. Figure-1: Total Volume of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges Volume (BU) Table-3: Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges as percentage of Total Volume of Short-term Year Volume of Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges (BUs) Total Short-term Transactions of Electricity (BUs) Electricity Transacted through traders and PXs as % of Total Volume of Short-term % % % % % Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 22

23 65% Figure-2: Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power exchanges as Percentage of Total Volume of Short-term Transactions 60.30% 62.87% 60% 55% 51.45% 53.00% 54.37% 50% 45% 40% The price of electricity transacted through traders and Power Exchanges is shown in Table-4 and Figure-3. The weighted average price of electricity transacted through traders and power exchanges declined from `7.29/kWh and `7.49/kWh respectively in to `4.29/kWh and `2.90/kWh respectively in The decreasing trend in weighted average prices affected the market size of this segment in monetary terms (Table-5). In volume terms (BU terms) the size of this segment increased by about 10 % in the year compared to , whereas in monetary terms the growth has declined by about 1%. The power exchange sub-segment registered a high growth of about 30% in volume terms and a low growth of about 3% in monetary terms. The bilateral trader segment registered a negative growth in both volume terms (- 3%) and monetary terms (-4%). Table-4: Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders & Power Exchanges Year Price of Electricity transacted through Traders (`/kwh) Price of Electricity transacted through Power Exchanges (DAM+TAM) (`/kwh) Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 23

24 Price (`/kwh) Figure-3: Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders & Power Exchanges Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders Price of Electricity Transacted through Power Exchanges Year Table-5: Size of the Bilateral Trader and Power Exchange Market in Monetary Terms Electricity Transacted through traders (BU) Price of Electricity Transacted through traders (`/kwh) Size of bilateral trader Market (` Crore) Electricity Transacted through Power Exchanges (BU) Price of Electricity Transacted through Power Exchanges (`/kwh) Size of Power Exchange Market (` Crore) Total Size of the bilateral trader + Power Exchange Market (` Crore) Electricity Transacted through UI The volume and price of electricity transacted through UI is shown in Table-6 and Figure-4. The volume and price of electricity transacted through UI in represents the period from August 2008 to March It can be observed from Table-6 that the volume of electricity transacted through UI declined from BU in to BU in , and the volume of UI as percentage of total short-term volume declined to 21% in from 39% in It can also be observed from the table that the average price of UI (NEW Grid and SR Grid) declined from `4.62/kWh in to `2.05/kWh in Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 24

25 Year Table-6: Volume and Price of Electricity transacted through UI Volume of UI Total Volume of (BU) Short term (BU) Volume of UI as % of total volume of Short term Price of UI (`/kwh) % % % % % % 2.05 Note: The data for the year , represents the period from August 2008 to March Figure-4: Volume and Price of Electricity transacted through UI Volume (BU) Volume of UI Price of UI Price ( `/kwh) Electricity Transacted Directly Between DISCOMs The volume of electricity transacted directly between DISCOMs is shown in Table- 7 and Figure-5. It can be observed from the table that the volume of electricity transacted directly between DISCOMs increased from 6.19 BU in to BU in It can also be observed that, the share of electricity transacted directly between DISCOMs as percentage to total volume of short-term transaction of electricity also increased from 9% to 15% in the same period. However, compared to , the volume of electricity transacted directly between DISCOMs increased, whereas the share of electricity transacted directly between DISCOMs as percentage of total volume of short-term transaction of electricity remained the same in Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 25

26 Table-7: Volume of Electricity Transacted Directly between DISCOMs Year Volume of Electricity Transacted Directly between DISCOMs (BU) Total Volume of Short term (BU) Volume of Bilateral Direct as % of total volume of Short term % % % % % % Note: The data for the year is for the period from August 2008 to March Volume (BU) Figure-5: Volume of Electricity Transacted Directly between DISCOMs Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 26

