1 Research & Forecast Report Kraków Office Market March 2015 Kraków Overview Office market summary At the end of 2014, the total supply of modern office space in Kraków amounted to 617,400 m 2. During the year twelve office schemes totalling 111,000 m 2 were delivered to the market. The biggest new investments included Kapelanka 42 (29,900 m 2, Skanska), Avia (14,000 m 2, GD&K Group), Enterprise Park C (13,500 m 2, Avestus) and Quattro Business Park D (12,800 m 2, Grupa BUMA). Over half of the newly completed supply was located in the southern parts of the city. Office stock evolution (m 2 ) Investments planned for delivery include phase I of Opolska Business Park (19,200 m 2 ), Aleja Pokoju 5 (13,000 m 2 ), K1 (13,000 m 2, renovation), Bonarka 4 Business F (10,000 m 2 ), Bonarka 4 Business E (10,000 m 2, already completed in January 2015) and Quattro Business Park Five (8,700 m 2 ). Selected projects under construction Building Developer GLA (m 2 ) Average floorplate (m 2 ) Opolska Business Park I Axis Echo Investment 19,200 1,690 Skanska Propety Poland 18,000 2,365 K1 Pramerica RE 13, ,000 Aleja Pokoju 5 Grupa BUMA 13,000 1,450 MIX Jasnogórska 9 MIX Biura 12,000 2,500 Bonarka 4 Business Building F Quattro Business Park - Five TriGranit 10,000 1,200 Grupa BUMA 8,700 1,250 DOT Office I Grupa BUMA 7,200 1,650 Enterprise Park D Avestus RE 5,800 1,800-1,900 Activity among developers remains strong as over 140,000 m 2 are currently under construction. Although the majority of space is being built outside the city centre (90,500 m 2 ), growing activity in the central zone can be observed (49,200 m 2 ). In 2015, the market will increase by 94,200 m 2. Leasing activity in Kraków amounted to 117,200 m 2, which constituted nearly 30% of the total activity recorded in regional markets in Companies in the modern business services sector entered into agreements for 88,000 m 2 (75% of total demand in the city). The largest deals signed during the period included HSBC (12,500 m 2, Kapelanka 42), Cisco (5,600 m 2, Enterprise Park), SABMiller (4,400 m 2, Kapelanka 42) and AON Hewitt (4,300 m 2, Diamante Plaza). Throughout the year, Kraków recorded the lowest vacancy rate among the eight major regional markets in Poland. Despite the record growth in stock, the vacancy rate recorded only a marginal increase due to strong absorption levels. At the end of December 2014, the vacancy rate stood at 5.6% (against 1 Research & Forecast Report Q Office Colliers International in association with ASPIRE
2 4.4% in the same period of 2013), which translated into 34,400 m 2 of available space. Currently, the occupancy rate in buildings under construction planned for 2015 is estimated at 12%. Europe s top two cities ( ) New BPO/SSC entrants in 2014 ALK Abello Allegro Fedex Getinge Grid Dynamics Lundbeck Pontoon Solutions SABMiller Skipjaq Solar Winds IAG During the discussed period, base rents for A-class office space in existing buildings varied from 13.5 to 15.5/m 2 /month, whereas in B-class offices rates were in the range 10-13/m 2 /month. Although base rents in projects under construction are at levels similar to those in existing buildings, developers are offering more favourable conditions in terms of additional incentives (including a rent-free period and fit-out budget). Therefore, tenants may be able to profit from more competitive effective rates. With 100+ IT and Business Services companies employing almost 40,000 people already present ASPIRE predicts that there will be a 20% growth in headcount in Kraków in This forecast is based on two trends. ASPIRE Headcount Tracker Rental rates ( /m 2 per month) Class A Class B New entrants: 5 year trend ( ) Modern business services sector Kraków s reputation for technology and business services continues to grow apace. The city again takes top place among cities in Europe in the latest Tholons rankings, Top 100 Outsourcing Destinations Globally, Kraków is eclipsed only by the big Indian cities, such as Bangalore and Chennai, or Manila in the Philippines. In Europe it continues to move away from its competitors, with Dublin, Europe s second most successful city, slipping down the rankings. Notwithstanding the much heralded success of the business services industry in Poland, other than Kraków only Warsaw among Polish cities finds itself in the Top Research & Forecast Report Q Office Colliers International in association with ASPIRE
3 First, new entrants: half of the companies now located in Kraków have entered the market in the last 5 years, with 12 new centres established in 2014 alone. Rather than a slowdown in number of new entrants, the critical mass of companies present in Kraków is attracting more new companies to set up in the city as the ecosystem to support the industry continues to develop. Early indications in 2015 are that this trend is set to continue. How Kraków centres grow Second, the historical growth and development plans of existing companies. The ASPIRE Headcount Tracker shows that companies two years on the market have an average size of 200 people and that this number doubles in the next 3-4 years. Examples can be seen in the recent announcements by Cisco Systems that the company will add a Network Operation Centre to its existing facility in Kraków and Brown Brothers Harriman, who having initially planned to grow to about 300 employees announced plans to reach almost 1,000 by the end of Both companies entered the market in The key to Kraków s continued growth is the expanding capability in the market, which is encouraging companies to move ever higher value processes to their operations in the city. 3 Research & Forecast Report Q Office Colliers International in association with ASPIRE
5 485 offices in 63 countries on 6 continents United States: 146 Canada: 44 Latin America: 25 Asia Pacific: 186 EMEA: bn income in mln m 2 under management 15,800 employees Contact: Research and Consultancy Services Dominika Jędrak Director Ewa Grudzień Analyst Office Agency Tenant Representation Robert Z. Karniewski Partner Director of Regional Markets Anna Galicka-Bieda Regional Director Kraków Marlena Kłaput Regional Coordinator Kraków About Colliers International Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 15,800 professionals operating out of more than 485 offices in 63 countries. A subsidiary of FirstService Corporation, Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owners and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second-most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. colliers.pl Copyright 2015 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
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