27 2. Monthly Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (April 2013-March 2014) During , the share of the total short-term transactions in volume terms, including UI as a percentage of total electricity generation in the country was about 11 % (Figure-6 and Table-8). Figure-6: Share of Different Segments in Total Electricity Generation, % 2% 3% 2% 89% Bilateral Transactions through traders Power Exchange Transactions Long Term Transactions Bilateral Transactions between DISCOMS UI Transactions The share of different segments within the total short-term transaction for the year has been shown in the Figure-7 below. Figure-7: Share of Different Segments in Short Term Transactions, % 33.6% 29.3% Bilateral through Traders Power Exchange Transactions 16.6% Bilateral between DISCOMS UI Transactions Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 27

28 2.1. Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity The volume of short-term transactions of electricity during different months of with break-up for different segments is shown in Table-8 and Figure-8. Period Table-8: Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity (MUs), Bilateral through Traders Bilateral between DISCOMS Total Bilateral transactions Power Exchange transactions (DAM+TAM) UI transac -tions Total Shortterm transactions Total Electricity Generatio n Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Total % share in total generation % share in Shortterm Volume 4% 2% 5% 3% 2% 11% 100% 33.6% 16.6% 50.2% 29.3% 20.5% 100% It is observed from Figure-8 that there is a cyclical trend in the total volume of short-term transactions of electricity. It is also observed from the figure that the volume of all segments of the short-term transactions of electricity does not reflect any trend of increase or decrease. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 28

29 Figure-8: Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity, Volume (MU) Bilateral Transactions (Traders+Discoms) UI transactions Power Exchange transactions (DAM+TAM) Total Short-term transac-tions The volume of short-term transactions of electricity as percentage of total electricity generation varied between 9.57% and 13.10% during the period (Table-9). Table-9: Volume of Short-term transactions of electricity as % of total electricity generation Period Short-term transactions as % of total electricity generation Apr % May % Jun % Jul % Aug % Sep % Oct % Nov % Dec % Jan % Feb % Mar % There were 42 inter-state trading licensees as on However, of these, only 23 trading licensees actively traded during the year (Table-10). Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 29

30 The volume of electricity transacted through traders (traders inter-state bilateral transactions + traders transactions through Power Exchanges) has been analysed using the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) for measuring the competition among the traders (Table-10). Increase in the HHI generally indicates a decrease in competition and an increase of market power, whereas decrease indicates the opposite. A HHI value below 0.15 indicates no concentration of market power, the value between 0.15 to 0.25 indicates moderate concentration, the value above 0.25 indicates high concentration of market power. The HHI, based on the volume of electricity transacted through traders during was , which indicated non-concentration of market power among the traders. Sr No Table-10: Percentage Share of Electricity Transacted by Traders and HHI, Name of the Trading Licensee Share of Electricity transacted by traders in Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI) 1 PTC India Ltd % JSW Power Trading Company Ltd 12.40% Tata Power Trading Company (P) Ltd % Reliance Energy Trading (P) Ltd 7.12% NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Ltd. 6.13% Adani Enterprises Ltd. 5.02% Mittal Processors (P) Ltd. 4.87% Shree Cement Ltd. 4.66% GMR Energy Trading Ltd. 3.33% Knowledge Infrastructure Systems (P) Ltd 2.83% Jaiprakash Associates Ltd. 2.80% Manikaran Power Ltd. 1.59% National Energy Trading & Services Ltd. 1.50% Instinct Infra & Power Ltd. 1.21% Pune Power Development Pvt. Ltd. 1.20% RPG Power Trading Company Ltd. 1.09% Essar Electric Power Development Corp. Ltd. 0.88% Arunachal Pradesh Power Corporation Pvt. Ltd. 0.37% Indrajit Power Technology (P) Ltd. 0.13% Customized Energy Solutions India (P) Ltd. 0.10% Ambitious Power Trading Company Ltd. 0.04% HMM Infra Ltd. 0.03% My Home Power Private Ltd. 0.00% Total Volume % Share of the Top 5 Trading 68.37% Note: Percentage share in total volume traded by Licensees in computed based on the volume which includes the volume traded by inter-state trading licensees through bilateral and power exchanges. Source: Information submitted by Trading Licensees. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 30

31 The percentage share of electricity transacted by major traders in the total volume of electricity transacted by all the traders is shown in Figure-9. Figure-9: Percentage Share of Electricity Traded by Trading Licensees in % 32% 6% 7% 11% PTC India Ltd. Tata Power Trading Company (P) Ltd. NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Ltd. 12% JSW Power Trading Company Ltd Reliance Energy Trading (P) Ltd Others Level of competition among the traders (HHI based on volume of trade undertaken by the traders) is shown in Figure-10 for the period to Number of traders, who were undertaking trading bilaterally or through power exchanges, increased from 4 in to 23 in It can be observed from the figure that there is an inverse relationship between number of traders and the HHI. The concentration of market power declined from high concentration (HHI of 0.55) in to non-concentration (HHI of ) in The competition among the traders resulted in increase in volume and decrease in prices in the short-term bilateral market (Table-5). No. of Traders Figure-10: Concentration of Market Power: Number of traders and HHI based on volume of electricity transacted by the traders HHI Number of Traders undertaking trading Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI) Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 31

32 2.2. Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity The monthly trends in price of short-term transactions of electricity are shown in Table-11 and Figure-11 & 12. The price analysis is mainly based on the average price of UI and the weighted average price of other short-term transactions of electricity. The price of bilateral trader transactions represents the price of electricity transacted through traders. The trends in price of electricity transacted through traders (bilateral trader transactions) were studied separately for total transactions as well as for the transactions undertaken Round the Clock (RTC), during Peak, and during Off-peak periods. Table-11: Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity (`/kwh) Period Bilateral through Traders Power Exchange UI RTC Peak Offpeak Total IEX PXIL NEW Grid SR Grid Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 32

33 Price (`/kwh) Figure-11: Comparison of price of Bilateral, Power Exchange and UI transactions in Price of Bilateral Transactions through traders Price of Power Exchange Transactions (TAM+DAM) Average Price of UI Transactions (NEW Grid+SR Grid) It can be observed from the above figure that the price of electricity transacted through traders was relatively high when compared with the price of electricity transacted through power exchanges and UI during all the months in The trends in price of electricity transacted by traders during RTC, Peak and Offpeak periods are shown in Table-11 & Figure-12. It can be observed from the figure that the price of electricity during peak period is higher in most of the months from April to November 2013 when compared with the price during RTC and off peak periods. The price of electricity during RTC is high from December 2013 to March 2014 when compared with the price during peak and off peak periods. 4 The comparison between the price of power exchanges and the price of bilateral transactions should also be seen in the light that the delivery point for transactions of power exchanges is the periphery of regional transmission system in which the grid connected entity is located whereas the delivery point for bilateral transactions may vary from transaction to transaction. The delivery point may be state or regional periphery or any other point as per the contract executed. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 33

34 Figure-12: Price of Electricity Transacted through Traders during Round the Clock, Peak and Off Peak periods Price `/(kwh) RTC Peak Off-peak 2.3 Volume of Electricity Transacted in Various Price Slabs Volume of electricity transacted in various price slabs is shown for bilateral trader segment and power exchange segment separately. In the case of power exchanges, it is the Day Ahead Market sub-segment that has been considered. Volume of bilateral transactions at different price slabs in is depicted in Figure -13. The figure shows that 51% of the volume of electricity was transacted through traders at less than `4/kWh and 84% of the volume was transacted through traders at less than `6/kWh. Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 34

35 Figure-13: Volume of Bilateral Transactions at different Price Slabs, Cumulative Volume (%) 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Cumulative Volume (%) 0% 4% 51% 72% 84% 100% 100% 100% Volume in Price Range (%) 0% 4% 47% 20% 12% 16% 0% 0% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Volume in Price Range (%) Volume of transactions in power exchanges at different price slabs in is depicted in Figure -14. The figure shows that 89% of the volume of electricity was transacted through power exchanges at less than `4/kWh and 97% of the volume was transacted through power exchanges at less than `6/kWh. Figure-14: Volume of Transactions in Power Exchanges at different Price Slabs, % 70% Cumulative Volume (%) 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Volume in Price Range (%) 0% Cumulative Volume (%) 25% 89% 97% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Volume in Price Range (%) 25% 63% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 35

36 3. Daily Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (1 st April 2013 to 31 st March 2014) 3.1 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity Trends in daily volume of short-term transactions are shown in Figure-15. It can be observed from the figure that there was an increasing trend in the volume of electricity transacted through bilateral transactions from April to July 2013 and then a declining trend from July to September It can also be observed that there is low volatility in the volume of electricity transacted through power exchanges and through UI during the year. 250 Figure-15: Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity, Apr Apr Apr May May-13 Volume (MU) 10-Jun Jun-13 8-Jul Jul-13 5-Aug Aug-13 2-Sep Sep Sep Oct Oct Nov Nov-13 9-Dec Dec-13 6-Jan Jan-14 3-Feb Feb-14 3-Mar Mar Mar-14 Bilateral Transactions (Traders+Direct) PX Transactions (IEX+PXIL) UI Transactions 3.2 Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity Trends in daily price of short-term transactions have been illustrated in this section for power exchanges and UI Trends in Price of Electricity Transacted through Power Exchanges The weighted average price of electricity transacted through IEX and its volatility is shown in Figure-16. Volatility in the Price of electricity transacted through IEX has been Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 36

37 computed using daily data for and it works out to 7.16%. (See Annexure-II for historic volatility formula). Price (`/kwh) Figure-16: Price and its Volatility in IEX during % 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 01/04/13 15/04/13 29/04/13 13/05/13 27/05/13 10/06/13 24/06/13 08/07/13 22/07/13 05/08/13 19/08/13 02/09/13 16/09/13 30/09/13 14/10/13 28/10/13 11/11/13 25/11/13 09/12/13 23/12/13 06/01/14 20/01/14 03/02/14 17/02/14 03/03/14 17/03/14 31/03/14 Volatility (%) Price Volatility The weighted average price of electricity transacted through PXIL and its volatility is shown in Figure-17. Volatility in the Price of electricity transacted through PXIL has been computed using daily data for and it works out to 10.46%. Figure-17: Price and its Volatility in PXIL during Price (`/kwh) % 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 01/04/13 15/04/13 29/04/13 13/05/13 27/05/13 10/06/13 24/06/13 08/07/13 22/07/13 05/08/13 19/08/13 02/09/13 16/09/13 30/09/13 14/10/13 28/10/13 11/11/13 25/11/13 09/12/13 23/12/13 06/01/14 20/01/14 03/02/14 17/02/14 03/03/14 17/03/14 31/03/14 Volatility (%) Price Volatility Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 37

38 3.2.2 Trends in Price of Electricity Transacted through UI Trends in daily price of electricity transacted through UI, both in the NEW Grid and SR Grid, are shown in Figure-18. Till December 2013, there were two separate transmission networks (NEW Grid and SR Grid) in India which had separate frequency profiles, therefore, there were two UI prices. On December , both NEW Grid and SR Grid were synchronized and thereafter a single integrated transmission network has been evolved. A single UI price can be seen after synchronization. 6 5 Figure-18: Daily Price of Electricity Transacted through UI during UI Price (`/Kwh) Average Price of UI (NEW Grid) Average Price of UI (SR Grid) It can be observed from the above figure that there was divergence in the price of UI in the NEW Grid and SR Grid from April to September 2013 (prices in SR Grid higher than prices in NEW Grid), while there was convergence in the price of UI in the rest of the months. The divergence was due to higher demand in the two Southern states of Tamil Nadu and Kerala. It can also be observed from the above figure that there was single UI price after synchronization of both NEW Grid and SR Grid in December Report on Short-term Power Market in India, Page 38